HOW TO: Trading the WallStreetBets Stonks with Cascading StopsHadn't seen any videos of anyone doing something as silly as this (which of course fits into the WSB philosophy) so thought I'd make a video of it and share it in case it amused or inspired anyone else.
Just something I have been having a bit of fun with over the last couple of weeks.
You could do this with any broker, but I REALLY like the simplicity of doing this all within TradingView and using TradeStation as the integrated brokerage free broker.
Note: You would not do this if you were paying brokerage.
What I do is:
1. Create a list of WSB type stocks.
2. Watch in the pre-market to see which ones are getting the attention.
3. Try and buy as early in the move as your broker allows.
4. Add a stop loss a bit below your buy price - eg 5% or so. Nice and tight.
5. As the stock price moves up, start to break down your stop loss into lots of mini stops.
Idea is that as the stock moves up, you are moving your stops up, BUT rather than one big stop that gets your whole holding exited, you can place lots of smaller stops (even place some ahead of the price) so that as volatility happens you auto exit some of your position hopefully taking profit along the way.
Rinse and repeat.
Definitely NOT trading advice. As before, it really is a silly idea, but hey its also a bit of fun for now and seems to work reasonably well for these kinds of stocks that spike big in one day and then start to equally quickly pull back.
Might be better to simply buy and hold them, but you never know when they will inevitably come crashing down, and more so which one is going to be the focus of the day.
Like and subscribe if you like it.
One of those videos you can skip through once you see the initial concept...
Community ideas
EDUCATION - Identifying & Trading Flag Patterns In this post, we will be explaining what a flag patterns is and how to identify and trade them.
What is a Flag?
The flag pattern is the most common continuation patterns in technical analysis. It often occurs after a big impulsive move. The impulse move is followed by short bodied candles countertrend to the impulse move, which is called the flag. It is named because of the way it reminds the viewer of a flag on a flagpole.
Often, the breakout of the flag is the same size as the impulse leading to the flag. We can use this to create our take profit levels.
There are 2 types of ways we can trade flag patterns; Risky Entry & Safe Entry. See below for the pros and cons for both and how to enter them
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Risk Entry:
The reason why it is called a risk entry is because we haven't got many confirmations apart from the bounce off the fibonacci level. Price may have the potential to go lower for a deeper correction before moving up. Whereas for the safe entry, the confirmation that it is a valid flag would be the break of the flag pattern.
How to trade using Risk Entry:
Wait for price to bounce off the fibonacci levels (0.5 or 0.618) and then enter with stops below/above the correction.
One of the advantages of doing a risk entry is that we can have small stop loss and have a great risk:reward ratio. Also, we can gain an entry at the start of the move and HODL!
Safe Entry:
Safe entry requires more than one confluence and requires confirmation. We have the rejection of the fibonacci level as well as a breakout of the flag, confirming that it is a valid flag pattern.
How to trade using Safe Entry:
For a safe entry, enter upon the break of the flag pattern with stops above/below the flag depending on whether its a bull or a bear flag. First TP would be the recent structure level and second TP would be the length of the impulse which led up to the correction.
The disadvantage to using a safe entry is that we require a bigger stop loss which makes the risk:reward ratio not as great as the risk entry. However, the probability of the trade succeeding is higher.
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EXAMPLES OF RISK ENTRY
EXAMPLES OF SAFE ENTRY
Do you fell stressed with trading? 😒🙎♂️😰I want to start the morning by not posting a usual trade idea setup.
But to talk more about the methods I now use for my trading and how they have alleviated negative feelings which can occur with trading.
A while ago I opted to switch to an systematic objective based approach for my trading.
This was down to numerous factors which you will find on the drawings in this idea.
Since adopting a objective based approach with set rules coupled with rigours back tested strategies.
All of the subjective traits you see on the left of the idea drawing have disappeared.
And all of the objective based traits seen on the right idea of the drawing have now become the norm in my trading life.
When laid out in the drawing of this idea it's hard to think why you wouldn't adopt these behaviours to your trading.
