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DJI trade ideas

The Mystery Of The Dow Index..Here is an interesting trend trade swing opportunity. I already have my index quota filled although as US index long is not the worst of ideas. The trend trade in question is the Dow Jones (US30) which is technically setting up and awaiting a daily buy signal/bar. Here is the interesting aspect. Why on earth is the DJI dropping for over a week back to averages while the SPY/SPX remains near ATHs? This divergence is creating the DJI trend trade but the fundamentals behind it need to be understood. Both indices should be behaving similarly as they have for quite a while now but the recent divergence has to be due to a combination of risk factors which are just now aligning that way. Sector composition is different, right? S&P is heavy tech and growth while DJI is traditional large caps. But they should react the same way to the sentiment environment and FED cut expectations so what gives? Maybe it is just tech. Tech is booming again with AI so it stands to reason that the S&P would hold an edge. Still, the environment is the same for traditional stocks and even if there should be a difference in gains, there surely shouldn't be a 100% divergence? Maybe it is investor sentiment? Markets are all in on AI while traditional stocks are seeing pre holiday profit taking? Could be. Is the December H2 Santa rally around the corner and the DJI dip buy is in play? That's a lot of speculation for such a divergence. Then we come to macro and this is where I think things begin to look different. Inflation has been coming in hot. But so has some other macro, macro that favours growth - and the FED cuts do to - so the S&P strength is probably warranted. The DJI is not so much about growth and probably more sensitive to inflationary pressures. I think that the inflation prints coming in hot may have been brushed off by the S&P and broader market, including the FED... but not by interest rate sensitive sectors of the DJI.
BLACKBULL:US30
by WillSebastian
US30 / Consolidation Ahead of Key Breakout LevelsTechnical Analysis The price has reached the support level we mentioned earlier and is now consolidating between 43,350 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. Initially, the price may attempt to test 43,760 or 43,900, driven by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut. However, it is also possible for the price to drop again, potentially breaking the support zone at 43,350. A break below 43,350 and 43,200 would confirm a bearish trend, with further downside targets at 42,900 and 42,770. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43580 Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070 Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Possible within the consolidation range of 43,350 to 43,900 PREVIOUS IDEA:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
Bullish Potential for DJIA Towards 45,700 Amid Support BreakdownKey Observations Fibonacci Extension: • Fibonacci Extension is used to calculate potential price targets after a pullback. • Fibonacci Extension Levels: o 0%: 43,507.08 (beginning of the rise). o 100%: 45,762.55 (full price target). o The 45,762.55 level, as the 100% Fibonacci Extension target, serves as a potential take profit area if the price successfully rebounds from support and breaks through previous resistance. Support and Resistance: Main Support: • 43,507.08: Key support near the trendline. • 43,329.65: First horizontal support level. • 42,738.60: Second support if breakdown occurs. • 41,697.23: Last support that maintains the long-term bullish trend. Main Resistance: • 44,040.00: Initial resistance area. • 44,369.69: Second resistance level. • 44,902.61: Strong resistance (Fibonacci Extension 61.8%). • 45,762.55: Fibonacci Extension 100% as the main target. ________________________________________ Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: • If the price rebounds from the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65, there is potential for a move towards 44,369.69 and 44,902.61. • A breakout above 44,902.61 will push the price towards 45,762.55 (100% Fibonacci Extension target). Bearish Scenario: • If the price falls below 43,329.65, the next critical support areas will be 42,738.60 and 41,697.23. SMA 50: • The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 43,509.70 still serves as dynamic support near the current price. ________________________________________ Conclusion • The 100% Fibonacci Extension at 45,762.55 is the main bullish target if the price can rebound from support at 43,507.08 and break through the resistance at 44,902.61. • The support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65 remains a crucial level to maintain the bullish momentum. ________________________________________ Bullish Strategy Entry: • Buy in the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65. Target: • Target 1: 44,369.69 • Target 2: 44,902.61 • Target 3: 45,700 (Fibonacci 100%). Stop Loss: • Below 42,738.60 to limit risk. ________________________________________ Bearish Strategy (If Breakdown Support) Trigger Entry: • If the price drops below 43,329.65 (horizontal support) and fails to rebound. Target Profit: • Target 1: 42,738.60 (next support). • Target 2: 41,697.23 (strong last support). Stop Loss: • Place the stop loss above 43,507.08, the former support now turned resistance after the breakdown. • This ensures that risk is controlled if the breakdown fails and the price reverses. ________________________________________ Important Notes • Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 to maintain a profitable long-term strategy. • Confirmation: Look for a bearish candlestick pattern or high volume during the breakdown to validate the signal.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by KepoinTrading
