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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin Breakdown, Pi Cycle Top Projections, and USDT.D UpdateIn this video I break down what I'm seeing with Bitcoin and the possibility for an even deeper correction into the Green Buy-Block zones. I also revsit my Fibonacci projections for this cycle, with initial targets of up to $150k and ulitmately a $200k high target based on the 3.618 Fib retracement projection. There's confluence with these targets using the measured moves from the recent Bull Flag breakout as well. The BIG question is, where do we go from here? Here we check out the Pi Cycle Top indicator, and I make some potential projections... And propose the idea of a dual-cycle top, like we saw in 2013. It makes sense, that we see a Jan / February pump to new highs, followed by a recessionary bust in Q2 (March) into the summer and potentially into Q3. But then rally strongly up from there in Q4 as Oct, November and December are typically very bullish in a 4 year cycle. Either way, I think $200k is the cycle top, if we can get there. The USDT.D study has also been updated, to show 'sticky' support here on the lower trendline, allowing BTC to push higher again above $100k and even rally higher per above. But then we'll likely see a reversion to the mean, with the USDT.D and Total Market Cap / Bitcoin prices. Check out the video, and share some love with a Like, Comment, and Share. Best to luck to everyone! - Brett
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BrettFogle
2
Building a massive short up to 55k We are seeing a similar pattern to the 2020-2021 bull run, but this time under different circumstances and with Bitcoin at a much higher price. Over the years, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed benchmarks like the S&P 500, which continues to attract both institutional and retail investors. Previously, we experienced a correction from $60K to $30K. Now, we’re observing a correction from approximately $100K to $50K. These are rough estimates, but the trend appears consistent. In my opinion, based on the past eight years of observing Bitcoin charts (though not daily), the market often feels manipulated. This is likely due to Bitcoin’s relatively smaller market cap compared to other asset classes like stocks, forex, or mega-cap stocks (e.g., FAANGM). Recently, we faced rejection from a falling wedge pattern on the ES, which is bearish. I had hoped that lower VIX levels would encourage portfolio managers to re-enter the market, but with the stock market holiday on Wednesday, the 25th, I anticipated heightened volatility and an additional correction of approximately 8-10%. I’m aware that hedge funds are engaging in “window dressing” as the year ends. Portfolio managers are likely to remain passive, avoiding risky trades that could jeopardize their year-end bonuses. As a result, we can expect a quieter market from their side. Along the way, we may see some “dead cat bounces,” but there’s no need to worry. I had hoped Bitcoin would maintain its upward trajectory, but putting emotions aside and analyzing objectively: VWAP is significantly below the current price. Fibonacci retracement suggests further downside. Awesome Oscillator (AO) and RSI indicate bearish momentum. Money flow is negative. A significant short wall has formed, and many positions have already been liquidated . Based on this, it seems likely that we’ll continue moving downward. I’ve included two additional charts in the comments below for further insights.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Risk_Adj_Return
5
Bitcoin's road to 150,000 Bitcoin Halving 2024: A New Era The fourth Bitcoin halving, expected on April 15, 2024, will cut the block reward to 3.125 BTC, increasing scarcity and reinforcing its deflationary nature. Historically, halving cycles drive three phases: a bullish uptrend in the first 70,000 blocks, a bearish retracement in the next 70,000, and sideways consolidation before the next halving. This cycle points to a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical trends, logarithmic regression, and metrics like the MVRV ratio. Current Market Position Bitcoin has emerged from the sideways phase of the third halving era (2020–2024) and is poised for a bullish run. The MVRV ratio, currently at 2.24, signals fair value, with room for growth. Historical patterns show Bitcoin dominance surges above 70% during bullish phases, supporting price appreciation. Halving Cycles and Projections Bitcoin's logarithmic regression model aligns with these price phases: Bullish Phase (0–70,000 blocks): Exponential growth; projected high of $150,000. Bearish Phase (70,000–140,000 blocks): Retracement of 80%, with lows around $55,000. Sideways Phase (140,000–210,000 blocks): Consolidation before the next cycle. MVRV Ratio Insights The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a key valuation tool: MVRV > 3.7: Overbought, market tops. MVRV < 1: Undervalued, market bottoms. The current reading of 2.24 reflects equilibrium, signaling potential upside. Timeline Overview April 2024 (Halving): Demand rises, supply tightens, sparking bullish momentum. 