EURUSD SWING SHORTSSelling from a Weekly FVG in alignment with the bearish Dol on the Monthly.
Having two 4h FVGs from the weekly confirm bearish momentum....... price might be slow cause cpi is tomorrow but I'm swinging this so let's get this
USDEUR trade ideas
USDEUR possible bull flag if we break out. It is trading between allot of resistances for a while so we'll see.
EURUSD update We see EU here in a pivot zone looking to go for a pullback to thwart down side really quick to then buy up to the next zone as shown where the arrow is pointing at a new Daily Buyside LQ zone.
Buy opportunity
In this analysis, I observe a potential ABCD harmonic pattern forming on the EUR/USD chart:
The market has completed points A, B, and C and appears to be heading towards D.
If the price reaches point D, where 1.617 BC extension aligns with support and trendline confluence, it could be a good opportunity to BUY.
Key Levels to Watch:
Point C: Recent lower high (Resistance)
Point D: Potential buy zone near support trendline
RSI: Monitor for oversold conditions near D point for confirmation.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Around D point (Watch for price reaction at the support trendline).
Target: At least back to point C or higher depending on price action.
This is a high-probability trade if the harmonic structure completes successfully. Keep an eye on volume and RSI for additional confirmation.
EURUSD - ANALYSISHello friends, I want to share my view on EURUSD with you
Something I am seeing on the chart is a price range
And I expect it to break out of this price range this week but first I need more price declines to raise liquidity
I expect the Euro to move up to 1.05060 and start moving up around there
My first target for the Euro is 1.07650
Trade safe
PROYECCIÓN 09/12/2024On Sunday night, the price had a strong and clean reaction at my 0.618 Fibonacci level, which initiated a bullish structure. This was followed by a pullback to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Based on this, I identified two key levels in the morning for potential trades, which I marked in red: the high and low of the last one-hour candle.
A few minutes later, the price broke above the upper level, prompting me to enter a buy position with a risk-to-reward target of approximately 1:3. The trade ended up being a winner within minutes.
I’m a trader with around 8 months of experience, and I’ve decided to start sharing my trades to expand my knowledge and receive constructive feedback. Over time, I aim to improve both the format and the professionalism of my posts.
EURUSD Long#EURUSD (1 day)
Euro/Dollar formed the "Reversal Head shoulder " pattern, we will consider Long when breaking through resistance and consolidating above it, target 1.0800! Cancel and break below 1.0400
The author's opinion may not coincide with yours! Remember this and take this into account in your trading transactions before making a trading decision.
Your reactions are your support for my work
EURUSD H1 ANALYSISBullish Outlook:
EURUSD is experiencing a significant uptrend, driven by strengthening economic indicators in the Eurozone and a weakening US dollar. As investors seek exposure to the currency market, EURUSD has emerged as a top choice, attracting strong buying interest.
Risk Management:
. Position Sizing: Manage position size to avoid over-exposure to market volatility
. Risk-Reward Ratio: Set at 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure potential rewards outweigh potential risks
Target:
. Primary Target: 1.06384
. Secondary Target: 1.05982
. Tertiary Target: 1.05385
. Fourth Target: 1.05212
Best Wishes Tom 😎
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0579
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0536
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD DailyThe euro may have wanted to weaken due to political unrest in France and Germany against the US dollar.
Moving 200 towards Moving 50 across has to be produced.
From the price action of new ceilings and ceilings formed correction by 50% Fibonacci received and waiting for the formation of new wave to come and go
EUR/USD / more Bullish ?!? Hello traders ,what do you think about EUR/USD? There are two main options for trading, I personally expect the price to rise at least to the specified level 1.080.
The other option is that the upward correction at 4h is over and we look for continuation of the bearish movement with the aim of a new monthly LL in the direction of 1.02 and below.
We've had two good bullish weeks, I think an upside is the more likely development scenario.
If you think this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.
09.12.2024 - Eu longs LH setupAsia liquidated PDL and NY manipulated lows. Targeting SMC orders above with the liquidity hunt model. Looking for 3RR and not scaling as market intention is not very clear.
EURUSD LONG IDEAMy forecast for EURUSD today, what do you think?
Risk wisely if you’re joining me on this.
EUR/USD - Strong rejection of higher prices On EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.06140 . It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Strong rejection of higher prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
EURUSD H1 09/12/2024 - SELL below 1.0550 OR BUY above 1.05850Multi-Timeframe Analysis
D1 (Daily Timeframe)
Trend:
Price is consolidating below the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200 SMA, indicating medium-term bearish pressure but with bullish momentum building.
