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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-13 : Carryover In ContertrendToday's pattern is a Carryover in Counter trend mode. As you'll see in today's video, I'm highlighting many various new features and techniques to help traders understand price movement and context related to trading opportunities. We need to understand how to target opportunities and how to avoid risks. I had a long conversation with a subscriber yesterday - he's struggling to understand how to trade efficiently. Trading is all about jumping on opportunities when they hit and trying to avoid risks and overtrading. I see so many people try to trade everything that ticks - even when they should be sitting on the sidelines and waiting for better opportunities. If you want to gamble with your trading account - throw a dart and pick BUY or SELL (RED or BLACK). If you want to learn how to consistently target the best trade setups, then learn to WAIT for the best setups, execute your trades, then PULL PROFITS/EXITS as quickly as you can. You should be able to trade only 2 to 3 times a day and do very well - if you don't get trapped in trying to WISH a trade into profits. Remember, trading is unlike anything else you've ever tried. The more time you try to WISH something to happen, the more likely you are taking on excessive risks. I'm working on new tools to help all of you develop better skills. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
Ripple Receives Approval for StablecoinMarket Update - December 13, 2024 Amazon shareholders urge the company to allocate 5% of its reserves to bitcoin:  The proposal highlights bitcoin’s outperformance against traditional assets and echoes similar moves by companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla. Crypto liquidations hit $1.5 billion Monday as bitcoin dipped below $95K:  But the world’s largest cryptocurrency rallied past $101,000 on Wednesday after positive inflation data set the stage for a rate cut next week. Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin secures approval from New York’s financial regulator:  The launch will now proceed with exchange and market-maker partnerships already in place. Hong Kong accelerates crypto licensing as global competition heats up:  Plans include streamlined approvals for crypto trading platforms and new regulation for stablecoins. The Cardano Foundation's X account was hacked, leading to fake announcements about a token and an SEC lawsuit:  The breach triggered significant trading activity and community confusion before being addressed by the Foundation. 🫱 Read more here ➕ Topic of the Week: IPOs, ICOs, and STOs – What’s the Difference?
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
Bitcoin’s $100K Showdown: Will Bulls Hold the Line?Hello Intrepid Traders , We have here the 1 Hour Chart of BTC/USD pair on Coinbase. Bitcoin is navigating a critical point in its 1-hour chart, trading within a well-established ascending channel while hovering near the psychological $100,000 mark. The RSI has dipped near its oversold support zone, historically signaling potential reversals, but bearish divergence looms. With the 50 and 200 EMA providing dynamic support, is Bitcoin primed for a breakout or a deeper pullback? This analysis dives into the RSI, price action, and critical support and resistance levels to uncover what lies ahead for the king of crypto. 1-Hour Chart Analysis Key Observations RSI: The RSI is near 50, indicating market indecision. The green RSI zone marks historical oversold levels, signaling potential bullish reversals if touched. Price Action: Bitcoin is trading within an ascending channel with clear higher highs and higher lows. Support Levels: $100,000: Strong support near the channel's lower trendline and 200 EMA (red). Resistance Levels: $103,000 - $105,000: Key channel resistance and short-term target. EMA Analysis: The 50 EMA (green) is above the 200 EMA (red), signaling short-term bullish momentum. The 200 EMA ($100,000) acts as critical support. Scenarios and Suggested Actions Bullish Scenario: If RSI moves above 50 and the price holds above the 50 EMA, Bitcoin is likely to test $103,000 - $105,000. A breakout above the channel could push the price to $107,000 or higher. Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks below $100,000 and the RSI dips into the green oversold zone, expect a retracement toward $97,000 - $98,000 or lower. Action Plan: Short-Term Traders: Buy on a breakout above $101,000 with a target of $103,000 - $105,000. Sell or short on a breakdown below $100,000, targeting $97,000. Long-Term Investors: Hold or buy more at $97,000 - $100,000 for long-term gains. Final Thoughts Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture. While the ascending channel and the RSI’s green zone suggest potential for a bullish rebound, the indecisive RSI near 50 and critical support around $100,000 mean the market could swing in either direction. Traders should monitor the RSI closely—if it rebounds above 50, expect bullish continuation toward $105,000 or higher. Conversely, a breakdown below the channel’s support near $100,000 would signal bearish pressure, with targets around $97,000 or lower. Whether you’re bullish or bearish, this is a time for careful planning. Dynamic supports like the 50 and 200 EMA can provide good entry points, but risk management is key in this volatile zone. Leave your questions and comments below. More power to all your trades! Intrepid Trader Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Always conduct your research or consult a professional advisor before making trading decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RSibayan