US30 4H Dow Jones Analysis : Introduction: My previous analysis is here . As noted, while Nasdaq was predicted to be bullish, Dow Jones remained bearish. This contrast reflects the precision of price action analysis combined with a strong strategy that enables accurate market readings. Main Scenarios: The current trend remains bearish, and I expect the price to drop to 43530, where a potential reversal may occur. Invalidation Level: A breakout and consolidation above 44500 will invalidate my analysis and signal a potential trend reversal. Forecast and Strategy: Short-Term Targets: 43350 42900 Upon reaching 43530, I will update the analysis to evaluate whether the market continues downward or reverses. Closing: As we approach the year-end, risk management becomes even more critical. Avoid entering trades without a solid plan. For further updates, please like this analysis and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by GreyFX-NDS
US30 Falls to 42200 and is now in buyers ZoneUS30 Falls yesterday causing much of the traders to lose their bullish trades. The market faked like it wanted to go bullish but slid over 250 points. Price is currently closer to support 42300 and is likely to continue to consolidate between here and 92900. This is a zone to take small intraday trades to make up for any losses sustained with yesterday's slide. For bullish confirmation look for a retest above 42900. Be careful by paying attention to look for higher highs and higher lows. Be safe out there. Good trading.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by leslyjeanbaptiste
DOW JONES: Neutral 1D means buy opportunity.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.536, MACD = 330.150, ADX = 20.923) as it is on the bearish wave of the 4H Channel Up, towards the 4H MA200, which on November 19th priced the last HL. The 4H RSI got oversold and rebounded today above its MA period, which twice before has been a buy signal. We are going long here, aiming at the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 45,400). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
US30 long for this weekAll timeframes point towards US30 going long. Monthly: November's candlestick engulfed October's candlestick. Price has been on a severe uptrend and does not look like it will stop. This month we have seen a minor retracement that indicates price is collecting orders before it continues going up. Weekly: We have seen a three pin pattern before price started retracing which indicates that price will continue to go up. Currently, price is retracing in order to find a major spot for liquidity where it will collect buy orders. The high liquidity region seems to be 43,500 since that is where a lot of buy orders were filled in the past. Daily: Price had a target of 45,600 which was not hit. This indicates that price is retracing to a level that it will collect orders. On the daily, the region with the most buy orders are 43,300. 4 hour: This is the best timeframe to tell where real liquidity lies. As we can see, the most buy orders were filled at 43,400 HENCE, THE HYPOTHESIS FOR THE WEEK, IS TO WAIT FOR PRICE TO GO TO 43,400, WHERE WE WILL LOOK TO BUY
FX:US30Long
by kingmwenja
Price Tests Key Levels as Bullish and Bearish Momentum CompeteTechnical Analysis The price dropped as anticipated in the previous analysis. Today, the price is likely to attempt to reach 41,960. A break below this level would confirm further bearish movement toward 41,740. However, if the price stabilizes above 41,970, it could support a bullish move toward the pivot zone at 42,370. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 42130 Resistance Levels: 42370, 42590, 42770 Support Levels: 41970, 41740, 41560 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Expected if the price stabilizes above 41,970. Bearish Momentum: Likely with stability below 41,970. previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 Possible Bullish ideaUS30 has been on a straight sell for the past 9days and finally is approaching a strong area of Resistance turned support and an ascending trendline on the higher TF. Seeing it has two ascending trendlines we will objectively look at it. If market respects the ascending trendline and the area of support turned resistance, we will execute a buy but if it breaks that level, we will continue a sell to the second trendline and area of resistance turned support. Remember, objectivity is the rule of the game. The market lads, we follow.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by KAYCEEFX1
4-hr US30: Can We See a 2000 points Christmas Rally Following the US elections, the Dow Jones surged by an impressive 3300 points in a massive bull rally, generating significant returns. However, a correction is underway as early buyers begin to take profits. We anticipate the US30 could dip another 250 points to retest the critical 50% Fibonacci level. This expectation is supported by the emergence of a Death Cross, a classic bearish signal, indicating strong downward momentum. If the 43,300 zone holds as support, there’s potential for a 2000-point Christmas rally. Buyers looking to capitalize on the broader uptrend might need to exercise patience, waiting for lower entry points to achieve a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This pullback could present an opportunity for strategic positioning in anticipation of the next rally.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Trendsharks
DOW JONES cyclical trend points bottom is near.DOW JONES / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up pattern for the past 4 months. Right now it is on a technical pullback towards the 4hour MA200, having already crossed under the 4hour MA50. The 4hour MA200 was the level that supported the previous pullback that bottomed on November 19th. Inside this pattern, every pullback corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and was a buy opportunity while the 4hour RSI turned oversold under its 30.00 level. Time this buy entry and target 45600, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, the level that priced all prior highs inside this Channel Up. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TheCryptagon
US30 Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for US30. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 43,616.98. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 43,408.72 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by SignalProvider
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