TSLA34 trade ideas
11R Tesla LongNice pattern setting up on Tesla.
As long as the price reaches the buy zone within the specified timing window I think this idea probably has a 40% chance of success, so great positive expectancy.
Tesla started on a descending channelFollowing up on the previous analysis, this update takes a more technical approach, focusing on a shorter timeframe. As observed last week, the stock has entered a descending channel. Significant resistance was encountered around the $420 price level.
Even though this resistance level was broken during the extended training hours, and may be a sign of things to come, during the regular trading hours, the support level was tested three separate times, with the stock rebounding each time.
Looking ahead to next week, it’s likely that some short positions may close as traders take profits, which could temporarily push the stock into the $440–$450 range. This would be a positive development for Tesla, as sustained trading near or above the $420 level improves the likelihood of consolidation, and the creation of a clearer future support line.
Considering implied volatility and option spreads, the expected trading range appears wide, with $380–$430 being a reasonable estimate. On the upside, a potential breakout could see the stock reaching back up to $473 as a temporary near-term peak. However, if the stock breaks downward from the channel, the next significant support level lies at $345.
That's all from my side. Please don't forget to hit that like button if you agree, hit that comment button to let me know why you disagree. And if you want to see other similar things, hit that subscribe button, as that would help, and motivate me tremendously to continue doing this kind of videos.
Thank you, and I wish you a great day ahead!
Previous analysis:
Current short time-frame update:
YouTube video: www.youtube.com
Very bullish on $TSLALooks absolutely primed. Bouncing off all the monthly VWAPs/EMAs. Loads of price support. This could easily go to $276 and potentially $360.
I suspect this may go nuts if the Feds cut rates in Sept.
All Time High Inevitablethe way Elon openly supported trump was a gamble that he played but he won and there is nothing stopping tesla to break its all time high now, it is literally free money easy money buy it!!
Tesla Hits Resistance: Correction or Continued Rally?After Tesla's significant price surge, it has now reached a strong resistance level. From this point, traders may anticipate a price correction, potentially in the form of a minor pullback, before resuming the uptrend. Additionally, Elon Musk's recent statement that older Tesla models won’t support the self-driving feature could contribute to a further price dip. While our long-term outlook remains bullish, some volatility is expected in the near term."
$TSLA to $420.69 Multi-Resistance Breakout Retest #Go Emoji highlighting what similar setup brought...
Markets are ready to end #WhiteBoySummer with a BANG... Climbing walls of worry, investors/traders making bank while proles protest in the streets ala June 2020 #Vibez
#WeOutHere
9/20 220C at 12.00 now ... will scoop up contracts on "Stremf" as AlwaysTeste would say...
PS: Keep an Eye on NYSE:GME in the coming days/weeks, log scale weekly candles look #AIIIGHT aiiight? See;
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth
"Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?"
Introduction
Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks?
This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader.
Financial Analysis
1. Revenue Growth
Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by:
EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3.
Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects.
Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues.
💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood."
2. Profitability Metrics
Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability.
Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment.
3. Cash Flow and Liquidity
Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations.
Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion.
💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow."
4. Valuation Metrics
Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic:
Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal.
EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability.
PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium.
Market Position and Competitive Advantage
Innovation at the Core
Tesla leads in:
Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle.
Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development.
Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners.
Brand Strength
Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability.
Growth Opportunities
1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs):
Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for:
Licensing the tech to other automakers.
Launching a robotaxi network.
💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now."
2. Energy Storage and Solar:
Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy.
3. Global Expansion:
Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China.
Risks and Challenges
1. Regulatory and Legal Risks:
Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model.
2. Intensifying Competition:
The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors.
3. Execution Risks:
Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance.
💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars."
Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment
1. Price Trends:
Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings.
2. Institutional Ownership:
With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision.
For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential.
Recommendations:
Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision.
Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges.
🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
$TSLA $420 break to the downsideTSLA - Stock holding above $420 support level if fails here we can see $415 and $390. Stock has decent hourly support here at $420. stock has resistance building up near $447. needs to break that level to continue to the upside. looking for puts below $420 here.
