XAGUSDG trade ideas
SILVER: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 30.58523$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER:Short trading strategy
The recent silver long short game or fell sharply, daily line and weekly line or short trend, this week's big trend to follow gold, first look at the shock rebound, the second half of the week bearish, rebound is our short opportunity. The rebound to 30.90 can be shorted today. Target 30.5-30
SILVER Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 30.255 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 30.505
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver holds $30 support but bearish trend persists below $31.1Silver prices have bounced 3.75% from their low on November 14th. For now, the area around $30 has held. This suggests silver prices have bottomed and could head higher, but the short-term trend remains steeply bearish. Therefore, waiting a few days for confirmation is likely better. As it stands, the trend remains bearish below 31.15, with traders targeting 30.23 and then 29.76.
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Potential bullish rise?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 30.01
1st Support: 28.82
1st Resistance: 32.14
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XAGUSDSilver has already reacted to this zone twice, but did not make it to the previous low. I am speculating this time it will go back to its 29.7
Long set up XAGUSDThe price of Silver was in a falling wedge, now she's trying to break the falling wedge. I'm targeting 32.4 for TP1 and 37.4 for TP2. I think Silver is ready for a move up. Can take some time this set up.
XAGUSD 4hr ShortXAGUSD
✅ 4hr Short ✅
💰ENTRY: 30.30650
👎STOP LOSS: 30.81950
TP TARGETS
⏰TP1
⏰TP2
⏰TP3
✅ 1. Weekly Time Frame: Price has been breaking bearish and trending below the 10, 50, 200 EMAs.
✅ 2. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bearish and trending below the 10, 50, 200 EMAs.
✅ 3. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid correction into the 10 EMA.
✅ 4. Price has made a Swing high Engulfing candle below the 50ema.
This is a great example of my systematic system.
#XAGUSD #Silver #H4 Higher Time Frame Analysis #XAGUSD #Silver #H4 Higher Time Frame Analysis 🌟📊
Our outlook for Silver remains consistent with our previously shared analysis. Here’s the breakdown:
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
In the last session, Silver closed below the specified levels but failed to form a fully bearish #H4 candle, showing rejection instead. ⚠️ Since we avoid bearish candles with rejection for entries, we’ll continue to wait patiently for a fully bearish candle close below $30 before planning any sell trades. 📉
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price manages to close a fully bullish #H4 candle above $30.82, it could indicate recovery. In that case, we may consider planning a buy entry for potential upside opportunities. 📈
Patience is key; let’s wait for clear confirmations to act! 🎯
WILL THE DEMAND ZONE AT 29 circa HALT FALLING SILVER PRICE?Silver weekly trend remains intact and a bullish rejection this week may likely mark reversal for silver price to the upside.
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#silver
#xagusd
XAG Long, Final Wave UpXAG is on it's way to complete it's final wave for wave 1 of 5, We could expect an extended wave since waves 1 and 3 are almost equal in size, but still be wary of the upper channel price might still react when market reached 34.xxx level.
Correction Silver and rebound down. H4 15.11.2024Correction Silver and rebound down 📉
Silver is now forming a correction from the zone from the last analysis ,
but I believe the overall trend down is not complete. Since a major pattern
Repositioning to sell has been made, a correction is forming within the pattern
and then rebounding lower. Now the correction is possible to the sellers' zone
31.10-31.56, maybe a little higher is a false move. In terms of rebound down
I am oriented to the area of 28.50, but it will be corrected depending on the size
of the correction. Gold is also in fall and often silver is pulling the fall.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 30.97257$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Don't be shaken out of your silver positionsThis drop has been sudden and significant...lots of bearish sentiment prevails and is all over social media...this is typical of a bottom. Plus when you look at the charts I see s series of 1,2's that have formed which means an explosion is coming...a "beach ball" move is what I am expecting over the next few months...starting this week!!!!
[XAGUSD].Silver is reacting to a very strong support price zone.- At the 12Month frame, silver has a higher high and higher low bullish structure.
- The current silver price is reacting to a very strong support zone. This price zone is above the weekly MA20 and is also the old resistance area that has been broken in the past.
- I think that holding assets during this period is a good thing to do. I chose silver.
I have a question for you: Why silver and not gold ?
XAGUSD - Silver will continue to rise?!Silver is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the decline continues due to the current economic data, we can see demand zone and buy within that zone with a suitable risk reward. If the upward trend line is broken and the $30 range is maintained, we can see the continuation of the rise up to the level of $32.
Over the past year, silver struggled to keep pace with gold, as gold reached multiple record highs while silver remained below $30 an ounce for a prolonged period. However, according to one analyst, this trend may shift in 2025, with the gold-to-silver ratio expected to moderate from its recent highs.
Julian Wee, a market strategist at UBS, commented, “Gold remains a favored asset for portfolio risk hedging against various risks, but the shift from a ‘soft landing’ to ‘no landing’ argues for a balance between a defensive stance and exposure to economic growth. Silver, which has historically shown a high correlation with gold, may benefit more from increased industrial demand.”
Wee highlighted that amid rising geopolitical tensions, gold has emerged as a preferred hedge. He noted that gold “has risen 35% this year alone, and demand has remained strong amid numerous risk events and declining global interest rates. At least for this month, gold has asserted itself as a hedge against slower economic growth and rising inflation.”
He further remarked that silver, like gold, also exhibits an inverse relationship to risk aversion, thus serving a similar defensive role. “Amid resilient U.S. GDP growth, investors may find it beneficial to add to portfolios that maintain a strong defensive stance while gradually enhancing exposure to stronger economic growth,” he suggested.
