Bullish S&P500I expect another rally after a correction in stock market for the last month of the year as Santa rally!
SP500 trade ideas
Part 3 – Dynamic Continuation Trading
In our series on intra-day trading strategies, we’ve explored approaches suited to quick market moves and breakout scenarios. Now, let’s dive into dynamic continuation trading, a method that seeks to trade in-lie with the days dominant trend.
Unlike strategies built around short bursts of momentum, dynamic continuation trading is all about capturing the rhythm of an established trend by entering on controlled pullbacks and aiming to stay in as the trend develops. The method brings a mix of patience, technical indicators, and timing into play, making it ideal for those looking to ride intra-day trends longer than they might with other strategies.
Good Things Come to Those Who Wait
Dynamic continuation trading rewards requires plenty of patience. It’s a method where your patience can make a difference between capturing a trending move with attractive levels of risk/reward or getting caught in a reversal.
This style of trading requires you to have enough patience identify an established trend. Then, there’s waiting for a pullback, ideally to a dynamic support area, which provides an entry point with favourable risk-to-reward potential.
And the patience doesn’t end there. As the trade moves in your favour, this approach also calls for a patient, steady hand in trade management. It’s not about taking quick profits but rather about letting the trade develop. That’s where using a trailing stop helps keep you aligned with the trend, locking in profits as the price moves while staying in the trade until the momentum naturally slows down.
Dynamic Trend Continuation on the 5-Minute Chart
In dynamic continuation trading, the 5-minute chart is your stage. Here’s a breakdown of how the 9 EMA, 21 EMA, and RSI can guide entries, stops, and exits.
1. Establish the Trend with the 9 EMA and 21 EMA
For an uptrend, look for the 9 EMA to be positioned above the 21 EMA. Additionally, ensure there’s a visible intra-day uptrend in place, characterised by higher swing highs and higher swing lows. This setup confirms that the market is favouring bullish momentum, and the trend is primed for continuation.
2. Wait for the Pullback
Once you see an established trend, wait for a pullback to the zone between the 9 EMA and 21 EMA. This EMA zone serves as dynamic support, giving you a lower-risk entry point aligned with the trend’s direction. At this point, check the RSI for additional confirmation.
3. Use RSI as an Entry Signal
During the pullback, the RSI should ideally dip towards the 50 level, which indicates that momentum has temporarily slowed without turning bearish. Once the RSI begins to move back above 50, this signals a resumption of momentum in the direction of the trend. Enter your trade when the RSI crosses back above 50, signalling that the pullback is ending and the trend is ready to continue.
Example: S&P 500
In this example, the S&P 500 begins to establish an uptrend with the 9 EMA above the 21 EMA, and prices form a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. The price then consolidates and pulls back toward the moving averages, with the RSI also pulling back toward the 50 area. This signals that the uptrend is likely to continue, and we enter the trade.
S&P 500 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Trade Management & Stop Placement
The swing high or low that forms following the pullback serves as ideal area for initial stop placement. Stops should be placed just above or below these inflection points to minimize risk if the trend reverses unexpectedly.
In terms of managing the trade, the goal is to let the trend naturally unfold rather than micromanaging every move. A more passive approach allows for potential gains as the trend continues, with the 21 EMA acting as a dynamic guide for trailing stops. This moving average offers a reasonable “buffer zone” for staying in the trade while avoiding minor retracements that are common within trends.
As price moves in your favour, adjust your stop to follow the 21 EMA. By doing so, you’re locking in profits as the trend progresses while allowing room for the price to ebb and flow around the moving average. This approach aligns with the trend’s rhythm, helping you capture the trend’s full potential without being forced out by temporary pullbacks.
Bringing It All Together: How Parts 1, 2, and 3 Complement Each Other
With this series, we’ve covered strategies for different market conditions, equipping you with a diverse toolkit for intra-day trading.
Part 1 focused on quick-reaction trades in tight ranges, ideal for capturing small moves in low-volatility environments. Part 2 explored breakout momentum, which helps you engage with rapid moves following consolidation. Now, with Part 3, dynamic continuation trading provides a strategy for trending markets, helping you align with sustained price movement.
By combining these three approaches, you’re prepared to trade various market states, from range-bound to breakout to trending. This versatility not only enhances your ability to respond to changing conditions but also positions you as a more adaptable trader, ready to take advantage of the unique opportunities each market environment presents.
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Nasdaq 100 preps for next move after Trump winThe Nasdaq 100 has traded sideways this week, hovering around levels from last Friday. This is expected following Trump's victory, which saw the index generate a strong bullish surge of 5.84%. Traders now require consolidation or correction, which is precisely what we're observing. The default is for markets to pull back. Still, they can also move sideways, allowing indicators like the RSI to reach neutral levels and creating an environment where traders may feel ready to go long once the trend resumes upward.
Currently, we're watching this week's low at 5,965. If the index stays above this level, we could see a push toward Wednesday's high of 6,014, followed by a target of 16,664 based on the descending triangle pattern forming on the chart. However, if the index breaks below this week's low—a critical short-term level—the NASDAQ 100 could fall to 5,910. For now, though, this is not the primary scenario.
