USDJPY BUY UPDATE!!!!1:1 Target has been achieved
Now let's go for 1:2
Secure half of the profits and leave the other half at breakeven
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY – 4-Hour AnalysisUSD/JPY – 4-Hour Analysis
The USD/JPY pair has recently broken out of its bearish trend, which was characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. This marks a potential shift in market structure and opens up opportunities for both levels of resistance at 149.550 and 150.700.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 149.550:
If the price moves up to test 149.550, watch for confirmation of a breakout. Look for a wick to the downside after the price touches this level, as this could sweep liquidity and confirm support.
Resistance at 150.700:
If the price breaks through 150.700, do not enter a long position immediately. Wait for the price to retrace back to test this level as a new support zone. Ensure there is a wick to the downside, as false breakouts are common and can lead to losses if traded prematurely.
Final Thoughts:
Patience is key in this scenario. Whether the price interacts with 149.550 or 150.700, wait for confirmation signals, such as wicks or retests, before entering any trades. This cautious approach minimizes the risk of false breakouts.
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USDJPY INTRADAY SHORT OPPORTUNITYFor the intraday trading session I will try to play this setup trading against the recent rise between two major support and resistance levels.
USDJPY REVERSALSince my last analysis USDJPY dropped even below my expected support levels, it looks like the bullish pressure is now on. I expect the following scenario for a buy opportunity. the area of 159.000 level looks to be a safe zone to enter the market with long position.
Sell position on USDJPY1. 4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Trend Direction: Downtrend
Liquidity Areas:
Structural high: Liquidity around 150.746 (recent high)
Imbalance Zones: imbalance between 151.413 and 150.746
Supply/Demand Zones: Supply area at 151.959 and 151.413
2. Entry & Exit Plan:
Entry Criteria: Enter at 151.336.
Stop-Loss: 152.154, just above the supply zone
Take Profit: 148.648 at the next support
USDJPY BUY!!!!UJ sentimental is bullish today, and early morning it just broke out of the Asian session high. Now, let go long
We first aim for 1:1 the 1:2 after securing some profits
Analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 4-hour time frameAnalysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 4-hour time frame
- We have price divergence and RSI indicator
- We have two FVG in the middle, which the price tends to fill
- We also have a PVOTE on the way
- We have a good distance from the 99-day EMA
- From a macroeconomic perspective, we also have extremely important news for the US dollar today
- We also have the speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman, Mr. Powell
My analysis is the growth of the dollar, especially in the news and speech period
Don't forget capital management
It is necessary to respect risk to reward
Good luck and be profitable
USDJPY 30mintsIn USDJPY 30mints time frame there is two patterns one is every second higher level is low then first high level and every second lower level is low then first low level it means it will fall. other pattern is if second high level breakout first high level then it will be high then first high level so, it will fly. As I used stochastic indicator it's seems like it will fall.
What’s Flowing: USD/JPY AnalysisKey Observations:
1. Price Action:
• USD/JPY has bounced from 148.65, showing signs of short-term recovery. However, the overall structure remains bearish with descending resistance levels near 150.30-150.50.
2. Technical Indicators:
• Moving averages suggest further downside pressure.
• Ichimoku cloud analysis highlights resistance in the 149.50-150.30 zone, making it a critical area for sellers.
3. Market Sentiment:
• Seasonal trends show a weakening dollar towards year-end, aligning with current selling pressure.
• Reuters and Dow Jones reports emphasize geopolitical influences and Japan’s policy stability driving yen strength.
4. News Highlights:
• Massive $1.4 billion option expiry today, with strikes at 147, 148, and 150, could add volatility.
• Recent headlines note importer buying interest near 146.50, setting up potential support levels.
5. Support and Resistance:
• Immediate support: 146.28 and 145.00.
• Resistance: 149.50, followed by the psychological 150.30 level.
Trade Insights:
• Bias: Short-term pullbacks may provide opportunities for selling rallies.
• Risk Management: Stop-loss near 150.50 for short trades. Profit targets near 146.50 and 145.00.
This week’s flow will likely hinge on U.S. economic data releases and further commentary from Japan’s BOJ. Be cautious of mid-week reversals.
Read The USDJPY MarketLet's Look at USDJPY Chart and Analysis the last Price Actions for finding some trade Opportunities, Good Luck With Your Trades <3
TP was hit It was a swing trade, I caught 30pips profit.
Price has longer term bearish bias. Wait for the right entry
Elliott Wave View: USDJPY Impulsive Decline Favors More DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave structure in USDJPY suggests that rally to 156.76 ended wave X. This completed correction against cycle from 7.3.2024 high. Pair has now turned lower. Structure of the decline from 156.76 is unfolding as 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave structure. Down from 156.76 high, wave (i) ended at 155.14 and wave (ii) ended at 155.78. Wave (iii) lower ended at 153.85 and wave (iv) rally ended at 154.74. Final leg wave (v) ended at 153.83 which completed wave ((i)). Corrective rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 155.88 as expanded flat.
