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US500 trade ideas

Is the pull-back another buying opportunity?US stock index futures were all on the back foot this morning, continuing to sell off after yesterday’s losses. The domestically-focused, mid-cap Russell led Thursday’s decline, dropping 1.4% during the session. But it is the tech sector which is leading this morning’s move lower, with fairly uniform declines for the ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell managed to spook markets during a speech and Q&A session last night. He said that the economy was not giving out signals to suggest that the US central bank should be in a hurry to lower rates. His comment led to a pullback in equities and a rally in bond yields. There was also a sharp reversal in rate cut expectations as measured by the CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yesterday morning, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s FOMC meeting next month stood at 82%. This dropped to 62% in the aftermath of Powell’s comments. So, once again, there’s plenty of uncertainty building ahead of the December meeting. The Fed can blame this on recent data, particularly this week’s CPI and PPI releases, but also on what a Trump administration may mean for the US economy. Even though it appeared that both Trump and Powell were in favour of lower rates – the former to goose the economy, the latter to ease the pain of the $1.5 trillion of real estate loans which reset next year – it’s possible that Powell’s hawkish tilt will put the pair back on a collision course, reminiscent of their clash during Trump’s first term. Retail Sales are out later today, and Alibaba is the big earnings release. The question is whether this week’s pullback proves sufficient for investors looking for better long side entry points, or is there more downside from here? If US stock indices can find support around current levels, say 5,900 on the S&P, and rally into the weekend, then this could set the stage for more upside. But if the selling accelerates into today’s close, then investors will have more reason to cut their exposure as we head towards the year-end.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500: Bearish Momentum Below 5927 S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped perfectly as we mentioned in the previous idea so now still has a bearish volume to get 5891 and 5863 as long as it trades below 5927 otherwise, it should close 4h candle above 5928 to be bullish till 5952 and 5972 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5927 Resistance Levels: 5952, 5972, 5989 Support Levels: 5891, 5863, 5833 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Trend while below 5927 - Bullish trend if break 5939 previous idea
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Bullish bounce off pullback support?US500 is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 5,883.74 1st Support: 5,817.25 1st Resistance: 5,963.68 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
SPX 500 day trading LONGAnalysis: Market Structure & Probabilities OANDA:SPX500USD PML (Previous Monthly Low) has been broken, moving higher than last month's low. PMH (Previous Monthly High) has also been broken, pushing beyond last month’s high. PWH/PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) similarly breached, with price moving higher than the previous month's range. PDL (Previous Daily Low) and 4H Swing High/Low have also been surpassed. These indicators suggest a strong bullish bias, with an 87.5% probability of further upside movement vs. a 12.5% bearish scenario (reflected in PDH, as the price dipped below yesterday’s high). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.14 Simple as that.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Jaytradermb
S&P500: No signs of correcting as long as the 1D MA50 supports.S&P500 is on excellent bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 63.046, MACD = 60.810, ADX = 33.473) as it is capitalizing on the 1D MA50 bounce on the day of the U.S. elections. The long term Channel Up is still in full effect since September 2023 and even though we are close to its top, the uptrend can be extended for as long as the 1D MA50 supports. We have so far 3 corrections inside this Channel Up. The two prior to the current one, rebounded to or very close to the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Based on that, we are targeting long term this level (TP = 6,400) for as long as the 1D MA50 holds. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
US500 Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,996.5. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,900.6. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
UPDATE ON S&P500 ANALYSISS&P500 4H - Who managed to catch the Case Study video I put up at the start of the week? As you can see price has played out perfectly, giving us the opportunity to buy into this market. I gave two alternatives, either to go short on the basis we break the last protected low or to go long if we trade into the area of Demand and reject well from it, as you can see we had good rejection and price has given us the opportunity to buy. This is a bullish market as we know so its important we are trading with the prevailing trend, taking our time and timing it right to get involved with this market, precision is important when we look to take part in the markets. This was a precise entry that has played out tenfold, well done to anyone who checked out the case study video and placed a position in this market based on it. I will update you all with any other opportunities that arise.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Lukegforex
