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USDTBTC trade ideas

What to expect from the bigger pictureIt's been quite a while that I am following bitcoin's chart since my last analyses. Back in 2022, I surmised that 16k is the bottom and later on proposed that if bitcoin breaks the 37-42 level with a decent volume, very good things can happen. (I attach all the analyses to this post) We have watched BTC's volatility in the past year, breaking 69k, though not quite easily with the world war speculations and the grand scheme of economic and sociopolitical circumstances. Anyway, BTC now is worth 101k, a value perhaps nobody dreamed of a decade ago. We still have the war speculations and the situation in the middle east is grave indeed. But the good news which can outweigh the bad situations is the post-halving volatility and optimism as well as the US investments, and possibly later on the European and Chinese investments. Currently, 100k can be a tough challenge, both psychologically and in terms of PnL analytics that big investors might be considering. Yet it can be broken easier than we expect, hitting around 120k according to the dynamic trendline and later on parabolically hitting a target as high as 150k-180k. We also have a CME gap in 75k-78k area that might be filled before this upward movement, though I surmise this gap will be filled in the next bear market, where bitcoin can revisit the 50k-70k area for its bottom. But a crash to 75k is not at all impossible, something that I personally see as a very valuable opportunity. Stay safe #no_investment_advice #DYOR
by mehrdadbidgoli94
1
Using LRC and EMA as support and resistance levels in BTC-USDTLeast Regression Curves (LRC) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), both set to a 50-period, provide reliable dynamic support and resistance levels. In this 15-minute chart, the current LRC and EMA levels from the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes are plotted as key levels. When the price is below these levels, they act as resistance, and when it is above, they serve as support. At present, the price is attempting to break through the 1-hour LRC level, which is likely to act as a resistance. The price may either break through this level or lose momentum, potentially leading to a bearish divergence. Additionally, there is strong support between the 98,600 and 98,900 levels, where the 4-hour LRC and the 1-hour EMA overlap. Notably, the 4-hour LRC level previously acted as a significant resistance, further highlighting its importance as a potential support zone.
by DexterMGarcia
BTC swing thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis='**News Analysis:** Currently, there is no significant news impacting the BTCUSDT pair. This lack of news suggests that the market may be driven more by technical factors and existing sentiment rather than new developments. Traders should remain vigilant for any emerging news that could influence market dynamics. **Market Sentiment Analysis:** The market sentiment for BTCUSDT is mixed, with a slight bullish inclination. The increase in long positions, particularly in the 4-hour and daily timeframes, indicates a growing confidence among traders. However, the high price level and significant trading volume suggest that the market is actively engaged, which could lead to increased volatility. Traders should be prepared for potential rapid price movements and adjust their strategies accordingly. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators present a mixed picture. The RSI is approaching overbought levels, and the Stochastic Oscillator indicates overbought conditions, especially in shorter timeframes. The MACD shows bearish momentum in the 1d and 1h timeframes but bullish momentum in the 4h timeframe, suggesting potential short-term volatility. The ADX indicates a strong trend in the 1d timeframe, but weaker in the 4h timeframe. The price is near the upper Bollinger Band in the 1h timeframe, indicating potential resistance. Overall, while the long-term trend is bullish, caution is advised due to short-term overbought conditions and potential resistance levels. **Fundamental Analysis:** The fundamental outlook remains positive, with a strong upward trend observed over the past few months. However, the recent consolidation around the $101,000 level suggests potential resistance. Without new fundamental developments, the market may continue to rely on technical indicators and existing sentiment to guide price movements. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the mixed technical signals and potential for short-term volatility, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss slightly below the recent support level to protect against downside risks. Consider taking profits if the price approaches the resistance levels, especially if overbought conditions persist. For new entries, wait for a confirmed breakout above resistance or a pullback to support for a better risk-reward ratio. **CONFIDENCE_LEVEL:** 72% The confidence level reflects the mixed technical signals and the absence of significant news, indicating a moderate-risk trade. ##**TRADE RECOMMENDATION** ```json { "OUTCOME": "HOLD_BUY", "STOP_LOSS": "$99,500.00", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$105,000.00", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "72%", "EXIT_POINT": "$104,000.00", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "4h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 4h", "ATR": "0.005, 4h" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 1, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0, "OPEN_POSITION": "$101,836.11" } ```' )
Long
by titankarma
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis (BTC/USDT) – Updated TradingOverview of the Current Bitcoin Market Trend In December 2024, the Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) market continues to show a strong bullish trend, with the price moving within an ascending channel. However, Bitcoin is currently facing key resistance levels, which could lead to one of two scenarios: a continued breakout or a correction to test support levels. In this article, we will analyze the Bitcoin market trend in detail and provide effective trading strategies. Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD Market Overview for December 2024 The Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) chart shows the price moving within an ascending channel, with a trendline support below and resistance above. Currently, the price is approaching the significant resistance zone around 104,000 USD to 106,000 USD. These levels have acted as strong resistance in the past. Will Bitcoin break through these levels and continue its upward trend, or will it face a pullback? Let’s find out. Analysis of Resistance and Support Levels Strong Resistance at the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD Zone Main Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD range, which is a key resistance area. If Bitcoin successfully breaks through this zone and stays above the resistance, the price could continue to rise. However, if the price fails to break above and shows rejection, it may consolidate or retrace. Strong Support at the 100,000 USD Level Main Support: The 100,000 USD level is not only an important support but also a psychological round number for investors. This is a level where Bitcoin could recover if the market experiences a pullback. If the price dips to this level and begins to bounce back, it may create a buy opportunity aligned with the uptrend. Bitcoin Trading Strategies Breakout Strategy Entry Condition: If Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD breaks above the 104,000 USD - 106,000 USD resistance zone with high trading volume, consider entering a long position. Pay attention to the strong upward momentum in volume to confirm the breakout. Profit Target: The profit target could be 110,000 USD or higher if the trend continues. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below the nearest support level, such as 100,000 USD or 99,000 USD, to protect the position if the price fails to maintain the uptrend. Buy on Dip Strategy Entry Condition: If the price pulls back to the 100,000 USD level or the support of the channel, you can enter a buy position. Confirm the bounce with increasing volume and a recovery candlestick pattern. Profit Target: Take profit at 104,000 USD or higher if the uptrend continues. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss below 100,000 USD or below the channel’s support to safeguard the position. Short Strategy Entry Condition: If Bitcoin fails to break through 106,000 USD and shows signs of rejection (e.g., reversal candlestick patterns, decreasing volume), you may consider opening a short position. This is especially true if volume does not increase when the price approaches resistance. Profit Target: Take profit at the 100,000 USD level or below the channel’s support. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above 106,500 USD to protect the position if the price continues higher. Volume Analysis Volume is an important factor for confirming technical signals. A strong increase in volume as the price approaches resistance levels could signal a breakout. However, if volume decreases when the price reaches these levels, it may indicate a lack of buying interest, and the market could experience a pullback.
