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ETHUSD trade ideas

InDepth analytics for ETH/USD price movementBINANCE:ETHUSDT Exectuive Summary BINANCE:ETHUSDT , as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has exhibited consistent price behavior following Bitcoin (BTC) halvings. Historically, ETH consolidates and takes over 200 days to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH) after each BTC halving event. This report analyzes this trend, providing insights into the possible price trajectory of Ethereum after the April 19, 2024 BTC halving. Key Observations 2016 BTC Halving (July 9, 2016): Consolidation Period: 238 days. Outcome: Ethereum broke past its ATH and experienced a significant price rally. 2020 BTC Halving (May 11, 2020): Consolidation Period: 245 days. Outcome: Ethereum surpassed its previous ATH and continued to gain momentum, reaching new price heights during the 2021 bull market. 2024 BTC Halving (April 19, 2024): Current Status: As of December 13, 2024, 238 days have passed since the BTC halving. Trend Projection: Based on historical data, Ethereum appears poised to break its previous ATH in the coming days or weeks, assuming the pattern holds. Analysis of Key Drivers BTC halvings reduce Bitcoin’s block reward, creating a supply shock that influences the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum, being a correlated asset, often experiences delayed but significant upward price movements post-BTC halvings. Market Sentiment: Historical data suggests a build-up of bullish sentiment following BTC halvings, which trickles into altcoins like Ethereum. Current market trends indicate increased institutional interest in Ethereum due to its staking mechanisms and growing utility. Projections for 2024-2025 If Ethereum follows its historical pattern BINANCE:ETHUSD may surpass its previous ATH in coming days. Risks to Consider Macro-Economic Factors: Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, or regulatory actions could disrupt market trends. Market Liquidity: Declining liquidity could delay Ethereum’s price breakout despite favorable conditions. Unexpected Events: Network-specific issues or technological vulnerabilities may impact price movements. Conclusion Ethereum’s historical post-halving behavior suggests a strong likelihood of price appreciation in the near term. As we approach the critical 245-day mark post the 2024 BTC halving, investors should remain vigilant for potential breakout signals while factoring in broader market dynamics and risks. Recommendations For Traders: Monitor key resistance levels and trading volumes for breakout confirmation. For Long-Term Investors: Consider accumulating during consolidation phases for optimal entry points. For Analysts: Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators and Ethereum’s network activity to validate price movement projections. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers are advised to conduct their own research.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by Adilforgood
ETHEREUM: UNDERVALUED? WHAT IS THE NEXT MOVE?!In my opinion, Ethereum is currently very undervalued. However, I could see a potential correction to the downside in the short term to liquidate excessive leverage. Once the next weekly candle closes above the trendline, I believe Ethereum could experience a strong price surge upwards, potentially reaching the all-time high, and then targeting Fibonacci levels. Potential Scenarios: 1: Breakout Above Trendline: A close above the trendline on the weekly chart could signal a bullish move towards new highs. 2: Downside Correction: A slight dip could be seen to clear out leverage before a potential move upwards. What do you think the next Ethereum move will be? Is it more likely to be scenario 1 or 2? Let me know your thoughts!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by maxim53
ETHUSD – Bloodbath Today, Green Skies Tomorrow?Ethereum’s taken a hit today, currently trading at $3373. It’s been a rough ride, with the price engulfing the entire 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, but don’t lose hope just yet. The weekly close is still three days out, and the real fight lies in reclaiming the $3600 mark. If ETH can claim $3600 on the weekly, that’s our signal—flash green, and it’s off to the races, targeting $4600 and a shot at a new ATH. Once we smash through the $4600 ATH, the doors open to a Fibonacci extension at 1.272, with the first range in $5800 territory. That’s where things get spicy. Bearish Scenario: Volatility is spiking, and liquidity-seeking wicks are on the table. If we see further downside, $3000 ETH aligns perfectly with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement—a strong candidate for a planned bounce. But will it get there? The current price action sits smack in the middle of a major resistance band from 2021 and earlier this year (2024), so the battle is real. Bullish Outlook: My gut says this is just whale/market-maker manipulation, designed to shake out retail emotions. Institutional support is growing, and with ETFs in the pipeline, boomers who wouldn’t touch a ETH wallet are ready to pile in. The maxis already know how to buy it, but the coming capital inflows from ETFs could be the game-changer. TL;DR: Current Price: $3373, engulfed 0.236 Fib. Key Levels: Bullish Targets: $3600 reclaim → $4600 ATH → $5800 Fibonacci extension (1.272). Support: $3000 (0.382 Fib). Outlook: Market emotions are high, but institutions are gearing up. My gut says long it and hold strong—whales are just playing games. 🐋📈 Stay strong, bulls. The long game is bullish, and sizing into this feels like the right play. Let’s ride this out. 💪🚀