Tesla (TSLA) Descending Triangle Breakout - Key Levels!Tesla (TSLA) is showing a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart, indicating bullish momentum:
Entry: $435.66 (yellow line - breakout level).
Stop Loss (SL): $420.90 (white line - key support).
Target 1 (T1): $462.25 (red line - first resistance).
Target 2 (T2): $489.33 (green line - major resistance).
This breakout aligns with increasing volume, signaling strong upward potential. Keep an eye on $435.66 for confirmation.
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context
Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment.
1. Key Levels
* Support:
* $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce.
* $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness.
* Resistance:
* $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today.
* $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break.
* $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes.
2. Price Action Insights
* Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart.
* The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly.
* Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction.
3. Indicators Analysis
* 9 EMA and 21 EMA:
* Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
* MACD:
* Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend.
* Options Oscillator:
* Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment.
4. GEX Analysis
* Gamma Levels:
* $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading.
* $445.00: Major call wall resistance.
* $425.00: Key put wall support.
* $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure.
Trading Outlook for Tomorrow
Bullish Scenario:
* A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445.
Bearish Scenario:
* Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates.
Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario:
* Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution.
Actionable Suggestions
* Entry:
* Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445.
* Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420.
* Stop-Loss:
* Long: Below $425.
* Short: Above $430.
* Scalping Opportunity:
* Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
TSLA Surges Higher! Key Levels and GEX Insights for TomorrowTechnical Analysis (TA)
1. Daily Chart (1D):
* TSLA remains in a parabolic uptrend, holding well above the 9 EMA and 21 EMA.
* Elevated volume supports the bullish trend, but price nearing key psychological resistance around $480–$500 suggests caution.
* A healthy retracement could bring the stock back to test strong support near $450 or $440.
2. 1-Hour Chart (1H):
* TSLA is trading within a well-defined rising channel.
* Channel resistance aligns near $480, while MACD divergence indicates slowing momentum – signaling a potential short-term pullback.
* Support levels to watch for a bounce: $450 and $440–$430.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Call Walls (Resistance):
* $490 – Moderate gamma resistance.
* $500 – Major resistance where options sellers may defend this strike aggressively.
* Put Walls (Support):
* $440 – Highest positive NETGEX, providing strong support.
* $417.5 – 3rd PUT Wall level, additional downside defense.
* Options Oscillator:
* Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 9.1 (low), indicating options premiums are relatively cheap.
* Call dominance: 124%, suggesting strong upward positioning in the options market.
Trade Suggestions:
Bullish Setup (If price holds support):
* Call Options:
* Strike: $480 or $500 (expiring 1–2 weeks out).
* Look for entry near pullback support zones $450–$440.
* Strategy: Buy calls or debit spreads targeting $490–$500.
Bearish Setup (Short-term pullback):
* Put Options:
* Strike: $450 (short-term pullback).
* Entry: If TSLA fails to hold $470–$460 with momentum confirming a breakdown.
* Strategy: Buy puts or put debit spreads targeting $440 support.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $480, $490, $500
* Support: $450, $440, $417.5
Outlook:
* TSLA remains bullish, but the risk of a pullback increases as price nears major resistance.
* Traders should consider buying Calls on pullbacks or hedging with Puts near resistance if momentum weakens.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Tesla 205 After earnings !!!after earnings Tesla going back to 205 . !! TP wait for a possible 220 or Pull back to 193
Keep it simple
Be Patient
Believe in your Strategy
DO NOT OVER TRADE OR OVER LEVERAGE !!!
Tesla And This 3 Step System The problem with trading is it takes confidence even though you have a system or a mentoring program.
It gets worse if you don't understand risk management and profit taking strategies.
But sometimes losing small is part of the solution.Also finding a great community of traders who are professional
When you look at this chart NASDAQ:TSLA
It's trending following this 3 step system:
🚀The price is above the 50 EMA
🚀The price is above the 200 EMA
🚀The price has to gap up
Now full disclosure I will not participate in this trade because am a Bitcoin Trading Expert
That's what a good at but I don't mind sharing what I see could be a good stock to buy according to my
Continuing trading education.