Long-Term Investment: Building Wealth for the FutureHave you ever thought about the astounding fact that the S&P 500 has achieved approximately a 10% average annual return over the last ninety years? This statistic serves as a powerful reminder of the effectiveness of long-term investment strategies for accumulating wealth. In contrast to short-term trading, long-term investing emphasizes the gradual growth of your financial assets through the benefits of compounding returns and the overall growth of the market. Yearly Chart of the S&P 500 For individuals seeking financial security and stability, embracing a long-term investment approach is essential. This strategy involves holding onto investments—such as stocks, bonds, or real estate—over extended periods, enabling them to endure market volatility and benefit from economic growth. By concentrating on long-term objectives, you establish a strong foundation for sustainable wealth, making it suitable for those in pursuit of financial independence and a prosperous future. Grasping the fundamentals of long-term investing and applying effective strategies can help you sidestep impulsive decisions and distractions associated with short-term market movements, keeping your attention focused on achieving lasting wealth. - The Importance of Long-Term Investments for Wealth Creation - Long-term investments are crucial for wealth creation, primarily because of the advantages of compound returns. Compounding allows your initial returns to generate further earnings, leading to exponential growth over time. The longer you stay invested, the more substantial the effects of compound interest become, facilitating significant wealth accumulation. Consider this example: if you invest $10,000 at an 8% annual interest rate, at the end of the first year, your investment will grow to $10,800. In the following year, interest is calculated on $10,800 rather than the original $10,000, boosting the total to $11,664. Over decades, this compounding phenomenon can lead to remarkable increases in wealth, underscoring the effectiveness of long-term investments. In addition to the benefits of compounding, long-term investments help mitigate risk. While short-term market fluctuations can be erratic, historical evidence shows that markets generally trend upward over time. Holding investments over more extended periods allows you to ride out volatility and avoid rash decisions during downturns. This approach encourages a mindset of patience and commitment, reducing the likelihood of common errors, like panic selling during market declines. Achieving success in long-term wealth accumulation requires a disciplined approach—sticking to your investment plan despite market fluctuations. Coupled with the advantages of compound interest, long-term investing becomes a dependable pathway toward financial growth and the fulfillment of your aspirations. - Key Long-Term Investment Options - When considering your options for long-term investments, it's imperative to assess choices based on your risk tolerance, growth prospects, and their alignment with your broader financial strategy. Here are several proven avenues for long-term investors to explore: 1 - Stock Market The stock market is a favorite among long-term investors, offering multiple avenues for wealth-building. Index funds and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are particularly appealing due to their broad market exposure. Index funds are designed to track major indices such as the S&P 500, which has historically provided an average annual return of around 10% over the past nine decades. These funds are not only cost-effective but also inherently diversified, making them an excellent choice for novice investors and experienced portfolios alike. ETFs share many similarities with index funds but offer more flexibility as they can be traded like individual stocks. For those inclined to take a more active role, investing in individual stocks can be rewarding, provided thorough research is conducted and a focus is maintained on companies with strong growth potential. However, it's essential to balance investments in individual stocks with safer alternatives, especially within a long-term strategy. 2 - Real Estate Real estate represents another robust option for long-term investing, known for generating consistent returns through property appreciation and rental income. It provides a tangible asset, generating ongoing cash flow and serving as a hedge against inflation. Historically, property values have shown a tendency to increase over time, making real estate a fundamental piece of many long-term wealth-building strategies. Investing in real estate can take various forms, such as acquiring residential or commercial properties, or investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), which allow for real estate investment without the need for direct management. Leveraging real estate through mortgages can maximize its potential as a long-term wealth generator, although it’s crucial to consider associated costs like property maintenance and taxes. Key factors to consider when investing in real estate include location, property condition, and prevailing market trends. Properties situated in high-demand or growing areas usually appreciate at a faster rate and tend to attract more reliable tenants. Understanding local market dynamics and regulations can enhance your investment decisions and outcomes. 3 - Bonds Bonds are often regarded as the safety net within an investment portfolio, providing stable and fixed income, along with lower volatility compared to stocks. They are well-suited for investors who prioritize security or are approaching retirement. Government bonds, such as U.S. Treasury bonds, are typically the safest option but come with lower yields, while corporate bonds offer higher returns but carry additional risks. Incorporating bonds into your investment portfolio can help cushion against stock market fluctuations, ensuring steady returns and protection from extreme volatility. For beginners, bonds can particularly aid in maintaining portfolio stability over time. When considering bonds, it’s essential to evaluate the issuer's credit rating, as this significantly influences the bond's risk profile. Higher-rated bonds (e.g., AAA) tend to be less risky but offer lower returns, while lower-rated bonds (e.g., junk bonds) may yield higher returns at an elevated risk. Diversifying your bond holdings across different issuers and maturities can also aid in risk management. 