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by chartzard1337
ETH over the last year and now todayI wanted to zoom out of the chart that I provided yesterday identifying this potential for buying the dip. We did break down through bottom of ascending channel for just a fast wick but it likely indicates we are breaking out of this ascension. As you see there is a lot of potential for a sideways channel here at the top of the larger (slightly descending) sideways channel, here we could consolidate in the top third of the channel and then build up the courage to try to break out of top of this year long channel again, or break down and potentially trace all the way back to bottom of channel which as you see is as low as $2200. If we break that $3500 support, I will become short term bearish. Market has been strong though so good chance we maintain top of channel and try to break out again in the near future. IMO daily candle charts are the most important and reliable charts. I do like 4 hour candles as they are more granular for seeing trends and are pretty close to as reliable and I often look at 1 hour candles for a pulse on the now but generally speaking, the shorter candle you use, the less you can rely on it. Lets take a look at the break down of the daily candle. --------------------------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – Daily Chart 📊 ## Structure and Price Action: **Ascending Channel with Breakdown Risks** ETH/USD is currently trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between its upper and lower bounds (green lines). Recently, the price sharply rejected at **$4,100** and is now testing the **lower trendline support** near **$3,500**. **Bearish Rejection Near Key Resistance** Sellers emerged strongly at the **$4,100 Bearish Order Block (OB)**, leading to a steep reversal. This highlights a significant supply zone at this level. **Approaching Key Demand Zone** The price is nearing **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), where buyers have defended historically. This is a critical support area within the larger channel. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,600–$3,700**: Overhead resistance zone, aligned with EMA 20 and mid-channel range. - **$4,100**: Major supply zone, previously rejected at this level. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500**: Current demand area reinforced by a key trend line - **$2,800–$3,000**: Next structural support if breakdown occurs. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - The price has dropped below **EMA 20 ($3,800)** and **EMA 50 ($3,750)**, indicating short-term bearish momentum. - **EMA 100 ($3,610)** is providing immediate dynamic support. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)** remains a critical long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are below the candles indicating an up wave in progress but it seems muted. **Volume** - Recent sell-off saw a **volume surge**, confirming active participation in the pullback. **Stochastic RSI** - Currently **oversold** (9.30/26.79), favoring a short-term bounce from this zone. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI is sitting at **51.26**, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but showing signs of selling pressure easing. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is testing the **lower channel boundary ($3,500)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the top of channel, leading to bearish momentum targeting lower support levels. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Scenario (Primary Case):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone with rising volume: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and mid-channel resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,100 (upper channel resistance). **Bearish Scenario (Alternate Case):** If the price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,200 (next structural support). - **Second Target**: $3,000–$2,800 (psychological level and major demand zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **$3,500 Support**: Holding or breaking this level will decide the next move. 2. **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume on bounce or breakdown strengthens directional bias. 3. **Stochastic RSI Oversold Levels**: Signals a possible bounce unless selling pressure increases. --- ## Order Book Update: Order books continue to look dirty but with potential for recovery. Both asks and bids tracking a downward trend, asks is staging a potential ascending channel though many times asks have lost a bit more than bids on pullback, indicating negative trader sentiment or fear in the market, it is in a position to change course over the next days but until it does, books are under pressure. --- ## Conclusion: ETH/USD is at a **critical inflection point**, testing the lower trendline of the ascending channel converting to a sideways channel to consolidate before breaking out or breaking down. Bulls need to defend **$3,500** to sustain the medium term bullish structure. A successful defense targets **$3,800–$4,100**, with anything higher than $4100 starting a new breakout and while failure to maintain $3500 opens the path toward **$2,800** or lower. 🔍 **Monitor volume, key support levels, and stochastic momentum for confirmation.** 🚨
