SunRun long 2026Demand
Covid lows
Higher lows
Multiple buttons
ATM incoming
Long term investment
Solar is the future
3S9 trade ideas
RUN - Nov 24 Opening Sustainable MomentumTrade idea
Fundamentals
This is a Trump trade, based on his agenda. Solar part of the clean energy sector will see a shift towards traditional energy sources like oil.
Bad Earnings
RUN had bad earnings with a quarterly loss of -$0.37 vs previous earnings of +$0.55.
The solar energy products distributor posted revenue of $537.2 million in the period, which also fell short of Street forecasts. Ten analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $560.6 million.
Technicals
Price opened with momentum, breaking out and creating new lows.
Risks
Opening momentum candle's ADR is 15.97%, ADR for the stock is 7.61%. After two days of deep drops, price could be over extended and result in it retracing.
Trigger: SPX, RUT, Trump winning the elections
Opening Sustainable Momentum 🧑🏻🚀
Strategy
Signals identify market opening H2 candles through momentum and behaviour change that potentially could indicate a shift in the current price overall structure (Price gaps and ADR %).
Risk
We use the signal candle's highs and lows for entry and stop loss. If price hits the stop loss, it is clear that the shift we expected did not come to fruitation.
Current SL is at 0.25Fib
Focus
Focus is never on the signal candle alone, but it's role in the larger structure and the direction it is inclined towards with a minimum Risk & Reward of 2R.
Stock must be in a pull back or consolidation area waiting for a broad market momentum to ignite it forward.
Character
Trend, Positive Skew
Sunrun (RUN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sunrun is a leading U.S. residential solar energy company, providing solar panel installations and energy services across the country. The company's focus on sustainable energy solutions positions it to capitalize on the growing shift toward clean energy adoption.
Key Catalysts:
Rate-Cutting Cycle: A potential rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve could make solar financing more affordable, increasing the economic appeal of residential solar projects. Lower interest rates would reduce borrowing costs for consumers, making Sunrun's solar installations more accessible and boosting sales.
Trade Policies: U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's scrutiny of China's market practices, particularly regarding solar products, could mitigate low-cost competition from Chinese manufacturers. This would benefit domestic companies like Sunrun by leveling the playing field and potentially driving higher demand for U.S.-installed solar systems.
Federal Subsidies: Sunrun is well-positioned to benefit from federal clean energy subsidies provided by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). These subsidies are expected to reduce Sunrun's operating expenses and enhance profitability by offsetting costs associated with installations and energy storage solutions.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:RUN if it holds above the $17.50-$18.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sunrun is set at $29.00-$30.00, driven by favorable interest rate conditions, supportive trade policies, and federal clean energy subsidies.
☀️ Sunrun—ready to shine with rate cuts, trade advantages, and clean energy subsidies! #RUN #SolarEnergy 🚀🌱
Renewable energy stocks coming back?I saw some other stocks of the same segment doing bullish patterns. We have a potential double bottom fighting with downtrend line resistance. I think is going to bounce back and forward between the 13.5 support level and the downtrend line until something breaks. The double bottom (inverted HS in the daily timeframe) tells me that the price wants to break up the downtrend from September 2022. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks down and closes under the 13.5 level support.
Looks like a run to the upsideRun looks primed for further upside. A break above 21 would be wave three confirmation.
peeking at levels to trade $RUN into JulySunrun partnered with Lowe’s Companies, Inc. to provide solar and storage services in hundreds of Lowe’s stores across the country.
Storage capacity installed grew by 192% year-over-year, reaching 207 megawatt hours. Solar energy capacity installed was 177 megawatts, bringing the total networked solar energy capacity to 6.9 gigawatts. Net earning assets increased to $5.2 billion, including $783 million in total cash. Sunrun aims to generate $200 million to $500 million annually in cash by Q4 2024
5/8/24 - $run - "run" while you can. bad risk/reward. v bad.5/8/24 - vrockstar - burning a post for anyone reading this. 7x sales for no growth, high capital intensity industry w/ high rates, cash burn and comps trading rough (even industry leaders r failing to hold bid)... if you love it - perhaps sell into the print if you think they'll "beat". HOWEVER, be warned, too many names are failing to run EVEN WITH good prints and decent guidance. something that's 80% debt in the capital stack missing will send this down 30% and you won't even feel comfortable buying at that pt (bc it will slide for a while until we get to 2H and rates picture changes). second order thinking says... you can't buy a beat, and you can't buy a miss - so what's your risk/ return here guys. i'd dump it if i had it. contemplating a short, actually, but undecided mainly b/c shorting is such a miserable biz.
