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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAU/USD 16-20 December 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 12/15/2024Gold is very naughty in the past week. It broke 2650 resistance first and went up all the way to 2720. From 2720, it dropped almost non-stop below 2650 again. Eventually, we have a pin bar on 2W TF. This signals a strong move ahead. I am expecting a very heavy fall next week, maybe all the way to 2500 and below. I will engage mostly selling orders next week in this bearish environment. Let's see what lower timeframe opportunity we will have next week. Stay tuned!
TVC:GOLDShort
by SteadyFund
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th December 2024Gold Trading Strategy Buy Above: The high of the candle which closes above 2662 on a 15-minute chart Sell Below: The low of the candle which closes below 2636 on a 15-minute chart Risk Strategies: Risk Strategy 1: Sell between 2660-2666 Stop-Loss: 2675 Targets: 2648, 2636, 2619 Risk Strategy 2: Buy between 2621-2617 Stop-Loss: 2608 Targets: 2636, 2648, 2660 Additional Tips: Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals. Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital. Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact gold prices. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
XAU/USD 12.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, Today, we’re taking a closer look at gold. As expected, gold is moving down in an ABC structure (yellow) within our larger orange wave 4. From here, we can anticipate either a 12345 structure or, if the price moves sideways, another ABC structure leading up to wave 5. Wave 4 has likely reached its bottom, though there is still a possibility of a further decline to the 61% Fibonacci level. However, I consider this scenario unlikely. Overall, we are once again looking for higher prices in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
ASSETARTISAN 1. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear break of structure occurred, as indicated in the chart, signaling a shift in market momentum. This often aligns with a continuation of the prevailing trend. 2. Change of Character (ChoCH): The marked ChoCH points indicate shifts in market sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. These are often early signals of trend reversals or continuations. 3. Order Block Reaction: The price reacted strongly within a demand zone (blue-shaded area). This suggests that institutional buying was present, driving prices upward toward the target. 4. Momentum and Volume: The strong bullish momentum (indicated by large candlestick bodies) supported the price's rapid movement to the target. 5. Trend Continuation: The price is in a clear bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows forming, reinforcing the likelihood of hitting higher levels. In summary, the combination of structural breaks, demand zone reactions, and bullish momentum contributed to the target being achieved.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Tusharshelke
Gold Market Update: Imbalance Liquidation Targets $2620–$2580Gold continues to align with the imbalance liquidation between $2620 and $2580. The recent prominent support at $2605 is under pressure; if it fails to hold, further sweeps around $2619 could occur. The bearish momentum remains intact, aiming to secure weekly demands below the $2600 level.yall should stay cautious, hedge along, and prepare for potential volatility as the market seeks equilibrium. follow for more insights comment and boost idea
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Ak_capitalist
$2800- $3000: how does gold hold steady amid global uncertainty?Gold has once again emerged as a focal point in global financial markets, gaining significant attention from investors amidst economic instability and geopolitical tensions. In 2024, the price of gold increased by over 28%, reaffirming its role as a reliable asset for capital preservation during uncertain times. Below, we explore the primary factors influencing gold prices, investment strategies, and future prospects for this precious metal. What Drives Gold Prices? 1. Geopolitical Tensions as a Catalyst: Political and military conflicts , such as those in the Middle East, amplify the appeal of gold as a "safe haven." During periods of uncertainty, gold becomes a hedge against shocks in the global economy, prompting higher demand from both individual investors and institutions. 2. Impact of U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's monetary decisions significantly influence gold prices. The current economic environment, shaped by pressure for lower interest rates, benefits gold as an asset class. Under the influence of a potentially “dovish” U.S. administration, expectations of sustained inflation and reduced rates create a favorable backdrop for gold. 3. Increased Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide have been actively boosting their gold reserves. Gold serves as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations, particularly for economies in regions like India and the Middle East, where the metal holds cultural and financial significance. Investment Opportunities in Gold Investing in gold offers diverse options, each catering to different risk appetites and levels of expertise: • Gold ETFs: Exchange-traded funds are an accessible entry point for novice investors due to their simplicity and low barriers to entry. These funds allow investors to gain exposure to gold without the complexities of physical ownership. • Shares of Gold Mining Companies: Stocks in companies like Newmont (USA), Barrick Gold (Canada), and Freeport-McMoRan (USA) offer potential for higher returns compared to direct gold investments. However, they come with added risks due to market volatility and company-specific factors. • Gold Futures: Futures contracts enable investors to lock in prices and mitigate volatility. This strategy is best suited for experienced investors who understand market dynamics and risk management. Outlook for 2025 The combination of geopolitical instability, high inflation, and low interest rates sets the stage for continued growth in gold prices. Over the next six months, gold prices are projected to reach $2800 per ounce. While crossing the $3000 mark may seem overly optimistic, it remains a possibility under certain geopolitical scenarios. As global economic uncertainties persist, gold's role as a stable and reliable investment is likely to strengthen, ensuring its continued relevance in diversified portfolios. NYSE:NEM TSX:ABX NYSE:FCX
TVC:GOLDLong
by juliakhandoshko
XAU/USD 19 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLDThe gold price dropped today due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish cut, which sent investors seeking safety into the US Dollar, outpacing demand for gold. As a result, gold fell towards $2,600 and below.. This move was anticipated, as the market had priced in a hawkish cut, and the focus is now on the Fed's expectations for 2025, which suggest fewer interest rate cuts. The drop in gold price is also attributed to the strengthening US Dollar, which is trading near its weekly highs against most major rivals. Additionally, the technical indicators are neutral-to-bearish, developing around their midlines and failing to provide clear directional clues. On dxy rally AUDUSD,USDJPY,EURUSD,USDCAD,GBPUSD will have a change in directional clues
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub