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GBPJPY.100.CSM trade ideas

Pound-yen bounces from ¥188GBPJPY moved up after the latest test of ¥188 as it now appears unlikely that the Bank of England will cut rates this month although the Bank of Japan still seems to be on track to tighten policy in the near future. In a recent interview Andrew Bailey indicated that four cuts are likely next year; the difference in rates for pound-yen is unlikely to go below 3% until late 2025 or early 2026. The upward crossover of the slow stochastic in oversold might suggest a possibly ongoing bounce, but so far this hasn’t really been supported by volume. The main dynamic resistance in view now is the 100 SMA around ¥192.75. Looking further ahead, the 423.6% monthly Fibonacci extension around ¥200 is likely to be a very strong resistance above which the price is unlikely to break without a strong fundamental driver. ¥183.50 would probably still be an active support if the price continues lower after the current bounce. The key data coming up for pound-yen is British GDP on Thursday 12 December. This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
#GBPJPY 4HGBPJPY 4-Hour Analysis The GBPJPY pair has recently broken above a key trendline on the 4-hour chart, indicating a shift in momentum to the upside. However, to confirm the breakout's validity, it is advisable to wait for the price to retest the trendline, which may now act as a support level, before entering a buy position. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Trendline Breakout Forecast: Bullish (Wait for Support Touch, Then Buy) Entry Strategy: Buy on a successful retest of the trendline, supported by bullish price action signals. Traders should watch for confirmation from bullish candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing, or indicators like RSI and MACD showing upward momentum. Place stop-loss orders below the retested trendline to manage risk effectively. Target higher resistance levels for potential gains.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
GBPJPY ANALYSIS The GBP/JPY pair tells the trader how many Japanese Yen (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one British Pound (the base currency). It is known to be a “carry currency cross”, that is a cross which is a vehicle for carry trading (one of today's most popular trading strategies). A carry trade happens when a person sells or borrows an asset with a low-interest rate in order to purchase another asset with a higher interest rate, looking to profit from the underlying interest rate difference. This strategy is heavily used in the foreign exchange market (forex)Bank of England (BoE), known to be one of the most effective central banks in the world. It acts as the government's bank and the lender of last resort. It issues currency and, most importantly, it oversees monetary policy (including interest rates). Andrew Bailey became the new Governor of the Bank of England on March 16th, 2020. Her Majesty the Queen has approved the appointment. He is widely and deeply respected for his leadership managing the financial crisis, developing the new regulatory frameworks, and supporting financial innovation to better serve UK households and businesses.
Short
by KingForex078
GBPJPY double top found Double Top Formation in GBPJPY A bearish Double Top pattern has formed in the GBPJPY currency pair, indicating a potential reversal of the uptrend. Key levels to watch: Neckline support: 190.125 Resistance: 191.500 Target: 189.500 The Double Top pattern is characterized by: Two consecutive peaks at similar levels A decline between the two peaks A potential breakout below the neckline support A breakout below the neckline support (190.125) could trigger a short position, targeting 189.500. Keep a close eye on GBPJPY for a potential breakdown!" BEST WISHES TOM 😎
Short
by Tom_Trades_670
GBPJPY M15 I Bounce off 50% Fibo?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 189.90, which is an overlap support close to 50% FIbo retracement. Our take profit will be at 190.74, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 188.60, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Higher time frame frameworks and set upIn this video, we explore a high-level analysis of monthly and weekly trading frameworks, showcasing how TSA—Time, Space, Algorithms, and Tradings—leverages Confluence to identify asymmetrical opportunities in the market. While this isn’t the full strategy, it introduces key elements that empower traders to achieve precision and clarity. We dive into the power of Confluence as a core component, integrating insights from markets like the VIX to enhance feasibility and comparison. Starting from the monthly and weekly frameworks, we refine our approach to a 1-hour and 4-hour perspective, identifying high-probability setups. From there, we scale down to 15-minute and 5-minute charts, applying the same Confluence-based principles to manage trades effectively. This video is designed to bring the trading community together—FED traders, ICT traders, and those who combine fundamentals with technical analysis. Let’s collaborate to uncover powerful Confluences that sharpen our edge in the markets. This is just the beginning—join us as we build a thriving community of traders!
Education
by TSA_TimeSpaceAlgorithm
What’s Flowing: GBP/JPY AnalysisMarket Overview: • Trend: GBP/JPY continues its bearish trajectory, respecting the EMA resistance and forming lower highs and lows on the 4-hour chart. • Current Price: The pair is consolidating around 190.14, following a significant move down from the 193.30 resistance area. Key Levels: • Resistance: • Immediate: 190.90 - 192.30 • Strong: 193.88 • Support: • Immediate: 188.13 • Deeper: 186.05 Insights: • Bearish Continuation: The rejection from the 192.30 zone and the sustained trade below the EMA cloud signal strong seller dominance. • Economic Events: Upcoming BOJ and BOE commentary could add volatility to the pair. Stay cautious of intraday swings as traders position for the releases. Trade Setup: • Short Bias: • Entry: Re-test of 190.90. • Stop Loss: Above 192.30. • Targets: Initial at 188.13, extended to 186.05. Summary: GBP/JPY is heavily influenced by monetary policy expectations and recent dovish BOE signals. The downside remains favorable, with sellers likely eyeing the 186.05 zone as the next major target. Keep an eye on news flows and economic data releases for potential disruptions.
Short
by moneymagnateash