Indicators:
RSI (14): 45.3, neutral.
Stochastic (14,3,3): Overbought (near 82), signaling caution for immediate longs.
MACD (12,26,9): Bearish histogram narrowing, indicating reduced selling pressure.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0580–1.0600.
Support: 1.0525, 1.0490 (recent swing lows).
H4 (4-Hour Timeframe)
Trend:
Mild bullish recovery as price moves above the Ichimoku Cloud, but capped by the 200 SMA at 1.0580.
Indicators:
RSI (14): 53.6, neutral-bullish.
Stochastic (14,3,3): Bearish crossover, signaling short-term weakness.
MACD (12,26,9): Weak positive histogram; momentum is waning.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0580–1.0600 (top boundary).
Support: 1.0550, 1.0525.
H1 (Hourly Timeframe)
Trend:
Price has consolidated after a bullish breakout but faces resistance at 1.0580.
Indicators:
RSI (14): 51.3, neutral.
Stochastic (14,3,3): Overbought, signaling potential for a pullback.
MACD (12,26,9): Negative histogram after bearish crossover, suggesting weakening momentum.
ATR (14): 13 pips, indicating moderate volatility.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0580–1.0600.
Support: 1.0550, 1.0525.
M30 (30-Minute Timeframe)
Trend: Similar to H1, consolidation within a narrow range below 1.0580.
Indicators: RSI and Stochastic are in overbought territory; MACD is flat to bearish.
Volatility: ATR confirms that volatility has subsided after recent upward movement.
Trade Scenarios:
Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (BUY Setup)
Rationale: If the price breaks above 1.0580, it could target the next resistance level at 1.0600 and higher, supported by bullish momentum.
Setup Details:
Entry Price: Above 1.0585 (breakout confirmation).
Stop-Loss: 1.0560 (below recent support).
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0600.
TP2: 1.0620 (Daily resistance level).
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Scenario B: Bearish Reversal (SELL Setup)
Rationale: If the price breaks below 1.0550, it could target the support levels at 1.0525 and lower.
Setup Details:
Entry Price: Below 1.0550 (breakdown confirmation).
Stop-Loss: 1.0575 (above recent highs).
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0530.
TP2: 1.0520.
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
EURUSD: the ECB week aheadThe Non-farm Payrolls for November were the main macro indicator that the market was waiting for during the previous week. The NFP of 227K in November was slightly above the market expectations of 200K. At the same time, the unemployment rate in November increased a bit to 4,2%, from the previous 4,1%. Average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month, which brings the indicator up by 4% for the year. As for other US macro data published during the week, the ISM Manufacturing reached the level of 48,4 in November, modestly above market estimate of 47,5. The ISM Services PMI in November reached the level of 52,1 which was lower from market estimate of 55,5. Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for December is standing at 74,0 a bit higher from the market expectation of 72,5. Inflation expectation for the next five years has a bit decreased to the level of 3,1%, from 3,2% posted during the previous month.
The Manufacturing industry in Germany continues to slow down. As per posted HCOB Manufacturing PMI final for November, the index in Germany reached the level of 43, which was below market estimate of 43,2. The same index reached 46 in the Euro Zone a bit better from forecasted 45,2. At the same time, the services sector in Germany is doing better from manufacturing, as HCOB Services PMI final for November reached 51,6 a bit better from estimated 49,4. The same index for the Euro Zone was also standing at the level of 51,6. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone dropped by -0,6% in October, bringing the total drop to -3,4% for the year. The Retail Sales in the Euro Zone were higher by 0,5% in October, bringing the indicator up by 2,9% for the year. The Industrial Production in Germany dropped by -2,5% in October for the month, which was significantly below market expectations of +2,5%.
Despite the relatively solid jobs data, the market is increasing odds that the Fed will further cut interest rates at their December meeting. The USD weakened a bit during the previous week, from the level of 1,048 up to the level of 1,062. The currency pair ended the week at the level of 1,056. The RSI started its path toward the upside, however at the level of 45, there is no clear sign that the market is currently eyeing the overbought market side. The moving average of 50 days continued its divergence from the MA200, confirming the cross occurred two weeks ago.
The week ahead will be the ECB week. The Europeans will decide on the future course of reference interest rates. Considering decreasing inflation, but also weakening of the EuroZone economy, the market is expecting to see a further 25 bps cut. On the other hand, the US market will digest the latest NFP and inflation data and position accordingly for the FOMC meeting, scheduled for December 17-18th. As per current charts, there is some probability for resistance line at 1,07 to be tested, but first the 1,06 level should be clearly breached. At the same time, charts are also showing some probability that 1,05 support could be tested for one more time.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate in Germany final for November, ECB Interest Rate Decision (expectations: 3%), ECB Press conference after the ECB meeting, ECB Economic Projections, Balance of Trade in Germany for October, Industrial Production in the EuroZone, HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for December in Germany and the Euro Zone
USD: Inflation rate in November, Producers Price Index in November
EURUSD Down movement after test of the resistance crossingFollowing a significant bearish decline in autumn, EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase, moving sideways. This behavior often occurs after substantial market movements. If the price retests the channel boundary and rebounds, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend from the resistance zone and channel border. The target for this movement is the support zone around 1.04300
EUR/USD: Are We Crashing Through Parity?Well, well, well, EUR/USD, you sly dog. Just when we thought the pair might catch a break, it doubles down on its favorite hobby—going DOWN. 📉 Since late September, this thing has been in a nosedive so steep it makes roller coasters look tame. 🎢
And now? It’s giving us not one but TWO glorious bearish flags. That’s the market’s way of saying, “Hold my beer, I’ve got more downside to cover.” 🍺 So, buckle up as we break down what’s happening with EUR/USD, why it’s acting like a currency in free fall, and just how low it might go. Spoiler alert: Parity might not be far enough. 😏
The Downtrend Diaries: EUR/USD’s Love Affair with Lows
Okay, let’s rewind to late September. What happened? Oh, just EUR/USD deciding it was time to swap its bull costume for a full-blown bear suit. 🐻 We’re talking lower highs, lower lows, and every technical analyst’s favorite phrase: "the trend is your friend" (until it’s not, of course).
This week? The pair is snuggled nicely inside its second bearish flag, like a bear hibernating before its next big move. For those of you wondering, a bearish flag is when the market pauses, catches its breath, and says, “Alright, time to drop some more.” And let me tell you, these flags aren’t subtle. They’re practically screaming, “Hey, the trend’s still bearish—don’t get any ideas!”
Why So Bearish? Let’s Blame the Usual Suspects
The Almighty Dollar Flexing Again 💪
The USD is out here reminding everyone why it’s called the safe-haven king. Interest rates? Still high. Risk-off sentiment? Very much alive. Meanwhile, the euro’s like that one kid who forgot to study for the test—it’s just not prepared to fight back. 🤷♂️
Eurozone: Where’s the Mojo?
Between slowing growth, sticky inflation, and the French government imploding (because why not?), the euro is struggling to convince anyone it’s worth a rally. Even the promise of €500 billion in defense spending couldn’t lift its spirits for long. If fiscal spending can’t save the day, what can?
Bearish Flags Don’t Lie 🚩
These flags are the cherry on top of the downtrend sundae. First, we had one around 1.0650, which broke lower like clockwork. Now we’re staring down another flag that’s coiled tighter than my jeans after Thanksgiving dinner. Once this breaks, well... let’s just say the floor is looking mighty inviting.
How Low Can It Go? Let’s Talk Targets 🔭
Now, if this flag plays out like the textbook says, EUR/USD could easily revisit 1.0450. And if that level doesn’t hold? Get ready to dust off those parity memes. Yes, I’m talking 1.0000, the big, scary, psychological level where everyone suddenly remembers how to panic. 😱
But hey, let’s not stop there. The lower boundary of the larger downtrend is lurking below 0.9900, and if the bears get really hungry, that’s where they’ll feast. 🍴
The Sarcastic Silver Lining: What Would It Take to Flip Bullish?
Oh, you want bullish scenarios? That’s cute. 😏 Here’s what would need to happen:
The euro suddenly gets a personality transplant and decides it’s worth something.
The USD forgets it’s the global reserve currency and takes a nap.
A miracle. Like, divine intervention-level miracle.
But seriously, unless EUR/USD breaks above 1.0600 with conviction (and by conviction, I mean a rally that doesn’t immediately fall apart), the bears are still in charge.
Final Thoughts: Trade Smart or Get Wrecked 💀
Look, the writing’s on the wall. EUR/USD is in a downtrend, the flags are flapping, and the bears are sharpening their claws. This isn’t the time to play hero and try to catch a bottom. Instead, let the trend do its thing, wait for the flag to break, and ride the wave lower. 🌊
And hey, if it does hit parity, at least we’ll have something to talk about at the next market meltdown party. 🎉 Until then, keep those stop-losses tight, and don’t forget: the trend might be your friend, but it’s also got a dark sense of humor.
Catch you next time, traders. George out. 🎤