4- Retirement Accounts (401(k), IRAs) Retirement accounts such as 401(k)s and IRAs are vital for accumulating wealth in a tax-efficient manner. These accounts afford substantial tax benefits: contributions to traditional IRAs and 401(k)s are tax-deductible, with earnings growing tax-deferred until retirement. Roth IRAs necessitate after-tax contributions, enabling tax-free withdrawals in retirement. Retirement accounts facilitate consistent investing over decades, capitalizing on employer matching programs available with 401(k)s. This type of compounding can transform modest contributions into significant sums, making retirement accounts a crucial vehicle for long-term financial success. When utilizing retirement accounts, it’s important to contemplate your retirement timeline and the investment options within these accounts. Traditional accounts may be advantageous for those expecting to be in a lower tax bracket during retirement, while Roth accounts could benefit individuals anticipating higher tax burdens in the future. Regular reviews and adjustments based on your investment goals and risk tolerance are also essential. - Crafting a Long-Term Investment Strategy - Creating a long-term investment strategy entails careful planning and steadfast execution. Whether you are embarking on your investment journey or refining an existing plan, these steps will guide you towards sustainable financial growth: 1- Define Your Financial Goals and Assess Risk Tolerance Before diving into investments, outlining your financial objectives and understanding your risk tolerance are critical. Clarify what you aim to achieve—be it retirement preparation, purchasing a home, or funding education. Clearly defined goals will steer your investment choices and help you remain focused during market fluctuations. Equally important is gauging your risk appetite. Younger investors typically have the flexibility to take on more risk, while those nearing retirement may gravitate towards conservative strategies that emphasize capital preservation through bonds and lower-risk assets. For instance, if you aim to retire in 30 years, a portfolio with a heavier allocation to stocks may be appropriate, given their potential for higher returns despite short-term volatility. Conversely, those closer to retirement may want to shift towards bonds and dividend-paying stocks to reduce risk while ensuring a consistent income. 2- Diversify Your Portfolio Diversification is an integral aspect of any long-term investment strategy. It involves allocating your investments across different asset classes—stocks, bonds, and real estate—to mitigate risk. By diversifying, you shield your portfolio from the detrimental effects of poor performance in any one area. For example, if equities suffer during an economic downturn, your bond or real estate investments may yield positive returns, buffering against significant losses. This balanced approach is key to navigating market volatility and enhancing overall performance. Additionally, consider diversifying within asset classes. In the stock segment, this may involve investing in various sectors and industries. For bonds, diversification means holding an array of types with varied maturities and credit ratings. A well-structured portfolio could include a mix of domestic and international stocks, government and corporate bonds, in addition to real estate investments. By broadening your investments across asset classes and geographical areas, you effectively mitigate risks tied to any single investment or market. 3- Implement Dollar-Cost Averaging Dollar-cost averaging is a strategy that entails investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, independent of market conditions. This approach allows you to buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high, gradually reducing your average cost per share over time. This method helps mitigate the emotional impact of market volatility, proving particularly beneficial for novice investors. By focusing on the long-term while minimizing the effects of short-term fluctuations, dollar-cost averaging can promote the growth of your wealth. To optimize dollar-cost averaging, consider setting up automatic contributions to your investment accounts. This ensures consistent investment practices and makes it easier to resist impulsive decisions based on market activity. 4-Regularly Rebalance Your Investments Over time, some of your investments may outperform others, resulting in your portfolio shifting away from its intended allocation. For example, if stocks exceed bonds in performance, your portfolio may become skewed toward equities. To maintain your desired risk profile, it is crucial to periodically rebalance your investments. Rebalancing involves selling portions of assets that have performed well and reinvesting the proceeds into underperforming assets, thus maintaining your risk tolerance and capturing growth opportunities in undervalued investments. Keeping your portfolio aligned with your long-term strategy fosters steady financial growth. Establish a rebalancing schedule that corresponds with your investment style and market conditions. Some investors may opt to rebalance annually, while others might prefer quarterly or semi-annual adjustments. Additionally, consider rebalancing in response to significant market changes or personal circumstances that impact your financial goals or risk appetite. 5- Review and Refine Your Strategy Long-term investing necessitates ongoing attention. Regularly reviewing your portfolio, monitoring performance, and adjusting your strategy according to shifts in your goals or market conditions can help keep your investments aligned with your objectives. Conducting yearly reviews or quarterly assessments enables you to stay on track and make informed decisions. Monitoring entails evaluating how your investments stack up against your goals and making adjustments when necessary. For instance, if there’s a substantial change in your risk tolerance due to major life events such as marriage or retirement, you may need to alter your asset allocation accordingly. Stay updated on market trends and economic indicators that may influence your investments. While it’s important to avoid overreacting to short-term market changes, being informed allows you to make educated decisions and adapt your strategy when the situation demands it. By adhering to these principles and embracing a long-term perspective, you can lay the groundwork for substantial wealth accumulation and financial independence in the future. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
