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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD/USD at a Critical Support LevelAUD/USD at a Critical Support Level The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions. Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment. Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD chart highlights that the price is sitting at a key support level (marked by a red line), which has already reversed the pair upward three times since the latter half of 2022 (indicated with arrows). Tomorrow's crucial RBA decision is likely to strongly influence whether this support will manage to reverse the price upward for the fourth time. Monday's robust price action suggests that another upward reversal is possible. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
AUD: Oversold ahead of RBA decision? This week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is holding its final board meeting of the year to decide on the cash rate. For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.       Those anticipating a rate cut from the RBA might have to wait until next year though as underlying inflation remains too high. ANZ and Westpac expect cuts in May. NAB projects cuts will happen in the June quarter. The Commonwealth Bank, however, continues to forecast a cut in February. AUD/USD’s decline resumed last week, extending from the start of the month. This movement has pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) toward oversold territory, indicating potential for a short-term rebound. The next significant support level is possibly around 0.6360.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD - Freefall or Possible Reversal?20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Can 1W support hold for a reversal? A break and hold above 0.64405 could signal a short-term reversal. A break and hold below 1W support could trigger a further decline. Keynote! Overall, this pair is still extremely bearish. We need a STRONG QUALITY GREEN MOVE(s) to signal intent otherwise. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Short
by ANROC
7
Trading AUDUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/12/2024Last week was a slow period for trading with the Judas Swing strategy. We were presented with only two trading opportunities on GBPUSD and AUDUSD, resulting in a win and a loss respectively, yielding a 1% gain for the week. With that in mind, we are eager to explore the opportunities that may arise this week. For the Judas Swing strategy, we focus on identifying setups on the following trading pairs: AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD and EURUSD. At 09:30 EST, the market swept liquidity on the sell side of AUDUSD, signalling potential buying opportunities for the session. Shortly after, a similar sweep occurred on the sell side for NZDUSD signalling potential buying opportunities for this currency pair as well. Now, all we need is a break of structure to the buy side. After patiently waiting, we identified similar setups on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD, which are closely correlated pairs, often moving in tandem due to their economic ties and similar market influences. Following the break of structure (BOS), price retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once the candle closed, both pairs met the entry criteria outlined in our checklist, allowing us to execute our trades. The AUDUSD trade hit take profit (TP) with minimal drawdown, delivering a 2% return in just 55 minutes. Meanwhile, the NZDUSD trade on the other hand came close to hitting TP but experienced a slight retracement that temporarily delayed reaching the target We revisited the NZDUSD position, and once again, it edged closer to the TP only to retrace again, frustrating, isn’t it? That’s the nature of trading, it takes you on an emotional rollercoaster. This is why it’s crucial to only risk what you can afford to lose, ensuring you can manage these emotions effectively. After patiently waiting, our perseverance paid off as the NZDUSD trade finally hit TP after 8 hours and 25 minutes, rewarding us with a 2% return. Combined with the AUDUSD trade, we were up 4% on Monday an incredible way to kick off the week!
Education
by CleoFinance
AUDUSD 3H ShortThe AUD/USD 3-hour chart shows a potential bearish continuation setup as price trades below the Kijun-sen (blue) and Tenkan-sen (red), while remaining well under the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo), indicating a strong bearish trend. The red Kumo ahead reinforces selling pressure, and price’s recent failure to hold above resistance signals further downside potential. A bearish continuation below the current support at 0.6317 could open a path towards the next key level at 0.6306, while a stop-loss above the Kijun-sen near 0.6346 helps manage risk, maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Short
by ALRDNMRSKY
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! It's great to see you all. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. retail sales for November, reported by the Department of Commerce, increased by 0.7%, surpassing market expectations. - Strong retail sales indicate that the momentum of the U.S. economy is strengthening. While a rate hold is widely expected at the December FOMC meeting, the prevailing view is that rates will also remain on hold in January. - With the Japanese yen weakening further against the dollar, some suggest that Japanese authorities might intervene in the currency markets. I- n the U.K., wages rose by 5.2% year-over-year from August to October, exceeding expectations and driving the pound higher. - In Canada, the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 1.9%, falling short of the market estimate of 2.0%, which weakened the Canadian dollar. Key Economic Indicators + December 18: U.K. November CPI, Eurozone November CPI, FOMC meeting results + December 19: Bank of Japan rate decision, Bank of England rate decision + December 20: U.S. November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index AUD/USD Chart Analysis The AUD/USD pair has finally broken below the 0.63500 level. Based on the current chart, further declines toward the 0.62000 level seem likely. However, the direction could shift upward depending on the stance the Federal Reserve takes during this week’s FOMC meeting. If unexpected factors lead to an upward move, I’ll quickly revise the strategy accordingly.
Short
by shawntime_academy
AUDUSD - Simplified20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: (Away from charts) It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year! How I see it: Pair remains severely bearish. Any TP can serve as a strong enough support for a reversal Firstly, a series of quality HL's is required A 1D break, and body close above confluence could be a good bull signal Keynote! The RBA will have to intervene in some shape or form against the new $ strength. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Short
by ANROC
AUD/USD at Critical Support: Will the Bearish Trend Continue?Overview AUD/USD is currently in a well-defined downtrend across multiple timeframes, with significant bearish pressure dominating the market. However, the pair is nearing critical support zones, which could potentially trigger a corrective bounce or a continued sell-off. Daily Timeframe Analysis - Trend : The daily chart shows the pair consolidating near the 0.6370 level after a prolonged sell-off. The price is attempting to hold above the critical support at 0.6350. - Indicators: - RSI is near oversold levels, suggesting a potential corrective bounce. - Volume shows no significant accumulation, indicating weak bullish participation. - Key Levels: - Resistance: 0.6400 and 0.6450 (Short-term resistance zones). - Support: 0.6350 (Critical level). - Outlook : A daily close above 0.6400 could trigger a corrective rally toward 0.6450 or 0.6500. On the flip side, a daily close below 0.6350 opens the door for further downside to 0.6300 and 0.6250. Key Trading Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario: - Look for bullish confirmation (RSI divergence or break of 0.6400 resistance). - Target: 0.6450 and 0.6500. - Stop Loss: Below 0.6350. 2.Bearish Scenario: - Wait for a breakdown below 0.6350 with volume confirmation. - Target: 0.6300 and 0.6250. - Stop Loss: Above 0.6400. Conclusion AUD/USD is at a critical juncture, with a bearish bias dominating the higher timeframes. Traders should watch the 0.6350 support level closely for a potential breakout or breakdown scenario. A corrective bounce toward 0.6450 or 0.6500 is possible, but the overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained break above 0.6500. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
by EliteTradersChoudharyJI
1
AUD/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Breakout SetupAUD/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Breakout Setup On the 15-minute time frame, AUD/USD is approaching a resistance level. Here's my idea: Entry Plan: If the price breaks out above the resistance level with confirmation, it could provide a long entry opportunity. Target: The next resistance zone, marked in pink. This setup is contingent on a confirmed breakout. Monitor price action closely and manage your risk accordingly. Let me know your thoughts or share your analysis below! 👍
Long
by rebenga93