I hope this gives you all food for thought as we start we the trading day.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
📖 Trading Books 📖As a trading coach & mentor, I often get asked about where to go and find resources. Anything from books to specific strategies. So I thought it would be interesting to not only share with the community some books I have liked over the years. But to ask for your favorite books, any suggestions - any thoughts on the books listed?
Even if they're slightly outside of the conventional trading manual concepts - there are some great Wall Street stories, banking or business esq books.
Be great to get some conversations going!
Here's the second wave.
The next wave - moving away from trading manuals per se;
Another list;
And lastly some books worth mentioning but were just off the top 20 spot.
So what are your best books? why? what do you make of some of the books mentioned?
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Best Books on Stock Market & Finance📚 Books are always the best way to acquire knowledge even in the presence of latest technologies/e-books/videos.
There are 1000s of books in the market. So I have picked the best ones according to me!
📚 I have sub divided the books to acquire knowledge in any specific field
💲 Finance and Motivation - For knowing more about money and it's fundamentals.
Suitable for - Anyone with the interest to know about money
💲 Technical Analysis - Knowledge about candle sticks and other trading patterns
Suitable for - Anyone with the interest to know the technical analysis done by traders
💲 Fundamental Analysis - Knowledge about the base of a company with it's fundamentals/results
Suitable for - Anyone with the interest to know and analyze fundamentals of companies for investments.
🤔 Pre-requisites - None of the above book require any prior knowledge.
Thank you for viewing book recommendations.
Let me know through the comment section if you have any doubts or feedbacks.
All the best! Happy trading/investing :) 😄
Heikin Ashi Charts vs. Candlestick ChartsFollowing price action is at the core of markets. One glance at a chart can show you a trend, trade idea, or serve as a quick way to check the holdings in your portfolio.
Candlestick charts are one of the most popular ways to look at price action. A single candlestick shows the high, low, open, and close for a specific time period. This means that a lot of price information is stored in a single candlestick . However, sometimes, that price information is filled with volatility or chaotic trading.
That's where Heikin Ashi charts are most useful - they smooth out the price by showing an average price range rather than the exact measurements. In fact, Heikin Ashi charts were developed in Japan and the word Heikin means “average” in Japanese . For those who invest over long-term horizons or look for sustainable trends, Heikin Ashi charts can be an effective way to smooth out price and show clearer trends.
The key to understanding Heikin-Ashi charts is to remember that each bar, whether it's red or green, shows an average price range for a specific time period whereas a candlestick chart shows the exact price levels for that time period.
The formula for a Heikin Ashi looks like this:
Open = (Previous bar open + previous bar close) / 2
Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
High = Highest point whether it's the open, high, low or close
Low = Lowest point whether it's the open, high, low or close
Make sure to test out these two different chart types and have some fun. There is no better way to learn than to compare and contrast the two types of charts as we are doing in this example. Remember, it is also about your personal preference. Do you want to see every granular detail in price action? Or do you want to see an average price of that trading action? This is entirely up to you and the tools are here for you to try.
NOTE
While Heikin Ashi and other non-standard charts can be useful to analyze markets, they should not be used to backtest strategies or issue trade orders, as their prices are synthetic and do not reflect bid/ask levels at exchanges or brokers. If you need more information to understand why that is, have a look at these publications:
• In the Help Center: Strategy produces unrealistic results on non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, etc.)
• From PineCoders: Backtesting on Non-Standard Charts: Caution!
Thanks for reading and please leave any comments or questions if you have them!
Comment : P.S.
Someone asked how they can select Heikin Ashi. Click the dropdown at the top of your chart where it currently shows either your Candlestick or Line chart options. Then select Heikin Ashi from the dropdown menu.
BASICS OF SAVING & INVESTMENT | RULES YOU SHOULD NEVER BREAK
Debt and living on credit is a universal norm .
While the "wisest" among us are trying to persuade themselves how they "hack" the system buying on credit card smartly, the richest among us keep following totally different commandments .
You must remember that debt makes you dependent , it makes you submissive to the system.
