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The bull market is not over yet!This is probably the area of ​​interest from where we will try to increase to the 101k-102k area in the first phase. There was a liquidity takeover, at the end of the month some contracts expire and some are rushing to sell them faster. Don't panic, I don't think the bullish cycle is over, it just took a few out of the game. I put 2 scenarios that can happen in the next period. P.S: I'm not looking at scenario 3, but I would rather look at 110k 120k. But the market is unpredictable, who knows.
by CNC2788
BTC May Rise Again After a Profit-Taking MomentBTC May Rise Again After a Profit-Taking Moment Yesterday, during the close of the US market, BTC experienced a release of liquidity, moving down to 94,150. This quick move decreased BTC's price by nearly -7%. However, the bullish trend remains very strong and the pattern is also bullish. The sell-off could be a profit-taking moment, but the bullish trend is intact, and the price is expected to continue rising gradually. I am watching BTC to rise again to 101K, 103K, and possibly reach a new all-time high at 107K. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
11
Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking PointThe crypto market is flashing a worrying outlook for 2025, since a disappointing Santa Claus rally this year could deepen issues. This is especially important if BTC will not be able to finish the year 2024 firmly above $100'000 per coin. The financial market has had a tough week, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025. The market is on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it's clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting—and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. The number of stocks in Top Stock Club S&P 500 that are declining outpaced advancing stocks for 14 consecutive days on Thursday. The advancing/declining data helps measure underlying participation in market moves, and the recent weakness signals that even though the S&P 500 is only off 4% from its record high, there's damage under the hood of the benchmark index. This is evidenced by the equal-weighted S&P 500 index being off 7% from its record high. According to Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, the 14-day losing streak for the S&P 500's advance-decline line is the worst since October 15, 1978. Clissold said 10-day losing streaks or more in advancing stocks relative to declining stocks can be a bad omen for future stock market returns. While this scenario has only been triggered six times since 1972, it shows lackluster forward returns for the S&P 500. The index has printed an average six-month forward return of 0.1% after these 10-day breadth losing streaks flashed, compared to the typical 4.5% average gain seen during all periods. "Studies with six cases hardly make for a strategy. But market tops have to start somewhere, and many begin with breadth divergences, or popular averages posting gains with few stocks participating," Clissold said. Perhaps more telling for the stock market is whether it can stage a recovery as it heads into one of the most bullish seasonal periods of the year: the Santa Claus trading window. If it can't, that would be telling, according to Clissold. "A lack of a Santa Claus Rally would be concerning not only from a seasonal perspective, but it would allow breadth divergences to deepen," the strategist said. Also concerning to Clissold is investor sentiment, which has flashed signs of extreme optimism since September. According to the research firm's internal crowd sentiment poll, it is in the seventh-longest stretch in the excessive optimism zone, based on data since 1995. "Several surveys have reached what could be unsustainable levels," Clissold said, warning that any reversal in sentiment could be a warning sign for future market returns. Ultimately, continued stock market weakness, especially in the internals, would suggest to Clissold that 2025 won't be as easy as 2024 for investors. "If the stock market cannot rectify recent breadth divergences in the next few weeks, it would suggest our concerns about a more difficult 2025 could come to fruition," the strategist said. Moreover, Dow Jones index has printed recently The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern, on weekly basis. This is especially important, since mentioned above pattern is massively unwinding from Dow's all the history highs. Previously this pattern has already appeared in TVC:DJI in November 2021 and lead to 20 percent decline in 2022 for Dow Jones Index and to more than 70 percent decline in BTC. The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern also has appeared in Dow Jones Index in September, 2018 (lead to 18% decline) and in July, 2007 (lead to more than 50% decline). The main technical graph represents a Choking Strategy for BTC in 2025, i.e. BTC airless scenario below $100'000 choking point. The epic 52-week SMA breakthrough in BTC will definitely accelerate a decline at all.
by Pandorra
50-Day Breakout Theory""We have identified a pattern 📊 that we’ve been studying for some time. Currently, we are observing a 50-day range ⏳ marked on the chart. If the price breaks and confirms the high of the last 100 periods, there is a strong probability of reaching the target zone 🎯, highlighted by the green rectangle at the top. It’s important to note that this projection is only valid if the breakout occurs within the 50-day period we’ve outlined. Otherwise, if the price fails to hold above the high, we’ll review and update the analysis 📉 in case of a breakdown scenario. I will continue to monitor the situation 🔍 and share updates as the scenario evolves."
