Bitcoin buy 96670Bitcoin declined to test support in 4 hr charts
At the same time on 2 min prices created gaping up separation
Buy on the retest
Let see if buyers can push price higher from here
To test 102 levels again
BULLUSD trade ideas
BTC discountI see 2 variations in the development of events in the market.
Bitcoin will test the support at 90 once more and from there conquer new peaks, and this will be a repetition of the fractal.
Or we will go into a deeper correction and reach 0.618 fibo, and only from there to 1.618.
In the meantime, Alta will keep its levels, and no one will let you buy any lower.
Psychologically, everyone will be afraid to buy alt and ether when the cue ball falls low, so the alta will hold its position firmly, update the maximum local loi, and then the altseason, everything flies up, the ether is a new atx, the cue ball is only followed by a new atx, then there will be a sale, and a bloody local bear before the final race.
Bitcoin's Next Move will Reach $104,500Looking at the CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4-hour time frame, if the RSI bounces from the oversold region and forms a bullish divergence, there’s a higher likelihood of a retest of the $104,500 area before price revisits the major support zone between $90,000 and $85,000.
In the second scenario, if a new all-time high (ATH) is broken, the trend will likely continue upward. However, it's unlikely that this will occur without first testing the $90,000 to $85,000 support zone.
BTC/USD continuation to the downside If you go through my previous analysis on Btc there as a clear and understable analysis from Montly to Daily T_F
There was obvious Rising Wedge which the market respects
Tradingview says 1m+pips from the very top of my analysis that's -13.87%
Now... there's about to be a Retest on the break out of the rising Wedge also the trend line onthe 4hrs T_F
More bearish move to go watch out
Note this is base on technical factors.
Bitcoin is dead —- Sell now!! lol —- ZOOM OUTuntil the monthly and weekly candles are reversed, there’s a buy the dip opportunity here. If you break the weekly low and the monthly low, we could go lower and be in trouble. I’m looking for daily reversal back up. 200K BTC and 10K ETH inbound. $1HEX
BITCOIN // When was the best time to go long?Actually, 2 weeks before Trump became elected president,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD printed
a nice trigger candle (Marubozu) on the weekly,
with waves already up,
breaking the previous counter impulse base,
and the countertrend line,
at the weekly target fibo 61.8.
The rest is history.
Did anyone here has this idea back then?
Anyone thought it would go to the weekly target fibo 300 with one wave?
———
We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds.
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
"Buy high, sell low" BTC price expectation in the next 4 years Many of traders probably have came across this phase "buy high, sell low". It's a joke spinning from the correct way of trading - "buy low, sell high". However, it seems that is what I was doing early on my trading. There is another one when I buy and the price seems to always drop, and when I finally sell, the price climb to a new ATH. It is odd that many trader can relate to this. As I got more experienced in trading, I have learned that trading is all about the timing and preparation. My timing was off, therefore I was not prepare. Luckily the macro cycle of BTC and crypto in general is very predictable. This makes the timing easy to be recognized and make the preparation easy.
I have experienced 3 of the BTC halving and Alt coin seasons. Every 4 year, BTC halving occurs (google if you dont know, it's very important) and several months later BTC price climb and surpass the ATH. This exact event had occur many times on: 2012, 2016, 2020, and now 2024. After breaking the ATH, the BTC price becomes stagnant, which starts the Alt coin season, then become extremely violetlike, drop and crypto winter begins. This is the pattern that I have recognized and learn so that I can prepare myself to maximize profit.
"The past event may not occur again and should not be used to predict the future". This phase haunts me before I finally took the leap of faith. During the crypto winter of 2019 and covid, I had predicted that if the covid panic did not bring BTC down to zero, its going to bounce back up and break its ATH after the halving. Surely enough it did. Unfortunately, I had only bagged a small amount of BTC. Then I sold during the declining of the first pump in the early 2021. The lesson I learn here is that selling is much harder than buying. It is because I held the bag since covid, felt like I was married to them, while worry about if I had sell them at the best value. Even if I had sold on the down trend, I made nearly 8X.
Different level of preparation went into this 2024 BTC cycle, I had bought some BTC in 2022, 2023, before and after the FTX went bankrupt. I had DCA through out the crypto winter. This time I was ready. Interesting thing about this cycle was my timing felt.....off, it felt like I was just throwing money into endless pit. Then it finally clicked, this was the buyers' market, and buyers want to buy BTC at the lowest price possible. While, everyone is selling to get rid of the BTC, I will keep on buying. By no means this feel good at all, seeing your investment just decrease over time. Then 1 day, the negative return became positive. It was a moment of euphoria and relief. Lesson learn from the previous time about selling, I set a target for BTC price at 100K, once BTC reach 100K - sell. So I did. I anticipate this cycle ATH will be around 100-110K.
Some crazy events will occur again, I dont know what it is but it will.... then BTC price will drop in 2026-2027. Some time between these two years, it is the best time to purchase. I anticipate that the cycle low will be around 20K to 35K. The halving will occur in 2028, then by the end of the year it will pump. I will update when purchase starts, see you in 2026
btc may drop: 82k.BTC: is facing a short-term decline, after the decline comes an opportunity (new rising wave).
btc price drop: 82k.