To become truly free and wealthy, here are the simple rules that will change your life if you follow them:
1 - Spend less than you make
2 - Do not save what is left after spending, but spend what is left after saving
3 - Invest the rest in the industries that you understand
4 - Never borrow to invest
5 - Stop trying to get rich quick
6 - Never let your emotions intervene
7 - Patience pays
The rules by themselves are very easy and straightforward, however, most of us are not disciplined enough to follow.
Learn them, try them, practice them and one day you will become free!
❤️ Please, support my work with like and lovely comment !❤️
It truly helps!
Thank you!
Learn more about Indicators using the Help CenterThe Help Center is a great resource that offers a lot of information for users on all kinds of topics.
Within the Help Center is the “I’d like to learn more about indicators” page which holds a vast amount of information about built-in indicators that are offered on TradingView.
You can access the information on these indicators by following the directions above or by visiting this link:
www.tradingview.com
It is important to note that user created indicator’s and scripts are not featured here, only TradingView’s built-in indicators.
Take a look around the help center today!
Are there any other areas that you have found useful in the Help Center?
Tutorial | How To Get Real-time Futures Data Into TradingViewWhen you create an account on TradingView, you're pretty much set for realtime stock, forex, and crypto data. Want to know the price of Bitcoin or Apple? No problem. But futures data is a different animal. In this tutorial I demonstrate how to use a demo account from one of the integrated futures brokers to get futures quotes so that you can practice trading the futures markets using the trading features on TradingView.
Five Ways To Use The Multiple Chart LayoutOur multiple chart layout tool gives traders and investors an easy way to study multiple symbols or timeframes at once. In this post, we'll explain five ways to use the multiple chart layout feature to optimize your process.
Chart different timeframes
If you look closely at the charts above, you will notice that there are different timeframes for each chart. One is a daily chart, one is a weekly chart, and another is a 30-minute. The multiple chart layout makes it possible to see these different timeframes all on the same screen. If you search for trades and do research on all time horizons, this is an important feature to master.
Customize the look and feel of your layout
Every trader and investor is different in their approach. That's why it's important to have customization tools available. Each chart in the example above uses a different color gradient as its background. The chart farthest to the right is also a line chart while the other two show candlesticks. When using the multiple chart layout you can create your own custom workspace to match your individual style needs.
Diversify your indicators
The charts above also show different indicators. For example, the yellow line farthest to the left is a Moving Average while chart in the middle shows a Volume Profile and the chart on the far right shows only volume. You can add only the indicators that matter for each specific chart within your layout.
Chart different symbols at once
In the example above, we're looking at three totally different symbols, but all viewable on one screen. This way we can follow price action, study similarities, and look for ideas across different assets. It speeds up our research and is another helpful way to monitor different symbols across the market.
Sync your charts
With the click of a button you can sync the symbol, crosshair, interval, time, and drawings for all charts in your layout. To get started, click the layout button at the top of your chart and then find where it says "SYNC ON ALL CHARTS." From this menu you can select the syncs you need so that they all update instantly.
Thanks for reading and we hope you enjoyed this post! If you have any tips, suggestions or feedback to share about the multiple chart layout please write it in the comments below.
Creating Lines with ShortcutsCreating lines on a chart is one of the most fundamental methods of charting when performing technical analysis . Being able to create these effectively and quickly is a very useful skill to have.
Horizontal, Vertical and Cross lines can all be found on the drawings panel to the left of the chart in the subgroup “Trend Line Tools”. These tools can be added by selecting them from the subgroup and then placing them on the chart.
However, a more efficient method to creating these lines is to utilize the hotkey functions:
Horizontal Line Shortcut:
- Alt+H (PC), or Option+H (MAC)
Vertical Line Hotkey:
- Alt+V (PC), or Option+V (MAC)
Cross Line Hotkey:
- Alt+C (PC), or Option+C (MAC)
Becoming more efficient in your ability to draw lines on your chart will allow for quicker identification of areas of support/resistance and times on your chart.
Be sure to visit our help center to learn more about these tools!
More information on the Horizontal Line tool:
www.tradingview.com
More information on the Vertical Line tool:
www.tradingview.com
More information on the Cross Line tool:
www.tradingview.com
The Great men of the trading worldAs a trader of over 20 years, there has been a lot of trial and error. A lot of learning, it’s still continuing! I wanted to share some interesting pointers with the community;
People see charts really look deeper than that.