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 231The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by MoonriseTA
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 230The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
How far ETH will pull back? Potential Future PathIn this chart, all bull trends are in green and bear trends in red, the the longer/ more tested, the stronger the line. -The dark red line in the bottom corner was a descending trend we had since over a year ago -We broke out and established a strong ascending trendline and an ascending channel that was about 15 degrees lower slope. And actually at the same time it confirmed the upward channel, it started the downward channel, recently confirmed. -The other battle here is we lost that strong dark dark green ascending support line and then we came back up and took it back, got rejected and then tried numerous more times to break it before giving up and losing ground. * Once again we will need to decide which channel we want to maintain, the ascending green channel or the newly formed descending red channel * I drew some lines of what seems Potential Future Paths, based on my interpretation of the current chart *Each set of eyes are where you want to be paying attention should we make it to this area. Roughly this chart infers. Possible downside ETH: $3650-$3550 | bullish | If we maintain this green Ascending channel ETH: ~$3450 | Possible short term bear Possible Upside: Look for resistance around $3950 after testing channel bottom. ------------------------------------- Orderbooks: Currently orderbooks are strong but we did have the first significant dip in trader confidence we have had in a long minute with the recent sharp pullback but asks are back up to a very stable level. A recent uptick in in bids at 100% DOM, infers traders think there is some more pullback possible though this could be short lived. This is per coinmarketflow, using the new TV charts on ETH. ------------------------------------- Longer Term: Note, that is 1 hour candles, here is the same chart with 1d candles: * Notice we are in a looong term ascending trend and we still have a ways before we test our theoretical top of channel but also there is a lot of room for this to fall, ETH could fall to $2500 in the next days to months and it would still be in an overall longterm ascending pattern with numerous proofs of support over the years. This is my research based on trend analysis and orderbooks. You should always do your own research, maybe my research will help add to your own and work out as a win.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by EncryptShawn
ETHEREUM - BULLISH AFEthereum: A Technical Masterpiece with a Psychological Challenge Ethereum's price action showcases remarkable technical precision. However, the real test lies in managing emotions: impatience and impulsive decisions often lead traders to quick losses. 📈 Projection: Expect a steady climb toward $4,300 until around December 17–18. At that point, a correction of -15% to -30% is likely, though the exact scale will depend on market conditions. 📅 Key Date: By December 23, ensure your positions are set. As the market evolves, navigating increased difficulty will require discipline—this phase is not for the unprepared. 📊 Comparison: The current price movement mirrors Ethereum’s 2020 trend, proving that while history doesn’t repeat, it often rhymes. ⚠️ Plan Ahead: Approach the market with a clear strategy. Maintain well-defined entry and exit plans, and avoid emotional decision-making. Recklessness has no place here. 🚀 Looking Ahead: January promises explosive growth, likely peaking around mid-month. This period demands focus and resilience—those who stay disciplined stand to benefit the most. 💡 Takeaway: Ethereum’s journey is more than just price action; it’s a test of patience and strategy. Stick to your plan, trust the process, and let the market work for you. 💼 Upcoming Trade: I’m about to open a new trade, which I’ll share with you here—just like the one I posted at $3,100. Now’s the time to make money and stay laser-focused. Don’t hesitate to follow me and keep an eye out for updates! Stay sharp, stay grounded, and may the odds be in your favor. God bless you. —Jay
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Jaytradermb
2
Ethereum could Ethereum (ETH) is up 6% on Wednesday after bouncing off the support level near $3,550. The spot market shows institutional investors and whales maintained a bullish sentiment, potentially scooping up ETH at lower prices during the recent dipDonald Trump-backed DeFi platform, World Liberty Financial (WFLI), spent $12 million on Ethereum (ETH), Chainlink (LINK), and Aave (AAVE) on Thursday, sparking a 2% rise in ETH and over 20% rallies in LINK and AAVE In November, WFLI already announced the integration of Chainlink and Aave into its Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem.According to Lookonchain data on Thursday, Trump’s World Liberty Financial multisig wallet spent a total of $12 million USDC stablecoin in purchasing $10 million to buy 2,631 ETH, $1 million to buy 41,335 LINK and $1 million to buy 3,357 AAVE