RUN long , inside Stage1The price is inside the stage1
But it breakout strongly the TL by
a very strong bullish bar on 11/12/2023
with a very huge volume
MA still flat RS is negative, the price retraced near MA
formed somme green bars with moderate volume ;
The long position is not perfect
I opend long at 13.58
SL 11.50
TP1 20
TP2 33
Sunrun Poised for Substantial GrowthSunrun is showing signs of a significant uptrend, with the weekly chart revealing an enticing Elliott Wave pattern that suggests a potential surge of more than 300%. This optimistic forecast is supported by the Williams Percent Range indicator, which is currently at a low point, often a precursor to a bullish reversal.
Renowned for their reliability, these technical indicators present a compelling case for Sunrun as a strong buy. Coupled with understated yet stable fundamental factors, the stock is poised for what could be a remarkable ascent. For investors looking to capitalize on growth, Sunrun's current landscape offers an exciting opportunity.
Good luck!
Sunrun Inc. Upgrade: Rising on Solar Energy's Bright FuturePiper Sandler analysts have upgraded Sunrun Inc.'s stock rating from "Neutral" to "Overweight". Experts view the recent statement by the US Federal Reserve about pausing interest rate hikes as an "unequivocally positive" catalyst for the solar energy sector in the coming year. This industry has developed thanks to "cheap" credit resources, so a reduction in rates will help lower Sunrun Inc.'s debt burden and positively impact the company's financial position.
Therefore, today, we turn our attention to the stock chart of Sunrun Inc. (RUN).
On the D1 timeframe, a support level was formed at 17.24, and the resistance at 18.98 was breached yesterday. A trend reversal from a downward to an upward trend is apparent. The breach of resistance increased the potential for further long-term growth in these stocks.
On the H1 timeframe, considering buying from current positions with a short-term target of 23.78 could be of interest. In the medium term, a long position can be maintained up to 32.52. An important signal for continuing the upward trend will be the consolidation of quotes above 18.98.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
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RUN BUY Idea - Thanksgiving holiday week Sunrun (RUN) reached a significant support level, and could be a good pick for investors from a technical perspective. Recently, RUN broke through the 50-day moving average, which suggests a short-term bullish trend.
First trade I had to adjust scalp to swing because of the holiday week. Change to TP at 12.18
RUN 11-20-2023 Monday BUY idea Buy $11.90
Sell $13.03
Scalp trading idea
Using support and resistance to scalp this trade.
SUNRUN BULLISH from 6,18Normaly we have a retracement to the 618 fib level. In this case the price will retrace to exactly 6,18. From here we could see the start of the bullrun.
A bullish breakout in the price action of RUN
In this financial report, we will delve into the price action of NASDAQ:RUN and its susceptibility to recent news developments. Sunrun Inc. (RUN) has encountered a series of consequential lower lows and lower highs, primarily in response to noteworthy news events that have reverberated throughout the broader market landscape.
Firstly, a positive sentiment is prevailing in U.S. stock futures, driven by significant factors that have implications for Sunrun. Notably, a significant reduction in Eurozone price pressures has recently been observed, with Eurozone Sep CPI slowing to a +4.3% year-over-year increase. This marks the most sluggish growth rate in nearly two years and has catalyzed a bond rally, adding a positive undercurrent to stock markets.
Examining the technical analysis chart, I've observed a bearish trendline that has encountered rejection on three occasions, reinforcing my confidence in its validity as a trendline. In my professional assessment, there's potential for a substantial upward movement in the price of RUN if a breakout materializes. Nevertheless, it's crucial to consider the possibility of a liquidity grab that may trigger our stop-loss orders shortly after opening positions. However, I lean towards viewing this as a credible bullish breakout opportunity due to the substantial buying pressure evident in the vicinity, signifying a strong inclination for a bullish market sentiment.
