COIN Elliot wave count and thesis Bullish Case for Coinbase Stock Price based on www.fool.com
According to the information provided in the article, let's analyze a bullish case for Coinbase's stock price:
Wave 1:
Following the crypto meltdown of 2022, Coinbase faced challenges in attracting traders and recovering trading volume. However, the stock price managed to rebound and is up more than 60% for the year. This can be considered as the completion of Wave 1, indicating a potential turnaround and positive market sentiment.
Wave 2:
Wave 2, the corrective wave, represents a temporary rebound or consolidation after a decline. Despite the regulatory battle with the SEC, Coinbase's stock price rallied, and prominent investor Cathie Wood of Ark Investment increased her stake in the company. This signals confidence from value investors and suggests that Coinbase has the potential to regain its market position.
Wave 3:
In the bullish case, Wave 3 represents a resumption of the upward trend. The article mentions that Coinbase's regulatory battle with the SEC may work in its favor. If the SEC's actions against other competitors, such as Binance, result in operational limitations, Coinbase could benefit by gaining market share and attracting more traders. This could lead to increased trading volume and revenue for the company.
Wave 4:
Wave 4 is a corrective phase within the overall uptrend. In this case, Coinbase's plan B of expanding its operations offshore to more crypto-friendly jurisdictions is seen as a potential catalyst for growth. By tapping into markets where regulators welcome cryptocurrencies, Coinbase could gain a competitive advantage and further drive its revenue and earnings.
Wave 5:
Wave 5 represents the final leg of the bullish move. If Coinbase successfully defends itself against the SEC's allegations and continues its expansion efforts, the stock price could experience a significant upward surge. The long-term potential of the global crypto market, combined with Coinbase's positioning and market share, may attract further investor interest, leading to continued growth.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis using Elliott Wave Theory and the information provided in the article, there is a bullish case for Coinbase's stock price. The completion of Wave 1 suggests a turnaround from the crypto meltdown, while Wave 2 indicates a temporary rebound. The ongoing regulatory battle with the SEC could work in Coinbase's favor, positioning the company for potential market share gains. Coinbase's offshore expansion and long-term growth prospects add to the bullish sentiment. However, it is important to conduct further analysis, considering additional indicators and fundamental factors, to make well-informed investment decisions.