Pair has resumed lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 153.54 and wave (ii) ended at 154.72. Wave (iii) lower ended at 149.52 and wave (iv) ended at 150.53. Final leg wave (v) ended at 149.46 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 150.74. Expect pair to extend lower 1 more leg to end wave ((v)). This should complete wave 1 in higher degree. Afterwards, it should rally in wave 2 to correct cycle from 11.15.2024 high before turning lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 156.76 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
USDJPY FORECASTOne of my favorite pair for today, everything is looking good from the higher timeframe to the lower timeframe. We need to wait for the confirmation. Traders! your ability to stay patient waiting for the higher probability zones will improve your trading and take you to the next levels. Don't feel that the market will go without you. The market always communicates.
USD/JPY Trade Setup - Trendline playI am currently looking to take a long position on USDJPY due to a 4 hour candle close above the trendline
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 149.69 (aligned with 4-hour resistance and previous structure support).
Target: 150.72 (4-hour resistance).
Stop Loss: 149.22 (below daily support).
Reasoning:
Price has been consolidating after a strong bearish trend and has now closed above the downtrend line (red diagonal).
The entry zone coincides with strong confluence levels of resistance turned support.
Stop loss has been placed under the ascending trendline
USDJPY Scenario, Whole lot of inefficiencies before a riseUSDJPY is short term bearish and Long Term Bullish, consider the analysis below!!
USDJPYThe pair is being monitored at the daily fair value gap. If it is broken, the upward trend is likely to continue. However, if the price respects it, we may see further downward movement.
UsdjpyName: usdjpy
Reason for entering the buy deal:
Completing your hormone pattern called (shark) and completing it at the target and also forming a table top sequence
•4-hour time frame
Please use capital management and commit to the stop
USD/JPY Analysis: The Battle BetweenThe USD/JPY currency pair appears poised for a potential decline, as COT reports reveal a clear bias among large speculators favoring short positions. This bearish sentiment from institutional players starkly contrasts with the optimism displayed by retail traders, many of whom remain positioned long, anticipating a reversal.
However, retail sentiment often serves as fuel for liquidity hunts, with institutional strategies targeting stop-loss clusters near key support zones. Historical patterns suggest that when retail traders collectively lean too heavily in one direction, large speculators seize the opportunity to move the market against them.
With bearish positioning among speculators and retail sentiment ripe for exploitation, USD/JPY could face further downside pressure. Monitoring shifts in liquidity levels, sentiment extremes, and institutional positioning will be crucial in anticipating the next major move.
USD/JPY: Fundamental Analysis and Potential UpsideUSD/JPY: Fundamental Analysis and Potential Upside
1️⃣ Monetary Policy Divergence:
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance continues to bolster the USD, driven by strong economic data such as robust GDP growth and resilient labor markets. Inflation pressures remain persistent, keeping rate cuts off the table.
The Bank of Japan’s dovish policies—including negative interest rates and yield curve control—keep the yen under pressure. Although recent inflation data has sparked speculation about potential shifts, the BOJ remains committed to its accommodative stance for now.
2️⃣ Interest Rate Differentials:
The widening gap between U.S. and Japanese interest rates attracts investors to the USD, encouraging carry trades that favor the dollar over the yen.
3️⃣ Rising U.S. Treasury Yields:
Higher U.S. bond yields make the dollar more attractive, amplifying upward momentum in USD/JPY.
4️⃣ Risk Sentiment:
Global markets currently exhibit improved risk appetite, which weighs on the safe-haven yen. However, shifts in geopolitical or financial stability concerns could reverse this dynamic.
📊 Outlook:
USD/JPY's upward trajectory is fueled by strong fundamentals, but traders should remain vigilant for signs of BOJ intervention or major shifts in global risk sentiment.
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Currency drama unfolds in Japan & KoreaAsia is where the drama in currency currently resides.
The Japanese yen found support today following South Korea's decision to declare martial law, prompting a flight to safety across markets. The South Korean won tumbled to ₩1,444 at one point, its lowest since October 2022 (now trades at ₩1,416).
Over the weekend, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled that additional rate hikes are approaching, as economic data aligns with expectations. Market sentiment has now shifted, with the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in Japan this month rising to approximately 60%, up from 50%.
Technically, a deeper decline in the USD/JPY could target the 61.8% retracement level from the July high to the September low. Daily Awesome Oscillators remain in bearish territory, signaling caution for significant moves, as short-term momentum continues to weaken.
JPYUSDHi guys, this is my overview for JPYUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments
Trade Recap: EURUSD - SHORT (SCALE-IN), 03/12/2024EU Bias Analysis: The 4H Is in the process of establishing a bearish pro-trend as price broke lower. Partial profit had been secured and stops were at breakeven which allowed me to then seek scale-in opportunities on this pair. Short entries were in line with the bearish 1H range and price had pulled back into EPD. After a TBL sweep heading into London Open short entry confirmation was received and the scale in was executed.
Grade: Low Risk