I regard a couple of men in trading terms as the “Greats” Would there be others you consider? Why?
Let’s start – the only order is the age (timestamp) rather than preference to their work.
Charles Henry Dow (November 6, 1851 – December 4, 1902) was an American journalist who co-founded Dow Jones & Company. Little known fact, Dow also co-founded The Wall Street Journal, which has become one of the most respected financial publications in the world. He also invented the Dow Jones Industrial Average as part of his research into market movements. This guy has his own chart.
He developed a series of principles for understanding and analyzing market behavior which later became known as Dow theory, the groundwork for technical analysis.
Dow theory explained
The Dow theory is based on the analysis of maximum and minimum market fluctuations to make accurate predictions on the direction of the market.
According to the Dow theory, the importance of these upward and downward movements is their position in relation to previous fluctuations. This method teaches investors to read a trading chart and to better understand what is happening with any asset at any given moment. With this simple analysis, even the most inexperienced can identify the context in which a financial instrument is evolving.
Furthermore, Charles Dow supported the common belief among all traders and technical analysts that an asset price and its resulting movements on a trading chart already have all necessary information already available and forecasted in order to make accurate predictions.
Based on his theory, he created the Dow Jones Industrial Index and the Dow Jones Rail Index (now known as Transportation Index), which were originally developed for the Wall Street Journal. Charles Dow created these stock indices as he believed that they would provide an accurate reflection of the economic and financial conditions of companies in two major economic sectors: the industrial and the railway (transportation) sectors.
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This is another interesting topic in it’s own right, but not for this article.
“Pride of opinion has been responsible for the downfall of more men on Wall Street than any other factor.” Charles Dow.
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Many of our modern techniques fit into Dow theory in some way, shape or form and most people do not realise this.
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R.N Elliott – Elliott waves to most
Ralph Nelson Elliott (28 July 1871 – 15 January 1948) was an American accountant and author, whose study of stock market data led him to develop the Wave Principle, a form of technical analysis that identifies trends in the financial markets. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves.
Elliott Said “The forces that cause market trends have their origin in nature and human behaviour” as well as “Forces travel in waves, as demonstrated by Galileo, newton and other scientists.”
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Wave Theory
In the early 1930s, Elliott began his systematic study of seventy-five years of stock market data, including index charts with increments ranging from yearly to half-hourly. In1938, he detailed the results of his studies by publishing his third book, The Wave Principle.
Elliott stated that, while stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers. Soon after the publication of The Wave Principle, Financial World magazine commissioned Elliott to write twelve articles (under the same title as his book) describing his new method of market forecasting.
In the early 1940s, Elliott expanded his theory to apply to all collective human behaviors. His final major work was his most comprehensive: Nature's Law –The Secret of the Universe published in June, 1946, two years before he died.
In the years after Elliott's death, other practitioners (including Charles Collins, Hamilton Bolton, Richard Russell and A.J. Frost) continued to use the wave principle and provide forecasts to investors. Frost and Robert Prechter wrote Elliott Wave Principle, published in 1978 (Prechter had come across Elliott's works while working as a market technician at Merrill Lynch; his prominence as a forecaster during the bull market of the 1980s helped bring Elliott's wave principle its greatest exposure up to that time).
I wrote a few months back an article on the application of Elliott (Click the image for the link.)
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Richard Wyckoff
This method has had a lot of popularity recently on social media and in @TradingView
Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was an early 20th-century pioneer in the technical approach to studying the stock market. He is considered one of the five “titans” of technical analysis, along with Dow, Gann, Elliott and Merrill. At age 15, he took a job as a stock runner for a New York brokerage. Afterwards, while still in his 20s, he became the head of his own firm. He also founded and, for nearly two decades wrote, and edited The Magazine of Wall Street, which, at one point, had more than 200,000 subscribers. Wyckoff was an avid student of the markets, as well as an active tape reader and trader. He observed the market activities and campaigns of the legendary stock operators of his time, including JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. From his observations and interviews with those big-time traders, Wyckoff codified the best practices of Livermore and others into laws, principles and techniques of trading methodology, money management and mental discipline.
