Gold Sell at market priceDear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD (Before journal)Since gold is not considered to have reached the lower demand zone, I think it will cover today's low. The main thing is that there are no conditions to enter the trade at the moment, so I will wait until I need to enter when I test the possible upper point. I think this will be during the New York kill zone.
$2800- $3000: how does gold hold steady amid global uncertainty?Gold has once again emerged as a focal point in global financial markets, gaining significant attention from investors amidst economic instability and geopolitical tensions. In 2024, the price of gold increased by over 28%, reaffirming its role as a reliable asset for capital preservation during uncertain times. Below, we explore the primary factors influencing gold prices, investment strategies, and future prospects for this precious metal.
What Drives Gold Prices?
1. Geopolitical Tensions as a Catalyst:
Political and military conflicts , such as those in the Middle East, amplify the appeal of gold as a "safe haven."
During periods of uncertainty, gold becomes a hedge against shocks in the global economy, prompting higher demand from both individual investors and institutions.
2. Impact of U.S. Federal Reserve Policy:
The Federal Reserve's monetary decisions significantly influence gold prices.
The current economic environment, shaped by pressure for lower interest rates, benefits gold as an asset class.
Under the influence of a potentially “dovish” U.S. administration, expectations of sustained inflation and reduced rates create a favorable backdrop for gold.
3. Increased Central Bank Purchases:
Central banks worldwide have been actively boosting their gold reserves.
Gold serves as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations, particularly for economies in regions like India and the Middle East, where the metal holds cultural and financial significance.
Investment Opportunities in Gold
Investing in gold offers diverse options, each catering to different risk appetites and levels of expertise:
• Gold ETFs:
Exchange-traded funds are an accessible entry point for novice investors due to their simplicity and low barriers to entry.
These funds allow investors to gain exposure to gold without the complexities of physical ownership.
• Shares of Gold Mining Companies:
Stocks in companies like Newmont (USA), Barrick Gold (Canada), and Freeport-McMoRan (USA) offer potential for higher returns compared to direct gold investments.
However, they come with added risks due to market volatility and company-specific factors.
• Gold Futures:
Futures contracts enable investors to lock in prices and mitigate volatility.
This strategy is best suited for experienced investors who understand market dynamics and risk management.
Outlook for 2025
The combination of geopolitical instability, high inflation, and low interest rates sets the stage for continued growth in gold prices. Over the next six months, gold prices are projected to reach $2800 per ounce. While crossing the $3000 mark may seem overly optimistic, it remains a possibility under certain geopolitical scenarios.
As global economic uncertainties persist, gold's role as a stable and reliable investment is likely to strengthen, ensuring its continued relevance in diversified portfolios.
NYSE:NEM
TSX:ABX
NYSE:FCX
Gold is on Retracement As we were expecting that gold will be fall on Fomc but we're expecting that market have to retest and cover the upper gap of 2660 area.
For today what we have?
Here we have mentioned the area.of watching if the h4 candle closes above it then we'll took bullish trade.
On the other hand ,current H4 candle turns REd means candle gives closing below then we'll expect market will be bearish.
XAU/USD 19 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLDThe gold price dropped today due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish cut, which sent investors seeking safety into the US Dollar, outpacing demand for gold. As a result, gold fell towards $2,600 and below.. This move was anticipated, as the market had priced in a hawkish cut, and the focus is now on the Fed's expectations for 2025, which suggest fewer interest rate cuts.
The drop in gold price is also attributed to the strengthening US Dollar, which is trading near its weekly highs against most major rivals. Additionally, the technical indicators are neutral-to-bearish, developing around their midlines and failing to provide clear directional clues.
On dxy rally AUDUSD,USDJPY,EURUSD,USDCAD,GBPUSD will have a change in directional clues
XAUUSDWeekly it building a HS
Daily we broke today the uptrend since the start of the year, now we must retest the broken trendline and reject if this happens, I gonna drop allof 2025.
Fluctuations in the box and then liquidity of prices and declineOANDA:XAUUSD
It is a personal analysis.Fluctuations in the box and then liquidity of prices and decline
Sell on GoldspotSell on Goldspot
I entered sell oN XAUUSD upon confirmation of Break of structure.
Trade is fully confirmed for a sell
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30
$: 55 62 68
TRADING STRATEGY FOR DECEMBER 18 XAUUSDGold prices fell on December 17 due to:
Stronger USD (+0.1%), making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Higher 10-year bond yields, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Key Takeaways from the Fed:
A 0.25% rate cut is expected on December 18, but the likelihood of further cuts in January 2025 remains low (only 18%).
US Economic Impact:
November retail sales exceeded expectations, fueling inflation concerns. This suggests the Fed may pause further rate cuts in January 2025.
Gold is strongly supported by important economic data this week. From a technical perspective, after recent sharp declines, gold has shown signs of reversal from the 2633.xx resistance area, rebounding toward 2650.xx.
Today's Main Trend: Focus on long-term buy opportunities at strong sell points. Use sell scalping strategies and observe reactions to trade more effectively.
INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2661 - 2663
Stop Loss (SL): 2666
Take Profit (TP): 2655
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 2634 - 2632
SL: 2629
TP: 2640
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2618 - 2620
SL: 2615
TP: ???