SP:SPXEducation
by FOREXN1
11
Part 3 – Dynamic Continuation Trading In our series on intra-day trading strategies, we’ve explored approaches suited to quick market moves and breakout scenarios. Now, let’s dive into dynamic continuation trading, a method that seeks to trade in-lie with the days dominant trend. Unlike strategies built around short bursts of momentum, dynamic continuation trading is all about capturing the rhythm of an established trend by entering on controlled pullbacks and aiming to stay in as the trend develops. The method brings a mix of patience, technical indicators, and timing into play, making it ideal for those looking to ride intra-day trends longer than they might with other strategies. Good Things Come to Those Who Wait Dynamic continuation trading rewards requires plenty of patience. It’s a method where your patience can make a difference between capturing a trending move with attractive levels of risk/reward or getting caught in a reversal. This style of trading requires you to have enough patience identify an established trend. Then, there’s waiting for a pullback, ideally to a dynamic support area, which provides an entry point with favourable risk-to-reward potential. And the patience doesn’t end there. As the trade moves in your favour, this approach also calls for a patient, steady hand in trade management. It’s not about taking quick profits but rather about letting the trade develop. That’s where using a trailing stop helps keep you aligned with the trend, locking in profits as the price moves while staying in the trade until the momentum naturally slows down. Dynamic Trend Continuation on the 5-Minute Chart In dynamic continuation trading, the 5-minute chart is your stage. Here’s a breakdown of how the 9 EMA, 21 EMA, and RSI can guide entries, stops, and exits. 1. Establish the Trend with the 9 EMA and 21 EMA For an uptrend, look for the 9 EMA to be positioned above the 21 EMA. Additionally, ensure there’s a visible intra-day uptrend in place, characterised by higher swing highs and higher swing lows. This setup confirms that the market is favouring bullish momentum, and the trend is primed for continuation. 2. Wait for the Pullback Once you see an established trend, wait for a pullback to the zone between the 9 EMA and 21 EMA. This EMA zone serves as dynamic support, giving you a lower-risk entry point aligned with the trend’s direction. At this point, check the RSI for additional confirmation. 3. Use RSI as an Entry Signal During the pullback, the RSI should ideally dip towards the 50 level, which indicates that momentum has temporarily slowed without turning bearish. Once the RSI begins to move back above 50, this signals a resumption of momentum in the direction of the trend. Enter your trade when the RSI crosses back above 50, signalling that the pullback is ending and the trend is ready to continue. Example: S&P 500 In this example, the S&P 500 begins to establish an uptrend with the 9 EMA above the 21 EMA, and prices form a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. The price then consolidates and pulls back toward the moving averages, with the RSI also pulling back toward the 50 area. This signals that the uptrend is likely to continue, and we enter the trade. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Trade Management & Stop Placement The swing high or low that forms following the pullback serves as ideal area for initial stop placement. Stops should be placed just above or below these inflection points to minimize risk if the trend reverses unexpectedly. In terms of managing the trade, the goal is to let the trend naturally unfold rather than micromanaging every move. A more passive approach allows for potential gains as the trend continues, with the 21 EMA acting as a dynamic guide for trailing stops. This moving average offers a reasonable “buffer zone” for staying in the trade while avoiding minor retracements that are common within trends. As price moves in your favour, adjust your stop to follow the 21 EMA. By doing so, you’re locking in profits as the trend progresses while allowing room for the price to ebb and flow around the moving average. This approach aligns with the trend’s rhythm, helping you capture the trend’s full potential without being forced out by temporary pullbacks. Bringing It All Together: How Parts 1, 2, and 3 Complement Each Other With this series, we’ve covered strategies for different market conditions, equipping you with a diverse toolkit for intra-day trading. Part 1 focused on quick-reaction trades in tight ranges, ideal for capturing small moves in low-volatility environments. Part 2 explored breakout momentum, which helps you engage with rapid moves following consolidation. Now, with Part 3, dynamic continuation trading provides a strategy for trending markets, helping you align with sustained price movement. By combining these three approaches, you’re prepared to trade various market states, from range-bound to breakout to trending. This versatility not only enhances your ability to respond to changing conditions but also positions you as a more adaptable trader, ready to take advantage of the unique opportunities each market environment presents. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
Nasdaq 100 preps for next move after Trump winThe Nasdaq 100 has traded sideways this week, hovering around levels from last Friday. This is expected following Trump's victory, which saw the index generate a strong bullish surge of 5.84%. Traders now require consolidation or correction, which is precisely what we're observing. The default is for markets to pull back. Still, they can also move sideways, allowing indicators like the RSI to reach neutral levels and creating an environment where traders may feel ready to go long once the trend resumes upward. Currently, we're watching this week's low at 5,965. If the index stays above this level, we could see a push toward Wednesday's high of 6,014, followed by a target of 16,664 based on the descending triangle pattern forming on the chart. However, if the index breaks below this week's low—a critical short-term level—the NASDAQ 100 could fall to 5,910. For now, though, this is not the primary scenario. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Long
by ThinkMarkets