From his position, Wyckoff observed numerous retail investors being repeatedly fleeced. Consequently, he dedicated himself to instructing the public about “the real rules of the game” as played by the large interests, or “smart money.” In the 1930s, he founded a school which would later become the Stock Market Institute. The school's central offering was a course that integrated the concepts that Wyckoff had learned about how to identify large operators' accumulation and distribution of stock with how to take positions in harmony with these big players. His time-tested insights are as valid today as they were when first articulated.
Although it seems complex – the logic still holds strong and has been seen even in recent Bitcoin moves. (click article – below) to see the types of Schematics.
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Wyckoff said “Successful tape reading is a study of Force; it requires ability to judge which side has the greatest pulling power and one must have the courage to go with that side.”
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WD Gann
William Delbert Gann (June 6, 1878 – June 18, 1955) or WD Gann, was a finance trader who developed the technical analysis methods like the Gann angles and the Master Charts, where the latter is a collective name for his various tools like the Spiral Chart (also called the Square of Nine), the Hexagon Chart, and the Circle of 360 Gann market forecasting methods are purportedly based on geometry, astronomy and astrology, and ancient mathematics. Opinions are sharply divided on the value and relevance of his work. Gann authored a number of books and courses on shares and commodities trading.
There are several techniques using Gann methodology;
Here’s one on Gann Fans
Gann said “Time is more important than price. When time is up price will reverse.”
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Another great man worth a mention, purely on these quotes 😉
If everyone is thinking alike, then no one is thinking.
Benjamin Franklin
Wyckoff would call this composite man logic!
Make yourself sheep and the wolves will eat you.
Benjamin Franklin
And this is how I feel the crypto market is currently looking.
Any others you think should be on the list, mention in comments and why?
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Key Patterns Of Price ActionKey patterns of price action.
Below I will describe several key patterns, but on the diagrams you can see the analysis from a technical point of view.
And also please pay attention to the rules, which I do not advise to ignore.
The Cup with a handle pattern is formed according to the following logic:
- On an upward movement, the bulls cannot push through the next resistance level , a correction begins. It is undesirable that there were impulses during a rollback, a moderate downward movement should be observed;
-By basic rules, the bottom of the cup should be formed in the area of correction levels. A deeper rollback is allowed in modified models. In case of a deep correction after entering the market, the position is transferred to breakeven as soon as possible, the probability of the trend continuation is lower, it is better to insure;
Double bottom
It all starts with the formation of a new low on a downtrend, after which a rollback against the trend occurs.
Then, the price goes down again and rests against the previous low. And finally, after pushing off from this level, an upward movement begins, which breaks through the level of the previous local maximum. It is after the breakout of this level (confirmation line) that the final formation of the 'Double Bottom' occurs and you can start buying.
The same is with a reversal in an upward market. After the first high, the price should fall by at least 10%. Otherwise, it will mean that the bears are not strong enough.
Saucer
Let's start with the shape of the figure. Contrary to its name, the correct shape of the 'Saucer' figure rather resembles a bowl.
As you can see, the figure is formed by a smooth price movement along a parabolic trajectory. The first half of the figure (the left side of the saucer) is a smooth descent from the edge of the saucer to its bottom. The second half of the figure (the right side of the saucer) is the same smooth rise from the bottom to the edge. Ideally, the second half should be a mirror image of the first. And the bottom should in no case be sharp .
The classic 'Saucer' is formed, as a rule, on large timeframes from D1. But you can also find him on H1.
Flat base
In trading, the term flat means an area on the chart, without a clearly defined direction of price movement, that is, a trend. In other words, flat is the opposite of a trend.
Misc Rules
-all BP = 10 pips
-ideal prior uptrend >30%
-for wks abv avg vol: #up>#down
-up 20% for new base
- undercut base resets base count
- 66% or 3rd stage base fails
- 80% of 4th stage base fails
- in base bottom look for
- shakeout
- tight closes
- volume dryout
- accumulation
And the winner is...Trading is not easy and we created TradingClue to challenge people in a similar way. We had tons of interest with over half a million views of the first clue, but by the end only 2,200 people were able navigate their way around twists, turns, and ciphers to the final answer. Thank you to all who entered, we hope you enjoyed it as much as we did!
