NZD/USD looking very bearish over the longer termLooking at the 6 month candlesticks, whereby each candlestick represents 6 months of price action, every time this pair has put in a bottom it has done so relatively quickly and started an uptrend. The past 4 years have been different though.
It has been testing the .55 level since 2020. The Covid Rally was formidable but it came right back down in 2022 and has not caught a strong bid. This presents a bearish case in my opinion. If it were to put in a massive rally from here that would be very anomalous from a price action perspective.
.55 doesn't offer as strong a historical support as .50(ish) does. If this pair trades down and breaks the 2020 lows it will quickly go to .50 with strong follow-through.
Side note: are we really to ignore the massive multi decade head and shoulders pattern is has formed? I will not. This pair is headed down below .50 by next year sometime in my opinion.