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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

Kiwi H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6025 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6055 which is a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.5981 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
NZDUSD: Potential for Slight Bullish Bias Amid Key Fundamental !NZDUSD: Potential for Slight Bullish Bias Amid Key Fundamental Drivers (25/10/2024) Today, the NZDUSD currency pair shows potential for a slight bullish bias, influenced by a blend of fundamental factors and evolving market conditions. Let's dive into the primary drivers impacting the New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZDUSD) pair today and assess whether the bullish sentiment could hold. 1. New Zealand's Economic Data and RBNZ Stance The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a balanced tone on interest rates amid recent economic data. Despite slower-than-expected growth figures, the New Zealand economy demonstrates resilience in key sectors like exports and services, which might provide support for the NZD. Market expectations for RBNZ’s neutral-to-hawkish stance add a slight bullish outlook for the NZD, as investors anticipate steady policy moves that avoid aggressive tightening while also signaling confidence in the economy’s fundamentals. 2. US Dollar Moderation Amid Potential Fed Pause The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown signs of consolidation as Federal Reserve officials continue to weigh the potential for a pause in rate hikes. Recently, the USD’s bullish momentum has softened, with investors focusing on US inflation data that suggests a gradual cooling, potentially easing pressure on the Fed to maintain a tight monetary policy stance. This development could limit the USD’s strength, lending support to a slight upside for NZDUSD as investors look for alternative assets. 3. China’s Economic Resilience and Impact on NZD China, as New Zealand's primary trading partner, influences the NZD through commodity prices and trade flows. Recent signs of resilience in China’s economy, particularly in industrial production and retail sales, may boost market sentiment for currencies like the NZD, as stronger demand for New Zealand’s exports could improve trade dynamics. This positive external factor indirectly supports the NZD, making NZDUSD slightly more appealing in today’s trading landscape. 4. Technical Levels and Market Sentiment for NZDUSD On the technical analysis front, NZDUSD has shown support near the 0.5850 level, with a potential resistance zone around 0.5950. Should the pair break above the 0.5900 mark, we could see momentum strengthening, bolstered by the factors discussed. RSI indicators are also neutral, suggesting room for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns. A slight bullish bias may prevail, provided these technical and sentiment indicators remain supportive. Summary: Slight Bullish Bias for NZDUSD In summary, NZDUSD could hold a slight bullish bias today, with influences from New Zealand’s resilient economy, a softer USD, and supportive technical indicators. Traders might find opportunities if bullish momentum strengthens, keeping an eye on US Dollar trends, RBNZ announcements, and China's economic performance for additional cues. Keywords: 1. NZDUSD forecast 2. New Zealand Dollar analysis 3. US Dollar impact 4. RBNZ policy stance 5. NZDUSD technical levels 6. Forex trading insights 7. Federal Reserve impact 8. China economy influence 9. NZDUSD bullish bias
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
1
Nzdusd sellsLong run sellssource = input(defval=close, title="Source") // Smooth Average Range per1 = input(defval=27, minval=1, title="Fast period") mult1 = input(defval=1.6, minval=0.1, title="Fast range") per2 = input(defval=55, minval=1, title="Slow period") mult2 = input(defval=2, minval=0.1, title="Slow range") smoothrng(x, t, m) => wper = t * 2 - 1 avrng = ema(abs(x - x ), t) smoothrng = ema(avrng, wper) * m smoothrng smrng1 = smoothrng(source, per1, mult1) smrng2 = smoothrng(source, per2, mult2) smrng = (smrng1 + smrng2) / 2 // Range Filter rngfilt(x, r) => rngfilt = x rngfilt := x > nz(rngfilt ) ? x - r < nz(rngfilt ) ? nz(rngfilt ) : x - r : x + r > nz(rngfilt ) ? nz(rngfilt ) : x + r rngfilt filt = rngfilt(source, smrng) upward = 0.0 upward := filt > filt ? nz(upward ) + 1 : filt < filt ? 0 : nz(upward ) downward = 0.0 downward := filt < filt ? nz(downward ) + 1 : filt > filt ? 0 : nz(downward ) hband = filt + smrng lband = filt - smrng longCond = bool(na) shortCond = bool(na) longCond := source > filt and source > source and upward > 0 or source > filt and source < source and upward > 0 shortCond := source < filt and source < source and downward > 0 or source < filt and source > source and downward > 0 CondIni = 0 CondIni := longCond ? 1 : shortCond ? -1 : CondIni long = longCond and CondIni == -1 short = shortCond and CondIni == 1 // Plotting plotshape(long, title="Long", text="Long", style=shape.labelup, textcolor=color.black, size=size.tiny, location=location.belowbar, color=color.lime, transp=0) plotshape(short, title="Short", text="Short", style=shape.labeldown, textcolor=color.white, size=size.tiny, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, transp=0) // Alerts alertcondition(long, title="Long", message="Long") alertcondition(short, title="Short", message="Short")
Short
by pioneervip
1
Nzdusd sellsLong run sellssource = input(defval=close, title="Source") // Smooth Average Range per1 = input(defval=27, minval=1, title="Fast period") mult1 = input(defval=1.6, minval=0.1, title="Fast range") per2 = input(defval=55, minval=1, title="Slow period") mult2 = input(defval=2, minval=0.1, title="Slow range") smoothrng(x, t, m) => wper = t * 2 - 1 avrng = ema(abs(x - x ), t) smoothrng = ema(avrng, wper) * m smoothrng smrng1 = smoothrng(source, per1, mult1) smrng2 = smoothrng(source, per2, mult2) smrng = (smrng1 + smrng2) / 2 // Range Filter rngfilt(x, r) => rngfilt = x rngfilt := x > nz(rngfilt ) ? x - r < nz(rngfilt ) ? nz(rngfilt ) : x - r : x + r > nz(rngfilt ) ? nz(rngfilt ) : x + r rngfilt filt = rngfilt(source, smrng) upward = 0.0 upward := filt > filt ? nz(upward ) + 1 : filt < filt ? 0 : nz(upward ) downward = 0.0 downward := filt < filt ? nz(downward ) + 1 : filt > filt ? 0 : nz(downward ) hband = filt + smrng lband = filt - smrng longCond = bool(na) shortCond = bool(na) longCond := source > filt and source > source and upward > 0 or source > filt and source < source and upward > 0 shortCond := source < filt and source < source and downward > 0 or source < filt and source > source and downward > 0 CondIni = 0 CondIni := longCond ? 1 : shortCond ? -1 : CondIni long = longCond and CondIni == -1 short = shortCond and CondIni == 1 // Plotting plotshape(long, title="Long", text="Long", style=shape.labelup, textcolor=color.black, size=size.tiny, location=location.belowbar, color=color.lime, transp=0) plotshape(short, title="Short", text="Short", style=shape.labeldown, textcolor=color.white, size=size.tiny, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, transp=0) // Alerts alertcondition(long, title="Long", message="Long") alertcondition(short, title="Short", message="Short")
