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Minimum width on Bollinger bandsCRYPTOCAP:BTC Minimum width on Bollinger bands 🤔, What does it mean? Of course, like last summer, seasonality has played a big role - volatility has fallen. 📝We have tested the lower part of the channel and are now testing the middle line. With a breakthrough, we have an open path to the upper part of ~72k. 💡Whether it will be a breakthrough the first time depends on the selling power of Mt. Gox investors. In my opinion, it is only a matter of time and in a few weeks, we will test the channel's top and go even higher↗️
BNC:BLXLong
by FeelsStrategy
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | BTC COLOURED CANDLES [Weekly]Hi All. Since my prior post on this indicator, I have been asked to show this indicator with risk level colours against price. I initially built this functionality in originally (during the development of this indicator) a number of different ways but ended up simplifying to using pine scrip 'bar color' function. This post shows BTC's behavior to historic over / under extension and volatile ranges in prior cycles on the Weekly chart. I will follow this post showing the daily chart. Feel free to interact with the chart on a computer via this post (phone apps only show the static image with trading view posts).
BNC:BLXLong
by Brodie
Bitcoin Long Term Analysis & Price PredictionSince 2013, Bitcoin has followed a clear trend of setting tops the year after the most recent halving event. It has also been moving in a very clear trend channel in that time. Bitcoin has yet to experience a real prolonged bear market. My prediction is predicated on us not having a recession until 2026. If we do, the market is probably going to top much sooner and lower than this chart. If we have a recession in 2026, I expect the price of Bitcoin to break the current trend channel and head into a lower one as per the chart. If on the other hand we have a true soft landing, I expect Bitcoin to stay in the current trend channel and head for another post halving year top in 2029.
BNC:BLXLong
by kwest
The golden ratio multiplier for bitcoinThe Golden Ratio Multiplier explores Bitcoin's adoption curve and market cycles to understand how price may behave on medium to long term time frames. To do this it uses multiples of the 350 day moving average (350DMA) of Bitcoin's price to identify areas of potential resistance to price movements. Bitcoin has support of the 350 day MA and the 111 day MA. Maybe bitcoin shall go to the blue line and the price is now at 94422 dollar. Don't forget to push the like button. Thank you. Greetings.
BNC:BLX
by Terranova101
BTC BOTTOM, TOP and main CORRECTION indicator.BTC BOTTOM, TOP and main CORRECTION indicator 1. GMMA indicator at the level of >-31 will show us the ideal bottom on BTC 2. The time of the main BTC correction occurs when BTC - correction in bull market is red and reaches the level of 0.44-0.48 3. The correction always ends with the regeneration of the indicator to zero. 4. We have the top on BTC when we reach the trendline on GMMA. 5. In previous cycles, the level of 78.6 fibo on GMMA confirmed TOP. In this cycle, we observe the trendline and 78.6 fibo which are at different levels.
BNC:BLX
by Marek_Jasinski
BTC cycle measurements for BREAK OUT and ATHBREAK OUT from previous cycle’s ATH price One of the cycle events that I feel is worth measuring is the event of breaking the previous cycle ATH and staying (well) above it. And the way that I measured this in the past I overlooked an important thing. I measured only when the dates the price first hit the previous ATH, and not to the later dates of when the price actually held above it, never to see it again. I feel like measuring from halvings makes most sense, but interestingly enough measuring from previous ATL and ATH, they all overlap. With measuring this way, and giving weight to the idea of the cycles, I am now keeping an open mind that this event might happen between later Nov to late Jan 2025. (Thinking it won't happen until March seems unlikely to me, but who knows). In 2020, it was on Dec 13th, which is right in the middle of the measurements from past halvings. Cycle ATH Time Frame Same here, I think Halving to ATH seems like the best to measure, but I also measured ATL to ATH, and ATH to ATH. Once btc finally breaks and stays above 69k then we can also map out that for another time frame to ATH. Call it last cycle PTSD, but I’m not as interested in digging into the price points or percentage gains. But as an attempt, I did measure ATH to ATH percentage gains. I don’t see any simple pattern here. C3 (2021 top) does seem like a heavy under-performing outlier. With some simple theories I came to very round numbers of 150k on the lower end, 250k being hopeful, and 280k on the higher end. I label C3 as “cycle 3” which I’m referring to the 2020 cycle. C2 is the 2016 cycle and C1, 2012. Cycle One is probably 2008 to some people, I apologize for confusion.
BNC:BLXLong
by rozayjay
5
Its Time , Bitcoin 160k by March or September 2025?We are in the early stages of the next bull market. The question was never "if" but rather "when." The probability has shifted significantly to the upside in the last two months. Really, nothing much has been going on, and I’m waiting for my confirmation markers to trigger before making a technical analysis. In my view, we are in a pretty large bull flag, and a mirror move like the one we saw from September 2023 to March 2024 could push Bitcoin to $160K by March 2025. There are two major dates I’m focusing on: March/April 2025 and September 2025. The clearest sign of a change in trend is that we stopped putting in lower lows and formed a triple bottom with bullish divergence on the daily chart. The puzzle for the rest of 2024 and 2025 is not whether we will have a bull market but where and when the cycle top will occur. It's more of a question of timing, and that’s what I’m focusing on. **March/April 2025 - Possible Top** As you can see, since 2019, the average duration of major Bitcoin rallies has been 147 days. Even the longest rallies of 196 days would reach May 2025. Looking at my time cycles, we also have a hit around March 2025. The USDT dominance chart is currently in a bear flag. A mirror move similar to September 2023 to March 2024 would bring dominance levels down to the November 2021 cycle top, around April 2025. **September 2025 - Possible Top** For those who don’t know, Bitcoin’s last two cycles took exactly the same time from cycle low to top, 1064 days. If we overlay 1064 days from this cycle's low, it puts the cycle top in early October 2025, which is very close to my Fibonacci time date in September 2025. I know there’s a lot on this chart to digest, but just focus on the red and yellow circles. Do you see the pattern? Every other sine wave peak is a cycle top. The next sine wave peak falls between September and December 2025. The Chainlink fractal from last year is still playing out. If it continues, the top is projected for August 11, 2025, again very close to that September 2025 date. KDA is also an interesting chart for me because it’s mirroring the last cycle closely, which again puts the cycle top in September 2025. **Conclusion** USDT dominance is in a bear flag, which is a clue. I’ve been in this position many times before, and USDT dominance has often signaled the way. If this bear flag follows through, it will trigger the first wave of the bull run. **So, March/April 2025 Cycle Top:** - 147-day average Bitcoin rallies - USDT dominance chart mirror move - A time cycle hit **September 2025 Cycle Top:** - Chainlink fractal - KDA fractal - Sine line peaks - 1064 days from cycle low to top If it’s March/April 2025 and we get a PI cycle cross, we’re out, that’s for sure , we most definitely not taking that chance that "this time its different" Euphoria Blindness
BNC:BLX
by Sporia
4
Liquidity and BTC: Symbiotic RelationshipIt is well-known that BTC is a child of liquidity, but I'm not sure how if people realize how much when liquidity is measured at Global Money Supply - USD adjusted (indicator by SirChub). The last two cycles and the current one are plotted. As you can tell, the relationship is strong. In recent years, rapid liquidity increases have lead increases in the BTC price. Will do a separate post, but what is interesting is that this cycle, is that increases in price has lagged liquidity by around 72 days. I'll hope to come up with a simple indicator to capture this soon, but you can use SirChub's indicator in the meantime. Cheers.
BNC:BLXLong
by Da_Prof