Moreover, the decline in bond yields, prompted by dovish inflation news, has further shaped the landscape. The Aug PCE core deflator, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, recorded a modest +3.9% year-over-year increase – the slowest rate of ascent in two years. This convergence of subdued European inflation and favorable U.S. inflation dynamics has bolstered overall market sentiment.
However, we must also consider a potential headwind for Sunrun. A looming U.S. government shutdown is a cause for concern, driven by the inability of House Republicans to reach a consensus on federal funding. These divisions within the Republican Party revolve around substantial spending cuts and immigration policy reforms. As a result, the prospect of a government shutdown on October 1 looms large, with potential ramifications for market sentiment, including Sunrun's stock performance.
On another note, the recent decline on Wall Street has also impacted Sunrun. This market downturn is driven by mounting concerns about the Federal Reserve's ongoing commitment to a restrictive monetary policy. A notable surge in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields has cast a shadow over major U.S. stock indexes, causing them to trend lower. Particularly, mega-cap stocks such as Amazon and Nvidia have faced significant downward pressure.
This market decline was instigated by the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the Fed funds target rate, coupled with projections indicating the persistence of elevated interest rates well into the upcoming year. Furthermore, an unexpected 9% drop in initial U.S. jobless claims has fueled apprehensions that the Federal Reserve may opt for another rate hike in the near future.
Reaction of Sunrun's against institutional traders
Executive Summary:
In Tuseday's market session, we observed a 5% increase in the price action of NASDAQ:RUN , which, as expected, triggered a minor retracement due to typical market dynamics. However, our focus today is on a highly significant order block zone, spanning from $14.13 to $14.90. After nearly a year of dedicated study into the behaviors of major institutional players in the market, we've uncovered a crucial aspect of their approach.
Understanding Institutional Strategies:
Institutional investors, in their quest to enter positions, follow a dual-pronged strategy. First, they aim to create adequate liquidity in the market to facilitate their trades. Second, they seek to initiate positions at the lowest possible prices, effectively maximizing their profit margins. It's important to note that their entry points often differ from those favored by retail traders, and herein lies the intriguing element of market dynamics.
Manipulating Retail Sentiment:
Institutional investors sometimes choose to exert selling pressure when the market approaches what appears to be a demand zone, a strategy designed to trigger stop losses placed by retail traders. This calculated move creates a cascade effect, further driving prices downward. As retail traders' stop losses are hit, the market sentiment shifts. What once seemed like a strong demand zone now appears fragile, causing retail participants to rethink their positions.
Conclusion and outlook
As we anticipate a continued retracement in the price action towards the demand zone, it becomes essential to employ a meticulous approach to risk management. Our objective is not only to align with institutional entry points but also to safeguard our positions against potential market volatility.
The Importance of Stop Loss Calculation:
In this endeavor, precise calculation of our stop loss assumes paramount significance. By leveraging historical market volatility data and average candle size, as represented by the Average True Range (ATR), we aim to strike an optimal balance between risk and reward.
Maximizing Position Security:
The crux of this methodology lies in maximizing the probability of maintaining open positions while positioning ourselves to capitalize on the forthcoming momentum instigated by institutional players.
Defining the Stop Loss:
For an entry price of $14.015, which closely aligns with the average demand zone valuation, we have determined that setting the stop loss at $13.77 provides an effective risk management strategy. This strategic adjustment substantially reduces the likelihood of liquidation in the face of adverse price movements.
Conclusion:
Incorporating these refined risk management techniques into our trading approach empowers us to align with institutional strategies while mitigating potential downside risks. As we move forward, we are well-equipped to not only participate in the anticipated upward momentum initiated by institutional entries but also to secure our positions, ensuring our trading endeavors remain both profitable and resilient.
The downfall of Sunrun : What next !
Ladies and gentlemen, in today's financial analysis, we focus on Sunrun, examining recent price movements and conducting a comprhensive outlook.
First, we notice something significant: the stock has dropped by 16% from its previous trading zone. This is noteworthy, especially if the stock shows signs of going up again.
