Get started
US 30Y yieldUS 30Y yieldUS 30Y yield

US 30Y yield

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Yield curve

US30Y trade ideas

Will Trump tax cut be a short term impediment to end this cycle?Will the Trump tax cut be a short term impediment for the yield curve to invert? Based on this chart and some logic... Yes, it will. The previous Fed rate hikes and quantitative tightening has made some pressures to short maturity bond yield go up almost as long maturity bond yields but on the other hand, the US state deficit has increased because of the less current tax receipts based on the Trump tax cut. In other to sustain the US state level, the US government must borrow more money and this ultimately IMHO will lead to a more flexible duration of different spread bonds, increasing, therefore, the duration of the current economic cycle. This process is notorious in the combination based only on free market participants of the 10-30Y Yield Curve as the current state is steepening.
TVC:US30Y
by JoaoPauloPires
1
Divergence between yield and index price actionAs it is known that bond prices are inversely proportional to their respective yield, a decrease in yield means an increase in the price of the bond. Right now we are seeing a continuous decrease in the 30-year bond yield (same goes for the 10-year bond yield_) even the indexes and the global markets as a whole have been going up. This means that bond prices are rising to show an increase in the demand for bonds. This is divergent because usually, the opposite happens. The markets doing well is usually shown by money moving out of low-risk long term bonds and into stocks. The opposite can also be said. When the markets go down or economic uncertainty and risk is on the table, money flows out of stocks (and short term bonds) and into more secure long term bonds, increasing their price and decreasing the yield. The fact that indexes seem to be recovering but long term yields have continued to trend down is a big red flag and should risk should be considered before going long here.
TVC:US30YShort
by MysteriousPersian
USD SHOULD FALL IN LINE WITH 30YR GOVERNMENT BONDSThe bond market is a place where traders can gauge the strength or weakness of a currency. Typically when looking at the US 30YR Government Bonds, if the price of the bonds increases it tells us that traders are willing to invest into the US economy for the long term. This then should show that the USD is likely to increase in price. If the price of the bonds decrease it tells us that traders are unwilling to invest in the US economy for the long-term and that we should expect the price of the USD to fall. Currently, the 30YR Bonds are struggling to increase any higher and we could likely see a fall in price back to the highs in May. This tells us that the USD could fall lower in the coming weeks. Keep an eye out for this correlation and try looking at the past history using the compare tool here on TradingView.
TVC:US30YEducation
by BlueberryMarkets
YIELD CURVE FORECASTING TOOL"There's a warning sign for the economy with an amazing track record: The last five times it flashed, the U.S. economy went into recession within about a year. This economic crystal ball takes the views of people and institutions from from all around the world and boils them down into a single, simple signal." When the yield curve has inverted for a quarter, that means longer term interest rates on average are lower than shorter term interest rates. This predicts that a recession will follow. - Campbell Harvey, Finance Professor at Duke University www.npr.org
TVC:US30Y
by aloysiuschan93
US 30 YR YIELDHello everyone. Here is a trade idea on the 30 year Treasury yield. According to the weekly chart, there is a breakout of the inverted heads and shoulders of the 30 year yield. Macro Thesis: The FED controls the short term interest rate, and the long term interest rates are determined by the supply and demand, meaning the buyers and sellers of the long bond. The last thing the FED wants is an inverted yield curve . IF this thesis is correct, the the 30 year bull run of the long bond might be ove r. According to the chart, the 30 year yield has the potential to reach 4.2% according to the inverted heads and shoulders target. With the 30 year yield up, the 10 year yield will follow, and the FED will raise rates to the neutral target of above 3%. The trade has a reward to risk of 3.6, if the stop is placed near the right shoulder. GOOD LUCK
TVC:US30YLong
by johnmoju
1