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ETHEREUM is 1.1 TRILLION DOLLARS less valuable than BITCOINor -78% The flippening was a common narrative. ETH as hard money was also a narrative - in reality only when gas is exorbitant. ETH as a world computer was the early narrative. Bitcoin deserves it entry on to the world stage cycle. ETH can become a 1 Trillion dollar + network. Sharding and splintering of the network effects of the mainet clearly is not value creating. Splitting of communities and economic energy was the result. Solana flippening is a good narrative that we are following this cycle. Coins are the product of these smart contract platforms. At the moment the best coin factory is SOL. BTC is scarce. No coins are allowed to be created on it's. The Bitcoin forks had the stink of a founder, a human attached to it's network ... not what capital allocators. They wanted a autonomous network that runs by itself and ossificatoin of the code. A complicated spaghetti bowl of code that the core dev team refuse to tinker with. The results is clear at this point in time.
CRYPTOCAP:ETHLong
by BallaJi
3
ALTCOINS that may Actually HAVE A FUTURE Beyond 2024I remember the good 'ol days, when the amount of options you had was limited to one hand. First there was Bitcoin. Then came ETH, LTC, XRP and BCH (Bitcoin Cash). And a few other's later came like Bitcoin Gold and CRV. But oh man, were those the days. Crypto felt oddly "safer" back then, despite mt gox and pyramid schemes running rampant. Because today - the enemy is actually in the camp... New alts are being released every hour (probably more) and it's just the one airdrop to the next rug. Lot's of progress has been made in this space which is blockchain, but we're still not really seeing the original promise of Bitcoin being fulfilled (fast and affordable cross border payments, ) amongst others. Today, it has become close to impossible to separate the crop from the cream in terms of coin accumulation. If you bought BTC two years ago, or ETH, or LTC - you'd currently be in profit. However, some alts don't even exist for a month after release date never the less a year or more. So let's talk about which altcoins I believe have a future FOR SURE. Remember that this is a highly debatable point; but I am going to point out the few that I believe will survive (at least past year and possibly beyond). 👉 1) Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD Bitcoin is not an altcoin, it is the original crypto. The KING. The first commandment and promise of a fair, open and transparent future on the blockchain. BTC's price may be overvalued occasionally, but it will always have the benefit of being first. And with so many institutional investors, I think it's a safe play for the foreseeable future. 👉 2) Ethereum COINBASE:ETHUSD King of the alts, first of it's kind. Ethereum is the world's first smart contract platforms which remains the most popular choice among developers even today. Following Bitcoin's decentralized concept, Ethereum has become a leader in smart contract platforms and dApps. Eth is here to stay. 👉 3) Solana BINANCE:SOLUSDT Competitor now to Ethereum, SOL has previously surpassed ETH (not in price). With over 95 million transactions daily, Solana has become the fastest blockchain and recently surpassed Ethereum in Total Economic Value. Many devs prefer Solana, and I believe it will stick around for the foreseeable future. 👉 4) Dogecoin CRYPTOCAP:DOGE I hate how dependent Doge is on Elon Musk. But, for some reason, Mr Musk has a fascination with Doge and has promised many times to include it as a payment option on X (formerly Twitter). Even though it seems like a pie in the sky, something like that would significantly increase the value of Doge. I don't see it as a "forever" coin, but definitely on the list. I think a key point to note here, is that back then, they (the founders) were doing something revolutionary. They were and are the titans of the industry. Today, anyone with GPT can create a functioning alt that "serves a purpose" or has "fundamental use case" in some way. It's true that AI is revolutionary, and I am very bullish on the concept of AI and the promise of automation for human kind. But this far, it hasn't been profitable, yet . OpenAI makes losses and cryptoai is just leveraging off the larger AI, or the concept thereof... Sure, there are privately trained models, but at the current moment it takes a tremendous amount of resources (time, money, physical space) to do DL or Machine Learning, which if OpenAI cant make profitable... then neither can the cryptoai created by john, steve and bob. 10 Other ALTS that will probably make it past this year: 1) Shiba Inu (because people love it) BINANCE:SHIBUSDT 2) XRP (because many can't let go) BINANCE:XRPUSDT 3) Cardano (because it has a cult following) BINANCE:ADAUSDT 4) BNB (Binance supporters maybe?) CRYPTOCAP:BNB 5) Chainlink (because oddly enough it's survived for this long) BINANCE:LINKUSDT 6) Kaspa (potentially a revolutionary alt) MEXC:KASUSDT 7) Render (potentially an ai winner) BINANCEUS:RNDRUSDT 8) Monero (still the best privacy coin) KRAKEN:XMRUSD 9) Sei (potentially a revolutionary alt) BINANCE:SEIUSDT 10) Aave (still the best for borrowing and lending) COINBASE:AAVEUSD Don't miss the message here - you can still TRADE altcoins. There are good trading opportunities and setups even for the worst alts. I know this because we trade them daily. But this post is not about trading opportunities - it's about the future, potentially the far future. Who will likely survive and why. Alts that may be worth accumulating an that probably won't rug in a month's time. I hope you can take it for what it is intended to be! ________________________________
CRYPTOCAP:ETHLong
by CryptoCheck-
8
ETF on ETH how high will it go? Targets given based on BTC ETFsCompare what happened on BTC? – so true money flow – real $ actually put into it At the time mrkt cap 1.4 T July 24 – (numbers rounded up easy maths) BTC @ Market cap of 1T it was estimated that 300 Billion of real money was used to push the price to give a market cap of 1T. This is because the last price paid is applied across all BTCs to create a ‘market cap’ we assign to BTC Hence implies / assumes an uplift factor of say 3-4 for BTC for real money to move the price to achieve a market cap. We notice that the 17 B is no linear model – maybe somewhat explained as the supply of BTC is diminishing. Say in first half ie to-date 17 billion put into ETFs (5-6%) of total money ever put into BTC achieves this move of 90% increase in price (600B) (versus 17 x 3-4 = 51-68B) 17 B moves 800 B mrkt cap to 1.4 T = 0.02125 ratio Limited supply of BTC on exchanges and retail and institutions tend to hoddle this is a factor So how about ETH now? also 30% staked Market cap for ETH is lower but not by so much considering – & real funds available on the ETF route estimated to be 10-20% of the money put into BTC so say 3-5 Billion best guess by Jordan on Kitco (prior analysts got the amount of ETF funds wrong they underestimated what was in the pipeline) Announcement of ETH ETF resulted on 80 million added overnight to market cap by bidding up the price Jordan estimates 4-5 B to flow via ETH funds - spot means the fund mngrs have to buy ETH up to 30-90 or so days later depending on fund set up rules So 5 B moves 420 B how much if same pattern then 90% can be expected maths shows 0.02125 rato So 5/420=0.0119 So 0.0119/0.02125= 0.56 So 420*1.56=655M just over the ATH for ETH which is highly plausible and exceeds the Asc Tri target still on ETH from prior years approx. 33% still to go. Makes ETH a sensible investment moving forward if you are bullish For 4 B inflow works out 44% hence 1.44 x 420 =604B market cap for ETH which is same as HVF full target if you use most volume line as axis as a prediction. Of course after the first few days we can see the rate of flow of money into the EFT ETH fund and compare to BTC and then predict the $4-5 Billion more accurately and adjust the model for ETH price Once the ETF flows run everyone can calculate this and it becomes obvious if you would have go back into ETH as it hit its recent KLOS you had pretty much a guaranteed 66% in under a year with next to no down side risk exposure. This is as a minimum objective based on info before the flow of ETF funds were known. So it should be updated as data becomes clarified. The method is logical and fair. Awareness of factors leading to the market cap/price is still relatively uncommon knowledge. Disclaimer: Just for education purposes not advice. Unless you are an institution. If you are a family officer and don't deliver 100% y on y and want further discussion happy to do so please contact me directly. My fees start once I have delivered 100% gain and reset annually balanced with a good sharpe ratio giving min acceptable risk to the customer. Good luck guys remember that the market loves us!
