done for today Done for today another profitable day and all recorded and a lot of knowledge has been shared too so will be back tomorrow have a good one traders 💓
USDEUR trade ideas
EurUsd wave 5 done. Heading to wave C!What I see!
Wave Pattern!
EurUsd completed wave 5 and now going to complete wave C! We will get in when wave b done. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you/ give better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn& Earn!
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0502
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0548
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0476
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
After we checked the HTF 'Real' Market Structure...We came to the conclusion that if the HL was rejected, we good look, at least for the time being we could look for a Long setup after checking the Hourly 'Real' market structure
HTF (H1) 'Real' Market StructureTo follow up on the 'real' market structure from the Daily, here's my few (or 'Real' Market Structure) on the Hourly.
After the rejection of the Higher Low on the Daily Structure i said we wanted to see a shift on the Hourly.
Now we just can expect something, i won't spill the beans, but maybe you can make up your own mind ;-)
HTF (Daily) 'Real' Market StructureStill Bullish on the Daily ;-)
If you follow 'real' market structure, you will come to the conclusion that the HL is not broken yet so officially we are still bullish on the Daily.
We have been temting and flirting with the Higher Low, but it still isn't broken so if we get a sign of bullishness on the H1, we could ride it back up ;-)
DROP , BASE , RALLY Pattern DROP , BASE , RALLY pattern is my most favorite pattern to identify on charts and take trades accordingly.
Simple explanation of this pattern is that '' price drops to a certain level and then starts accumulation or form base level with bit of liquidity hunt to the down side. Bullish rally begins after the liquidity hunt and formation of strong base.
In this pattern we can take several trades by managing risk with the stop loss at previous low or high.
This Pattern can be identify in any financial market with the accuracy of above 80%. (personal point of view on experience)
Not a financial advice, trade on your own risk. Only for educational purpose.
Regards:
Javed ali nagri
EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - SELL below 1.0505 1.0480EURUSD H1 17/12/2024 - Bearish pressure by macroeconomic fundamentals and a dovish ECB outlook
Technical Analysis Summary
D1 (Daily Chart)
Trend: Bearish with price trading well below the 200-SMA and stuck below the 20-EMA at 1.0540.
Indicators:
RSI: At 40.64, indicating bearish momentum and approaching oversold conditions.
Stochastic: Bearish crossover below 40, showing potential for further downside.
MACD: Negative histogram and signal line, confirming a bearish outlook.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0530 (20-EMA), 1.0560 (near-term swing high).
Support: 1.0480, 1.0460, and a broader target of 1.0435.
H4 (4-Hour Chart)
Trend: Consolidation in a bearish channel, with price unable to break above the 50-SMA.
Indicators:
RSI: At 42.81, reflecting bearish momentum.
Stochastic: Bearish crossover heading down towards oversold levels.
MACD: Bearish histogram, confirming bearish continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0515, 1.0535 (50-SMA).
Support: 1.0485, 1.0460.
H1 (Hourly Chart)
Trend: Bearish, with price below the Ichimoku cloud, 50-SMA, and 200-SMA. Bearish momentum is strong after a recent failed attempt to recover.
Indicators:
RSI: At 38.13, signaling bearish momentum below 40.
Stochastic: Near 10, indicating oversold conditions and suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
MACD: Bearish histogram with a downward signal line.
ATR: At 10 pips, reflecting moderate volatility.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.0505 (minor), 1.0530 (20-EMA).
Support: 1.0485, 1.0460, 1.0435.
M30 (30-Minute Chart)
Trend: Downtrend with price consolidating near support at 1.0485.
Indicators:
RSI: At 34.85, approaching oversold conditions.
Stochastic: At 12, suggesting a minor pullback may occur before further declines.
MACD: Negative momentum remains intact.
Correlated Financial Instruments
US Dollar Index (DXY):
DXY remains firm above 106, supporting a bearish EUR/USD outlook. USD strength continues as inflation data backs expectations of steady Fed policy.
Gold (XAU/USD):
Gold remains under pressure, further confirming USD strength.
Trade Plan for EUR/USD H1
Trade Setup 1: Bearish Continuation on Retracement
Rationale: Given the clear bearish momentum and inability to break key resistance levels, a retracement toward resistance offers a short-selling opportunity.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 1.0505–1.0510 (near minor resistance).
Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above the 20-EMA on H1).
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0485.
TP2: 1.0460.
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Trade Setup 2: Breakout Short Below 1.0485
Rationale: A clean break below 1.0485 support will confirm a bearish continuation towards the next key levels.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 1.0480 (on breakout).