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SPX500 D1 | Falling to pullback supportSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 5,876.68 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50.0% retracement levels.
Stop loss is at 5,670.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 6,204.33 which is a level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
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S&P 500 Index Stabilises Near Resistance BlockS&P 500 Index Stabilises Near Resistance Block
The ATR indicator on the S&P 500’s 4-hour chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) currently shows a reduction in price volatility.
This drop in volatility can likely be attributed to:
→ The market having fully absorbed the impact of Trump’s recent presidential win;
→ No unexpected news from yesterday’s CPI report, which matched analysts’ inflation expectations.
Looking ahead, Morgan Stanley analysts believe the bull market could face challenges from:
→ A rise in treasury bond yields, potentially diverting investor funds;
→ A strengthening dollar, which could reduce export revenues for large companies;
→ Indicators suggesting stock valuations are becoming even more stretched.
Technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) highlights that price is at a resistance zone created by:
→ The upper boundary of the upward blue channel, which began in early September;
→ The upper edge of the long-term ascending channel (shown in orange, previously charted in our S&P 500 analysis on October 14);
→ The psychological level of 6,000 points.
Given these factors, it’s reasonable to anticipate that bulls may encounter difficulties if they attempt to push past the 6,000 level.
A potential pullback may emerge following the S&P 500's 4% rise since early November—perhaps towards the channel’s median or lower boundary.
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SPX Nov 13SPX Nov 13 - demand and supply zones for the upcoming week. Please refer to the supply and demand zones for this chart.
S&P500 Is Approaching Key Support Level.Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on the US500 for a potential buying opportunity around the 5800 zone. The index is currently trading in an uptrend, but we’re seeing it enter a corrective phase. This correction is bringing it back toward the 5800 support and resistance area, a critical zone that aligns with the broader upward trend.
The 5800 level could serve as a strong entry point, offering an opportunity to join the prevailing uptrend at a favorable price. If price action confirms support at this level, it may signal a potential rally continuation in line with the broader market momentum.
As always, ensure you manage risk and stay cautious in your entries.
Trade safe,
Joe
SPX Ratio on Stock600Hello,
A little comparison between two markets, the SP500 and the Stock600.
I made a little ratio to see where the money is going!
The result is clear, the currency is going to the USA and not to old Europe.
Does Europe still have a future, with 27 countries!
Your opinion interests me.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
S&P 500: Inflation Concerns Weigh on Market Ahead of CPI Release S&P 500
Technical Analysis
The price dropped from its ATH and is continuing toward 5928 and 5891. This decline is driven by the upcoming CPI report, with the previous result at 2.4% and expectations at 2.6%. Given recent reports on job data and retail sales, there's a likelihood that CPI will exceed 2.6%, indicating higher inflation, which would negatively impact the indices market.
Alternatively, a 4H candle close above 5990 could signal a bullish movement toward 6027.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5989
Resistance Levels: 6027, 6045, 6068
Support Levels: 5949, 5928, 5891
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Trend while below 5989
- Bullish trend above 6027
S&P500 Eyeing 6180 on this diverging Channel Up.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 27 2023 High. More recently it has been following a shorter (dotted) Channel Up since the August 05 2024 Low, which made its most recent Higher Low on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) the day before the U.S. elections.
The rally that followed since, hit the top of the 1-year Channel Up but the current 2-day red streak may not be a rejection to the new Bearish Leg (red Channels) as the (dotted) diverging Channel Up is on its 2nd Bullish Leg. If it is similar in strength to the September - October one, then we expect to see 6180 short-term.
As you can see, every Bullish Leg of the 1 year Channel Up has consisted of two smaller buy highly symmetric Bullish Legs, all of which look very similar with each other (black sequences).
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charts breakdownMarket Overview: The has been trading within a over the past . Currently, we’re seeing significant activity around the level at , which has been tested multiple times. Volume analysis indicates activity, suggesting .
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Level: – This has acted as a cap for recent upward moves.
Support Level: – A key area where buyers have historically stepped in, providing support.
Trendline Support/Resistance: .
Moving Averages: – Currently, the price is trading these averages, indicating momentum.
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at , suggesting conditions. This could imply that the market may soon .
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Volume Profile: Volume is near the level, indicating .
Potential Trade Setups:
Breakout Trade (if price breaches resistance): Consider entering a long position if the price closes above . A stop-loss could be set below , targeting .
Reversal Trade (if price approaches support): A potential long position near , with a tight stop-loss just below, targeting a return to .
Mean Reversion Strategy: With RSI nearing overbought/oversold levels, there’s potential for a pullback towards the mean, particularly if price encounters a strong resistance/support area.
Risk Management:
Use a stop-loss on each trade.
Given recent volatility, consider a wider stop-loss to avoid whipsaw action but still within reasonable risk parameters.
Adjust position sizes based on volatility and adherence to trading rules.
Conclusion: The shows momentum with key support and resistance levels identified. Traders may find potential opportunities based on setups. Monitoring volume and price action closely at these levels will be crucial to confirming any trade entries.
