Get started
TTT

CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T Note

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

TNX.P trade ideas

6-7% in a couple of monthsThe structure holds, and 6-7% in TNX is unavoidable as a sunset by end of day. The move will be fast (less than two months), and will take the entire market with it: * SPX will quickly break below 2000 in w3, and then eventually reach 1500 or lower. * EURUSD will hit 0.80 or lower * USDJPY will get close to 100 * Crude will revisit 10-15 range * USDRUB will attempt to break above 200 (150-200 is realistic) Why will the Yen strengthen against the Dollar while every other currency loses value? Because the Yen will be for the Japanese market what the Dollar will be for the rest of the world: a temporary buffer to absorb all instantaneously released liquidity from the fire-sale of all other yielding assets. As I said earlier in my forecasts: H2'22 will hit the markets a lot harder than the 2008. Be prepared.
TVC:TNXLong
by AndyM
4
Inflation fighting will lead to economic contraction?The U.S. 10-year Treasury is a very important indicator that is used as a benchmark for mortgage rates. It is also seen as an indicator of investor sentiment toward the economy. The chart below shows the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. 3% is an important level. In fact, the 10-year yield has been hovering around 3% since the beginning of May this year, as if the market debate over inflation and disinflation has not been concluded. The vertical blue dashed line is the date of the FOMC interest rate announcement, and the orange dashed line is the date of the FOMC meeting minutes release. These dates seem to be important, interest rates turned around the FOMC date since May. The 10-year rate has been on an upward trajectory since the beginning of the year, and the Fed's policy mistakes have sparked worries about high inflation. Will the Fed be bold enough to raise interest rates by 100 points next week, causing the market to worry that inflation fighting will lead to economic contraction, causing the 10-year rate to fall below the uptrend?
TVC:TNX
by Fisherman2018
The Four Quadrants of the Economic CycleUse this as tailwinds for your trading and investments to spot the capital inflows when the time comes. I would say we are likely in the inflationary bust stage (1) coming out of the disinflationary boom stage (4) for the last decade and beyond. I would dare say the Inflationary bust stage is next (2) as the central banks try to kill inflation by raising rates and destroying asset prices. To fix the economic damage they would have to eventually change their monetary policy which would then bring us into an inflationary boom (3) The cycle repeats over and over but I'm positioning for the Inflationary boom stage (3) as I believe this stage will last many years.
TVC:TNXEducation
by AxeCapp
31