According to Wee, silver is expected to see increased demand due to its widespread use in sectors like technology and electric vehicles, as well as in LED production, solar panels, and medical applications owing to its antibacterial properties. Industrial demand will likely lead to higher demand for physically-backed ETFs. On the supply side, mine production is anticipated to remain limited in 2025.
Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chairman, discussed various factors affecting productivity growth, including the rise of new businesses and workforce mobility. He also noted that automation has contributed to productivity improvements.
Powell emphasized that the current monetary policy is restrictive, though the exact degree remains uncertain. He stated that the Federal Reserve has begun the process of rate reductions and is moving towards a neutral rate, underscoring the need for a gradual and careful approach.
Powell suggested that slowing the pace of rate cuts could be appropriate if data permits. He mentioned that the current monetary policy is well-positioned, providing space for rate reductions if needed, though a careful approach remains necessary. Powell also referred to the recent Producer Price Index (PPI) reading, which showed a slight increase, but he believes the inflation trajectory remains on the right path. He stressed that monetary policy should neither be overly restrictive nor overly lenient.
XAGUSD (Silver) Weekly - Potential High-Probability ReversalOn the weekly chart for XAGUSD (Silver), there are signs of a potential reversal setup contingent on this week’s candle close. Price recently tapped into a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had previously broken structure, displacing price higher. A swing low was established above a key high, and this low has since been swept, indicating possible liquidity capture. Price is now interacting with the FVG while taking out this swing low, hinting at a possible reversal.
If this week’s candle closes above the FVG and the recent low, we could anticipate a strong push to the upside in the coming weeks, with an initial target around 34.88981, aligning with the next area of buy-side liquidity.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
$SILVERHola ,
its now or never in silver
perfect spot to enter imo
invalidation is below $29.6 or the last low
got a tad excited and added at $32 which is now our level to flip for bullas to take over
on the HTF chart this sweep of the blue thick line ( key level ) is just a retest
DIxie topped out or in heavy supply zone so matter of time we resume downside for $ and boom boom for metals .
looking forward to next week
Silver XAG/USD Analysis --- 15.11.2024Bearish Bias: Given the price action below EMAs, BOS, and negative momentum, a further downside move is likely. If the price fails to break above 30.600 (near EMA and resistance), it could retest the 30.000 level or even drop toward the demand zone around 29.800.
Sell XAG/USD (Silver) Bearish ChannelThe XAG/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 30.40, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 29.50
2nd Support – 29.10
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Silver looks ready to reverse higherThursday's trading in silver saw a brief fall to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The price then quickly rallied and closed green on the day, forming a fine bull hammer candlestick. The relative strength index dipped as low as 38, indicating a moderately oversold condition.
The kneejerk selloff in the metals that followed Trump's election appears to be unwinding, and Silver may be ready to begin it's next leg higher.
Silver - Livermore accumulation cylinder patternThe Livermore accumulation cylinder pattern is a complex trading pattern that has ten peaks. Peaks 8, 9, and 10 are particularly important because they signal the advanced stages of the pattern, where price movements often become more volatile and approach the final phase.
Here are some general guidelines on how to identify these peaks:
1. 8th Peak (followed by a drop): The 8th peak usually marks a significant high before a sharp drop. After this drop, the market begins to recover, but the movement tends to be unstable. Look for a rapid price drop followed by a rebound to an short-term support level.
2. 9th Peak (attempt to recover): After the drop from the 8th peak, the 9th peak often represents the market’s last attempt to rally. This is typically a minor bounce where the price tries to return to previous levels, but usually falls short of the 8th peak. This indicates exhaustion and a decrease in buying interest.
3. 10th Peak (final wave and breakdown): The 10th peak usually signals the last strong push upward before the market begins a significant decline. This last peak may fall short of the 8th or even the 9th peak level, or, in rare cases, it may momentarily break above the 8th peak if there’s a slight surge in buying power. When the price starts to drop sharply from the 10th peak, it can indicate the end of the cycle and a larger trend reversal.
Identifying Livermore’s pattern requires patience and close observation. Additional tools like volume analysis (to track changes in buying interest) and support levels around previous peaks and troughs can be helpful in confirming these peaks.
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"Livermore used to say: "Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again”
Here are some key rules by Jesse Livermore:
Markets are never wrong opinions often are. Back your judgment and don't trust your opinion, until the action of the market itself confirms your opinion
Few people ever make money on tips, beware of inside information. If there was easy money lying around, no one would be forcing it into your pocket
Money is made by sitting, not trading. It takes time to make money. Don't give me timing; give me time
Buy right, sit tight. Big movements take time to develop. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon
Money cannot consistently be made by trading every day or every week during the year
Nothing new ever occurs in the business of speculating or investing in securities and commodities
Never average losses
The human side of every person is the greatest enemy of the average investor or speculator. Wishful thinking must be banished
Jesse Livermore argued that before opening any position, the market must first confirm and support any thesis. The market has to confirm the trade before the full size of the trade is executed. He used to say that ‘Markets are never wrong – opinions often are’. That means we must not trust our own opinions until the price action confirms these opinions.
Here are some more tips according to Mr. Livermore:
Trade only if there are real opportunities in the market
Use price patterns, as historically, the market tends to repeat
Don’t overtrade, and don’t trade every day
Use pivotal points to trade
Follow the trend and run your profits (It takes time to make big money)
Don't average down your losses." (Trading Center)
“Jesse Livermore Trading Method” Trading Center, Trading Center, 09/11/2024, tradingcenter.org
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Note: I am sharing my thought process on these market moves and adjust my analysis as the market evolves. This is not meant to be followed by others, as I am prone to mistakes like anyone else. Instead, I welcome feedback that can help me question and refine my analysis.
