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ES1! trade ideas

ES - Will S&P 500 Join Gold In The Bull Run?There are a few hoops to climb through if i am to speculate all-time highs for next weeks trading although, not impossible. What i am interested in is for ES to peak it's head above buyside @ $5,601, creating a blow-off top before selling off into this weeks price range. $5,574.75 - $5,464.25 daily volume imbalance has sparked my interest as an area in price that smart money could sell their profitable short positions if this bearish bias, bullish narrative plays out.
CME_MINI:ESU2024Short
by LegendSince
ES Supply Short IdeaNice recovery for ES and NQ after last Monday's dump. Straight back up, much like April. I think this could be near a major top, or at least a short term pull back for bulls to take a breather. Either way, the setup is solid. This is a really nice supply zone here and NQ has a similar one. I'd expect the first retest to cause at least one rejection. It got pretty close today but didn't quite touch it. Maybe it hits it overnight and fails or never hits it at all. This is just another short confirmation for the next few months. The supply is right at a major high when ES retested its trend and failed. I think we could easily fail from here or hit supply again first. Doesn't matter much to me, I just want to be short if it stays below and probably long if it breaks above.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by AdvancedPlays
Wyckoff Top Melt upI think I know why Buffet sold 50% of apple. Because all the big boys will be selling key levels of this melt up so they don't get caught. Retail will keep driving price. 2 legs, possibly something like 40% each. Maybe first into Powel Fed 9/18, then a pull back, then second leg less vertical than the first, into the election EOY. And then we would get massive flushes of selling as large stake holders dump on retail, let them drive it back up, then dump again. I thought this could happen, but even I didn't see the set up until this moment. It's either that or we do now very hard. What does the sentiment tell you will happen? We blow up. We get interest rate cuts because the economy is in danger. Fed may even not make a cut until the bitter top, triggering the selling in the winter. I planned out a Wyckoff blow off months ago, but the price action was so difficult to get a handle on since October, and you really have to shrink and compress your candles down to see the true shape of it. I'm not that experienced, but it appears we'd get near 13k before the end. And whomever becomes president will get the gift of an 80% market drop during their term that has nothing to do with them. But will have been because of corporate greed, record buybacks to inflate values. Something had to give. Something has to give. Jack holes. And record retail use. Geez. Wonder what GME does in this bubble? I'm all in on RIVN to the top and then I sell everything. I but it hits 420 and dies. Lol. This world we live in.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by CaptainLogik
It's a Bull - It's a Bear - It's Time to Make Up Your Mind3 straight weeks of setting from mid-July crescendos with a crash August 2. But the "crash" was met with a vicious buying spree that now places the major index 50% of so from the large high to low swing. In this video, I breakdown the technicals and scenarios trying to make some sense of where we could be heading. We are mostly through Q2 earnings. PPI and CPI prints have been digested (market likes it mostly). We still have retail sales and unemployment claims this week and if the market reacts bearish, it's a pretty obvious sign the market is more concerned about a softer labor market and recession than it is inflation. If the markets reacts bullish and continues to grind higher, we may be looking at another incredible V bottom without the FED having to do anything - which would be a surprise :) I'm cautiously bullish and believe the market will struggle to blow through all-time highs, but it's possible we still test and sniff them out, though unlikely it will be broad. More about big money moves are cutting positions in Mag 7 so a true broadening will be a nice change of pace instead of a highly concentrated Top 10 carrying the overall market. Enjoy the video and thanks for watching!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ChrisPulver
2024-08-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Also trading range price action since we closed 8 points above the open price, so many parallels to dax. Market is near the big bear trend line around 5500 and the big round number is the most obvious magnet currently. Market wants to get there desperately and a bit above for an easy liquidity grab. It’s likely that we hit 5500 tomorrow and the bear trend line. There bears have their do or die moment as well and I think it’s 50/50 if we reverse or break above. current market cycle: Bear flag inside the bear trend key levels: 5430 - 5500 bull case: Bulls now made 360 points from the lows and they now want to break strongly above 5500 and probably make new ath afterwards. Today’s price action was mostly sideways but with higher highs and higher lows, so technically a bull trend. There is nothing to deeply analyse here. We are grinding higher on low volume and are near the big round number and the daily 20ema. Tomorrow we have an answer where the next 300 points will be made. Invalidation is below 5430. bear case: Bears trying but not enough. They need a strong 1h close below the 1h 20ema. Right now they have to pray for the bear trend line to hold and find enough sellers at 5500 to trade back down. If the bear trend line breaks, it’s moon time because all the bears will cover their shorts there. Invalidation is above 5530. short term: Neutral 5450 - 5530. Need a strong breakout to either side to enter bigger positions again. medium-long term: Bearish. I gave the 5000 target 3 months ago and we almost got there way earlier than expected. There is a reasonable chance we will see an event unfolding over the next weeks. Something breaks during these violent moves and this time will not be different.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds