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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

Euro-dollar on the brink of collapseGreetings to you all, dear Devan. I hope you support this analysis as always. The Euro-Dollar is falling in higher time frames like months and weeks, so we expect a further fall.🔥 We are expected to correct upwards in the new trading week and begin the main fall!🩸 Be sure to keep in mind that this post is analytical and only enter the market in specific areas with your own confirmation and trading setup.✔ Good luck and stay tuned💎💲
by gang_trader1
1
EURUSD Smart Money Concepts (SMC) In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
Short
by Tonksovave
The rally has begun. Euro longToday, the Fed will cut the rate by 25%, it has already been practically decided and everything will depend on what Mr. Powell says at the press conference. With a 90% probability, it will give the markets the opportunity to grow, i.e. I think everything will start today. However, for growth, we need to collect liquidity at the bottom, so we will probably make a downward movement of 200-300 pips, and then fly into the sky;) Upon reaching the level of 1.07-1.07250, I advise you to close positions, because in the near future I expect parity.
Long
by mikolastd1980
EUR/USD Clings to Key Support Ahead of Fed DecisionEUR/USD is holding its breath at a significant support level as the Federal Reserve gears up for tomorrow’s interest rate decision. The market is balancing what feels like a finely poised mix: sticky inflation, resilient US economic data, and the risk of overly aggressive policy easing. In short, the market is jittery, and EUR/USD is reflecting that perfectly. The Technical Picture Let’s take a step back. After the steady decline through the second half of the year, EUR/USD has spent the past month consolidating near the October 2023 lows. This long-term support level has held firm so far, but the price action is far from convincing. We’ve already seen two false breakouts recently. At the end of November, there was a fake dip below support, quickly followed by an equally fleeting move above the range earlier this month. These two extremes set the boundaries of the current consolidation phase and tell us one thing—EUR/USD is coiling up, and something’s got to give. Adding to the tension, the top of the recent range now lines up with the descending trendline that’s defined the pair’s medium-term downtrend. This confluence of technical factors puts EUR/USD in a tight corner just as the Fed is about to weigh in. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Zoomed View: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Scenarios to Watch 1. Dovish Cut – The Fed Eases Off the Brakes If Powell and the team deliver a quarter-point cut and hint at a more accommodative stance next year, EUR/USD could finally catch a bid. A clean break above the descending trendline and recent range highs would signal a shift in momentum, with the 200 day moving average quickly coming into focus as the next area of interest. 2. As-Expected but Cautious – Status Quo for Now The more likely scenario is a measured quarter-point cut paired with Powell keeping his cards close to his chest. If the Fed reiterates a gradual approach and avoids overpromising future cuts, EUR/USD could stay stuck in its current range. In this case, the October lows remain the line in the sand, with the pair trudging sideways until there’s more clarity. 3. Hawkish Tilt – The Fed Pushes Back If Powell leans more hawkish—acknowledging the resilience of the US economy and refusing to commit to further easing—EUR/USD could crack. A decisive break below the October lows would clear the way for a fresh leg lower. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD is under pressureEURUSD is under pressure ahead of FOMC meeting. The recent narrative about the upcoming interest rate decision is considered as a "hawkish decilne", meaning that the interest rate would be declined with cautious comments, as inflation doesn't show any signs of weakness yet: morever, it had displayed a moderate uptick during the last CPI publication. There are two possibilities to construct a short position: the one is an intraday trade (potential short after the upside breakout through the recent chart formation), another would be a swing trade after 2-3 days of correction. Beware of possible volatility spike during the FOMC publication and press conference on Wednesday. Always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Short
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness