Cisco systems looking to buy On daily decline in to support zone
On 1hr engulfing with reversal
Candle open with gapping down but closed all the way on the top and only green candles after that. Someone buying and I will look to buy too.
CSCO trade ideas
Cisco Pulls Back to Multi-Decade Support Cisco Systems has gone nowhere for three years, but now the tech stock may be showing signs of life.
First, notice the pullback from new highs in early February.
Second, notice where CSCO broke out and is trying to stabilize. The current $45.50 level was resistance in December in January. Prices also chopped on either side of it between August 2019 and February 2020.
Looking back a little further, it was a peak in early 2018. Looking back a lot further , this same price zone was support for CSCO all the way back in late 2000 as the dotcom bubble was deflating:
Moving back to present, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has now caught up to converge with that key price zone. It also had a “Golden Cross” above the 200-day SMA on January 14.
Finally, stochastics suggest CSCO is nearing an oversold condition.
Given the importance of this level, prices could need some time to consolidate. However, investors may see opportunity in the stock around these levels, especially because its cyclical business could benefit from an economic rebound. Earnings, revenue and guidance beat estimates last quarter, with management citing “encouraging signs of strength.”
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CISCO SYSTEMS (CSCO) BUYI am going long after seeing price reject current support. I most likely will hold for the long term but for now I am targeting previous resistance.
CSCO an Uptrend Continuation Possibility
NASDAQ:CSCO Cisco if it breaks the next door resistance 48,45-49.01, then we can take profit level at around 50.xx . If it fails, then it will pull back to the next strong support at 46.41.
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes and is not an investment recommendation nor to be representative of professional expertise. This analysis used herein is for illustration purposes only. This personal opinion should not be considered specific investment advice. I am not responsible for any trades, and individuals are solely responsible for any live trades placed in their own personal accounts.
Cisco Put?Company Profile:
Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: the Americas, EMEA, and APJC. Its product comprises of the following categories: Switches, Routers, Wireless, Network Management Interfaces and Modules, Optical Networking, Access Points, Outdoor and Industrial Access Points, Next-Generation Firewalls, Advanced Malware Protection, VPN Security Clients, Email, and Web Security. The company was founded by Sandra Lerner and Leonard Bosack on December 10, 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA. The listed name for CSCO is Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE).
Financials (Comparison vs Microsoft)
Competitors: Zoom, Microsoft, Amazon Web Services
There are 7 things I compare when researching stocks. I make sure I find at least 2 strong competitors for the best analysis I can give! I only post 1 comparison for the sake of time.
1. Return on Investment Capital
2. Price to Book Ratio
3. Price to Earnings Ratio
4. Net Margin%
5. Return on Total Assets
6. Return on Equity
7. Earnings per Share
1. ROIC
Company: Cisco
2020 22.84%
2021 21.33%
Company: Microsoft
2020 23.56%
2021 26.05%
2. P/B Ratio
Company: Cisco
2020 5.18
2021 4.30
Company: Microsoft
2020 13.02
2021 14.02
3. P/E Ratio
Company: Cisco
2020 17.20
2021 15.76
Company: Microsoft
2020 35.31
2021 36.04
4. Net Margin %
Company: Cisco
2020 22.75%
2021 18.22%
Company: Microsoft
2020 30.96%
2021 35.90%
5. Return on Total Assets
Company: Cisco
2020 11.64%
2021 11.16%
Company: Microsoft
2020 15.06%
2021 17.48%
6. ROE
Company: Cisco
2020 31.37%
2021 28.83%
Company: Microsoft
2020 35.31%
2021 42.70%
7. Diluted EPS (Recent Two Quarters)
Company: Cisco
Q4 0.62
Q1 0.51
Company: Microsoft
Q1 1.82
Q2 2.03
Fundamental Analysis
To keep things simple, I like this stock for a PUT due to their market competitors. They are in competition with some other big dogs in the industry who have better financials than Cisco in my opinion. After looking at their financials the main thing I noticed in comparison with Zoom and Microsoft was the NET MARGIN%. Cisco ranged from 22.75% to 18.22% while Microsoft (15.06 %to 17.48%). These were yearly comparisons and it tells me that Cisco isn't profiting as much as they could be compared to other market leaders.
