Disney forecastThe price is at its low.
Position long :
take profit:
93.44
103.62
118.35
stop loss:
78.03
DIS trade ideas
Long DIS.Been watching this one a while. My friend bought this back in November when he correctly called the indices low and - well, DIS was not the best pick to express his bet.
But because of this I've been watching it and I like it now.
I'll have a try on the butterfly low.
Disney butterfly to big supportCould go lower, obviously, this would be the bare minimum for a butterfly. I just think a minimal butterfly makes sense cause of the support that is there.
DIS Bullish Run ComingAfter reaching a high of 118 in Feb 2023, DIS has been in a continuous downtrend, forming a descending triangle. It is not at support level of 82.5. An RSI divergence has formed. Uptrend to begin in a couple of weeks, at best.
$DIS - 9 Year Low!NYSE:DIS Ouch! 9 year low. Trading along the bottom trend line. The wedge is getting tight. Could Yesterday be the final flush or could we still see $80 - $79?
DIS Short: Break down from descending triangleServe DIS right for pursuing the Woke agenda. I guessed Little Mermaid is bad enough but Snow White is probably the straw that breaks the camel's back.
I've been monitoring this for a long time and finally it broke down.
DIS AnalysisPrice consolidated since my last analysis. No changes to my expectations, more sell-side liquidity being built right now and I'm expecting price to continue lower, taking out the clean low at 85.16.
Are you afraid of Success ?If you think logically, this may not seems to make much sense. Who in this world would not want more success in their lives , be it career, family, relationship? However , on a deeper note, it is true that some are truly fearful of gaining success. WHY?
One of the factors is they are too complacent, too comfortable with what they have currently. Example, someone holding a not too bad job that pays $XXX a month and he knows how to get his job done (since he has been doing it for years). A promotion would means more responsibility and not necessarily a higher pay that commensurates with it. So, weighing the pros and cons, this guy could simply stay put in his position.
In the world of bodybuilding, there is a saying that you need to shock the muscles in order for it to grow. That means, you cannot stick to the same regime week in week out. A barbell bicep curl and an alternate dumbell curl will yield different results even though they are both working on your biceps. The same for using dumbells versus a cable pull machine.
So, in the world of investment, we too need to take a different approach. Our starting point is where you are right now, never mind your age, income or financial standing. You got to have the hunger, the urge to want to change, change for the better, expect better things to come in the future. We call that having a vision. www.biblegateway.com)
Many great companies are where they are today because decades ago, the founders had a dream , a vivid imagination of what the company will be. They work towards their dreams. Nobody said it will be a straight path to success (perhaps that pullback, failure to some is what scares people to pursue) but one that has its usual ups and downs.
Your portfolio may not be green and profitable all year round but that is OK if you know what you are doing. You spend more time review them, scrutinise your investment objectives, weed out those companies that are not structurally aligned with your vision and continue to invest in great profitable companies. Stay on the course, that is easier said than done.
Others fear success because they may have a limiting beliefs about being rich. They may have seen someone in their lives that were rich and perhaps were disgusted with their arrogance, behaviour, etc. So they think if they become rich, they will be like them. These thoughts become so repelling that it becomes an obstacle to their impending success.
If you did not inherit your wealth, then you must know that many become successful because they put in lots of hard work. The latter may not guarantee success but it is an important ingredient. Work hard towards your vision/goals. The clearer you know what you want in life, they more self disciplined, committed you become. Your goals drive you , no external motivation of sort is needed.
You defer your spending because you have a better purpose to using that money. You choose to buy a cheaper product because it serves the same function and you save on the remaining sum for a better purpose. It becomes part of your daily routine, your daily habits. It no longer becomes a chore.
One benefit of becoming financially free or successful is it offers you CHOICES. For now, you may have to take on more than one job to save more money towards your goals. And that is fine. When you arrived, you discovered that you work not because you have to but you want to. The pressure is off, the mood is totally different and you look at things differently.
Just like how others have impacted on you, you too, when successful will become a role model to some. Others want to be like you, hard working, humble and yet generous to those in need, sharing your knowledge and making a difference in other lives. You do not need to be a philanthropist like Bill Gates or Warren Buffett to do what they are doing. Choose your own path and contribute in other meaningful ways as well.
Choose Success !
DIS, 10d+/-8.09%falling cycle -8.09% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
DIS AnalysisPrice did not play out to my last analysis. Price rallied higher into the bearish OB at 94.52 after earnings, but is unable to sustain the bullish momentum. Price is currently on a bearish retracement. If we break the lows at 85.16, we should see price heading down to 79.07, following my original expectation.
Disney Greatest Buying Opportunity or Dead Stock?Disney has seen its largest divergence from the s&P500.
What is this telling us?
Is this a rare phenomenon buying opportunity or is the Disney stock dying?
Potential higher prices on DisneyI would beware of all the built up liquidity below this level of support,but I can see the momentum slowing down with every wave to the downside to support and a break of the trendline to show a potential market shift.