Bullish bounce?US500 is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 5,925.30
1st Support: 5,872.30
1st Resistance: 6,018.10
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
S&P 500 prospects A significant number of companies in the S&P Index are invested in developing and innovating, especially in the technology sector. With the development of artificial intelligence (AI), we expect to see not just growth, but a real boom in the market, as AI promises to revolutionize many industries. The changes associated with AI can affect the efficiency of business processes, the creation of new products and services, and the competitiveness of companies.
In addition, current economic policies characterized by low interest rates play a key role in this scenario. Low rates make the cost of borrowing much easier, which stimulates both economic activity and investment. Businesses can expand, invest in research and development, and at the same time consumers can afford to spend more, further supporting economic growth.
This combination of factors, from the innovative power of tech giants to favorable monetary policy, creates a unique environment for significant growth in the S&P 500 Index. Investment in AI is expected to not only increase, but also lead to the creation of new markets and business models, which could provide sustainable and long-term growth for the economy and, by extension, for stocks.
Analyzing the current market trends through the prism of technical analysis, we notice that the chart shows a structure resembling the formation of the fifth wave within the Elliott Wave Theory. Our forecasts and mathematical calculations indicate that this wave may peak at approximately $6100.
In addition, we observe that market prices are firmly positioned above the significant level of the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is traditionally considered a sign of an uptrend or bull market. This indicator emphasizes the stability of the current uptrend.
Additional confirmation that the $6,100 level is a promising level for profit taking is the extended Fibonacci level of 1,618.
Best wishes, Horban Brothers.
S&P500 short: last warning This is a follow up to the same idea that I've recently posted. The reason is the same: top of channel rejection, and Elliott Waves completion.
Stocks, BTC & Gold .. my view! Price action after Donald Trumps win shows us the following:
1. Market (Stocks) are in a risk ON mode
2. BTC is following stocks and is also in a risk ON mode
3. Gold is going back to its historical safe haven status or risk OFF mode
So IMHO market is pulling out money from Gold and investing in Stocks and Crypto.
IF my observation and logic is correct then should there be a retracement in Stocks then you will see a correction in Crypto and rebound in Gold
In the picture you can observe a comparison between S&P and BTC. And you know gold has been going in the other direction.
What if.....I was just trolling but I kinda like it.
Its making me type stuff for me to post this idea. Lets see how many words it needs
SPX500 Bullish Momentum Post-ElectionHello,
VANTAGE:SP500 has responded positively to the election results, and further bullish movement is anticipated, though minor fluctuations may occur. The 1W pivot point could potentially be tested. A cross and sustained move above the 1D pivot point would signal an immediate continuation of the bullish momentum.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
SPX in daily charts Hello
It's been a while the I am thinking to close my trading view page. If I am explaining it is to make a plan for some ideas I have published. It means that I have published a few ideas that might happen and because they are in big time frame I need to give a plan for next steps when I am not here anymore so please let me know if any of my ideas that was helpful for you.
For this chart I predict another correction as wave IV and then last rise as wave V. This scenario would take a few months and then we might have a deep correction.
Another scenario is to make higher levels and then we see a main correction.
I expect deeper corrections for this movement.
For investors, I recommend not to invest in stocks for long terms and please consider that these highs that main indices are experiencing comes from a minority high cap companies.
For traders, it does not matter where market goes (short is mostly better) and they will find a way to make profits.
Be safe and Happy.
SP500 Sell Idea Take advantage of expected market weakness by identifying and executing a well-timed short trade that aligns with bearish technical and macroeconomic factors. The aim is to enter at a high point (near resistance) and exit at a lower point.
Warning maybe in order?A lot of bullish sentiment out there but the rally is not confirmed. See the negative divergence marked on the bottom of the chart.
Also running into long term trend line and confluence of Fib values converging around soon.
"Dynamic vs Static" Support and Resistance LevelsIn this video i will exmplain What is Dynamic and Static levels,
How they are used, and
What's the difference.
Dynamic's Support&Resistance are Moving Average or Trendline levels.
Static's Support&Resistance are Horizontal levels.
SPX500 TREND LINES, PIVOT and APEX POINT VIEWThe SPX500 if manage to close above the last high of 5670 on Daily TF then expect the price to hit the TL.R at 5764 from where the prices can fall back a bit and then move for the next target to TL.B2 at 5810 and if it closes above that point then you can expect the price to move to take over the PIVOT R3 at 61110, but if it is rejected then expect the price to fall towards PIVOT R2. Trend Line green and TL.R form a widening channel. If the price fall back the TL.B1 and Closes Below Pivot R2, then Expect the price bounce from the Trend line green. The main scenario of the price action shows that if the price is not rejected from the previous high of 5670, then price will surely lead to take over the TL.R and TL.B2. On Contrary if price rejected sharply from the TL.B2 and closes below PIVOT R2, then price may continue to fall towards PIVOT R1. Please leave your comments and your suggestions. Expected Movement for the rest of the year will be in between the two apex points 5410 and 5747. Any Voilation of these points will determine the further direction of the SPX price movement.