Technical Analysis
Stochastic RSI: White line is above the green line which means price is overbought while also being in a resistance zone.
Fibonnaci: Ranged from the potential "Current Resistance Zone" to the "New Support Zone". I'm looking for a retracement of the previous low being $43.72. I'm expecting a retracement of anywhere between 30% and lower.
MacD Squatter: White line is still above the zero line but momentum is losing on smaller time frames.
Current Price:$ After Hours $49.50
Strike Price: $45.37 and lower if lucky.
Stop Loss: $55.11
Like, Follow, Agree/Disagree!
Let's talk about it!
- Amateur Robinhood Trader lol
Buy CSCO 10/1/2021Cisco share is moving in a short-term uptrend.
The stock is testing EMA 13 and 34 .
Therefore, a purchase can be target 48.17 and stop losses of 42.43
CSCO - V bottom break out watchBreakout point - 48
Breakout target - 58
If the price break above 48, potential breakout target is 58.
Not a licensed professional. Do your own research.
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How to read my charts?
- Matching color trend lines shows the pattern. Sometimes a chart can have multiple patterns. Each pattern will have matching color trend lines.
- The yellow horizontal lines shows support and resistance areas.
- Fib lines also shows support and resistance areas.
- The dotted white lines shows price projection for breakout or breakdown target.
Cup and Handle Rising Wedge Earnings 2-9 AMCThis is another that can get a haircut at earnings ..Neutral
There is a fat rising wedge inside the cup. Rising wedges are often bearish and are not valid until bottom trendline is broken. CSCO has not broken bottom trendline..yet. CSCO can not catch a break! Rising wedges interrupt supply and demand as there is a lack of healthy pull backs. Both trendlines point upward and converge or narrow at the top. Rising wedges are a symptom of irrational exuberance. I missed the exuberance surrounding CSCO..just decided to take a look because I just did a chart of INTC and these 2 remind me of one another. INTC looks more bullish than CSCO to me right now. But we are all different.
Targets if CSCO breaks long entry level are 56.05 59.65 and 62.20. I am planning to watch hw she goes with earnings aaround the corner and a Rising Wedge in the chart. There is also an unfilled gap or 2 that CSCO could fill if and when it falls out of the RW.. Earnings are often when a security gets bitten by the RW. There are not enough buyers left.
When you do not know what to do, it is ok to do nuttin!
Not a recommendation/I am neutral on this one but have a feeling it will go down. in the short to medium term..
1 year high is 50.28 3 year high is 56.26 and long term, CSCO has a high from a long time ago of 82/I had to put TOS on max available to find that high as it is older than 20 years.
Cisco System (CSCO)Cisco remains focused on transitioning to a more software-centric business model. Infrastructure Platforms division has been the most impacted by COVID-19, with sales declining 16% year over year in the fiscal first quarter (end 31th July). The company expects demand to rebound as customers adopt a hybrid model of coming into the office as well as working from home. This is a great solid company with low debt and an interesting dividend yeld. We could set a target price in the area 56.00/60.00 Usd per share .
$CSCO short setup if market turns in next couple of weeksplease share thoughts particularly if you use elliot wave and can give feedback. room to run within macro channel but other factors considered i think it completes wxyxz and macro X within 10 days.
thank you.
big breakout incoming herebreaking out of this trend channel here, look for a test of 52w highs soon if this top trendline resistance breaks. target 60+
$CSCO - call optionsI've been burned on CSCO, but I am disciplined and this chart is telling me I should get into call options.
I will set tight stop loss and exit with 30-50% gains.
Golden cross coming, trend is our friend and its in a slight pull back.
