GBPNZD1. Current Market Situation (Wave 3):
The market is currently in Wave 3, which is usually the strongest and longest wave in Elliott Wave Theory.
Wave 3 is known for its powerful upward movement.
This is typically the wave where most traders and investors jump in, creating significant momentum.
2. Approaching the End of Wave 3:
Right now, Wave 3 doesn’t seem fully complete, but it’s close to its end. You can identify this because:
Momentum starts to slow down as the price nears resistance levels.
Wave 3 often reaches Fibonacci extensions like 1.618 or 2.618, which are key indicators for its completion.
3. Retracement in Wave 4:
After Wave 3 finishes, the price will likely pull back into Wave 4. This is a normal retracement where the market consolidates some of Wave 3’s gains.
The retracement typically hits Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.382 or 0.5.
Wave 4 is usually a smoother and less volatile wave compared to Wave 2.
4. Completion in Wave 5:
Finally, Wave 5 is the last wave in the trend. This wave completes the overall upward movement.
Wave 5 generally creates a new high, but it’s often less strong compared to Wave 3.
Key Takeaways:
Right now, the market is still in Wave 3 but close to finishing it. After that:
Expect the price to pull back into Wave 4 at around Fibonacci 0.382 or 0.5 retracement levels.
Wave 5 will follow, taking the price higher to finish the trend.
Pro Tip:
If you're trading, wait to confirm the end of Wave 3 and the start of Wave 4 before entering. Using tools like RSI or MACD can help you verify the momentum and trend shifts.