2
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin's repeated pullback in this week's trading session by upholding firmly at the Mean Sup 96000 price level within the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 is now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely retest the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600 by navigating the weak Mean Resistance 102300. This movement is anticipated to revitalize its upward trajectory toward the projected Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. Furthermore, a potential decline to the Mean Support 97000 would prepare the market for the subsequent phase of a bullish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
1
BITCOIN updateThis chart is a **BTCUSD (Bitcoin to US Dollar)** analysis on the **30-minute timeframe** --- ### 1. **Key Levels and Zones** - **Resistance Zone (Blue):** - This area is marked between **102,572** and **103,591**. - BTCUSD has previously attempted to break through this zone multiple times but has been rejected, as shown by the highlighted circles at the top. - If Bitcoin breaks above this level and closes above 103,000, it could signal a potential **bullish breakout** toward new highs. - **Support Zone (Green):** - Key support is located between **98,956** and **99,318**. - BTCUSD has previously rebounded from this support level, as indicated by the blue circles near the bottom. - This zone aligns with the ascending trendline, which suggests **higher lows** and ongoing bullish momentum. - **Demand Zone (Red):** - The red zone between **96,215** and **96,450** acts as a **strong support area**. - If BTCUSD fails to hold the green zone, price might retrace toward this area, making it a key demand zone for buyers. - **Low-Level Support (Yellow):** - A final support near **94,229**. - This level is likely to act as the last line of defense for bulls in case of a sharp downturn. --- ### 2. **Trendlines** - **Ascending Trendline:** - A diagonal trendline starting from the lows in the red zone (around December 10) continues to support BTCUSD's bullish trajectory. - This trendline has been tested multiple times and continues to provide upward momentum. - **Projected Path:** - A black arrow indicates the anticipated market movement. - A possible scenario is BTCUSD testing the blue resistance zone again. If rejected, it may bounce off the ascending trendline before attempting another breakout. - A **successful breakout** above **103,591** could initiate a continuation of the bullish trend. --- ### 3. **Market Structure** - BTCUSD is currently in an **uptrend**, forming a series of **higher highs** and **higher lows**. - Price action suggests consolidation near the **resistance zone** as buyers and sellers battle for control. --- ### 4. **Scenarios to Watch** 1. **Bullish Breakout:** - If BTCUSD breaks above **103,591** with strong volume, it could trigger a continuation rally. - Traders may look for a retest of the resistance zone (now turned support) to confirm the breakout. 2. **Bearish Rejection:** - A rejection from the **102,572 - 103,591** area could push BTCUSD back toward the **green support zone** around **99,318**. - Failure to hold this level may lead to further downside toward the **red demand zone** (96,215 - 96,450). 3. **Trendline Retest:** - The ascending trendline is a key level for bullish momentum. - A successful bounce off this trendline would confirm buyers are still in control. --- ### 5. **Summary and Recommendations** - **Current Sentiment:** Slightly bullish as BTCUSD maintains higher lows and respects the ascending trendline. - **Key Resistance:** **102,572 - 103,591** (blue zone). - **Key Support:** **98,956 - 99,318** (green zone). - **Bullish Trigger:** Breakout above **103,591**. - **Bearish Trigger:** Break below **98,956**, leading to **96,215**. Traders should monitor volume and price action near the blue resistance zone and ascending trendline for further confirmation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by amerjaradat
3
Markets top on euphoric news.Did Donald Trump ringing the opening bell at the New York Stock exchange today, Signal a dip before a rip? Isn’t it strange that he spoke with Jim Kramer? What are the market makers really up to? Big money, always leaves, clues or crumbs. A real technical analyst always attempts to follow the money and what clues they’re leaving behind and to where they are placing their bets. Is market manipulation real? How much influence do these people really have to fade the market in an ability to buy at lower prices and shake everyone out? How many people fall for it? There’s still remains many questions as to where the big money has to invest. Mini mutual funds and or investors have a fiduciary responsibility to invest capital for their shareholders and what not. I’ve read the book one up on Wall Street and I’ve come to the conclusion that you as a retail investor can place yourself in a favorable position to capture some of the gains or leftovers of the big players.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ParabolicP
