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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

1216 Weekly outlook GOLDHello traders, December highlights, the last heavyweight data week before Christmas, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates! The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic projections this Thursday (03:00), followed by a press conference at 03:30 led by Chairman Powell. Currently, market consensus indicates a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on December 17-18. Importantly, the market expects that after this rate cut, the Fed may begin to pause rate cuts in early 2025. Therefore, Powell's remarks and the latest economic forecasts will be very significant, as the Fed may slow down the pace of rate cuts. With this trend expectation, the inverse correlation of a weakening gold and strengthening dollar has already re-emerged. The latest daily chart of gold compared to the dollar shows that the dollar has consistently remained above the daily EMA and is currently in a consolidation phase, poised for an upward move. Gold is supplemented with this latest daily chart from Monday, which shows a double-top bearish pattern. Currently, the bears are dominant, and the daily candlestick chart is running below the EMA. Scott Rubner, a senior capital flow expert at Goldman Sachs, may provide some insights into capital flows before Christmas: First, the impact of global, especially the Federal Reserve's, interest rate cut expectations. With the market generally expecting a 97% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's December meeting, this could stimulate investors' risk appetite. Rate cuts usually mean lower borrowing costs, which promotes consumption and investment, thereby driving up the stock market. Second, the so-called annual "Santa Claus rally." The "Santa Claus rally" refers to the seasonal rise in the market at the end of each year, driven by holiday spirit and investor optimism. If the market's expectations for rate cuts are confirmed, there is indeed a higher likelihood that the S&P 500 index will rebound in the last few trading days of 2024. Third, the impact of year-end corporate buyback plans on market capital flows. Corporate stock buybacks are an effective means of driving up stock prices. When companies announce large-scale buyback plans, the market usually interprets this as confidence in the company's prospects, which also boosts investor confidence. It is reported that U.S. companies have approved stock buybacks worth $1 trillion by 2025, which could also drive the stock market significantly higher! As risk assets strengthen, investors' risk appetite typically increases. Gold does not generate interest or dividends, so the opportunity cost of holding gold rises. Investors are likely to prefer allocating funds to higher-risk, higher-return assets like stocks rather than traditional safe-haven assets like gold. A weakening of gold before 2025 is highly probable. **Gold** The bullish plan for gold laid out before last Thursday has completed its trading plan, with all profit targets reached. The trading plan from last Thursday aimed to continue the previous upward trend, looking for new bullish entry opportunities. 2690 was identified as a support level for entering long positions, but it became a resistance area on Friday. After no bullish entry signals appeared on the 1-hour chart on Thursday, the updated trading plan based on the latest 4-hour chart is as follows: **Friday 4-hour chart trading plan:** Before the U.S. market opens, look for 1-hour entry signals to short gold. TP1: 2648 TP2: 2618 TP3: 2575 Currently, the first target of 2648 has been reached; it is best to move the stop loss to the entry position and continue holding the short position. Considering the above 4-hour chart, wait for new consolidation signals; before this week's critical data and time points, gold will likely continue to decline, so patience is key! GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold on the Rise: Is $2700 Within Reach?Hey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:XAUUSD Return to the $2700 Territory? Let’s Dive In... In the H4 timeframe, Gold rebounded decisively above the 0.618 Golden Ratio Fibonacci level, marking the end of the minor correction within the broader bullish trend in the Daily timeframe. This move laid the foundation for a bullish flag pattern to emerge. The breakout from the flag pattern was confirmed with the formation of two bullish Marubozu candlesticks. At the same time, the MACD indicator signaled a bullish crossover, adding further confidence to the case for continued upward momentum. Given these strong technical signals, I foresee an upward movement toward the first target at 2715.097. Upon reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally gains traction again, pushing toward the second target at 2758.970. However, this bullish outlook hinges on the price maintaining support above the critical stop-loss level at 2613.372. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold".