From the pool of correct entries we’ve drawn a winner completely at random, we’ve double and triple checked to ensure their entry followed our terms & conditions, and the winner is…
wycoffe
Huge congratulations to wycoffe, who was one of the many who correctly solved the clues and found that the final answer was TOTHEMOON! Please join us in giving a round of applause. 👏👏👏
wycoffe claims an ultimate trading pack, including:
• A stunning Dell XPS 15 laptop
• An amazing 49” curved Samsung monitor
• A luxury Secretlab OMEGA trading chair
• 5 years’ free Premium TradingView access
• And of course the TradingView Mug
Firsts get prizes!
Well done to all who entered, especially to those first off the mark with their correct answers. These were the first 5 people to submit the correct answer:
lg389
idontbelieveinthis
superblue87
sinu0us
IBox22
They each win a highly coveted TradingView mug and lg389 also wins 6 month’s Premium access for being the very first to answer correctly! That deserves some recognition.
Where were the clues?!
As we said, the very first clue was hidden on the BTCUSD Timeline . Did you spot it? We had lots of guesses, from interpreting chart patterns to listing the latest news, but the clue was hidden on December 4, 2019. It read:
It's not an orange it's an... Ah, so you found the first one. Now go have a look at your favorite fruit-related symbol to continue your journey.
What could this mean? Only one thing, surely - head over to the Apple symbol page and hunt there!
The next clue was indeed on the Apple Timeline , but now hidden further back in time - 20 years to the day from the launch of the competition on May 25 2001. Many of you noticed the entry " Apple developer creates Bitcoin " wasn’t real, but it also revealed the next clue:
Apple developer creates Bitcoin... Well done, you spotted something wasn’t right with this entry – great detective work. So are you ready for our final one? We HOPE you find it.
Hope? What does that mean? Well, if you searched for the ticker HOPE on TradingView , you got to the last stage, the HOPE BANCORP page. Hidden on the Timeline here was the final clue:
You’re so close... There’s just one step left: solve this: Dsap kcci! Avt eugliy wh: XVHWITCDR. Submit your final answer here. Good luck and remember, a little hope still goes a long way.
Many of you worked it out - but how? The answer was a scrambled bunch of letters that needed decoding. This is where you needed to think outside the box and try some creative ways to unscramble the code... like a cipher. Yep, we used the Vigenere cipher to scramble up the answer. But perhaps many of you missed the final bit of the clue. You needed to use the word HOPE as the key to decode the message. Luckily there are plenty of websites around that should have helped you out!
The final message read:
Well done! The answer is: TOTHEMOON
Congrats to everyone who got that far! And don’t worry, we counted everyone who entered a variation of TOTHEMOON in the prize draw.
Did you enjoy Trading Clue?
We hope you did! It was great to see the TradingView community coming together to help and meet each other! Would you like to see more events like this? Let us know in the comments below or share some general feedback with us.
We’ve got plenty more exciting events coming up very soon. What would you like to see next?
MARKET CYCLES PSYCHOLOGY | EMOTIONS & COGNITIVE BIASES
All markets go through cycles of expansion and contraction.
📈When a market is in an expansion phase (an uptrend), there is a sentiment of optimism, belief, and greed. Typically, these are the main emotions that lead to a strong buying activity.
Sometimes, a strong sense of greed and belief overtakes the market in such a way that a financial bubble can form. In such a scenario, many investors become irrational, losing sight of the actual value and buying an asset only because they believe the market will continue to rise.
They get greedy and irrational by the impressive bullish movement, expecting to make huge profits. As the market gets heavily overbought, the local top is created. In general, this is considered to be the point of the highest risk.
In some cases, the market will start a sideways movement while smart money steadily sells the asset. This is also called the distribution stage. However, some markets don't present a clear distribution stage, and the downtrend starts sharply after the top is reached.