The Dangerous Fantasy That's Killing Your Trading CareerAre you still watching YouTube videos of traders showing off their luxury cars and million dollar properties? They make it look so easy to profit from the market. A few clicks here and there. Add some magical indicators. Suddenly you're making thousands of dollars a day. I fell for it hard. I was like you. I wanted something that could get me rich quick. The dream of leaving my 9-5 job to travel the world. I don’t want to worry about money again. Trading seemed like the perfect solution. This costs me $10,000 and five years of my life. The Seductive Lie of Quick Riches You've definitely seen those Instagram posts. Screenshots showing $5,000 profit from one trade, sports cars in the background, and the classic laptop-by-the-beach setup. They tell you they've discovered a "secret strategy" that wins 90% of the time. For just $99, they'll share it with you. It all sounded too good to be true. Right? Think about it. If someone really had a strategy that could turn $1,000 into $100,000 in a month, why would they sell it for $99? They could easily approach any hedge fund and make millions. But they don't. Instead, they're selling courses and signals to hopeful traders like you and me. They spend hours trying to market their products to you while they can just click a button and earn $10,000 in 30 minutes. My Expensive Journey to Reality When I started trading, I thought I'd be different. I was smart, hardworking, and determined. I studied technical analysis, learned about indicators, and even bought some "guaranteed" trading systems. My first few trades were winners. I turned $500 into $1,000 in just a week. I felt invincible. I do have a hand of midas. This was it. I found my holy grail! I could already picture myself quitting my job in a few months. I planned how much I could earn in a year and I could retire my parents.  I started taking bigger risks. Why make $100 per trade when I could make $1,000? Why risk 1% when I could risk 10%? After all, my strategy was "proven" to work. I have the holy grail on hand. I just needed to scale up faster to reach my destination. Then reality hit. Three months later, my account was blown. But I wasn't worried. I just needed to deposit more money and trade better. This cycle repeated until I had lost my entire savings. The Hidden Cost of the Get-Rich-Quick Mindset The real danger isn't just losing money. It's the mindset that trading is a shortcut to getting rich.  You begin to put on bigger risks because you want larger profits. You skip proper education, because you want results now. You ignore risk management, because your account size grows too slow. You chase losses, because you can't accept small setbacks. You jump from strategy to strategy, trying to look for the holy grail. I see traders doing exactly what I did. They risk 50% of their account on one trade, hoping to double their money quickly. When it works, they feel like geniuses. When it fails eventually, they lose everything. The Uncomfortable Truth About Trading Success Here's what successful traders won't show you on Instagram: Years of studying and practice before becoming profitable. Countless hours of backtesting and analyzing trades. Multiple blown accounts while learning. Small, consistent gains instead of massive wins. Strict risk management that seems "too conservative." The reality? Most successful traders make 2-5% per month consistently. That's it. No lamborghinis, no private jets, just steady, compound growth over time. Think about the math. If you start with $10,000 and make 3% per month consistently, you'll have $14,257 after one year. Not exactly Instagram-worthy, is it? But after five years of compounding, that becomes $43,891. After ten years? $192,577. The Real Path to Trading Success When I finally accepted that trading wasn't a get-rich-quick scheme, everything changed. I stopped looking for the holy grail and started focusing on the basics: Proper risk management, never risking more than 1% per trade. Consistent execution of one simple strategy. Patient position building as my account grew. Regular review and improvement of my process. The transformation wasn't exciting. No massive winning days. No Instagram-worthy screenshots. Just small, consistent profits that compound over time. What Real Trading Looks Like Let me share what my trading looks like now.  Here's the reality: I take 2-3 trades per week, not 20 trades per day. My average winning trade is 2R, not 100R. I spend more time managing risk than looking for entries. Most of my trading days are boring and uneventful. This approach isn't sexy. It won't make you rich by next month. But it works, consistently and reliably. Building a Sustainable Trading Career The secret to trading success isn't finding the perfect strategy or indicator. It’s never about the holy grail. It's about changing your mindset from getting rich quickly to building wealth slowly. This means that you need to do the following: Understand that trading is a business, not a lottery ticket.  