Posible long ideeaMix news,fair earnings
If it holds 87.77 level possible reversal with huge potential
Take profits at 94.54 50%
Take profits at 102.85 30%
Take profits at 122.16 20%
Falling Wedge (Breakout & Retrace) (Continued)As in my last publication, the falling wedge played out beautifully as DIS rallied with amazing strength, amassing +4.8% yesterday. The option contract I recommended and alerted was up big time. However, today had a major sell-off (coupled with PPI data release) that looks like a retrace to test the upper trendline. A good bounce near the upper trendline of the falling wedge would allow for a continuation of this breakout.
The mid-88 price (thick red line) appears to be a where it wants to head before bouncing, which coincides with where the upper trendline would be. Using the volume profile, we can also see that the thick redline coincides with a level with strong liquidity. A bounce is highly probable there! I would wait to re-enter a call if it gets near there, perhaps a 90C or 95C November contract.
I no longer hold any positions in DIS after booking the profits from the breakout.
Good luck!
Follow for more!
DIS bullish thesis based on technical analysis and options flowDIS on the weekly chart is testing the golden pocket again, for the 5th time in the past 9 years.
Every time it bounced above golden ratio, upside price action was seen.
Currently above it, with golden ratio being around $86, potential double bottom and a lot of shorts betting against the company with the loss of subscribers, weakness in parks, and their political unpopular views.
Key here will be looking for options activity from big players to see if shorts get squeezed and Mickey Mouse can rise again.
Disney megaphoneLooking at the monthly on Dis NYSE:DIS #dis #Disney as a megaphone and lows are marked at 57 and 68
$DIS DisneyThis is how I see Disney playing out in the near term and into year-end.
1. Currently we got decent quarterly earnings and the stock popped 5%
2. It is peaking above a small descending wedge but I personally would expect some consolidation first in the $88-$92 range before some "news" propels this higher into year end.
DIS (Disney) - 1D - Price breaking wedgeWe can see price broke wedge already.
Im expecting a rally until start of wedge.
Entry = 92
Stop Loss = 83.50
Target = 118
Best Regards!!
Walt Disney long positionOn this chart we can see that Disney stock reached the support again.
We expect the price will remain inside the range.
Target 1 : 109.05 USD
Target 2 : 118.29 USD
Target 3 : 126.34 USD
Stop loss should be placed below the low from December 2022.
Good luck !
Position #3 – WALT DISNEY CO (THE) – 10.08.2023LIMIT BUY @ 90 USD
TP @ 140 USD (55.56%)
SL @ 78 USD (-13.33%)
Technical Analysis
DIS stock has just bounced off an important 5-year support zone, confirming short-term EMA20 support on the daily. During today’s session there were good upside volumes that took prices above the EMA50. The threshold to be recovered is the EMA200 on the weekly (now at 91.65 USD), above which I expect a sudden rise towards 100/120 USD. First support in the 85 USD area, where there seems to be very good demand. After that, critical support is found in the 78 USD area (where I placed the SL for this position). This is a 2014 low!
Fundamental Analysis
Disney’s financial health is solid. The debt load has increased because of the Fox acquisition and pandemic-related cash flow challenges. The firm ended September 2022 with $48 billion in total debt outstanding, which equals 3.2 times adjusted fiscal 2022 EBITDA, an acceptable level for a media firm. Earnings (EPS) exceeded expectations in Q3-2023 although with Revenue slightly below expectations. Although a slowdown is still estimated for the last quarter of this year, the forecast for 2024 is rosy with an annual EPS of 5.02 (close to the pre-pamdemic level).
According with Morningstar Analyst: Parks and resorts segment will rebound strongly from the pandemic as families still view the parks as a prime vacation destination. Disney+ has a long runway for growth available in both the U.S. and internationally. The firm’s original series and the deep and constantly expanding library will drive the growth. Although making movies is a hit-or-miss business, Disney’s popular franchises and characters reduce this volatility over time. Additionally, the firm’s annual slate does not generally rely one big picture, reducing the downside from a flop. (Fair Value: 145.00 USD – Moat: Wide)
Last but not least, Disney is investing in artificial intelligence to further cut production costs.
Dis at weekly support lineBounce and happy micky or break and sad mickey. My feeling is bounce back up to test 200ma into 2nd half of the year.
Disney - A Long Term Investors Opportunity?Disney NYSE:DIS
- Three decade long parallel channel in GREEN.
- We are reaching the bottom support line of the GREEN Channel (little downside remaining)
- We can enter this positive divergence trade with a clear stop loss level anywhere under the downward sloping line on the chart. Also, we could exit the trade and cut losses if the RSI support line is broken. We have defined reasonable risk levels for this trade.
- Long term Investors or DCA folk could enter all the way down to the low green resistance line. It we lost that i think would cut my losses and wait to see what happens.
All in, there is a confluence of;
- Short term support (sloping lower line or RSI support Line)
- Both the same lines highlight a positive divergence opportunity.
- Long term support in green
- Clear stop loss levels under any of these lines depending on your time horizon
Happy Trading Folks
PUKA
Just the beginning guysDo you remember when NASDAQ:NFLX (Netflix) faced a password crackdown?, Something similar is happening here NYSE:DIS (Disney). This might indicate that Disney's stock is currently SUPER undervalued.
In addition to this bullish flag (10%up), there are more patterns in progress, so this will surely be the lowest price we will see at Disney for a long time.
