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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar

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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go? XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
FX:XAUUSD
by MarketAnalyzar
Gold Spot Temporary Bullish Move Followed by a Major CorrectionDescription: Based on the current technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD), the price is expected to make a temporary bullish move (minor wave) before entering a major bearish correction toward key support levels. Key Observations: 1.Temporary Upside: The price is anticipated to rise toward the resistance level around $2,790, completing the minor bullish wave (marked in purple on the chart). 2.Major Downside: After hitting the resistance, the price is likely to reverse and begin a significant bearish correction, targeting the key support zone near $2,520. This area aligns with previous price clusters and important technical levels. 3.Overall Outlook: The bearish correction could provide a solid opportunity for long-term traders to enter buy positions, as Gold is expected to resume its bullish trend after reaching the support zone. Strategy: •Short-Term: Traders may look for buy opportunities during the initial upward move toward $2,790. •Long-Term: Traders can prepare for buy positions near the $2,520 support level for the next bullish wave. This analysis is based on current market conditions and technical setups. Updates will follow as new data becomes available. Feel free to share your thoughts or ask questions!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HamedAbooali
1
GOLD → False Breakout And Negative Fundamental BackgroundBINANCE:BTCUSD is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. This is also supported by negative fundamentals. Will there be a pullback or will the decline continue? Optimism over China's economic stimulus is waning amid growing fears of a trade war between the US and China. Expectations of a hawkish Fed interest rate next week helped boost the US dollar, leading to a corrective decline in the gold price.Markets now believe the Fed may send a hawkish signal by signaling a pause in January after PPI came in higher than expected Technically gold is still inside the channel, consolidation continues. Focus on 2658-2660 support, below which there is a huge pool of liquidity that may not let the price down on the first try Resistance levels: 2675, 2682, 2699 Support levels: 2658, 2636 From the support 2658 may form a correction from which will depend on the further development of events: if the correction will be small and the price will quickly return to 2658, it will increase the chances of support breakout and further fall, for example, to 2636. But, if gold can consolidate above 2682 and consolidate above the local high, the price may head for a retest of the high
FX:XAUUSD
by MarketAnalyzar
Gold Analysis - December 2024Gold maintains its bullish momentum, trading above $2,660 per ounce due to optimism surrounding new economic stimulus from China and a weakening US Dollar, which enhance the appeal of the precious metal. During American trading hours, spot gold reached an intraday high of $2,667.31, reflecting sustained demand after the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) resumed gold purchases following a six-month hiatus. This aligns with a macroeconomic context that favors safe-haven assets. News of Chinese stimulus has improved sentiment for gold, with China, being a significant consumer and investor, showing clear support for prices through central bank purchases. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is weakening ahead of key central bank announcements and economic data releases, making gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. Attention is focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due on Wednesday, which could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A higher-than-expected CPI could pressure gold, while weaker data may further support its bullish trend. Decisions from various central banks, including the Federal Reserve, ECB, and BoE, may shape market sentiment, with dovish signals potentially further boosting gold. Wall Street opened lower, with major indices in the red, while government bond yields ticked slightly higher, creating a mixed environment that supports safe-haven flows into gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
XAUUSD - gold will be welcomed by the Federal Reserve!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If it returns to the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zone. 1. UBS Gold Forecast: UBS has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900. This prediction is based on factors such as the rising U.S. debt, strong demand from central banks, and declining interest rates. The institution also anticipates that U.S. inflation will decrease to 3% by the end of 2024, 2.6% by the end of 2025, and 2.5% throughout 2027. These figures are significantly higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, suggesting that persistent inflation may pose a significant obstacle to the Fed’s efforts to control it. 2. U.S. CPI Report: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November highlighted the persistence of inflationary pressures. However, the details of the report appeared somewhat reassuring. CIBC Bank predicts that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by 0.25% in its December meeting, though subsequent rate cuts may be delayed due to the economy’s continued growth. 3. Ray Dalio on Gold: Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, referred to Bitcoin as a hard asset and stated that he prefers Bitcoin and gold over debt-based assets. He expressed concerns about a potential global debt crisis and emphasized the importance of shifting investments toward hard assets. Dalio pointed to unprecedented levels of debt in major countries such as the U.S. and China, deeming these debt levels unsustainable.Speaking at a financial conference in Abu Dhabi, he remarked, “It is impossible for these countries to avoid a debt crisis in the coming years, which will likely lead to a significant depreciation of their currencies.” 4. Dalio’s Evolving Stance on Bitcoin: Previously, Dalio believed that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin would not achieve the success many had hoped for. However, in recent years, he has become a prominent advocate of Bitcoin. In 2022, Dalio suggested allocating up to 2% of an investment portfolio to Bitcoin and gold as a reasonable strategy to combat inflation. He also reiterated his preference for gold over Bitcoin while emphasizing the importance of portfolio diversification. 5. Peter Schiff’s Warning on Bitcoin: Peter Schiff, a prominent gold advocate, has warned that creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. could have negative consequences. On December 9, Schiff posted on the social media platform X, suggesting that the Biden administration should sell all Bitcoin currently held by the U.S. government before leaving office. He stated, “This move would not only help reduce the 2024 budget deficit but also put an end to all the nonsense about establishing a ‘strategic reserve’ of Bitcoin, which is detrimental.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
We are bearish and sell below the resistance of 2710Gold fell sharply on the daily line, breaking the bullish structure that had been rising strongly from 2613 to 2726 in this round. The daily line retracement tested the MA5 daily moving average. The upper track of the Bollinger Band suppressed the 2713 line, the middle track was at the 2654 line, and the RSI indicator was running above the central axis. The short-term chart fell below 2700 in four hours, and a structure of accelerated decline appeared. The RS1 indicator returned to the central axis. The intraday trading ideas for gold are short-term bullish and long-term bearish! Gold fell from a high level in the US market and is now under pressure at 2713. Gold can be sold directly near 2710. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn at a high level. After the downward divergence, the downward space of gold will be further opened, and it will continue to be sold under the pressure of 2710! First support: 2675, second support: 2670, third support: 2660 First resistance: 2692, second resistance: 2700, third resistance: 2713 Trading strategy: BUY: 2680-2678 SELL: 2710-2712
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
1
GOLD PRICE TREND ANALYSIS FOR TODAY, DECEMBER 13, 2024SPDR Gold Trust sold 24.88 tons of gold on December 12, which is the reason for the sharp decline in gold prices last night, suddenly dropping back into the previously broken downtrend structure around the 2675-2676 region. Key Resistance Levels: 2700 - 2710 - 2732 Key Support Levels: 2666 - 2675 XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Price Zones: SELL XAUUSD around the 2700-2701 region Stoploss: 2706 Take Profit 1: 2695 Take Profit 2: 2690 Take Profit 3: 2675 “If there is a breakout above the 2728 level during the day, we look to sell around the 2749-2750 region in a long-term channel.” BUY XAUUSD around the 2675 region Stoploss: 2670 Take Profit 1: 2680 Take Profit 2: 2685 Take Profit 3: 2690 Note: Always set a stop loss in all cases to stay safe! @Henrybillion wishes you a successful trading day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion