Title: NAS100 Analysis Update: Higher Low Formed, Attempting BreHere’s the updated analysis for NAS100 based on the new price action and context provided:
Updated Analysis and Trade Idea:
The NAS100 has deviated from the previous bearish expectations by forming a higher low at the 20,400 level, signaling renewed bullish strength. On the 4H timeframe, the price is now testing structure highs near 20,610, suggesting a potential shift in momentum toward the upside. Here’s the updated outlook:
Key Observations:
1. Higher Low at 20,400:
• The price failed to break below the initial support at 20,400, confirming it as a strong demand zone. This indicates that buyers have stepped in aggressively, supporting a potential trend reversal.
2. Break of Structure Attempt:
• With the Ask price at 20,611.0 and Bid price at 20,610.2, the market is making a strong attempt to break through the structure highs near 20,650-20,700. A sustained breakout above this level could invalidate the previous bearish bias and open the door for higher targets.
3. Shift in Momentum:
• The formation of a higher low alongside increasing buying pressure suggests a possible continuation of the bullish trend. However, confirmation is still required via a clean break and close above the resistance zone.
Updated Key Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 20,650-20,700 zone. A breakout here could lead to further upside momentum.
• Support Zone: 20,400 remains a critical level for bullish continuation.
• Upside Targets:
• Target 1: 20,850
• Target 2: 21,000 (aligned with the previous major resistance zone).
Trade Plan Update:
• Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
• Entry: Look for a breakout and 4H close above 20,650. Enter long positions on a retest of the breakout level.
• Stop Loss: Below 20,400 to account for invalidation of the higher low structure.
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 20,850
• TP2: 21,000
• Scenario 2: Range Continuation
• If the price fails to break above 20,650 and consolidates, wait for confirmation of direction. Re-entry short positions are valid if the price breaks below 20,400, targeting 20,000 as the next major demand zone.
Conclusion:
The NAS100’s higher low at 20,400 signals a potential shift in momentum as the price challenges key resistance at 20,650-20,700. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout to capitalize on further upside, while also preparing for a rejection and reversion to range-bound conditions if the breakout fails. This is a critical juncture, and risk management remains key to navigating either scenario.
This update reflects the change in market structure while providing actionable scenarios for y’all!
~Peace