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2672 - 2674
SL : 2677
TP: 2664
DAILY ANALYSIS - XAUUSD (WED, 18th DECEMBER 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News:
-FOMC Statement
Analysis:
-Strong rejection on previous daily
-High probability on rate cut
-Looking for BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2630
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy
CHART BREAKDOWN XAUUSD: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential demand zones: low-risk buy zones spanning from 2635.00 to 2640.50, respectively, is highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Demand Zone🟢: Identified between 2635.00 and 2640.50 serving as a low-risk buy.
Bullish Targets📈:
2660.00: Possible retracement area.
2670.00: Possible retracement area.
2690.00: Possible retracement area.
2710.00: Possible retracement area.
2690.00: Significant supply zone.
2710.00: Significant supply zone.
2725.00: Liquidity area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
XAUUSD Buy To Sell ScenarioThis trading setup is based on the a$$umption that price is creating a bearish flag pattern. In that case, price should rise from here, 2652 towards 2679 and the drop from that resistance.
Gold Sell Limit OrderLet's try this two zone as our entry.
Please consider the risk management.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold and silver have corrected to the first targetsHey traders and investors!
Gold and silver prices have reached the buyer's interest zones: 2650-2627 for gold and 30.3165 for silver.
Let’s see if the buyer is strong at these levels or if the price will continue to decline.
A deeper correction would be preferable. Detailed analysis in related posts.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Monthly view of Gold. A crash from April 2025 - Aug 2027Taking a step back on Gold, we can see how it clearly has been trading within an ascending triangle for many years, often finding resistance and support where we would expect to see it such as on the upper and lower trend lines, as well as the channels equilibrium line in the centre.
Currently Gold remains in the lower half of this trend, and it has room to the upside, or downside (since it currently sits near resistance - the channels equilibrium - ), buying is a risk).
If we take a look at the previous bull run which occurred Aug 2018-Aug 2020, Gold seen a $1,000 change in price during this time, moving from $1,000 to $2,000 per ounce, psychologically both being key levels. Those two levels also imply that Gold achieved a -1 Fibonacci extension from the previous move.
Taking the above into account, and also drawing over the previous moves using with arrow drawings, copying and replacing over the anticipated future direction (starting from the lowest point of the current bull run $1,600, the 50% retracement level in Oct 2022) this too gives us yet another confluence, another perfect line up with regards to all the other analytical reasons why Gold should hit $3,000 and then fall.
We will take a look on a closer more relevant timeframe so we can see what will happen in the coming weeks. Take a look below:
XAUUSD - Gold went below $2700!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. In case of valid failure of the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zones.
Gold demonstrated a strong performance earlier last week, surging nearly $100 from its weekly low and sparking fresh optimism among traders. However, higher-than-expected inflation data and a stronger U.S. dollar reversed the market dynamics, putting renewed selling pressure on precious metals.
The latest weekly Kitco survey revealed that industry analysts are evenly split between bullish and bearish views, with a notable portion of respondents adopting a neutral stance. Meanwhile, retail traders’ optimism for gold remained unchanged compared to the previous week.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, stated, “Gold saw an $85 rally in the first three days of the week, likely driven by reports of China’s central bank (PBOC) adding gold to its reserves for the first time in months. The metal reached $2,726 per ounce on the spot market on Thursday, marking its highest level in over a month, but then turned downward.”
He further added, “Some analysts attributed the price decline to stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Nonetheless, gold ended the week on a positive note, breaking its two-week losing streak.”
Chandler also noted, “Since late October, this marks only the second positive week for gold. A cautious approach by the Federal Reserve to rate cuts—indicating that rates will be reduced but further cuts are unlikely next year, with a potential halt to tightening policies in early 2025—could pave the way for another test of the $2,600 level.”
This week, the Federal Reserve is set to hold a two-day policy meeting, with monetary decisions expected to be announced on Wednesday. The central bank is anticipated to reduce the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Additionally, the Fed will release its updated “Summary of Economic Projections,” known as the dot plot.
In September, the median Fed officials’ projection for interest rates by the end of 2025 stood at 3.4%. If this forecast is revised down by more than 1%, the U.S. dollar could face immediate downward pressure. In such a scenario, U.S. Treasury yields may decline, boosting gold prices.
Market participants will also closely monitor remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Should Powell strike a cautious tone regarding further monetary easing and emphasize a gradual approach, the dollar may maintain its strength against its rivals. Conversely, if he raises concerns about declining labor market conditions and their potential adverse impact on economic growth, the dollar could come under selling pressure.
Additionally, on Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revision of Q3 GDP data, and on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for November will be published.
Market reactions to the PCE inflation report are likely to remain muted after the Fed’s announcement.
According to Bloomberg, Wall Street is shifting its outlook on the U.S. dollar, as Trump’s policies and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in the latter half of 2025 could weigh on the greenback. Analysts from Morgan Stanley to JPMorgan predict that the global reserve currency will peak by mid-2025 and then begin to decline. Société Générale also forecasts a 6% drop in the U.S. Dollar Index by the end of next year.
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Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
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GOLD LINE CHARTpatients is key and critical, allow Monday pass bye and start gold trading on Tuesday for clear directional bias.
on technical we have sell impulse leg ,which proves aggressive sell order at 2726-2721.
at 2730 and 32 price might start buying which will invalidate sell projection.
keep off come and come back Tuesday
Gold Next MoveI am short biased on gold for the coming week. interested to see market show reasonable downside movement.
Likely, price is expected to revisit and respect the recent daily IFVG and reverse lower raiding downside liquidity.