Focusing on risk management before profit potential. The longer you stay in the game, the closer your results will converge to your expected value.  Building proper habits and routines.  Celebrating consistency over big wins. Let big winners come by executing the same trade over and over again. Thinking in terms of years, not days or weeks. You underestimate how much you can accomplish over a long period of time, The Choice Is Yours You're at a crossroads right now. You can continue chasing the fantasy of quick riches, jumping from strategy to strategy, hoping to find that magical solution that will make you rich overnight. Or you can accept that trading success comes from consistent execution, proper risk management, and time.  It's not exciting. But it works. I've walked both paths. The first one cost me $10,000 and years of frustration. The second one led me to managing six-figure funded accounts and to be consistent in my trading. The idea of getting rich quickly is appealing, but the reality of consistent profits is always better.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Keeleytwj
"BTCUSD Short-Term Outlook: Bearish Reversal Towards $99,000"The future prediction for BTCUSD suggests a potential bearish reversal following recent price action near key resistance levels. After reaching the $102,800 zone, Bitcoin faces strong selling pressure, indicating a weakening upward momentum. A potential double-top pattern has formed, signalling a reversal, especially if the price fails to break above this resistance. Additionally, the ascending trendline acting as support may soon give way, leading to accelerated downward movement. If this scenario plays out, BTCUSD could test lower support levels around $99,000, where significant buying interest may emerge. Traders should watch for a breakdown confirmation below the trendline and monitor volume for increased selling pressure. However, a false breakout above $103,200 could invalidate this bearish outlook, making stop-loss management crucial. Overall, BTCUSD's short-term trend suggests a correction is likely, with a target of $99,000 before any possible rebound or continuation of the broader bullish trend .
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by PK97
Elliott Wave Analysis & Future Market Cap PredictionsThis detailed analysis leverages Elliott Wave Theory to project Bitcoin's future price movements and market capitalization milestones. Explore: * Predicted bull market peaks and realistic market cap targets. * Anticipated pullback levels and key support zones for future corrections. * How Bitcoin's price aligns with Elliott Wave structures and Fibonacci retracement levels. * This post offers a comprehensive outlook to help traders and investors navigate Bitcoin's next major cycles with confidence. Follow for updates and stay ahead of the curve! 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Pythin
BTC top at 105 to 108k?I'm always looking for signs of a change in trend direction. A good indicator has always been; 1. A series of higher highs in the price-action, with 2. A corresponding series of lower highs on the RSI (for major trend changes or corrections I use the daily time-frame), 3. Ideally, three lower highs on RSI (sometimes you only get two), with the final RSI high FAILING to get above the 70 level of RSI (red circle). To me this signals - at a minimum - a correction is inbound. So, I would look for other indicators to determine if I think if it is a correction or a trend-change i.e. bear market. There is a plausible Elliot Wave count. Without getting too technical, I see the 105 to 108k as the end of the trend. Could be wrong, could be right. If I am right I should get a medal for accuracy. Happy trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by flyinkiwi10
2
Questions Halving Promotors Never Want to Answer Many people here are eager to explain the bets people should make based on the halving but they're never willing to answer the obvious questions about the hypothesis. Here's a collection of questions I must have asked here 100 times in replies to my posts that I've still not gotten an answer to: Why the indices correlation? When you run an analysis on SPX price moves and BTC price moves post halving, they have a coefficient of 0.85. This means all the statistical evidence points towards BTC moving in tandem with risk on/off cycles in equities. ----- Why do people ignore this correlation when it is as reliable (or more) than the halving? Why does the exact same moves in indices and BTC get treated totally differently? When has the halving thesis ever deviated from simple SPX correlation? If there are no deviations, why isn't it best to assume it's related to SPX tracking? ----- Why would the entire market know an event to move price higher was coming and then wait an exact number of days to take action on that? If you've been in the market any length of time you'll have surely heard the saying "Buy the rumour, sell the news". You may have also heard, "Markets prefer to travel than suddenly arrive". This has been a guiding principle of all markets for all time. Why is the halving a "Sell the known coming event, then ignore the news for x days and then buy the event after the fact? ----- Given all halving dates are already known, why isn't this