Watch for entry.
CSCO - Unusual option activity10,467 CSCO 47 strike calls expiring Feb 19th 2021 were traded at 0.89 in a single print above open interest of 1,141.
Since we don't have visibility to what the bid or ask price was when these calls were traded, we have to look at this from different perspectives.
1.) Call Buying - This could be interpreted as call buying since one could argue that CSCO is trying to fill the gap from back on 8/13/2020. Note that the horizontal line representing the 47 strike calls is near the lows on 8/12/2020 just before it gapped down the next day.
2.) Covered Calls - These calls could also be covered calls. CSCO has had a good run from November through present day. Perhaps these are sold calls to hedge against a correction in the stock price.
Let's follow the stock and this option's pricing see what happens.
REMEMBER: Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security. Specific securities are mentioned for educational and informational purposes only. YouCanTrade is an online media publication service which provides investment educational content, ideas and demonstrations, and does not provide investment or trading advice, research or recommendations.
What cash secured puts look like when it goes the wrong wayMost people promote cash secured puts as being a fool proof way to make money and I believe 80% of it because there are events such as this that doesn't get published much in trading schools or learning materials
With such a high win rate associated with selling puts, its easy to think you will never ever get assigned or lose a trade.
But this is the exact time when traders can get burnt, is that they chase a company without regard for the companies they are selling for, or even the tail risk that sometimes markets can correct like this
Whilst it is not constructive to look at this scenario as one that happens frequently, it is a way to look back in time and be humble about the market sometimes doing things we don't expect
Imagine at the time in the tech book, CSCO was touted as the king of the tech world and it would change everything forever, only to see it burst in the next few months and wipe out all their gains. Prior to the crash you could have convinced yourself what an incredible company CSCO is and you wanted to own it via cash secured puts and take ownership of shares. Look how that would have turned out
If selling the 57$ puts allowed you to collect 4$/contract, look how long it would've taken to breakeven on your position. We can ignore the cost reduction from selling calls at the time because I think the frustration would've made you give up on managing the position.
The only way out would have been to average down and sell the next pop, or take a loss, or better yet - at the offset, not allocate such a huge amount of put contracts and take on more risk than your cash secured account could handle - but money and greed can make people do crazy things so its easy to look back now to avoid selling puts. When the news is saying we are ushering in the next wave of innovation, how can you not be apart of it - if you aren't apart of it then you are missing out. And what better way to be apart than to deploy a fancy options trading strategy to sound smarter than all your peers?
Sometimes companies we thought we wouldn't mind owning, turn out to be companies we actually want to divorce eventually. Much like how we sometimes select a partner for marriage thinking we can do this for 20 years. And after 5 years, yeahhhhh I don't know, I'm having second thoughts.
Ask anyone if they have the guts to marry anything, not just a person for even 5 years, I don't think people can plan commitments or imagine their lives 10 years out - in a span of 10 years, if you look at the world, we have had an explosion of iphones and social media - When I was young, we owned a tube TV and I grew up in the dial-up internet era!
Nowadays, 1-2 years is considered long term holding, not the same as 5-10 years. Trends change quickly and if you want to sell cash secured puts on "fundamentally sound" companies, you have to adapt quickly to the ever changing market conditions
LHX, TOL, CSCO Here are a few names I have been watching, and today, I entered long positions. LHX, TOL, CSCO.
CSCO Bubble PatternFollowed a common 5 phase pattern
Phase 1: Trending breakout of basing formation in a strong up-trending move
Phase 2: Trending high-volatility drawdown (usually not related to stock or index itself).
Phase 3: Trending recovery - stock or index shrugs off the high volatility event as it recovers quickly and stronger than before.
Phase 4: Upwards & & sideways non-trending consolidation. Typically choppy trading, but slightly upward move.
Phase 5: 3 Phase blowoff top - breakout of non-trending consolidation followed by a smaller upwards consolidation into final blowoff breakout top.