by Henrybillion
Momentum GrowingThe crypto industry and Bitcoiners in particular will remember 2024 as a very successful year. That final bastion of TradFi acceptance, ETFs, was taken. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted more than $34 billion in inflows. Bitcoin crossed that big psychological barrier of $100,000 and is now a 6-figure asset. Total crypto market capitalization exceeded a remarkable $3.6 trillion. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has become the most successful ETF ever launched on the market. But as is usual in Crypto, the journey was far from straightforward. Ethereum, and many other Altcoins, lagged behind. Solana paced ahead of other Altcoins and saw more than 300% growth. Memecoins took off. In some parts of the industry, mania took hold. Pump.fun, a platform that enables anyone with a $5 wallet and an idea to create a token in two minutes, saw 4.5 million tokens launched. The Phantom wallet, commonly used for on-the-go memecoin trading, reached top positions in the App store. A particularly low point was reached when Pump.fun temporarily launched a live-streaming feature. When things deteriorated rapidly, pump.fun had to quickly disable the feature. In the last few weeks, momentum accelerated as some of the users who had quit the market with FTX' collapse returned. The prices of 'old' coins such as XRP, Cardano and others, took off. Traders continue to wait for possible pull-backs of BTC to the $80,000-90,000 range. But for now, momentum seems to be building and instead, Bitcoin has ranged above $100k for the longest time so far over the past 24-48 hours. More momentum could be on the way. A very crypto-friendly US administration is coming. US regulatory winds against crypto are likely to shift. All the while, interest rates are likely to drop further, leading to more available liquidity in the market. We all know that History does not repeat but it can rhyme. Bitcoin's price cycles regularly included one year of decline followed by three years of growth. If this trend continues, then 2025 may be the last, and possibly the most explosive year of this bull-cycle. For now at least we can say: momentum is growing.
Long
by Coinrule
BTCUSDT Market Analysis| Bullish TrendHi there, BTC has been making surprising moves lately, seeming to head in one direction when it's not. We'll give it a last look. We have a complete ABC-D pattern. (E) is always shorter than (D), but (F) is the longest wave. (F) to (G) is the longest and most unpredictable wave, which is where we are now. Inside the box, the range between 98,239.23 and 103,938.19 is an ideal buy area for (G). (C) to 81,325.79 is highly unstable but attractive for bears. That makes an ideal stop loss (SL) to be anywhere far away from 81,325.79. The price can spike due to weekly candlestick positioning, so it's a high-risk setup. * Overall, the directional bias and trend are bullish. Happy season and best wishes. Khiwe.
Long
by Khiwe
BITCOIN →The Trend Reversal. The End Of Growth? Or Not!BINANCE:BTCUSDT Still maintains a bullish market structure as evidenced by the local upward channel within the broader consolidation channel. After a strong rally, the price is moving into consolidation. Consolidation is the accumulation of a position. Accordingly, there can be different situations inside such a figure: traps, traps, false breakdowns, unpredictable impulses and so on. And it all has one goal - accumulation. Technically, the bullish market structure is not broken. Globally - flat. Locally - an ascending channel. The risk of breaking the bullish structure will be if the price starts to approach 91K - 85K. Then the question about deeper correction or even reversal will become more serious, but not now. The bulls are actively defending the boundaries of the local ascending channel and it may lead the price to retest 99-102K, but at the moment there are no preconditions for strong growth. The market will need a few days to recover its strength. Just during this period of time, the asset may show further intentions. Resistance levels: 99K, 101.3K, 104K Support levels: 95.9K, 91.6K If the bears hold the defense below 99K and the price starts to fall down, then pay attention to 95.9K. Further fall or consolidation inside the channel will depend on this level. If the bulls will be able to keep the defense inside the channel (above the support), then in the medium term we can count on the continuation of growth.
by MarketAnalyzar