audusd“Are you willing to lose money on a trade? If not, then don't take it. You can only win if you're not afraid to lose. And you can only do that if you truly accept the risks in front of you.”
- Sami Abusaad
USDAUD trade ideas
profitable week trading AUDUSD using ict concepts hey traders hopefully you caught pips with me this week as I stated the levels I was looking at throughout the week, if not no worries this video will steer you right for next week. good luck!
Instant SellBased on DXY and AUSDUSD.
IF dxy is bullish . expecting AU for sell based of Asia High for entry
AUDUSD is expected to fall below 0.644On the daily chart, AUDUSD formed an insidebar and broke down, and short-term bears are dominant. Currently, the support near 0.644 is concerned, and it will continue to fall if it falls below. Further below, pay attention to the support near 0.635.
AUDUSD - Bearish Head & ShoulderHead and Shoulders pattern and the current market sentiment, the AUDUSD pair is expected to continue its downward trend in the short term. However, the fundamental and seasonal factors could provide some support to the Australian Dollar.
Trade Recaps: USDJPY-LONG, GBPJPY-LONG, 21/11/2024UJ & GJ Bias Analysis: Both setups were very similar so correlation risk was high and I was effectively risking 1% on 2 separate setups. The Daily was trading at a premium, however after price began re-establishing a bullish counter trend, we pulled back into Internal range liquidity, mitigating the 62.5% and 70.5% fib levels on UJ & GJ respectively. Long entries were in line with the 1H bullish ranges and entry confirmation was achieved by means of a 15M reversal candle and Micro-timeframe confluence (1M Market Structure shift or 5M FVG inversion).
Grade:
- UJ: High Risk
- GJ: Low Risk
What I did well or could've done better:
- I choked my stop losses on both pairs as I was trying to achieve the highest possible R:R. This led to being stopped out after price traded lower on both pairs to sweep MTF TBL.
- I was focused and identified re-entry opportunities. I stuck to my trade management plan and only executed a re-entry on GJ as my plan allows for 3 maximum consecutive losses per day.
AU sell from Asia HighAsia High is used as a mark for entry.
Why I used the low entry point to make sure I get into the trade and does not miss it out.
AUD/USDhello traders, in our opinion, today the aud/usd pair market is in a very beautiful pattern and the market is in a daily weekly bearish state, this is a very good trend for us, is your friend right? we can try to sell it
AUDUSD SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERNHere on Audusd price has form rising wedge pattern and now try to fall so if line 0.64842 break so price will fall more and trader should expect profit target of 0.64577 and 0.64271 . Use money management
Read The AUDUSD MarketLet's Look at AUDUSD Chart and Read Price Actions in last days to decide what can we do with The Market <3
AUDUSD- Will Break 0.8007 as a Wave C) ?DISCLAIMER : All labelling and wave counts done by me by manually and i will keep change according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans...try to learn and make your own strategy...Following is not that much easy...I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY LOSSES IF U TOOK THE TRADE ACCORDING TO MY TRADE PLANS....THANKS LOT..CHEERS
AUDUSD Down/Sell.....primarily due to the strength of the US Dollar and the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, which suggests limited interest rate cuts in the near future. This contrasts with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which, while hawkish, is cautious about inflation and will adjust policies based on economic data. If US economic data continues to be strong, particularly inflation or employment numbers, it will likely support the USD, putting downward pressure on the Aussie. Additionally, rising global tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, increase demand for safe-haven assets like the US Dollar, further limiting the upside for AUD.
AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/USD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.642 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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AUDUSD - Can We Muster a Break Upwards?20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
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How I see it:
If price can break and hold above 0.65208, a short-term rally is possible.
Bullish structure developing, can it hold?
*** Keep in mind we have a 1D Tweezer below 0.65208 +
We are still below Daily SMA cross.
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
KEYNOTE:
The most important to consider always, before you leap:
When you jump in the river, make sure you are swimming "WITH" the current!!
Price hit the 38.2 extension and changed market structure Waiting for price to get to the area. of resistance to make another entry
Trade Recap: AUDUSD - LONG, 20/11/2024AU Bias Analysis: With a clear bearish leg on the 1D as a result of a bullish dollar, Price has now established a Counter Trend towards 1D EPD. The long entry is in line with the current bullish 1H range and price retraced to the 50% fib retracement level on the initial entry and the 79% fib retracement level on the second entry which is floating at BE.
Grade: High Risk
What I did well or could've done better:
- I was not confident in he initial entry due to multiple factors indicating that price would retrace deeper into 1H discount but I followed the plan and executed regardless of what I thought would happen.
AUDUSD Short Trade SetupAfter failing to stay above 0.6650 ....Price retested the key support at 0.6514 & failed to hold that. Now we are ready to resume the bearish and price is likely to continue posting fresh lows in the coming week.
Entry: 0.6454
Target: 0.6356 & 0.6260
Stops: 0.6548
AUDUSD Long Setup After the pair failed to break lower and continue below 0.6445. I think we're headed for a switch here and price maybe preparing to retrace higher to complete a much needed pull back.
Entry: 0.6507
Stop : 0.6445
Targets: 0.6572 & 0.6635
AUDUSD update SELLhey family if you been following along you made some money! price is currently respecting a broken resistance level and I expect further decline. check out my youtube
AUD/USD: Bullish Momentum Amid RBA SupportThe AUD/USD currency pair has showcased a notable bullish momentum over the past three days, reflecting a growing confidence among traders in the Australian Dollar's strength. However, as the London session commenced today, the pair has experienced a slight retracement, drawing attention to its position within a significant demand zone. This area is not only crucial for potential price reversals but also indicates that traders are actively watching for signs of a possible trend continuation.
Central to the pair's performance is the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) hawkish monetary policy stance. Recent developments from the RBA have painted a picture of cautious optimism regarding the Australian economy. Specifically, the minutes released from the RBA's November meeting on Tuesday underscored the board's alertness to the risks of rising inflation. The minutes affirmed the RBA's belief that monetary policy must remain firmly restrictive to combat these inflationary pressures, which has significant implications for the AUD/USD pair.
This hawkish outlook from the RBA may serve to bolster the Australian Dollar, as it implies that interest rates could remain elevated or potentially rise further. Such a stance tends to attract investors seeking higher returns, which can lead to increased demand for the AUD. Consequently, this may deter traders from making aggressive bearish bets against the Australian Dollar, providing a supportive environment for the currency pair.
In terms of technical analysis, we are observing key indicators that suggest a potential price surge. Historical price patterns, combined with recent market movements, indicate that the pair could be poised for a rebound. Additionally, the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report supports this outlook, as it reveals positioning trends among institutional traders that align with our bullish expectations.
Overall, the combination of a supportive fundamental backdrop, characterized by the RBA's vigilant stance on inflation, alongside favorable technical signals, suggests that the AUD/USD pair is likely to regain upward momentum in the near term. Traders will want to keep a close watch on upcoming economic data and central bank communications, as they could further influence market sentiment and the direction of the pair in the coming days.
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