$MSFT at a key area$MSFT at a key area resting on AVWAP from the lows. Do we find value here or establish a down bias towards the lower AVWAP bands?
MSFT trade ideas
MSFT moon bound?MSFT is currently consolidating at a previous area of resistance that was just broken. Usually when price action breaks above resistance and returns, resistance acts as support due to buyers who missed the last opportunity to buy low entering the market.
The Clarity of Renko'sThis is not a chart reading - and i'll keep it super short ... this is just a quick reminder that we have many powerful tools that we can use to enhance our analysis and trading outcomes.. too many that we sometimes forget to use them. The above chart shows a great example of that .. I was going thru the daily analysis and thought i should share this note with fellow TV chartists and traders.
The 2 panels show 2 identical charts, same time frame, same date range, same symbol and same indicators .. the only difference, the chart on the right hand side is a Renko
It's surprising to see how clearer the picture is when we analyze the chart and the price/volume action through the Renko lens. Taking for example, the 3 double/triple top formations and how they were expressed on both charts .. which chart is easier to action and trade?
so the quick note here is, let's not forget about these powerful tools - and continue to leverage them as much as possible - Before initiating the next trade, check your Renko :)
Note: most of my indicators and TA concepts are "Renko-friendly" ;)
Notes & comments ?
MICROHARD??We could see a slight uptick after the recent downward movement over the past few days. A double top did print at the $275 zone so we could see a possible downtrend form.
MSFT TA until 2030Facts:
* Bull run started very long time ago
* Monthly quadruple RSI divergence
* RSI overbought territory
* RSI channel decline clearly started
* Fib channel soon will reach 1.618
MICROHARD?Price recently broke a 2-month trendline today as well as forming a double top at the $275 zone. As of now, I'm looking for a retest of the 261.50 zone and a strong indicator signifying a continuation of this downward movement.
MSFT AnalysisPrice did not play out as analyzed last week. Was expecting price to mitigate the bearish POI at 286.51 before the drop. Price has broken market structure to the downside and I expect a continuation lower.
Microsoft 1H OutlookWide Pattern Coverage and Derived Price Levels:
Keeping in mind the narrative of upcoming FED tightening policy because CPI & PPI figures. Also many longer term investors were disappointed about the financial reports of MSFT CORP. This negative incentive sets general dilation of falling fractal which covers negative market intentions.
Fractal of Falling:
Net BSP (EMA Smoothed):
Constant Time Cycles:
Since a sharp downward movement has occurred I doubt that the market incentive is fully priced in. Unless price holds strong blue and does a little pullback followed by side trend till TimeFib 2.
I expect further fall to shake bears off the market to become bullish. A longer bearish wave would cover report induced sale but not recent negative economic reports.
Microsoft -> It's Now Or NeverHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Microsoft stock just recently created an awesome double bottom and also already broke above the neckline confirming the weekly pattern.
As we are speaking the market is retesting the neckline of the double bottom which is now turned support so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside from here.
On the daily timeframe however the market is currently massively bearish and I definitely don't want to catch a falling knife so I am now just waiting for some bullish structure on the daily timeframe before I will look to enter longs to capitalize on the continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Harmonics & Fibonacci on MicrosoftNASDAQ:MSFT
Harmonics applied on NASDAQ:MSFT showed perfect results.
Still looking bearish from current position until it fills gap around 240-239 and takes support around 232 for further move.
Microsoft Bump and RunBreaking out of long term diagonal down trend and (potentially) turning resistance into support.
Looking for a breakout of cloud next. SL is bottom of cloud $244
MSFT PUTSBase on my View on Microsoft this year will be bumpy..
Not financial advice.
trade base on your own decissions
MSFT, Something interesting about to happenMicrosoft is now waiting for something to happen, specially with this GPT news and integration which makes the fundamental side interesting, adding an extra volatility to the stock. Right now after the breakout of the downtrend line and the MA 200 there was a rejection in the 280 zone, price is heading to the downtrend line and the MA 200 that are now powerful supports. If there is not a breakout of those supports and the WTO gets below the 0 section, the long side will be an appealing option with targets at 273.5, 280 and 293.
However, if price breaks such a powerful supports the decline will be the better option and we assess levels then.
W PatternPrice is falling after a long rally up.
I see a W but it does match up with a pattern I am familiar with.
It appears to have terminated at the 1.272 almost on the dot but the hump of the W did not hit the .786 which is the rule for a butterfly.
There is also a triangle that may provide support.
No recommendation.
Bearish Gartley -> Microsoft ShortI posted this Idea first last Friday
Tuesday we got a reverse candle on daily basis and Wednesday was the perfect chance to go short (@ 270. TP is 220.)
Furthermore there are problems with the new Bing-Bot plus the global tech layoffs (quadrupled since mid.January).
Is it “game over” for Microsoft's Activision acquisition?When two hugely successful companies join forces, the initial market response is not always a bullish one, and traders who follow company mergers and takeovers know the only thing to count on is volatility. But what about the long run? Should traders buy in early and wait for the big picture to move the markets?
What’s happened so far?
Microsoft (MSFT) made headlines in January after announcing a hefty $69 billion bid to acquire Activision Blizzard (ATVI), the largest video game developer of all time. The acquisition is Microsoft's biggest ever.
Despite the huge number, this isn't necessarily a crazy bet for Microsoft. Gaming was already a booming business before the pandemic, and lockdowns further increased its appeal.
Estimates put gaming revenue increases at over 20% in recent years, approaching a staggering $200 billion, which has attracted the attention of tech giants such as Apple, Netflix, Amazon, and, of course, Microsoft.
Traders have already seen movement on the charts since the announcement, but the deal isn’t done just yet, as competitor Sony raised concerns about the monopolization of the industry. This brings the UK's regulatory commission, Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), into play.
What the CMA says about Microsoft’s acquisition
The CMA is expected to announce its provisional findings soon, which could either clear the way for the mega-deal, or put an unappealable halt to it.
The CMA has expressed concerns that the takeover could lead to competition issues in the console and subscription market, as well as in the growing cloud gaming sector.
Microsoft's goal in acquiring Activision Blizzard is to add popular games like Call of Duty to its portfolio, which already includes the Halo franchise and Minecraft.
Regulators around the world are worried that Microsoft dominance may soon make it harder for rivals to access Activision's popular titles. The CMA's decision is significant, as UK courts rarely overturn CMA merger decisions, and if the deal is blocked, there is little recourse for Microsoft and Activision.
The CMA's ruling will come before decisions from the EU and the US Federal Trade Commission, which has sued to veto the transaction.
In the hopes of greasing the wheels, Microsoft offered to grant a 10-year license for Call of Duty to its rival Sony. But that doesn’t address the issue that all upcoming Activision titles may become XBOX exclusives, leaving Sony’s PS5 catching dust in the corner.
Conclusion
If Microsoft’s Activision acquisition goes through, MSFT stocks probably won’t make much movement. Even though the purchase is $69 Billion, the effect on the company's profitability won’t be seen anytime soon—if ever.
In contrast, Activision stock soared by 25% after the acquisition was announced.
If the deal is blocked, we may see those early investors pulling out, and a rather rapid correction for ATVI. Don’t forget, last year the CMA concluded that Meta's purchase of GIPHY would limit choice for social media users, and Meta was ordered to sell GIPHY, so it’s not such a stretch to imagine the deal getting canceled.
MSFT is an amazing company to trade either way, but consider focusing your research and analysis on ATVI in the coming weeks and months and be ready for the CMA decision.
- By Paul Reid
