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US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

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US10Y trade ideas

1O year US T Bond Yield:A hot jobs report Friday sent shivers through the bond market, prompted yet another repricing of rate-cut expectations and may have ruined Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s weekend. Treasurys sold off, sending yields (which move opposite to price) jumping Friday. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD02Y, the most sensitive to policy expectations, jumped 15 basis points to end at 4.87%, while the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y rose 14.8 basis points to 4.428%. For the purist TEchnical Analyst, teh writing was on the wall. And till 4.66% rise, they woudl still be relaxing in their Lazy Boy Chair.
TVC:US10YLong
by SWFguy
Analysing US 10-Year Yield Trends Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll DataI know we have non-farm payrolls tomorrow, but in my view, the US 10-year yield is telling a powerful story on the charts. On the daily chart, the yield has broken into 2-month lows and fallen back below the 4.35% February peak, indicating potential near-term weakness. The weekly chart shows a recent clear failure at the previous uptrend, suggesting that 4.74% was an interim peak. This implies we are likely to see short-term weakness. Unless the market breaks above the recent high of 4.74%, I maintain my near- to short-term view that US 10-year yields are likely to slip back to their 20-month moving average at 4.05%. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
TVC:US10YShort
by The_STA
TNX 10 year note here we go againThe ten year has done a double pump each time it collapsed. This time it has hit its second top, and down we go to its 50% fib, or there abouts, just as it has in the past. Election coming, gotta make thin gs better than they seem and are. Lower rates in July .25, just a start, then another .25 in September, and then another in November. If they wait until September, the effects of lowering wont be felt by real estate in time to have the affect they want on voters. Commodities will surge, because inflation is still not under control, and this will actually make that worse. In fact it will cause home prices to surge up also. And with brics hitting in October, Gold is gonna skyrocket, silver follows. Idiots. All to stay in power, and cover all the lies with that power, and by that power. They cannot afford to loose. In fact if this doesn't work, along with stimming the economy also with easy to get HLOC loans starting in July (yep Freddie Mac gonna back second mortgages - to squeeze every last drop of equity out of those inflated priced homes - wait didn't we do something similar in 2008?) , its WW3, to cover it up and delay elections. What a world. God bless us all.
TVC:US10YShort
by claydoctor
Treasury Yields Search SupportYields on the US 10-Year seem to have broken the January uptrend, threatening another test of key support at 4.26/32 - a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 1998 low-close, and the 61.8% retracement of he 2000 Decline. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a break / close below needed to suggest a larger reversal is underway here. Resistance now eyed at the yearly high-week close (HWC) at 4.66 with a breach / weekly close above 4.75/83 ultimately needed to mark uptrend resumption. Michael Boutros @MBForex
TVC:US10Y
by FOREXcom
The Bond DilemmaThis is a simple setup resulted from the analysis, processing, and simulation, of several future scenarios that might unfold. The rectangles are projected support and resistance zones where the price might hit a bump, create a turnaround, or halt it's actions into a consolidation zone, before continuing on its initial path. The small orange one marks a potential milestone for a scenario in which in case it is hit, and only in this scenario, a pivot point might be expected at the marked time stamp. The marked price level is also relevant in case a correction is formed near it, leading to a potential end of it, with a candlestick potential reversal pattern that can signal an opportunity to jump on the action of the next wave. We use Japanese Candlesticks in our analysis to compute the tendencies of the market, the sentiment, the overall context of each wave, but also to assess any potential weakness in a wave (useful and required for position management), or a complete reversal. While the obvious scenarios in which a turnaround can occur at the upper rectangle, a bounce from the red one, or an incursion towards the big green one, might sound appealing to us, we must also not limit ourselves to such scenarios and keep an open mind for any other opportunities signaled by the candlestick analysis, and the overall context of the flows and events in the market. As usual, this project will be followed by short updates for milestones, highlights, or potential red alert scenarios (pivot points or reversals). Trade with care, and may the force of profits be with you!
TVC:US10
by nen
5
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - US10Y - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing US10Y, starting from the 3-Month chart. - R2F
TVC:US10YEducation
by Road_2_Funded
US 10Y TREASURY: more volatility ahead?The 10Y US Treasuries exhibited some higher volatility during the previous week. Nervousness prior to the release of the PCE data was evident, when yields reached their highest weekly level at 4.62%. However, as the PCE was fully in line with the market expectations, yields cooled down a bit until the level of 4,50% for one more time. Shifts in investors sentiment will continue to be impacted by broader economic conditions and market forecasts, in line with significant policy developments. Economic data which will be posted in the week ahead are non-farm payrolls and unemployment data for May. In case of any surprises on this side, the market might react again with a new jump in Treasury yields. However, in case of no-surprises, the yields should continue their relaxation. Still, the first Fed's rate cut continues to be the major topic on financial markets for the future period.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Forecasting the US 10-Year Yield: Insights for Q2 and Q3Traders, as we navigate through the second and third quarters, understanding the potential movements of the US 10-year yield TVC:US10Y becomes increasingly crucial. Join me as we analyze the factors shaping the bond market and anticipate the trajectory of the 10-year yield in the coming months. I'm excited to share a comprehensive outlook, encompassing a short-term surge to 4.625%, a subsequent retracement to 4.3%, and finally, a bold move up to 5% by the end of July. TVC:US10Y Prepare for market turbulence! With inflation data grabbing the spotlight, brace yourself for a potential seismic shift in the financial landscape. As inflation data becomes the talk of the town, all eyes turn to the US 10-year yield TVC:US10Y , which stands on the brink of a surge towards the pivotal 4.625% threshold. We're in for a wild ride as inflation data takes center stage and sets the stage for market volatility. Reasoning: Economic Recovery Outlook: Assessing the pace and trajectory of economic recovery will be paramount in forecasting the US 10-year yield. Keep an eye on key indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer sentiment surveys. Inflation Expectations: Rising inflation expectations can put upward pressure on bond yields as investors demand higher returns to offset the eroding purchasing power of their investments. Monitor inflation data releases and central bank statements for insights into future policy actions. Profit-Taking Opportunity: In anticipation of the yield surge, I'm eyeing profit-taking opportunities on USD pairs. The heightened yield environment could attract investors seeking higher returns, driving up demand for the USD in the short term. Inflation Data Surge: As inflation data takes center stage, the US 10-year yield is poised to surge towards the critical 4.625% threshold. This anticipated increase in bond yields is likely to trigger a ripple effect across the forex market, particularly impacting USD pairs. Global Economic Trends: Global economic trends and geopolitical developments can also impact the US 10-year yield. Factors such as international trade dynamics, monetary policy decisions by major central banks, and geopolitical tensions can influence investor sentiment and bond market movements. As we journey through the second and third quarters, let's stay proactive and informed to capitalize on opportunities in the bond market. Join the discussion as we navigate the intricacies of bond yield forecasting! #US10YearYield #Forecasting #BondMarketAnalysis 📈📉💡
TVC:US10YLong
by mackmackeyy
Interest Rates look decently strongThe 2Yr yield has paced itself recently. The 10Yr #yield is picking up steam. Both went from a bearish moving average crossover, circles, to a bullish (Data not seen here, more info in profile) 2Yr is almost @ last years bank failure rates. 10Yr has been trading mostly above. Weekly 2Yr looks like it wants to skyrocket, if breaking out of the ascending triangle pattern. 10Yr has been treading higher, along its trend line. TVC:TNX Fed is in a catch 22. Cannot raise rates, more things will break BUT it but cannot lower, inflation.
TVC:US10Y
by ROYAL_OAK_INC