priced in now? Why in the biggest FOMO market there is would there be this organised "Waiting period"? Why has game theory and market dynamics not led to front running? How do these supply/demand dynamics reflect anything about S/D known in markets? ----- What are the failure conditions of the halving bet? I have some of the dumbest convos on this. People insist I MUST BE LONG NOW to not miss out on the halving and then when I ask them what level price can not go under inside of the halving theory ... it gets real fuzzy. And when you dig into it, the answer generally ends up being "Up to 70% drawdown".... Okay - so trying a short here is fine inside of that, right? ----- Why are people making all knowing statements about exactly what should happen and unable to give the most basic risk control? What happens to people who listen to you if you're wrong? Do you have plans to let them know if the theory fails? If not, why are you not telling them the risk if wrong is 70% (Inside of accepted risk). And I suppose the idea is to just entirely ignore the limitless risk if the whole thesis is wrong? ----- When has the BTC halving idea ever overcome a SPX drop? I've been told various times in 2020 there was a deviation from the halving cycle because there was a swan event. Fair enough ... but then this means that the halving forecast will only be right if nothing broadly bearish happens, right? In any instances where we've had halving theory vrs indices bear move - following the indices has won. ----- Why is this not considered evidence against the thesis and for the correlation? Why are you not caveating your forecasts with this known risk? Is it far to say the BTC cycles thesis can easily fail if there's outside events? ----- These things simply do not make sense. They're elephants in the room. People act like the cycles thing is some sort of esoteric knowledge that only a select few know. That's nonsense. I have a kid cousin who can't tie his shoelaces yet but can tell you what the halving forecast is. He does not really understand everything he's saying. He's just repeating things he's heard ... but, that's kinda true for most of you to be honest. Because it takes about 5 mins to understand the halving thesis. Takes about another 1 min to come up with the obvious tests and objections and then maybe takes 10 mins to test those and highlight the flaws. There are some people who've spent literally hours and hours on my posts berating me about why I should be blindly following the halving and in all of this time they've not answered the questions I think should be thought of in the first minute. And I do ask them. Directly and repeatedly. They change the topic or go quiet. To be honest, most of the time they start to drop insults. It's wild, when you think about it. "I am heralding in the future of finance and here to tell you about this halving cycle which I know everything about and expect to be infallible". "Okay. Could you answer a few questions I have about this?" "LMAO. Have fun staying poor". === Think about how disconnected the way BTC bulls act is relative to what they proport to be a part of. Why are you not eager to answer these common sense questions?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
3
BITCOIN Keep it simple. It won't top anytime soon.This is indeed a 'keep it simple' analysis consisting of 4 charts, each displaying a Bitcoin Cycle since 2012. There is no need to overcomplicate things, the charts are pretty much self explanatory. According to all 3 prior Cycles, BTC is on a rally supported by the 1week MA50, that is just over halfway completed. It will not peak anytime soon and may very well be above $200k, even as high as $300k if the extremely optimistic scenario prevails. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
3
BTC up to $250K - Remarkably Accurate Projection 2022/25Initial projection from December 12, 2022, ➡️ ​⬅️ When the price was at $17K, aimed to predict the bottom of the cycle, but primarily to predict Bitcoin's next all-time high and its timing. This projection has been spot on​!!! The two-year forecast has proven to be exceptionally and remarkably accurate, demonstrating high credibility. The analysis employed a multifaceted approach, including these key factors: - Projected symmetrical parallel channel for price forecasting - Volume Price Range (VPR) for identifying Points of Interest (POIs) - Price range (PR) tool, to project the peak from the hypothetical bottom - Measurement of days between halving events and peaks - Measurement of days between peaks - The symmetrical parallel channel , ( Green and Red lines ) derived from previous highs and lows, linking them enabled the projection of a clear symmetrical parallel channel into the future, this channel has proven to be highly predictive of price movements, whenever the price reached the channel's boundaries, it consistently signaled reversals or marked the cyclical highs and lows. As shown by the three green arrows, the price consistently reversed direction upon reaching the lower boundary of the channel. The orange arrow points to the most recent bottom, the initial analysis predicted that the bottom would be reached only in January 2023, with a price somewhere between $10K and $1​2K, which did not materialize, in fact, the