Short
by pioneervip
2
NZD/USD Analysis for October 24, 2024: Slight Bullish Bias!!The NZD/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting a slight bullish bias as of October 24, 2024. Several key fundamental factors and market conditions are influencing this upward movement. This article highlights these key drivers and provides insights for traders seeking to navigate the current market landscape. Key Drivers Behind the Bullish Bias for NZD/USD 1. Optimistic New Zealand Economic Outlook: - Recent economic data from New Zealand has shown positive signs, particularly in employment growth and inflation figures. The unemployment rate has remained low, and inflation is expected to stay within the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) target range. This optimism surrounding the country's economic recovery is helping support the New Zealand dollar (NZD). - Additionally, the RBNZ's stance on potential interest rate hikes has strengthened the Kiwi, as the central bank continues to signal a gradual tightening of monetary policy to control inflation. 2. Weaker U.S. Dollar: - Despite the strong performance of the U.S. economy in previous months, the U.S. dollar (USD) has experienced some weakness due to changing market sentiment. Investors are anticipating that the Federal Reserve may begin slowing the pace of interest rate hikes in the coming months, which has caused some softening of the USD. - Any indication that the Federal Reserve might take a more dovish approach to its monetary policy can impact the strength of the USD, favoring other currencies like the NZD in the short term. 3. Commodity Price Recovery: - The New Zealand dollar is closely tied to global commodity prices, especially agricultural products like dairy, which make up a significant portion of New Zealand’s exports. Recent recovery in commodity prices, including higher demand from key trading partners like China, has boosted the NZD. - Rising dairy prices have a direct positive impact on New Zealand's economy, which further strengthens the Kiwi against the USD. 4. China's Economic Performance: - China is one of New Zealand’s largest trading partners, and the health of the Chinese economy is closely monitored by Kiwi traders. Recent data suggesting that China’s economic growth is stabilizing has been a positive sign for New Zealand’s export market. A stronger Chinese economy typically benefits the NZD, as it supports demand for New Zealand’s exports. - The easing of global supply chain disruptions and improving trade relations between New Zealand and China have also been favorable for the NZD. 5. Risk-On Sentiment in Global Markets: - Investors are showing a growing risk appetite in the global financial markets, leading to more demand for riskier assets, including the NZD. As the NZD is often seen as a "risk-on" currency, it tends to perform well when investors are more willing to take on risk, especially in times of global market stability. - The U.S. dollar, in contrast, is viewed as a safe-haven currency and tends to weaken when investors shift towards higher-risk currencies like the NZD. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, the NZD/USD pair shows potential for further upside momentum based on key indicators: - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is trending upwards, indicating growing momentum in the short term. If it crosses above the 200-day moving average, this could confirm a bullish trend. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently in neutral territory, hovering around 55, which suggests there is still room for the NZD to gain before it becomes overbought. - Support and Resistance Levels: NZD/USD has found strong support near the 0.5800 level, while resistance is seen around 0.5950. A break above this resistance level could signal more bullish momentum in the pair. Conclusion: In summary, the NZD/USD currency pair is expected to maintain a slightly bullish bias on October 24, 2024, driven by positive New Zealand economic data, weaker U.S. dollar sentiment, rising commodity prices, improving Chinese demand, and a risk-on environment in global markets. Traders should keep an eye on both fundamental and technical indicators for potential opportunities to capitalize on this bullish momentum. Keywords for SEO: - NZD/USD analysis, - NZD/USD forecast October 24, 2024, - New Zealand dollar bullish bias, - NZD/USD technical analysis, - Fundamental drivers for NZD/USD, - U.S. dollar weakness impact on NZD, - Commodity prices and NZD, - RBNZ interest rate policy, - Risk-on sentiment in forex markets, - NZD/USD price outlook for today.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
NZDUSD H1 | Bearish continuation? Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6022, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6005, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be at 0.6042, a pullback resistance level close to 78.6% Fibo retracement High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
NZDUSD - 4hrs ( sell Trade Target Range 120 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : NZD/USD Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) Break Out Done Type : Mid Term Swing ——————————— Bearish Break 0.60100 area Reasons - Major Turn level / M - Visible Range Hvn - Fixed range lvn - inner Pattern Break - Choch / Fibo Golden Bullish Reversal 0.58900 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible Range Lvn - Pattern Target - Major Choch zone - Quarter low
Short
by GoldenEngine
1