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SOUTH AFRICAN RAND / U.S. DOLLAR

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ZARUSD trade ideas

USD/ZAR's Explosive Journey Will You Miss the Next Big Move?Narrative Overview USD/ZAR is pushing higher into a critical Wave 5 expansion. The pair is now heading toward significant Fibonacci resistance levels with momentum on its side. Traders should focus on opportunities to position for Wave 5 completion, while watching key invalidation points to manage risk. Key Levels to Trade the Wave 5 Upside Immediate Targets for Wave 5: 22.25 (1.618 Fibonacci – Diagonal Wave 5): This is the primary target for Wave 5 completion. Price is expected to approach this level with strong momentum, providing a key area to secure profits or tighten stops. 24.35 (2.0 Fibonacci – Extended Wave 5): If bullish momentum is sustained, this is the next high-probability target. However, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases beyond this level. Support Zones for Continuation: 19.34 (Inducement Wave 3 Resistance): Price may retest this zone as support if there’s a pullback before the final push into Wave 5. Holding above here confirms strength. 14.40 (Wave 4 Support – 0.382 Fibonacci): This is a major structural support that must not be broken. As long as price stays above this zone, the bullish structure remains valid. Bullish Invalidation Levels: 11.35 (0.618 Fibonacci): If price falls below this level, the Wave 5 structure is invalidated, signaling a potential long-term bearish reversal. Core Outlook: Trading Wave 5 Upside Primary Scenario – Bullish Expansion: Price is expected to continue its advance toward 22.25 and potentially extend to 24.35. Momentum will likely remain strong unless a significant correction breaks key support zones. Pullback Opportunity: Any retracement to 19.34 or 14.40 could offer an opportunity to enter long positions for the final Wave 5 push. Action Plan for Traders Enter Long Positions: Look for pullbacks into support levels (19.34 or as deep as 14.40) to build positions for the Wave 5 push. Target 22.25, with an extended target at 24.35 for an overextension scenario. Manage Risk: Place stop losses below 14.40, as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish Wave 5 outlook. Monitor price action closely near 22.25 for signs of exhaustion or reversal. Key Themes to Highlight Wave 5 in Play: USD/ZAR is completing its final bullish impulse, targeting 22.25–24.35 as a significant area of resistance. Pullback = Opportunity: Any corrections to support levels are potential buy zones to ride the final leg of this bullish move. Risk Management: Protect positions below 14.40, as this marks the structural foundation for the current bullish trend.
Long
by spaceangel
USDZAR Neutral at 18.4Hi there, This is how the USD/ZAR looks like on the 1-hour chart, having encountered a resistance area at 18.4. It’s possible that it could push higher, but there are interesting levels that might pull the price lower. The levels of 18.1 and 17.7 are such areas to watch, and there is a possibility that the price may plummet down to 17.3. Overall, the trend is neutral at the current price, which is near a resistance area. Happy Trading, K. Not trading advice
Short
by Khiwe
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY 3 hourly chart GANN SQRThe GANN suqare is useful to identify potential movements, and the pair seems established inside a wider range. We have to be careful, as upside potential is there and we already have seen the movements yesterday from highs 18.1800 and low 17.9750 area. I feel GOLD is heavily overbought short-term, and yes, we are aware of the potential Ukrain escalations, but then again, GOLD buyers are accessing it only and its clear market is LONG GOLD and prone to sharp decline. Strategy BUY @ 18.0350-18.0700 and take profit near 18.3750 for now.
Long
by peterbokma
6
Potential bullish rise?USD/ZAR has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 17.9840 1st Support: 17.8118 1st Resistance: 18.3280 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12 hourly The pair has been moving between 18.1400 - 18.3990 and the battle is ongoing. The key GOLD movement, and with the belief that GOLD will correct, the same applies for this pair. technically we should see recovery lower and test 18.0300 GANN support. I feel that we may see touching 17.9350 at some point in time. Strategy SELL @ 18.2350-18.2750 when seen, or adjust to your view point. Profit order place at 18.0350 or wait for 17.9150 - 17.9350 area. The 18.0300 touching will attrack a bounce first before breaking down I feel.
Short
by peterbokma
4
USDZAR-SELL strategy 9-hourly chartConsidering the USDX and also the shape of the pair's pattern, likely we are dealing with a "false bull flag" pattern. This usually is a bearish pattern, and with patience we will see the pair around 17.8750 again. Yesterday's idea worked well, as long one took profits. The markets are USD bullish, and GOLD has been under severe attack as well, being liquidated, as I feel was logically based on the overbought status of the weekly chart. Strategy SELL @ 18.2650-18.3000 and take profit near 18.0450 for now.
Short
by peterbokma
USDZAR BULLISHWassup Traders! See my analysis on USDZAR 1. Weekly Chart Price made a strong breakout of a bearish weekly trendline and on its way to the enxt weekly bearish trendline 2. Daily Chart After breakout we need to go down to lower time frames to look for trade opportunity since the bias is bullish 3. 1H Chart Price made a ABC correction after breaking the long bearish trendline and therefore we enter by trades targeting level 18.54000 area and SL just below point C(17.98000 area) of the correction
Long
by Sandro_AK
USD/ZAR choose your bets - Up or Down? Sadly I say up to R20 :( USD/ZAR has remained in a symmetrical triangle since January 2023. This is a consolidation period of neither winning between the buyers and the sellers. But we are now approaching the apex 3/4s. And a breakout is imminent. NOw if we look at the pattern, it has a bullish flag pole which is favourable for the bulls to take the USD up to R20.00 against the ZAR. I hope we broken down below the support which will take it to R16.00. And I hope I am wrong that it will be going to R20,00. But unfortunately, I can't be biased and it looks like the next target above the resistance will be R20.00.
Long
by Timonrosso
1
USDZAR-SELL strategy 6-hourly Overall the USD is overvalued right now, and corrections will happen short-term is my believe. This is not to say we should be prudent and use proper disciplines, and markets always are erratic, and when wrong we should re-access the market levels and conditions. The pair had a strong run up for for good reasons, but it is overbought since we touched 18.00 area, and we even climbed strongly near 18.1800. Depending to the trading strategy, we cam carefully build up shorts with low leverage to manage the storm. I feel we have a high stochastic, and overbought RSI and high up into the BB as well. Strategy SELL @ 18.1100-18.1600 or better, and take profit near 17.7850 for now. The lower end Ichimoku is 17.6500 area (where breakout happened).
Short
by peterbokma
USDZAR moving up fast & breaking out with USD strength I mentioned in a publication today during the Asia session about how I see the continuation of the US-Dollar to continue to power and move through 106 soon like a knife through melting butter. This is a big reclaim its making on the Poland currency. I bought in recently as it crossed the 200EMA on the daily. The weekly chart price is powering up a double-top. It will break through this level, USD is gaining so much momentum and it looks to remain that way for the foreseeable future in my opinion. Gold under so much pressure despite still in a bull-run, lower prices to ensue this week for Gold. Cryptocurrency and the USD$ to power on. DYOR. These are solely my opinions. I formulate these ideas from charts and price history. I pick a direction. Last Friday I publicly announced here on TV that Gold and Silver would slide in a bigger way this week. It's happening and it will continue to happen because as I mention above, the USD$ is continuing its breakout over 106 soon. Cheers, Chris Daily chart below:
Long
by Easy_Explosive_Trading