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and StrategiesGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2627, support below 2583 Four-hour resistance 2627, support below 2600 Gold operation suggestions: On Thursday, gold rose from 2583 to 2626, rebounding 43 dollars, just touching the area near the daily short-term moving average MA5 and falling to 2586. The ups and downs made it difficult for investors to see the market clearly. Yesterday, the gold price maintained a wide range of long and short shocks and closed weakly below 2600. Today's idea is to continue to be bearish and continue to sell on rebounds. For European and American market operations, the 5-day moving average of the daily line is at 2614, and the strong resistance is at yesterday's high point 2626. The current price is 2605. Don't rush to enter the short position for the time being. SELL2626near SELL2614near BUY:2600near BUY:2583near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD: 17/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627 Four-hour resistance 2673, support below 2627 Gold operation suggestions: Gold is currently in a volatile situation. As for the current trend, the two consecutive days of retreat last week have basically destroyed the previous upward trend. The daily short-term moving average has also formed a suppression pattern. The previous support level is also likely to be converted into top pressure, forming a suppression effect. In terms of operation, it is still treated as a rebound short. From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance continues to focus on the NY market high of 2662 last Friday. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. Pay attention to the short-term support of 2640 below, and focus on the support of 2627. BUY:2645near BUY:2627near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Gold price recovers further from one-month low, climbs to $2,620 amid risk-off mood Gold price attracts some haven flows in the wake of the post-FOMC sell-off in the equity markets. The Fed’s hawkish outlook lifts the US bond yields to a multi-month high and might the XAU/USD. Traders now look to the US Q3 GDP print for some impetus ahead of the US PCE data on FridayFrom a technical perspective, the overnight close below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), for the first time since October 2023, and the $2,600 mark was seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction and suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price remains to the downside. Meanwhile, Thursday's attempted recovery stalls near the $2,618 region, or the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the latest leg down from over a one-month high touched last week. The said area should now act as a pivotal point, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering could lift the XAU/USD towards the $2,635 area, or the 38.2% Fibo., en route to 50% retracement level, around the $2,655-2,656 supply zoneGold price (XAU/USD) builds on its goodish intraday recovery from a one-month low and climbs to a fresh daily high, around the $2,622 area during the early part of the European session on Thursday. The global risk sentiment took a turn for the worse in reaction to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish cut on Wednesday. This, along with geopolitical risks and trade war fears, turn out to be key factors driving haven flows towards the precious metal. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is seen consolidating the previous day's post-FOMC gains to a two-year top and does little to provide any impetus to the Gold price. That said, the Fed's signal that it would slow the pace of interest rate cuts continues to lift the US Treasury bond yields and acts as a tailwind for the buck. This, in turn, might keep a lid on any further gains for the non-yielding yellow metal and warrants some caution for bullish traders
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
Gold Next MoveIn my previous set, as i said i will take long trade at the price 2643 and our sl was 2630, it was running 200 pips and changed the trend into bearish so that i took short trade in fomc and Alhamdulillah got it. Now trend is bearish, i will take short position. Timeframe : D1 support broke + trendline broke H4 demand broke + failed eng H1 demand broke + bearish eng D1 has broke the support and has broke trendline, H4 has broke demand zone and has failed engulfing, H1 has demand zone broke and has bearish engulfing. Entry : I will take entry according to H1 TF, entry point is 2639 above the bearish engulfing. Stop loss 2661 and target is 2561.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Zayn_Muaath
ANNUAL CLOSING PREDICTION🌟 XAU/USD Gold Forecast - Monday, December 16, 2024 🌟 Gold (XAU/USD) is heading into Monday with a bullish outlook but faces key resistance at $2,765. A breakout above this level could propel prices higher, aligning with the current uptrend. However, if resistance holds, we might see a correction towards the strong support zone at $2,545. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $2,765 – A critical ceiling for upward movement. Support: $2,545 – A safety net for price drops. 📈 Market Sentiment: Gold’s momentum remains positive, supported by ongoing economic uncertainties. But keep an eye on potential short-term pullbacks if buyers hesitate at resistance levels. 📅 Week Ahead: Gold remains a top safe-haven asset amidst fluctuating market conditions. Watch for breakout opportunities as the trend develops. Stay tuned for updates and live action on XAU/USD throughout the week! Anticipates gold prices reaching $2,500 per ounce by year-end, assuming a Federal Reserve rate cut
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TREXTROFX
XAUUSD H4 I Bearish ReversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2675.12, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 2639.87, an overlap support level close to the 78.6% Fibo retracement The stop loss will be at 2726.06, a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM