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AEX _ start of the week on Dutch-Index (mon 23th of January2017)However oil price are strong backed by cutting crude production and individual stocks are outperforming concencus it is likely to record a high on Monday 23th of January at 488,8 point in AEX. If 488,80 harmo will coincide with overbought condition and a valid short in 2h timeframe, it is likely to sell to point D. However in mid of this week Gann points are stronger, to look for 'opp. into strengths. Overall the market is in a strong uptrend, with sideway behaviour to 'square out price range expension from the Trump rally. TradingEcology does expect a strong rise towards April/March to roughly 530. Our perception to correction in price are very flexibly minded, though timecorrection is an unnatural breather for higher prices in future. In the yearly hot projection report you can find the exact price&time relations. Best to your trading!
TVC:AEX
by BBtrade618
Friday 13th of January (end of the week) Dutch AEX-index"Three things cannot be long hidden: the sun, the moon, and the truth." Buddha So can we short the AEX-index with full moon? TradingEcology applies understanding of natural patterns towards stock movement as learned by the masters of math: W.D. Gann and Fibonacci. As this trading week have ended, some very interesting patterns can run the show for coming two weeks, till first week of February In the chart, TradingEcology has detected two harmonic price patterns which will be initiated near point C (blue arrow down). As the 'FTI (aex-future) closed on 22pm (later than displayed 'aex 'cfd here) a valid short has been recored on 2h timeframe on Friday 13th of January. Those kind of setups give very minor reasons for a rise in price, with time is ticking and favor of a little short correction as well. TradingEcology has detection built on the following major point from last two years of trading. As described in the yearly hot projection report. - High in April 2015 - Low in February 2016 Natural ratio's Moonphase: 29.53 Moonphase /4 = 7.382 (while 0,382 is a fibonacci ratio) This ratio pointed at the 11th of January 2017 which may unfold as a high (point A in the middle) since point C has been set at 0,886 ratio lower. If we make this up to one, so 7,618 than we are on 16th of January 2017 as a time trigger to short for a minor correction. Please find this method of roottime calculation in the hot projection report of 2017. However Nikkei and Crude oil are on a balance level, and can thus change into a new bull leg up for now reason (as shorts will forced to cover), it is likely to go lower coming week of trading. TradingEcology has a short viewpoint on markets if the 490 level in 'AEX will hold as a firm resistance coming week. With sounds risk management a breach below 486,40 (horizontal dotted line) will open short opportunities towards 481,60 and 478,10. All scenarios should be rewiewed under if and then conditions, never be rigid in thinking and stay flexible in execution. Manage your risk wisely, and remember be long volatility when vola is low! With some uncertainty TradingEcology has an overnight short position in 'AEX and a profit target in short target zone between points D and D (481,60 - 478,10) with stop at 490. this position is in accordance with common sense risk management criteria Best to your trading. With kind regards, Trading Ecology Trading natural patterns unnaturally perfect
TVC:AEXShort
by BBtrade618
3
AEX low of 11th Feb 2016 a medium point in major cyclesLooking at the bigger picture to check reality. A line from low in 9th March 2009 (point X) crossed line AB exactly on half the way. Look how important iimportant that associated pricelevel (312) was in end of 2009 and beginning of 2010. The line with a ratio 2.13 (a 4th square 0.14% root of 1.618) projected the high in 2015. As it was easy the halfway point 50% level was the low of 11th February 2016. So to speak an important point in medium cycle. The low from 2009 is approximately 120 points to the 312 line (which is 1/3 of 360degree cycle). Half a cycle is 180 and if you add 312 you reach a top at 492. In general I am not sure if market is making a medium-term top in very end of 2016. It could be reasonable to say buyers will dry up and profit taking could lead to a correction in price. Heads up for shorts! P.S. following ratio applied to this scenario: square 0.14% root of 0.5 = 0,707 1.707/2 = 0,85035 0.60*0.60=0.36 which is 9number and 360degree cycle number 0.666 number of the sun 1.066 is 1.136 a fibo. ratio
TVC:AEX
by BBtrade618
How to hedge marketrisk with opposite movements in the market?In the follow graph you can see the following 'stocks': GOLD ETF, AEX (indextracker) and Unilever You can also see the expanded ghost patern that will predict the marketmovement/divergence between the 'stocks'. In this case: GOLD will fall = AEX will rise | Unilever will fall or rise 3.5% more than the AEX will rise or fall (or) AEX will fall = GOLD will rise | Unilever will fall or rise 3.5% more than the AEX will rise or fall Why have i choose Unilver to compare with the index and gold? *'Some stocks do heavly move in different directions, even if there are no updates from the company. Unilver is one of this kind of company's'. This means that we can hedge risk or take risk in combination with the prospected marketmovements in the index / commoditie Information deserved from: Bloomberg and ING Markets
TVC:AEX
by tmp_cox
AEX ShorttripAs a top got confirmed together with change in momentum, negative crossing of stochastics, i'm looking towards next levels. 446 as a support and bottom trendline. Area around 438 again as support and bottom trendline. A short position should be held as long no bottoming has formed around those levels. Purpose is to let profits run.. everyone wants that. So the Exp. MA 3 and 8 are helping to determine the trend. A close under Ema 3 is a strong downtrend. During the trend the Ema 8 can be tested. As long no close occurs above the Ema 8 the short position remains. Note that a strong reversal candlepattern might also trigger a take profit.
TVC:AEXShort
by Dutchy
2
Why i am long Indices in Early October30/09/16: Db just had a huge correction forcing Germany or ECB to step in pritty soon. With this burden on an all time low its less to bother about for indices. Sure if db crashes then you can say goodbye to this entire plan, but probably many plans will be garbage then. And does the world really need a new financial crash? I dont think so... We recently had an opec deal to cut output, personally i am sceptical due to non opec producers beeing able to pick up the pace with higher prices so this may put some downward pressure into the upcoming month. Last we have the us stock exchanges who are all near ath's and keep hovering around that zone with no immediate new problems to be sighted (excluding wells fargo perhaps) in usa i dont expect usa indices to put much pressure into european indices into early october. Given the current aex price (also dax and other european indices) i am prity sure to open calls on eu indices with a targetdate of a few weeks. Check in on the other charts as well i'll comment for a zoomed vieuw.
TVC:AEXLong
by Childrenofmen
1