CRYPTOCAP:ETHLong
by William_Playfair
CryptoCap - ETH / Ethereum - Idea II - Triangle PlayHey guys, yearly chart: bullish setup with targets around 435 and 577. (recent ATHs on closing base and by wick ) Quarterly: After a strong Q1 gain we see a trading back below 435 printing an inside bar... : bearish setup at a strong resistance level. Range of this quarter will be monitored closely on the 3D chart. Monthly: 4 Months of weakness - with the last one not being able to reach the highs of the range. -> Stochastic is turning down after forming a double top -> Bullish trendline is still intact. It seems to be the last support before the lower high scenario will be in play. - alternatively looking at the triangle: waiting for a break of this structure and a retest 3D: very interesting. we see a consolidation of course - but there might be a fractal in play if you compare the 3D to the monthly chart. However, I am seeing a bearish setup with an invalidation above 435. - keeping in mind that the yearly is still pointing up so we could easily be going just up from here. thanks for reading…
CRYPTOCAP:ETH
by MeruEU
$SOL Long - Projecting Market Cap TopLOOKING AT MARKET CAPS, BETWEEN CRYPTOCAP:ETH AND $SOL. IVE BEEN SAYING CRYPTOCAP:SOL IS REPEATING CRYPTOCAP:ETH CYCLE SINCE $8 PER $SOLANA. FADE AT YOUR OWN PERIL, NFA. (SEE MY LINKED CHART CALLING FOR THE CRYPTOCAP:SOL MARKET CAP BOTTOM IN NOV 2022 AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS ANALYSIS) CRYPTOCAP:ETH 2020-2021 vs CRYPTOCAP:SOL 2024-2025 analyzing market cap of CRYPTOCAP:ETH from 2017 to 2021 with market cap of CRYPTOCAP:SOL from 2021-2025 CRYPTOCAP:ETH Market Cap topped at $145B in 2017 CRYPTOCAP:SOL Market Cap topped at $80B in 2021 CRYPTOCAP:ETH MC bottom'd at SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:8B in 2018 (94% drop) CRYPTOCAP:SOL MC bottom'd at SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B in 2021 (96% drop) CRYPTOCAP:ETH MC ran to $575B in 2021 (4x from 2017 Top), taking 1400 days in between highs CRYPTOCAP:SOL MC will run to ~$320B in Sep 2025 (4x from 2021 Top), taking 1400 days in between highs? will be interesting to follow, publish to accurately track ~$320B MC is ~$696.9 per CRYPTOCAP:SOL (SEE MY LINKED CHART CALLING FOR THE CRYPTOCAP:SOL MARKET CAP BOTTOM IN NOV 2022 AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS ANALYSIS) -@CryptoCurb
CRYPTOCAP:ETH
by CryptoCurb
SOL vs ADA - A Market Cap Risk Comparison SOL vs ADA - A Market Cap Risk Comparison CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL & CRYPTOCAP:ADA can all rise together & one may win out over the other but I think this chart emphasizes the increased potential -92% downside risk in CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH & CRYPTOCAP:ADA have c.60% downside to their recent lows by comparison. This also highlights just what an incredible run CRYPTOCAP:SOL has had. To be clear. I am not stating anything other than this. ▫️ SOL has increased downside risk vs BTC, ETH & ADA based on market cap increase ▫️ That Risk may never materialize but it is there and its better to know than not know. ▫️ There is room for all 3 in your portfolio, allocating based on downside risk avoidance may be beneficial. Taking "some profits" when SOL hit $120 was clever and leaving something on the table for the larger long term move is also clever. Its not about being right, its about protecting yourself and trying to stay on the right side of probability. Allocate accordingly. If you are a long term investor all this short term noise does not matter and you might be looking for SOL to make a new low to continue to DCA. Also fine. I am presenting this visual to offer perspective to help you with your own personal portfolio decision. Its just a perspective worth considering. PUKA
CRYPTOCAP:ETH
by PukaCharts
2
Can ETH Breakout Relative to BTC? As of late, Ethereum (ETH) prices find themselves at a crucial technical juncture, currently supported by a 50% retracement level relative to Bitcoin (BTC). This level gains significance as it represents a pivotal point where the asset's price is anticipated to either rebound or face further downward pressure. A significant factor impacting the cryptocurrency market is the recent reassessment of expectations regarding interest rate cuts, driven by recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a noticeable shift in market sentiment, with expectations for a rate cut being moved forward from June to May. This adjustment in anticipated monetary policy carries implications for the broader financial landscape, influencing investor strategies across various asset classes. Typically, more lenient financial conditions favor risk assets, and within the crypto asset class, these assets remain vulnerable to interest rate changes. In the context of Ethereum's performance against Bitcoin, market participants closely watch the 50% retracement support level. For ETH to realize further upside compared to BTC, it is imperative that this retracement level serves as robust support. Technical analysis suggests that the current positioning could play a pivotal role in shaping the short to medium-term trajectory of Ethereum prices relative to Bitcoin. Traders and investors are advised to stay vigilant and responsive to market developments, recognizing that shifts in sentiment and external factors can rapidly influence the dynamics of this cryptocurrency pair. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH
by Blue_Line_Futures