Remember before you buy to learn risk management and then after that decide when you want to take profit.
If you got value from this Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not.
Also don't use more than x5 margin.
Feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money
Musk's Infernal Prime EV PumpIn the infernal depths of Sanctuary’s marketplace, Tesla stock rises like a demon lord ascending to claim dominion. At $479, it smolders with restrained power, but the winds of hell whisper of a greater reckoning—a Hellfire Surge driving it toward the blazing peak of $640. The flames of innovation lick higher, and the Muskian sorcerer stands at the helm, summoning an army of believers to fuel the ascent.
Like a rune-etched blade, Tesla’s potential cuts through the shadows of doubt. Each EV rolling off the assembly line and each technological breakthrough is another soul harvested for its unholy cause. The naysayers—those weak cultists of skepticism—scatter as Tesla’s infernal energy ignites a Demonic Charge through the battlefield of Wall Street.
But this isn’t merely a rise; it’s a Diablo IV-worthy Musk Pump. The stock surges as though guided by the hand of the Prime Evil himself, ascending with relentless purpose to the scorching heights of $640. The question isn’t if Tesla will rise—it’s how high the flames will burn before the market bows in submission to its unstoppable power. The Lord of EVs is on the march.
TESLA 300 By DECEMBER Happy 4 of july !!!!!If tesla Pulls Back Hard , good Buy Area will be 205 - 215
Be Patience , Buy and Hold until December . Until 300 . i Would Sell at this point but do your own Research and take action !!
STAY PROFITABLE !!
Next year will be a lot of competition for Tesla because the Aston Martin / Lucid Deal
and NIO already taking the Chinesse market .
Have a Great 4 of July God Bless america and enjoy the Holidays !!!
Stay humble Be a better person.
CAFE CITY STUDIO COMING SOON 2024 !!
$TSLA - 500 incomingTSLA - stock up $12 after hours. in a big breakout mode. Stock having another 6% plus move day to the upside. Next level on the FIB at $513.71. possible hit this week if keeps moving. swing calls added in group looking for that $500 break. Stock has support at $450
TSLA: Bigger than you thinkFirst stop is 458 based on first 1.61 Fib extension. However I believe bullish sentiment will continue prior to inauguration to the next level at 650 prior to wave 4.
Not trading advise but wave 3 is typically the longest and strongest.
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
TSLA has reached the target !! correction is coming as you can see the chart with two patterns has reached its target precisely
it is between 455-485
so you have to be careful in trading, exiting, and entering this stock 😁
personal opinion
Tesla Hits New Highs! Will Santa Bring a $500 Gift for Xmas?Tesla’s stock is delivering holiday cheer, hitting an all-time high of $436 just in time for the season. Analysts are buzzing about where Santa might steer this EV sleigh next. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the 161.8% extension suggests a gift-wrapped target of $571.93 , while the trendline forecasts a cozy $490-$530 range by New Year’s Eve.
But wait, there’s more in the stocking! Tesla’s breakout was accompanied by high trading volume, like elves working overtime in the workshop. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at a frosty 78, suggesting Tesla might need a pullback before flying higher. Analysts are chiming in, with some predicting $472 and others dreaming of even higher targets for 2025.
If things go the other direction, keep an eye out for the $390-$400 range for key support. A break below this could mean Christmas is canceled.
Will Tesla soar like Rudolph or will Jack Frost be nipping at investor's hopes? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: Tesla is the star atop this year’s stock market tree. Keep your eyes on the chart for more festive moves!
Let's sleigh the stonk market together! For more analysis and chart trends subscribe and launch that 🚀 to new all time highs!
TESLA - ATH WEN? WEN MOON?So TESLA has been on a veryy, veryyy rather very critical juncture and yet to bee seen to break ATH or not, enormous runaway gaps and tasuki gaps to be filled.
The 12H charts looks like this!
Expecting at 409 to start my shorts and not before that. Targets doodled!