bottom was reached in December 2022​ a month early, with the price hitting a low of $15K, a slight deviation from the projection." - Volume Price Range (VPR) ( Combined yellow and blue bar projection )​ was employed to identify Points of Interest (POIs) by connecting reversal bottoms to peaks, then red rectangles were projected on the chart to align with these bottoms, indicating potential reversal zones for BTC. Both projections (Red Rectangles ) accurately predicted a reversal in this zone, whatever in the recent bearish cycle, the exact reversal point was slightly higher than anticipated VPR indicators remain a valuable tool for forecasting future price movements and identifying key areas of interest, and have proven to be reliable tools for identifying potential reversal ​zones. - Price range (PR) tool ( Parallel channel with a white upward projection arrow ), was applied to projected from the December 2022 bottom until it intersected with the upper band ​( Red line ) of the symmetrical channel, a level that historically coincided with cycle peaks. - Measurement of days between halving events and peaks: 2nd Halving on July 2016 to Peak December 2017 +/- 500 days 3rd Halving on May 2020 to Peak November 2021 +/- 500 days 4th Halving on April 2024 to Peak October 2025 +/- 500 days ➡️ Projection ⬅️ The measurement of days between halving events and peaks for the 2nd and 3rd cycles was approximately 500 days, based on the results of the two previous cycles, we observe a potential temporal pattern and correlation between halving events and price peaks. This correlation is reinforced by our projection, we forecast the peak of the 4th cycle to be around October 2025, occurring roughly 500 days after the halving (16-17 Months ). Measurement of days between peaks we started by measuring from the December 2017 peak to the November 2021 peak and found that it took 47 months (approximately 1430 days) to reach a new peak, with a price increase of 250% We then measured the duration from the latest BTC peak in November 2021 to October 2025 which was the month that coincided with our projection of a new peak. Remarkably, we discovered that this period was identical to the previous cycle at exactly 47 months. Intrigued and Astonished, we decided to copy and paste the measurements ( Blue Rectangle ) from the previous cycle and were stunned, the range was exactly the same 47 months and approximately 130 days. And when we thought nothing could surprise us more, to our further amazement, the price increase was a striking 250% the same as before. This uncanny correlation is truly astonishing. What a heel, what is this? CONCLUSION The remarkable accuracy of the December 12, 2022 projection underscores the robustness and reliability of the multifaceted analytical approach employed. Multiple coinciding patterns and consistent correlations have converged to validate the forecast, enhancing its credibility significantly. Symmetrical Parallel Channel: The use of green and red lines to establish a symmetrical parallel channel accurately anticipated price reversals at the channel boundaries. The consistent directional changes upon reaching these boundaries highlight the channel’s effectiveness in signaling cyclical highs and lows. Volume Price Range (VPR): [ By identifying Points of Interest (POIs) through the combination of yellow and blue bars, the VPR method successfully pinpointed reversal zones. The alignment of red rectangles with these zones accurately forecasted price reversals, reinforcing the tool’s reliability in predicting key market movements. Price Range (PR) Tool: The projection of the peak from the hypothetical bottom using the PR tool intersected precisely with the upper band of the symmetrical channel. This intersection historically aligns with cycle peaks, further validating the projection model. Halving Events and Peak Correlation: The consistent interval of approximately 500 days between halving events and subsequent peaks across multiple cycles reveals a strong temporal pattern. Projecting this correlation forward suggests a peak around October 2025, maintaining the established 16-17 month post-halving window. Measurement of Days Between Peaks: The identical duration of 47 months (approximately 1430 days) between consecutive peaks, along with a consistent 250% price increase, showcases a compelling cyclical pattern. The replication of these measurements in the current cycle with precise alignment adds to the projection’s accuracy. The convergence of these diverse analytical methods​ each independently demonstrating high predictive accuracy​ creates a compelling case for the projection’s validity. The alignment of historical patterns, consistent temporal correlations, and the successful anticipation of recent market movements collectively inspire strong confidence in the forecast. Projection: Given the synchronized alignment of these multiple indicators and patterns, it is highly plausible that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach approximately $250K by October 2025. This projection not only aligns with historical trends but also exemplifies the power of comprehensive, multifaceted analysis in accurately forecasting cryptocurrency market movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by The_One_Trader_