Long
by PINE_LABS
Weird Prediction ChannelBITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC Hello Monstralians, Despite ALL market negativity, Bitcoin remains bullish on both weekly and monthly timeframes. After analyzing Bitcoin's movement following the bearish market maker candle ( as discussed in my previous post:) ), it is evident that Bitcoin's bullish trend continues. Note 1: The next bullish mouvement will be slow and could take some time (3 to 4 weeks). Note 2 : I also spotted a formation of a parallel channel which many of you will disagree with me on the drawing but I believe it limits the next BTC mouvement. I am excited to see the precision of my channel. Happy trading !
Long
by Monstralian
BTC/USDT Strategic Trading OverviewKey Timeframes and Trading Opportunities: 1-Hour Chart: Bearish Sentiment: The prevailing downtrend suggests caution; look for stability or reversal signs before entering long. Support Level: The key support at $100,000 must hold to avoid further decline. Resistance Level: A break above $101,500 could signal a short-term trend reversal to the upside. 4-Hour Chart: High Volatility: This creates opportunities for both short and long trades based on price action around key levels. Support Level: Strong support is again at $100,000, acting as a psychological and technical pivot. Resistance Level: $102,500 is the major resistance, providing a clear target for any bullish momentum. Daily Chart: Overall Bullish Trend: The long-term trend remains upward, making dips potential buying opportunities for long-term investors. Support Levels: Major long-term supports are at $98,000 and $95,000. Resistance Level: Watch for resistance at $104,000 which if broken, could lead to new highs. Trading Strategy Points: Risk Management: Always use stop-losses to protect trades against sudden market moves. Adjust stop-losses according to the timeframe of your trade. Entry Points: Long Positions: Look for confirmation of support holding on lower timeframes with additional bullish signals such as candlestick patterns or momentum shifts. Short Positions: Initiate near resistance levels if bearish reversal patterns appear, especially on higher timeframes. Exit Points: Take Profit: Set just below resistance levels for long positions and above support levels for short positions to capture the most likely price movements. Volume and Momentum: Use volume indicators to confirm entry and exit points; momentum indicators like RSI and MACD can help identify potential market turns or continuation signals. Conclusion: BTC/USDT traders should stay adaptable to changes in market conditions across different timeframes. Combining insights from multiple charts will help in crafting a more nuanced trading approach, catering to both quick scalps and longer-term trades based on the identified support and resistance levels.
Long
by EliteTradersChoudharyJI
Bitcoin Price Action: 12-Day Cycles ObservedIn this chart, Bitcoin's price action on the 4-hour timeframe reveals a repeating cycle occurring approximately every 12 days. Key observations include: First Cycle (Nov 22 - Dec 5): A period of consolidation followed by a breakout, spanning 12 days and 8 hours with significant trading volume (~455.79K). Second Cycle (Dec 5 - Dec 17): Another 12-day period with a similar breakout structure, supported by consistent volume (~446.68K). Current Movement (Dec 17 - Dec 29): Bitcoin appears to be aligning with the same cyclical behavior, suggesting a potential breakout within this timeframe. These patterns suggest that BTC may be following a structured rhythm, providing traders with actionable insights for timing entries and exits. The orange and blue trend lines highlight the broader ascending channel, while the white trend lines mark shorter-term consolidations within these cycles. Does Bitcoin truly follow a predictable cycle, or is this coincidence? Share your thoughts and strategies below! 🚀
Long
by AVisha2000