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by KingForex078
1
Bullish DIP: ETH $2530 Before Massive Move to New ATHPrior cycle fractals show that ETH has a macro resistance which lasts multiple years. Upon touch of resistance at the bottom of wedge it will drop more than 30% - before pumping multiple thousands of percent as the flagship coin for alt season. This is probably what will happen with the current dip. The entire crypto market is currently being controlled by this phenomena - a one week 'flippening'. Alts will follow in ETH's lead and the bull market frenzy will truly begin. Not financial advice, for entertainment only.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by D4NKM4CH1N3
1
UPDATE for the Markets and Active H5 TradesUPDATE for the Markets and Active H5 Trades 🎂 Today is my oldest sons second birthday. We already celebrated this morning, had birthday donuts and opened gifts. Got my market time in and now... I'm logging off for the day and going to be with him on his special day. Especially after the scary times we've been through with him the last two weeks. Family First ♥️ See you all tomorrow! Here's a last minute 🎁 from my son to you. Updates👇
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RonnieV29
8
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 233The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
ETHEthereum (ETH) Weekly Chart Analysis – Cup & Handle and Inverse Head & Shoulders Overview of Current Setup: Upon reviewing Ethereum’s weekly chart, a classic cup and handle formation is evident, with a confirmed breakout already in progress. The current price action suggests a potential backtest of the breakout zone, reinforcing the integrity of this pattern. Simultaneously, within this backtest, an inverse head and shoulders pattern is emerging – another bullish signal indicating that Ethereum could see further upside in the coming months. Pattern Breakdown: • Cup and Handle Formation: • This is a bullish continuation pattern that often signals the resumption of a strong uptrend after a period of consolidation. • The initial breakout suggests strong buying momentum, but as is common, the price is retracing to retest the breakout zone, essentially validating the strength of the move. • Inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S): • This pattern typically forms after a downtrend or corrective phase and often marks a reversal point. • The presence of this pattern within the backtest area adds confluence to the bullish outlook. Profit Targets: Given the alignment of these two patterns, the upside potential for Ethereum is significant. Here’s how the targets shape up: • Primary Target Range: $5600 - $6000 • This range represents a conservative measure of the breakout from the cup and handle, projected by mirroring the depth of the cup. • Extended Target: $6500 - $7000 (by mid-2025) • If momentum accelerates and bullish conditions persist, ETH could stretch towards this level as a secondary target. Stop Loss Strategy: • Key Level: Below $2800 • This represents a critical invalidation point. If Ethereum dips below this level, it would likely indicate a breakdown of the patterns mentioned, signaling potential further downside. • Since this is a weekly chart, patience is key. Short-term fluctuations and liquidation dips are common, so avoid overreacting to minor price movements. Timeframe & Approach: • Time Horizon: Weekly chart patterns generally take longer to develop and fully play out. This projection anticipates growth and price appreciation into mid-2025. • Mindset: This is a longer-term analysis. Avoid emotional trading or reacting impulsively to short-term volatility. Ethereum’s price action may involve consolidation, retracements, and temporary corrections along the way – all part of the process. Summary: Ethereum’s weekly chart shows compelling bullish signals through both a cup and handle pattern and an inverse head and shoulders formation. This confluence increases the likelihood of further upside. With profit targets in the $5600-$6000 range, and extended targets as high as $7000 by mid-2025, Ethereum presents a promising opportunity for patient traders. A stop loss below $2800 ensures risk management while allowing room for price action to develop naturally. (ChatGPT made me do it lol)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by TriumphOne
ETHUSD - 30m - Bearish SetupTechnical Analysis: Trend: ETHUSD has broken key support on the 30-minute timeframe, confirming bearish momentum. Price Action: The break of the support level suggests further downside movement. Target Zone: Price is expected to continue the bearish move toward 2760, aligning with previous structure support. RSI: Confirming bearish momentum with no divergence on this timeframe. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Enter a sell position at the Fib 0.5 levels . Stop Loss (SL): Place above the broken support level to protect against false breakouts. Take Profit (TP): TP1: 2800 (first key level for partial profits). TP2: 2760 (final target based on bearish move projection). This setup assumes ETHUSD will respect the breakdown and continue its bearish momentum. Let me know if you'd like specific entry, SL, and TP price levels!
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by ya_xir