This is a wave pattern scenario with BTC.
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btcusdshowing pattern has been broken and retested for sell , also we have divergence meaning reversal
Update for btc possible corrections Look out for potential c wave as it sits right now we are near wave 4 as long as we don't cross wave 2
There still can be a dip to 82k
BTC Faces Significant Selling Pressure from Long-Term HoldersBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has faced intensified selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), who have offloaded approximately 1 million BTC since mid-September, contributing to its current 13% dip from its all-time high of $108,000. This marks the largest discount since the U.S. presidential election. While short-term holders (STHs) have stepped in to absorb some of this supply, demand imbalance continues to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s price.
1. Long-Term Holders’ Selling Behavior
LTHs, defined as investors holding BTC for over 155 days, have been distributing their holdings as prices show strength. Over the past week, LTHs sold 70,000 BTC in a single day, marking the fourth-largest one-day sell-off this year, according to Glassnode data.
Their holdings have dropped from 14.2 million BTC in September to 13.2 million BTC, signaling a strategic move to realize profits during this period of heightened market volatility.
2. Short-Term Holders Absorbing Supply
STHs have accumulated 1.3 million BTC during the same period, partially offsetting LTHs' selling. However, this accumulation hasn’t been enough to sustain upward momentum, resulting in continued price weakness.
3. Market Liquidity and Exchange Activity
The circulating supply of Bitcoin stands at 19.8 million tokens, with 2.8 million BTC held on exchanges. Notably, 200,000 BTC have exited exchanges in recent months, indicating a trend of investors moving assets to cold storage.
This dwindling exchange balance could limit immediate liquidity, further impacting market dynamics.
Technical Outlook
Bitcoin is trading in a bearish zone, currently down 0.49% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42. The recent market sell-off liquidated approximately $1.4 billion, exacerbating downward pressure.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Level: If selling persists, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could dip to $85,000, a key support level aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Resistance Level: For a bullish reversal, CRYPTOCAP:BTC must break through $101,000, a pivotal psychological and technical barrier that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Outlook and Implications
The ongoing selling by LTHs reflects a strategic shift, possibly influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and profit-taking at current levels. Meanwhile, STHs’ buying activity suggests continued confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
However, the imbalance between supply and demand could lead to further short-term price volatility. Investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels and market activity from these cohorts to anticipate the next significant price movement.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains uncertain amid significant selling pressure from LTHs. While oversold technical indicators hint at a potential rebound, the lack of sufficient demand from STHs raises concerns about sustained recovery. The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin as it navigates these pivotal price levels.
Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounce back like it has in past corrections, or is a deeper dip on the horizon? Only time will tell. Stay tuned for further updates!
$BTC followed my arrow perfectly.In my last BTC post I shared you can see BTC followed my arrow perfectly. Whats next? I expect us to bounce between 92/88k. If not then look at green box for bounce. Which means alts will bleed more if we do god down there.
Bitcoin long Time to execute our longs.
We were hoping for this correction.
Retest of the trendline and i think she is ready for a take off .
BTCUSDBlood on the streets stay woke Fam this may get messy bears are angry and will dump the assets to inflict all sorts of maximum pain.
[BTC] bitcoin 9th support at 25ema.
For the past two months, Bitcoin has been very strong, bouncing off the 25EMA. If it enters the 25ema again, we should be careful as stop hunting moving. So, we need to prepare countermeasures and trade in advance in case the price goes below the 25ema.
Perfect startMorning folks,
Hopefully you had a great Xmas time... Today we do not have a lot to comment. Our view we've explained in previous update
Setup has started just perfect. Once upside AB-CD was done, the H&S starts. Now we consider two points - 89.5-90K, mostly because of Fib support and oversold on daily chart [ /b]
And the major one around 82K as a H&S downside target. 10-year yields are keep climbing with 4.75% target by our view. So the pressure on all dollar rivals will remain for some time.
Thus, no longs, if you've missed entry on top, no problems, you could try to step in on minor intraday pullback.
BTC/USD (1H) Technical Analysis – Consolidation Before BreakoutTrend & Moving Averages:
The price is consolidating between MA50 (orange) at $98,392 and MA200 (green) at $96,569. This suggests indecision in the market, but a breakout above the MA200 could trigger stronger bullish momentum.
RSI Momentum:
RSI is currently at 65.17, indicating bullish momentum but nearing the overbought zone. This could lead to either a breakout or a short-term pullback.
Key Levels:
Support: $100,000
Resistance: $96,000
Strategy:
Bullish: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $100,000, with a target towards $110,000+.
Bearish: SL if price breaks below $96,000 COINBASE:BTCUSD .
10% LONG POSITION As we cab see the price bounced from that support level multiple times, and this time not only boncing from it , this time clearly have swept the liquidity from tha recent low , and have given as a good reaction and a good confirmation to the up side , possibly headed to the previous high ( HRLR)
BTC DistributionDistribution in progress till EQL.
May happen may not happen, but feels like it.
Market is Supreme.
NOTE: I do my analysis, do yours before trade.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
