NVDA - Wave 4 Complete? Let's Take A Look!Hey nerds!
Alright, so here's the deal. In one of my previous updates, I discussed the 161.8% extension target which is the high probability target for a wave 3 and we hit it basically perfectly. Now that we've hit that target, mixed with channel resistance, I would have expected price action to pull back, which it did.
The pullback target for wave 4 (at the 38.2% internal retracement) was about $118 and after earnings, NVDA went below that. Not trading advice, but I was a buyer down there in after hours. Price action yesterday was bullish at the open with a big gap up but was met with heavy selling. There were lots of options traders holding calls and if you don't know what you're doing, you probably will be holding worthless options today. Trading options on earnings is a tricky thing to do if you don't know what you're doing, so be careful!
Now that we're here, I can say my target for NVDA is roughly $140, as long as we can stay above the $117/$118 level in the coming days, especially today. Continued support there will be important for a wave 5 move. September is typically bearish but not always. It may not get really bearish until after OpEx later in September, but I've seen labor day sell-offs in the past.
One day at a time. Be methodical. Have patience. Don't overleverage yourself.