Stop-Loss: 1.0505 (above breakout resistance).
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0460.
TP2: 1.0435.
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Trade Setup 3: Intraday Scalping Short (M30–H1 Levels)
Rationale: If a short-term pullback occurs, use M30 chart resistance as an entry.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: 1.0500 (psychological level).
Stop-Loss: 1.0515.
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.0485.
TP2: 1.0475.
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5.
17.12.2024 - EUR.USD Longs LondonNot perfectly aligned for me with the DXY as there are many liquidation points but not wrong looking for a buy here. We have a nice M1 shift in the M15 range and aligns with DXY as well. Looking for a buy here fractals aiming 1:5 RR.
EURUSD SELL Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
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1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
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2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
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3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
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4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
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Conclusion
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market.
Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply.
Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
EUR/USD Bearish Momentum Towards 1.04530Time x Price x Angle
Time Defines when Expansion will occur
Price Defines the Level at which Time will play
Angle defines the Velocity by which both Time & Price will play
The Euro is currently at 1.04850, Looking for a Bearish Run towards inside Fork Channels 1.04530
Stalking for sell side expansion on EURUSDThe current market condition is bearish, So stalking for sell side expansion is essential for high probability success.
The market has recently traded above an old daily high where majority of retail traders will have interest to participate in the market, whether buying or selling in terms of buy stops protecting there're short positions, So they get to suffer both shorting & longing trades.
After the market has sweep stops on the buy side it tend to gravitate to the sell side liquidity pool.
This is what algorithm does. No indicators needed to read price.
EURUSD - YOU DONE IT AGAINTeam, we have been very lucky and fortunate with EURUSD many trades,
We are entering LONG at 104830-50
ADD more at 1.04625-60 ranges
STOP LOSS at 1.04350 - may extend to 1.04215
Target 1 at 1.04925-65 - book some partial and bring stop loss to BE or 1.4885
Target 2 at 1.05085-1.05115
Target 3 at 1.05226-1.05275
EuroTesting Support On the 1H chart, the price is testing support at 1.046 zone. MACD suggest a potential downward movement. Also, the pair remains below the 100-period moving average (MA100).
🔼If the price rebounds from 1.048, further rise towards 1.04876 is likely.
🔽Alternatively, slide towards 1.047 support and lower is possible
🔷 😎 Choose "👍" if you expect a price will rise and "👎" if you expect a decline.
➡️➡️📲 TRY SABIOTRADE NOW
eurusdtake care . if high risk , now you can enter as scalp and soon risk free .
thanks dr fuzzy logic & ali asadi
Scenario on EURUSD 11.12.24In this analysis, I think there are two possible scenarios and that is a long set up if we stay above the price range around 1.06100-1.06400, but if we do not break through this price range, then I would rather focus on some short set up, we will see the situation is not very visible at the moment.
EURUSD: Short-term trade Before Retail SalesHello Traders,
Due to longer term Bearish Trend in the pair I'm more with the Red Path, However, we have to follow the market!
Any Breaks below the channel and 1.0500, may head the price to 1.0468.
Any Breaks over the zone, could make us see the 1.0577.
We should close our trader before Retail Sales release on Tuesday.
EUR/USD: Short-Term Pullback Before Weekly Bullish ContinuationYesterday's idea worked perfectly, hitting the take-profit target at 1.04925, as expected. As I mentioned, a pullback to the upside occurred after reaching that area.
For today's trade, the daily timeframe bias remains bearish, with a target towards 1.04748. This makes it clear that today's position is a sell.
Looking at the market structure, the NYPM session high has been broken, and there's a Market Structure Shift (MSS) around 1.05192. I plan to wait for the price to return to the FVG zone near 1.05248 before entering a sell position. My take-profit target is set at 1.04982.
Let’s wait and see how this plays out!
EURUSD BUY AT DEMAND ZONE SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on Eurusd price has been downrtrend and making a break of structure so later form a structure shift which is unable to form another break of structure instead forming change of character meaning that uptrend has begin so trader can now go for long at demand zone and take profit above the resistance area. Use money management
EURUSD 1H LongEUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a reversal trade setup price action wise as price failed to make new lows. Price initially broke above the red Ichimoku cloud but failed to hold, signaling a bearish rejection at cloud resistance. The Kijun-Sen (red line) acted as dynamic resistance, while the price retraced and showed rejection near this level. This, combined with the bearish candle formation, suggests a potential reversal to the downside, with the cloud and Kijun-Sen providing technical confirmation.