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
📉 When the market starts reversing, the euphoric mood can quickly turn into complacency, as many traders refuse to admit that the uptrend came to an end. As prices continue to fall, the market sentiment quickly moves to the bearish side. It often includes feelings of anxiety, denial, and panic.
In this context, by the anxiety we mean the moment when bullish biased market participants start to question why the price is falling, which soon leads to the denial stage. The denial period is marked by a sense of unacceptance. Many investors keep holding their losing positions, either because "it's too late to sell" or because they want still believe that "the market will come back soon."
But as the prices drop even lower, the selling wave gets stronger. At this point, fear and panic often lead to what is called a market capitulation (when holders give up and sell their assets close to the local bottom).
Eventually, the downtrend stops as the volatility decreases and the market stabilizes. Typically, the market experiences sideways movements before feelings of hope and optimism start arising again. Such a sideways period is called the accumulation stage.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
Using the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)MACD – What it is
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is the momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two different moving averages:
1. The 12 period exponential moving average – On Tradingview it is the Fast Length.
2. The 26 periods exponential moving average –On Tradingview it is the Slow Length.
The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26 period EMA from the 12 period EMA.
The Signal line is the 9 period exponential moving average.
These two lines are then plotted on top of each other. These are the two lines you see when you turn on the MACD indicator.
Additionally, there is a histogram that shows the distance between the two lines. Larger bars tell us that the MACD and Signal are further apart.
When it comes to candles, size matters. The larger the candle the more momentum the trend has.
The histogram will turn green when the MACD line is above 0 (bullish) and it will turn red when the MACD line is below 0 (bearish).
Very bearish momentum is shown above. Photo was taken May 23, 2021.
How to use the MACD
The most important thing to know about the MACD is how to read the relationship between the two lines.
I’ve found that the best timeframe to use the MACD with is daily. This is because the MACD is a lagging indicator and using daily data prevents a lot (not all) of false buy and sell signals.
These signals are:
• When the MACD line crosses above the signal line it is a buy signal
• When the MACD line crosses below the signal line it is a sell signal
Additionally, it is best to use the MACD in a trending market; a market with a clearly defined up or down trend.
Using the MACD with trend lines is a very powerful combination.
The reason for this is that if the market is moving sideways, you can see small fluctuations where the MACD and Signal Line cross but the price does not really go anywhere. These are false breakouts.
Therefore, these signals are not automatic buys and sells.
There are ways of confirming the indications from the MACD chart.
One way is a strategy that uses the RSI and MACD together (which is beyond the scope of this text, but I will discuss in my next article).
Another way is to use the MACD with the current trend. So, if you are in an uptrend and then you see a bullish cross, then this is confirmation that you are likely to go higher.
The same is true in reverse.
Also, please note that the cross over happens well after the price either stabilizes or rises. Again, this is because the MACD is a lagging indicator.
Leading Indicator?
Since the MACD and Signal lines are lagging indicators is there something that can be used in a predictive way?
Some traders use the histogram as a way to predict when a reversal will occur.
Since the MACD is a momentum indicator it can show us when sell pressure is alleviating. Meaning it might be a good time to buy.
This doesn’t always work of course, but with good risk management (stop losses) you can often get into a position well before its breakout.
Conversely, it can show you when your long position is running out of steam and can warn you when to get out.
MACD Divergence
Another useful way to use the MACD is to spot divergences.
A bullish divergence, very similar to the RSI, is when the short-term price trend is going down but, the MACD is going up.
Bearish divergence, also very similar to the RSI, is when the price trend is going up but, the MACD is going down.
Trading this way is sometimes not a good idea because you are trading against the trend. Please practice good risk management if you are trading reversals.
Also, notice the buy signal right before the sell signal that is circled. I really want to hammer home the point that the signals are not automatic buys and sells.
Price action is a great way to confirm the reversal (to the up or down side) of a trend. Because simply spotting a divergence does not guarantee the price will follow.
Final thoughts
As you can see there are different ways of successfully using the MACD. I hope I’ve made a few of these ways clear in this beginner guide.
Please let me know if you have any questions and if you like it, please hit the thumbs up and be sure to follow for more.
Links to my Fibonacci Retracement and RSI guides are below.
Thanks for reading!