2025–2026: Peak at $150,000 as the bullish phase matures. Post-Bullish Phase: Retracement to $55,000, consistent with historical patterns. Conclusion Bitcoin’s cyclical dynamics, driven by halving mechanisms, position it uniquely in financial markets. Historical data and on-chain metrics suggest a bullish trajectory to $150,000, with an 80% drawdown to $55,000 post-peak. While short-term volatility remains, Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a store of value persists. Disclaimer: This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile, and past performance does not predict future results. Sources Coin Metrics CryptoQuant TradingView Data Analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
Bitcoin: Command the Market or Fall BehindBitcoin is trading at 94,237, positioned at a critical crossroads where decisions will determine fortune or failure. The market's direction hinges on two vital thresholds—95,200 and 93,000. These levels are the gates of power: break them, and the empire of opportunity is yours. 🔥 FinCaesar’s Commands: 🩸 Resistance: 95,200. A breakout above this level signifies strength, opening the way to targets at 97,000 and the psychological barrier of 100,000. Such a move will likely attract massive buying interest, fueling momentum for a potential rally. 🩸 Support: 93,000. A fall below this level confirms weakness, paving the path toward a deeper correction to 87,000. Failure here could invite further downside pressure. Bitcoin does not negotiate—it tests resolve. The brave will seize their place, while hesitation will be punished. 🔥 FinCaesar’s Strategy: 🩸 Buy Strategy: Enter above 95,200 with confidence. The first target stands at 97,000, while breaking past 100,000 signals a monumental move. Use volume as your ally—higher activity confirms the market's conviction. 🩸 Sell Strategy: If Bitcoin breaks below 93,000, protect your position and prepare for a move to 87,000. Weakness here may spiral into a prolonged downtrend. "Dominance belongs to those who move with precision and confidence." 👑 — FinCaesar
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FinCaesar
BITCOIN 1 HR POSSIBLE SCENARIOS 🚨 BITCOIN 1-Hour Analysis 🚨 Here’s what we’re watching: 📈 Upside Targets: • TP1:94650 • TP2: 95150 📉 Downside Targets: • TP1: 93380 • TP2: 92400 So we have to watch out for $93900- $9400 level. If BTC stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit) Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹 What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by ProfitMatrix
30minutes | Bitcoin | Analysis | 25/12/2024Asalam.o.alaikum (Hi) Community, Merry Chirstmas to you! Hope you are fine and doing all of your great, so about yesterday analysis, we have seen exactly formations of IFC's and fulfilling all the demand that was conflicted in previous days. So for today we can see the recovery of unconditional bull move as following: Bullish Yesterday, we measured the very fast bull move, it seems like bull wants to gain the profit as soon as possible (quickly). But remember bull move speed is not fast as we are seeing, bull speed always remains slow as compared to bearish one. So, If market breaks the Volume Charging Triangle upside without any retest, the formation of huge IFC's will continues happening and we can see the rejection/reversal upon the mentioned upside area. Bearish If talk about the confirmation, we have many evidence for bearish move. Like in Weekly time frame there is proper sell indication as bull investor interest lies upon maximum bottom price area. Similarly, in Daily timeframe market is facing the supply, as well as in 30mins. But remember we are at the central area of the market so it's quite unfair area for the entry. So we have these key levels. Let measure the upcoming move. Cheers, Thanks! Intikhab Gillani MOCHH Analyst (Ultra Securities & Hedge Funds PvT Limited Pakistan) 25/12/2024
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by IntikhabGillaniACCA
Richard Demille Wyckoff Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was a pioneer in the technical approach to studying the stock market in the early 20th century. He is regarded as one of the "greats" in technical analysis, alongside Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill. At the age of 15, he began working as a stock runner for a brokerage firm in New York, and by his early 20s, he had become the head of his own firm. Wyckoff was also the founder, writer, and editor of *The Magazine of Wall Street* for nearly two decades, during which the publication had over 200,000 subscribers at its peak. A dedicated student of the market, Wyckoff was an avid tape reader and trader. He closely observed the activities and campaigns of legendary market operators of his time, including JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. Through his observations and interviews with these prominent traders, Wyckoff developed the "Wyckoff Method," which codified the best practices of these traders into laws, principles, and techniques for trading, money management, and mental discipline.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Nutthapol484
