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YM1! trade ideas

Dow Futures (YM) Breaking to New All-Time HighDow Futures (YM) has broken to new all-time high, suggesting the trend remains firmly bullish. It also suggests the next bullish cycle has started. Short term, rally from 11.10.2023 low is currently in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 11.10.2023 low, wave ((i)) ended at 36337 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 36022. Internal subdivision of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 36066, wave (b) ended at 36352, and wave (c) lower ended at 36022. This completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. Index has resumed higher in wave ((iii)) and broken to new all-time high. Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 36201 and wave ii ended at 36064. Wave iii higher ended at 36659, wave iv ended at 36476, and wave v higher ended at 37030. This completed wave (i) in higher degree. Pullback in wave (ii) ended at 36758. Index has resumed higher again in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 37051 and pullback in wave ii ended at 36917. Expect wave iii to end soon, then Index should pullback in wave iv, and then extend higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 36022 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
December E-Mini Dow Jones Index Futures Weekly ChartDecember E-mini Dow Jones Index futures continued the uptrend that saw a break above the resistance line formed by connecting the high in January 2022 with the high in July 2023. With CPI, PPI, and a Fed announcement this week, there are certainly enough possible catalysts to turn this market to the bearish side. The MACD showed a bullish cross about a month ago and is not indicating a slowdown in momentum. The RSI at 62 on 12/8 indicates that there still may be room for price to continue bullish. Should the uptrend continue, a possible target (and resistance is the previous high of 37,906. A reverse to the downside might see the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (34,790) as support. Please Note: Commentary and charts reflect data at the time of analysis (12/08/23). Market conditions are subject to change and may not reflect all market activity.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Tradovate
MYM1! Bullish flag patternThe provided chart is a 2-hour time frame analysis of the Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (MYM), highlighting a 'Bullish Flag' pattern. This pattern suggests a continuation of the existing uptrend after a period of consolidation. Description: The pattern is characterized by a sharp upward movement in price (the flagpole), followed by a consolidation phase that moves against the trend within a parallel channel. The chart indicates a potential breakout point, with the price nearing the upper boundary of the flag pattern. Volume indicators show lower volumes during the formation of the flag, which is typical for such a pattern. Strategy Plan: Confirm the Breakout: Watch for a decisive breakout above the flag pattern with increased volume as confirmation. Entry Point: Enter a long position upon a confirmed breakout, ensuring the volume supports the move. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the most recent swing low within the flag pattern to minimize potential losses. Price Target: Calculate the price target based on the height of the flagpole projected upwards from the breakout point. Risk Management: Ensure the potential loss from the stop-loss level to the entry point aligns with the trader’s risk tolerance. Trade Management: After entering the trade, monitor the price and volume to validate the trend continuation. Adjust stop-loss orders to a trailing stop to secure profits as the price moves favorably. Reassessment: If the breakout fails or volume does not support the move, reassess the position and be prepared to exit to minimize losses.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Long
by alexei_erchov
Dow Futures (YM_F) Sequence Remains BullishDow Futures (YM_F) shows incomplete sequence from 10.3.2022 low favoring further upside. Rally from 10.3.2022 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 10.3.2022 low, wave (1) ended at 35228 and dips in wave (2) ended at 32409. Wave (3) higher is in progress as an impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 34315 and dips in wave 2 ended at 33913. Index then resumed higher in wave 3 towards 36338. The 45 minutes chart below shows the move higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 35456 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 35309. Up from wave ((ii)), the Index is nesting in wave (i) at 35641 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 35456. Index then resumed higher in wave (iii) towards 36058 and dips in wave (iv) ended at 36015. Wave (v) higher ended at 36101 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 35963. Wave ((v)) higher ended at 36337 which completed wave 3 in higher degree. Pullback in wave 4 is currently in progress as a zigzag structure. Down from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 36093 and wave ((b)) rally ended at 36299. Wave ((c)) lower is expected to complete at the 100% extension area at 35857 – 36026 where wave 4 should end. From there, the Index should see further upside or 3 waves rally at least.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Will the Dow Jones Continue to Outperform? Dow Jones Futures (YM) have experienced a notable resurgence since the bottoming of 30-year bonds in late October, leading to lower yields. This rally in risk assets has propelled the Dow to trade at 52-week highs, overcoming the prevailing headwind of interest rates throughout much of the year. Recent robust earnings from Salesforce positioned the Dow for outperformance in last week’s trade, as investors also shift focus from mega-cap tech stocks towards the Dow and the Russell 2000 as a "Catch Up" trade. A significant boost to the Dow's relative outperformance occurred with the observed bottom in Chicago PMI numbers on November 30th, revealing manufacturing sector expansion well above consensus estimates (55.8 vs. 45.4 expected). This data has further bolstered confidence in the Dow Jones rally. Major Headwinds for the Dow Jones: However, the upcoming week poses challenges for risk assets, including Dow Jones futures, with various job-related data releases such as ADP Nonfarm, Avg Hourly Earnings, Unit Labor Costs, and the Unemployment rate. This data is expected to introduce volatility to the markets as bond traders recalibrate interest rate expectations for 2024. Another significant headwind is the scheduled release of the Fed’s summary of Economic Projections on December 13th, including the infamous Dot Plot. The Dot Plot will outline the Fed’s interest rate expectations, potentially differing significantly from market expectations, which may create a volatile environment into the end of the year. Support & Resistance: Technically, the Dow has broken and closed above the old resistance of 35750-35880, which now serves as new support. To test all-time highs, a decisive break and close above 36305-36505 is awaited, signaling the Dow's sustained upward momentum amid shifting market dynamics. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Long Ym Looking for slight pull back with price action that supports bullish narrative, around 34,900 then buying on bullish engulfing candles. Looking for Down close candles being rejected to form bullish engulfing. I'm not a genie or oracle so it's difficult to predict if it takes out the highest before moving lower or vise versa . This is the Third and Final leg up before I believe a corrective pullback will take place. This leg up should Break through some previous months highs to get into some buying liquidity for the move lower. Looking for 400 or so points up to get us close to the 35,400 or 35,500 area. If you find this helpful please like and share. If you disagree feel free to share your insights. Thank you for your time and for viewing my ideals.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dohnutz
2
DOW JONES Gameplan: Buy at D for final leg up to 38000 for crashI believe we are at the C portion and will not get fooled by this short term rally. I am expecting another leg down to D to close out the remainder of the year and the first quarter of next year. I believe D area just slightly under the rising weekly 200sma will be PRIME buying for the, in my opinion, the final leg up in this bear flag channel to either 37000 or 38000. I will be anticipating a 36% sell off that is in line with the 1968 style sell off. Everything on this current chart is copying the 1962-1971 price action. DOW JONES 1967 at the C portion of the ABCD I still stand behind my prior post on the SP500. My only concern is I don't know the top, or the date. I only am estimating the general price action that is likely to happen. I am preparing for the inevitable crash that is coming in the next year, late late 2024 to early 2025.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Trade Reversals Successfully - Key Price Action to look forIn the video I talk through the two trades namely trading continuation with Trend and then trading Countertrend Reversals. Both have their own price action points but are very different. I review a continuation trade and the setups I look for when trading from level to level...but the main focus on the video is trading Reversals which can be very rewarding but also very difficult. I like to stick to a few key points when looking for reversals, and they are :- - Trade off an extension into a key level - Trade off a higher low (for buys) or lower high (for sells) - M pattern for entry confirmation or a minor lower high In the video I explain the reasoning and how risk is managed. ** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material ** ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by TradeTheStructure