Now, let's discuss what happened at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, talked about raising interest rates, which is different from what other officials said. For example, Patrick Harker from the Philadelphia Fed thought we should keep interest rates as they are. Austan Goolsbee, the Chicago Fed President, was also cautious. He mentioned challenges like high inflation, problems in the supply chain, and the possibility of a big strike in the auto industry. Despite these challenges, he remained hopeful that we can control inflation without causing a recession. He also stressed the importance of using data to make decisions, especially the real interest rate. The stock market liked what he said, and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust went up by 0.8%.
Now, let's look ahead. I believe things might change for $NASDAQ:RUN. This belief comes from seeing other companies in the alternative power generation sector, like NYSE:NEP , NYSE:NOVA , and NASDAQ:RNW , starting to do better based on their recent performance. We've also heard that inflation might not keep going up, which is good news for RUN. In this situation, my plan is to keep a close eye on the market and stay updated on the latest news. I'll make sure to update this report with any new information.
RUN has HUGE options activity, mostly short term callsSaw a notification yesterday on decent #option call buying & decided to look into NASDAQ:RUN , again, it's been a while.
Options are going off like crazy!!! Today too!
IMO risk reward is very good here. Long term support & the intraday charts look like they want to bottom.
#solarenergy
Hold Your Sunrun Stock
In light of the recent sub-sequential decline in Sunrun's price action, I am compelled to present this report to provide clarity on the matter. The price movements have exhibited a significant trend of exponential lower highs and lower lows, nearly approaching levels seen over the past 52 weeks.
Allow me to share my insights. For those wise investors who have held positions in Sunrun for an extended period, such as myself, it's evident that this isn't the first time we've witnessed a price decline of this magnitude. Sunrun is renowned for its status as a high-speculative stock, frequently subject to significant market fluctuations as large institutions reposition their capital. It's 210 M circulating shares floats is a perfect reason of this massive % change in the price. These pronounced market movements are often welcomed by short-term and long-term investors alike. NASDAQ:RUN
However, it is noteworthy that the recent selling activity has been quite pronounced. Therefore, this report strongly recommends to those who are perusing its contents to resist the urge to sell their shares at this juncture. Sunrun has demonstrated consistent growth in the last two quarters, signaling the potential arrival of new buyers in the near future.
It's crucial to bear in mind the timeless adage that when the crowd is selling, it's an opportune moment to buy, and conversely, when the crowd is buying, it's prudent to consider selling. This sage approach remains a valuable cornerstone in navigating the intricate terrain of the financial markets.
Potential upward movement on price of RUN
Having thoroughly analyzed the 1D price action of RUN, I've identified a potential support zone based on Fibonacci levels. As the market opens, we'll be closely observing whether this projection holds true. I'll be consistently updating the status of this potential support. Remember, the strength of this analysis is further accentuated by the higher time frame, boosting the probability and bolstering my confidence in this assessment. Stay tuned for more updates!
Run - Inverse Head and Shoulders Setup Analysis on Run
Showing strong inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 30min chart. Recently pulled back to support and is ready to make its next move up.
Current Position - 25$ - 9/15 calls - 0.16 (when purchased)
Target Price is $21.39
Option PT - $0.60
Potential Gain - 275%
RUN Sunrun Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUN Sunrun prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 17.50usd strike price In the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.51.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Excellent buying opportunity for RUN
Following a notably strong bearish pressure in the price action of RUN this week, an attractive entry point for investors has emerged in the current market scenario. The confluence of favorable indicators, such as the MACD and RSI, further bolsters the case for entering at this price level. Moreover, our strategic implementation of the Fibonacci tool aligns perfectly, suggesting that the range between $18.32 and $17.69 represents an optimal entry zone, in my expert opinion.
Significantly, the Fibonacci level we are considering (specifically the 78.6% level) coincides with a prior resistance area and also aligns with a 90-day SMA, significantly reinforcing the robustness of this level as a potential support region. As a result, trades executed from this carefully identified zone hold high potential for success, making it a compelling opportunity for prudent investors seeking optimal entry points.
Disclaimer: It is essential to recognize that the "ideas" presented in this report solely reflect my personal opinion and understanding of the market. These insights should not be interpreted as financial advice, and individuals are urged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before making any investment decisions. Furthermore, please be aware that this report is intended for short-term analysis purposes only and may not be applicable for long-term investment strategies.
RUNSunrun Inc. is an American provider of photovoltaic systems and battery energy storage products, primarily for residential customers. The company was established in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
