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Bitcoin Futures (Jan 2025)

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BTCF2025 trade ideas

BTC CME GAPS (4H)Bitcoin has two gaps on the CME chart. The first gap has been filled. There’s another gap at $77,000, and it remains to be seen whether this gap will be filled before the price moves higher or if it won’t be filled anytime soon. Currently, it's the end-of-year holiday season, trading volume has decreased, and we are observing dumps and pumps within a range-bound movement. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CME:BTC1!
by behdark
1
BTC Futures Analysis: Key Levels, and Potential ScenariosBig Picture: BTC Futures reached a new high at 108,960 last Tuesday Dec 17, 2024. FED rate decision and 2025 rate cut projections tampered down from 4 to 2 resulted in market sell-off. BTC futures were also down reaching a low of 92,355 on Friday and closing at 96,600. CME Futures halt early tomorrow and are closed on Wednesday Dec 25th, 2024 for Christmas holiday. We also have a very light economic calendar. Lower liquidity during the holiday period may push prices in either direction. Key Levels to Watch: Nov 18th Week Hi: 101,110 Dec 10th Low: 94,785 Last Week Low: 92,355 LIS (Line in Sand) for short-term bulls: 92000- 90,000 support zone. Scenario 1: Consolidation Above Key Support BTC futures further consolidate between Dec 10th Low and Nov 18th Week Hi at 101,110. Price did not close below LIS last week. As long as this support holds, price holding above 94,785 may provide a setup towards 100,000- 101,110. Scenario: 2: Breakdown below LIS Break down of LIS will see a deeper pull back towards 78,000. Here it will be a wait and see approach for BTC futures to hold below 90,000 mark and expect further downside if buyers fail to push prices back above. Disclaimer: The views expressed are opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
CME:BTC1!
by EdgeClear
Are the Bitcoin bulls and bears right?Bitcoin has been the top performing asset in the world and by far the greatest. With bitcoin attempting to be the world’s reserve asset, are the bulls accurate to say that 245K is the Top while the bulls are saying 85K is the Low? Both can be right, and there lies the confusion. Elliott wave enthusiast may say we’re in a fourth wave correction leading to the top of the market. The four wave may actually go as deep as 85k as the bears predict but may also be the wave leading into the top $245k as the bulls predict. Somewhere in between the two lies the answer.
CME:BTC1!Long
by ParabolicP
BTC - Mind the GapVERY IMPORTANT: This is not a prediction in time. In fact, there's a 40-45% chance of one more high in BTC. But, what is pointed out here is the target, whether it turns around here completely or makes a new high. You would be hard pressed to find a gap that hasn't filled since the inception of BTC futures. There's always a "This time is different" and I've heard every one of them since the inception of this contract. Gaps are a place in time where the market became extremely imbalanced (assuming the market has adequate liquidity). The market is always looking to find balance, so even if the gap holds for hours or days, it commonly revisits that old price area. Traders like to say “all gaps fill,” but the timing can be erratic. If it takes too long, you might go broke before it closes. It’s not a strategy by itself—context is everything. After the gap, I watch bar-by-bar follow-through. If momentum is strong, the gap might wait days or weeks to fill. If bars stall and reverse, the gap fill typically starts quickly. When the gap is left behind, it's only a matter of time. As I said, it is not a strategy in and of itself, so you would be wise to overlay it with other market concepts and the narratives that affect the market you're trading. One I left on the screen is the dashboard, which pulls over 100 signals from 14 indicators used in many trading systems. This metric sums to a bearish outlook (but it always will at the bottom of a downtrend too, so there is still no silver bullet). The orange line is predicated on k-clustering, Fibonacci systems, price action patterns, trend rules. The path is consistent with Elliott Wave Theory. There are other patterns that could develop, such as a prolonged B-wave (as a part of a larger 3-wave configuration rather than the 5 shown), a triangle. or some other pathing. Timing is hard to predict because time is not a critical feature of price development. Prices and price derivatives are the critical features and from those we can derive levels and paths (patterns). So timing is hard because time is irrelevant to price progression. ...something you're probably not going to be taught anywhere.
CME:BTC1!Short
by FuturesTradeClub
Let's talk about CME📈In most cases, BTC is likely to move upward and fill the green CME gap section. This could lead to significant movements in altcoins, potentially triggering the next phase of the bull run and the start of an alt season. 📉However, in the worst-case scenario, if BTC breaks the critical $90K support zone, we could expect a continuous downturn, possibly filling the red CME gap. If this second scenario unfolds, altcoins are likely to experience substantial losses, and the first stage of the alt season may be missed. 📌In the first scenario, if the alt season starts BTC will continuously try to breaks the $90K super support zone. Setting stop losses becomes very important at this stage.
CME:BTC1!Long
by C-Squad
BTC will fill CME GAP at around 77KWe're seeing some wild swings in Bitcoin's price, and I'm calling it: this isn't just the market doing its thing. I mean, where's all the BTC on exchanges? It's like there's none left, and the prices are shooting up to levels that Wall Street boys would think twice about jumping into. This smells like big-time manipulation by the heavy hitters, like those hedge fund giants and the exchanges themselves. They've got the power to make the market dance, and with so little Bitcoin floating around, every move they make has an outsized impact. It's like they're playing with a loaded deck. I'm not saying I've got the smoking gun, but the signs are there. When you see prices that don't match the supply, you gotta wonder, right? Are we just pawns in their game, or is there something else at play? Let's keep our eyes peeled, because if this is manipulation, it's on a whole new level. What do you guys think? Am I onto something, or am I just seeing shadows? Remember, this is speculative based on what we're observing in the market, and while manipulation is a concern, it's one among many factors influencing crypto prices. Whats your thouhts?
CME:BTC1!Short
by r0b1n4t0r
1
BTCUSD IN SELLING ( RINING WEDGE )The rising wedge pattern on BTC/USD is a bearish reversal formation that typically occurs during an uptrend. It's characterized by two converging trendlines, both sloping upward, with the upper trendline being steeper than the lower one. As the price moves within this narrowing range, trading volume often decreases, signaling weakening buying interest ¹. In the context of BTC/USD, a rising wedge breakdown could trigger a significant correction, with a potential downside target near $90,765, representing a 14% decline from current levels ². The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining elevated near 64 also suggests overbought conditions, which may amplify selling pressure if bears take control ². To trade this pattern, consider the following steps: - Identification: Confirm the presence of a rising wedge pattern by drawing trendlines connecting the highs and lows. - Confirmation: Wait for a breakdown below the lower trendline, accompanied by an increase in volume. - Entry Point: Consider entering a short position once the price convincingly breaks below the lower trendline. - Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the upper trendline or a recent swing high to manage risk. - Target: Estimate the potential downside target by measuring the height of the back of the wedge and projecting it downward from the breakout point
CME:BTC2!Short
by FXBELLA001