Bold BTC/USD Long Entry: Key Support & Big Targets Ahead!Hey, traders! 🚀 Here's my long entry on BTC/USD on the 1-hour timeframe: 📊 Trade setup: - Entry: $93,421.02 - Take Profit: $101,754.97 - Stop Loss: $85,195.40 I decided to enter here because the price is holding at a key support level, backed by oversold signals on the RSI and confirmations from the VIP indicator. The Stop Loss is strategically placed below the support to manage risk, while the Take Profit targets a strong resistance level for a solid risk-reward ratio. What do you think? Would you take this trade? Let me know in the comments, and don’t forget to manage your risk wisely! 🔥📈 Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. 🚨📊
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MetalsMine
Bears Hold Control, Price Breaks Below Key LevelsBitcoin is currently priced at 92K, and on the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has formed a bearish engulfing pattern. The high volume of selling indicates negative sentiment. Support at 92K is crucial, and if this range fails, a break below 90K is likely. Back to the 80K stage, in order to spark some bullish action, the price needs to break through 95K-98K again. Bearish Conclusion: The short- to medium-term bearish outlook dominates, and 92K is a key level to watch closely. A break below this level could accelerate the sell-off to 90k, and possibly even 89K, coupled with sell signals from momentum indicators and short-term moving averages, further emptying out consumers. The current technical signals mean that buyers should be cautious, and unless significant bullish momentum re-emerges, there may be further room for decline.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by cherry-0
1
BTCUSD.market target 96000entry point 94800 stop loss 94000Here's a summary of your updated trade plan for BTC/USD: Trade Plan 1. *Target*: $96,000 2. *Entry Point*: $94,800 3. *Stop Loss*: $94,000 Your plan indicates a bullish outlook, expecting the Bitcoin price to rise from the entry point to the target. Key Considerations 1. *Risk Management*: Ensure you're managing risk with proper position sizing. 2. *Market Conditions*: Monitor market conditions, including economic indicators, regulatory updates, and technical analysis. 3. *Trade Adjustment*: Be prepared to adjust your trade plan if market conditions change. Would you like me to provide current BTC/USD market data, analysis, or insights?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Stevenexpert
BITCOIN BULLRUN AFTER 4TH HALVINGThe following chart is a weekly Bitcoin chart. It can be seen that after the halving occurs there will be a very sharp increase in prices. This cycle repeats itself with a global scope, from each halving. If we look deeper into each halving, let's look at before the halving and also after the halving. The increase occurred on average 500 days before the halving and also 500 days after the halving. After 500 days after the halving, there is usually a large correction and a prolonged bearish trend occurs until 500 days before the halving, which finally occurs gradually. At the time this analysis was written, Bitcoin was at 95K after peaking at 106K. like the previous bull run after the halving, bitcoin will reach its peak and experience a deep correction and reach the next highest peak for the second time. This may have the same pattern in the 2024 bullrun this time. After the peak, Bitcoin will experience a correction, perhaps in the range of 75K to 65K (I took this benchmark from the Ichimocu Cloud support) and will rise again to reach its second all time high in mid to late 2025 in the range of 150K to 170K to coincide with 500 days after the halving. Until then Bitcoin will experience a bearish trend until it reaches 500 days before the 5th halving. This pattern will probably continue to repeat itself considering the increasing adoption from both retail and corporations to countries and also the limited supply of Bitcoin which is one of the factors in increasing demand.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by captvicky
BTC LongBitcoin has entered an area of interest (AOI) where significant trading activity is expected, supported by high-volume levels and overlapping Fibonacci retracement zones. This confluence of technical factors, including historical price reactions and strong buying or selling volume, suggests a potential move toward a target price of 97,400.The Fibonacci levels, often used to identify key retracement or extension zones, align with this area, adding confidence to the analysis. With a risk-reward ratio of 6, the trade setup indicates a favorable opportunity for traders, assuming proper risk management is applied.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by japeshAGRAWAL
