like cocoa now also coffee made a double top breakoutsimply going long on the break of a double top is a valid strategy on commodities...
trailing the stop now below prior days low...
KT1! trade ideas
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 214.05
Pivot: 172.60
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 214.05
Pivot: 172.60
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 214.05
Pivot: 172.60
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
EW longterm analysis of coffee an shortterm outlookMost commodities are highly cyclical and don't develop in the usual 5-wave-patterns. In the long run commodity-chars look more like a series of succeeding 3-wave moves.Therefore a longterm EW analysis is difficult in a way makes no sense.
Nevertheless I devoloped a longerm chart for coffee and a shorter term analysis with a seasonal chart as indicator. In the mid and longterm I expect coffee to work lower. The short term is a bit unclear.
What I marked in the hourly chart as wave 4 doesn't look finished and also looks quite steep. On the other hand seasonality calls for a low around february 24. So we might see some fast moves in the following week.
Unfortunately the latest CoT data is not available. The last available report showed a strong build up of long positions by the commercials. This build up preceded the sharp move up from january 24.When analysing commodities it is important to watch the CoT-report. Before entering a trade I would await the latest reports.
Link to the longterm charts.
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images2.imgbox.com
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 214.05
Pivot: 172.60
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
COFFEE C® FUTURES - Correction TimeFrom November 2020, there is a very strong upward trend. Coffee prices remain high, we have broken the 2014 peak.
The price is moving in the main growth channel (green) with a divergence that started in August. (The situation was similar on Natural Gas ). We saw a high around $ 250, followed by lower highs and lower lows. Let's see if the new blue channel works.
My KC1 strategy:
I have opened shorts with a target of $ 160, if the blue channel is not valid I will hedge at $ 252 or sooner then reverse and add to the position.
The recent rise in price may have been due to a falling wedge pattern, visible on the 5h chart.
Let's see how it will play out
Good luck.
Cheers!
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 214.05
Pivot: 172.60
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 214.05
Pivot: 172.60
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Bobby's Homework Assignment2.1.23 Coffee hit the $15,000 profit level. I wanted to focus on some of the decisions I would have made and how they could adversely affect my profits on this trade. No matter how long you trade you will always be tempted to make decisions that can affect the outcome in a negative way. In the end it's not as bad to make less money on a trade as it is to lose money on a trade. If you decide not to take a trade that would have been profitable, you actually did not lose money and you should never go broke if you didn't like a trade and you missed a profitable trade. You won't go broke if you're cautious. if you monitor your trade decisions and decided not to take the trade that you considered... you should respect your decision that it could have gone higher and you had the right idea... and if you find this happens three or four or five times and you didn't make money, there's a good chance you'll start taking a trade that you wouldn't have taken at an earlier time in your Trading experience.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 174.95
Pivot: 157.55
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 174.95, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the pivot at 157.55, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 174.95
Pivot: 157.55
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 174.95, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the pivot at 157.55, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee Futures Action Areas On WatchIn this update we review the recent price action in the front month Coffee futures contact and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
Bobby's Homework Assignment1.20.23 This Is a Brief review of the coffee market using our tools to make trade decisions.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 154.30
Pivot: 164.00
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 142.05, where the recent low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the resistance at 154.30, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 154.30
Pivot: 164.00
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 142.05, where the recent low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the resistance at 154.30, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Daily KC analysisDaily KC analysis
Sell trade with target and stop loss as shown in the chart
The trend is down and we may see more drop in the coming period in the medium term
All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments.
He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me
Coffee C Futures ( KC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 154.30
Pivot: 164.00
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 142.05, where the recent low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the resistance at 154.30, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Daily KC analysisDaily KC analysis
A long position with the target and stop loss as shown in the chart
The trend is up, we may see more upside
All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments.
He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me
Buy Opportunityaccording to W1 chart see some strong bullish divergence. and price also 18 weeks low if i count well. so should try this buy opportunity with responsible sl. good luck
Coffee Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 174.35
Pivot: 163.80
Support: 154.30
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading towards the support at 154.30, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the pivot at 163.80 where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 174.35
Pivot: 163.80
Support: 154.30
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading towards the support at 154.30, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the pivot at 163.80 where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Using ON BALANCE VOLUME for Coffee futureFor the last 21 years, OBV has proven to be an interesting indicator for anticipating up and down cycles, often the expression of smart money going in and out.
In this specific case, decreasing OBV could show the anticipation of a down cycle for 2023