December 24 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisDecember 24 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. There will be an indicator announcement at midnight tonight. Since Nasdaq is in an upward trend, If there is no immediate adjustment from the current position, I will bet on a vertical rise at midnight. This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart. I marked the main sections with black fingers. *When the red finger moves, One-way long position strategy 1. $93,786.5 long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken 2. $96,549.5 long position 1st target -> Top, Good, Great in that order I left the movement path in the middle with a pink finger, so I think it would be good to use it. The first section at the top is the short position operation section. If there is a decline today, it can be the best short entry section. When touching the first section, depending on the wave, it can be pushed up to the second section, and the reason why the stop loss price was set to break away from the green support line is because it is possible that it will shake up to this section, and if it breaks away from the green support line, it is also the place where the mid-term trend line is broken. So, I think it would be good to use split buying, etc. as the final long position entry point until the 2nd section. Between the 1st section and the Gap section at the top, the Bollinger Band 4-hour chart and the 6-hour chart center line overlap, but since the 4-hour chart center line is the second touch, it can rise strongly when it breaks through, and the 6-hour center line is not very important in the time zone, so I ignored it. As long as this point is not broken, the upward trend seems to be fine. Please refer to the Bottom, 89,186 dollars at the bottom when it breaks out. Please use my analysis up to this point only for reference and use, and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Have a Merry Christmas to everyone, and I will see you on the 26th. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
BTC/USD Analysis – Bearish Momentum with Key Support in FocusTimeframe: 1H Current Price: 94,284.0 Analysis The BTC/USD pair is displaying signs of bearish momentum after failing to sustain levels near resistance. The following observations are made: 1. Resistance Rejection: A clear rejection is visible at the upper resistance zone, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Support Zone in Focus: The price appears to be approaching a key support level around 92,242.1. This level will be critical in determining whether the price bounces back or breaks further downward. 3. Bearish Indicators: The recent lower highs and a consistent downward push suggest that bearish sentiment is dominating the market. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 94,800 – 95,000 Support: 92,242 – A potential bounce zone or breakdown point. Trading Strategy 1. Short Position Setup: If the price breaks below 92,242.1 with strong volume, consider a short position targeting lower levels around 91,500 or 90,000. Place a stop-loss above the 93,000 level to minimize risk. 2. Bounce Confirmation: If the price holds above 92,242.1 and forms bullish reversal patterns, consider a long position targeting 94,000. 3. Indicators to Monitor: Use RSI to check for oversold conditions. MACD crossover for confirmation of momentum shifts. Risk Management Always implement a strict risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2). Avoid overleveraging in this volatile market. Conclusion BTC/USD is approaching a crucial support zone that could determine the next significant move. Traders should closely monitor price action at 92,242.1 and adjust their strategies accordingly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Olivia-Grace
Crab Pattern Based on the provided chart, there is a possibility for the Crab Pattern to complete. In this pattern, point D typically forms at higher Fibonacci levels, specifically around 2.618 of the BC leg. In this chart, the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) is identified as a key area for the pattern’s completion. This zone can act as a potential point for a price reversal. The Crab Pattern often emerges at extreme price levels, and if the price reaches this zone, a reaction or reversal might occur. To confirm the completion of this pattern, analyzing price behavior near the PRZ is crucial. Using additional technical indicators such as trading volume, momentum indicators, and candlestick patterns can provide more precise insights. Overall, the pattern has the potential to complete, but traders should wait for further confirmation from the market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by rozane
BTCUSD SIGNAL UPDATES IN SHORTHello friends here is BTCUSD signal in short check my Signal and share your ideas about it . As of December 29-2024 (Bitcoin) is Trading at approximately $93597 reflecting a slight decrease of about 1% from the previous close . KEY INSIGHTS . TARGET POINT 1, $90000 TARGET POINT 2, $87000 STOP LOSS , $97000 Guys i expect bitcoin at least short to the Targets i have specified in the chart Dont forget to put stop loss in your positions ,Support with your likes and comments follow me for more updates .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Eric_444