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Facts about BTC price in next Months V.2 (2023)We’ve seen 4 consecutive green candles and there is no argument for the bitcoin bullish trend. Body of candles getting smaller showing exhaustion, we might see at least couple of weeks price correction as we discussed in the channel before. There is an Evening Star candlestick pattern shaping up in the monthly time frame and I really hope that 25 k $ (MA50) keeps holding. Closing below 23200$ is in Bears favor for the short term. **The hack of bitcoin cycle bottom that I personally worked on and shared with you is this: ** Every time bitcoin finds the cycle top, then the bottom will be equal to the Fibonacci Level of 0.869% from halving the date candle to the cycle top. This worked since the bitcoin chart was created in 2010! See the chart for a better understanding. This is super accurate.
BNC:BLXLong
by bitcharger
BTC Roadmap predictionsI have market out the BTC halvings, and taken a FibTimeZone with the 0.382 and 0.618 zones marked out. You will notice how the tops and the bottoms are quite closely timed to the tops at the 0.382 and the bottoms at the 0.618 ratios. This means that the next top should be around October 2025. The fib zones above give us some targets to watch out for, and the green line shows a potential btc trajectory till we hit the top of the next cycle. Note I based this off the last cycle - but we had the C19 scare, so the chances of it falling below the rising blue trend line after it confirms it are slim i feel.
BNC:BLXLong
by DiscosCryptos
As Much As I Hate To Say It...Bitcoin is starting to look bullish on the weekly/monthly timeframe. Price had a strong monthly close above the 9 month EMA and the 50, which I've mentioned needed to hold for any bullish continuation. This is despite the SEC crackdown. I find it quite suspicious that Blackrock and others filed for Bitcoin ETF's shortly after that. Another example of why things still don't sit right with me. Price is now holding above the 200 week MA despite venturing below it. Now, price is consolidating above $30k. As much as I've grown to dislike Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto space since 2021, the idea seems like it will continue to stick around, while distrust and dissatisfaction with governments continue from both the political left and the political right. I do not think this means anything good about near-term societal trends, which you can read about in previous posts. I'd much rather make a video about this now, but Tradingview has made it impossible for me to successfully record my screen since some recent updates. I haven't been engaged enough on here to try and get it sorted out. In any case, you can see that this is an incredibly important pivot point for Bitcoin. It's butting up against a major downtrend, the 100 week MA (yellow), and a previously broken uptrend. If it can continue consolidating here and break out, we could see a pretty huge upswing towards a new all-time high, maybe sooner than others are expecting. I am no longer much of a supporter of this market, or I would have been buying the lows (just my emotional bias speaking here). I am a little disappointed to see it doing so well, despite the clear manipulation, fraud, and rampant misrepresentation. Something to pay attention to is the TOTAL crypto market cap, which looks far less bullish than Bitcoin itself. I am still worried about Stablecoins, and the implication of possible criminal investigation. To make it clear: I am flipping a bit bullish in terms of price, but still bearish on fundamentals. On the bearish technical side, a close back below the 200 week MA after a high-volume selloff in this range should send price at least back to the $15k lows. Of course, anything is possible! This is meant for speculation and entertainment only. This represents my opinion, and is not meant as financial advice. -Victor Cobra
BNC:BLXLong
by VictorCobra
9
$BTC IDEA TO BULL MARKET 2024/2025This is just an idea that came from analysing the previous bull and bear markets. - As next move I expect 48/50k with a deep correction to 27/22k. That are some important levels between this big zone, especially in the lower part. - As you can see some of that thoughts "predicted" the time when low was putted and the same logic predict that the next top will be between set/out 2025 with 160k-208k as target. - This is just a idea and you should never trade or marry an idea. Focus on what the chart tells you, gl CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BNC:BLX
by traderagn
1
Bitcoin Roadmap 2025It's been a while since I did a Bitcoin TA; I've been focusing on Chainlink mostly these days. Still, I spent the last few days going over everything to come to this conclusion as the most probable outcome next two years . There's a high chance we won't see an all-time high until late 2024. Like always, it's never easy to predict what Bitcoin is going to do next. You would think that this last cycle, we would have some sort of clear top and clear bottom so we could confidently calculate the next cycle top and bottom. But, in true Bitcoin fashion, we get a mixed bag. Last Cycle First time in history, Bitcoin had a double top for a cycle: - April 2021 - Psychological Top - November 2021 - Technical Top The entire market topped out in April 2021; a few coins came in with higher highs later that year. Something that is crystal clear is that Bitcoin took exactly the same amount of time to go from cycle low to cycle top (1064 days). It also took the same time to get from cycle low exactly 364 days; it was that easy, guys. So, this is where we arrive at the first cycle top date: October 2025. 1064 days from the cycle low in November 2022 would give you that date. The next date for a cycle top is August 2025, giving us the cycle top range from August to October 2025. A while back, I published a TA on Bitcoin's volume on a macro scale. I found very interesting patterns and dates looking into the volume. As you can see from this updated picture, every time Bitcoin has a bullish cross on volume, it takes 670 days to top. We just had the bullish cross in October this year, so 670 days from the cross would be August 2025. Whenever Bitcoin breaks the 1/2 Gann, it takes about 924 days till the top. This cycle, we broke the 1/2 Gann in March 2023, so 924 days from March 2023 puts you at September 2025.https://www.tradingview.com/x/Wp7wYyMP/ It takes about 1400 days from cycle top to top; 1400 days from the November 2021 top would be October 2025. This insanely powerful time sequence that predicted major Bitcoin events has failed this year for me for the first time; the next two dates are July 2024 and, you guessed it, September 2025. If you calculate the time when the Gaussian channel turns green to the cycle top and calculate the average, you get 750 days. July 23rd, 2023, we Gaussian turned green; 750 days from that date puts you in the last week of August 2025, basically September 2025. As you can see, the month September 2025 has a very high chance of being the month Bitcoin has its cycle high, and that would put Bitcoin, according to this model, at 175k. ### The 2024 Playbook The most likely scenario is one big flush out next year. The Satoshi roundtable most likely is just going to do the classic 50% pullback into the CME gap, right? Pre-Halving pullback is always deep and ranges from 40-50%! Well, why would they change their playbook? If it works every goddamn time, emotion gets the best of most of the traders and investors like every cycle. This is how I think it's going to play out. Bitcoin rallies to 0.5-0.618 Fib 40-48k till Mid-December to mid-January 2023 at 48k; Bitcoin ETF gets approved, BULLISH NEWS floods the news and internet. www.coindesk.com Analysts at Bloomberg predict that if a spot bitcoin ETF is not approved in this period, there’s still a 90% chance for approval by Jan. 10." It is at this point where Bitcoin (40-48k) will reverse and go down to close the CME GAP at 20k and also creating the macro Bitcoin double bottom. It won't be easy to get Bitcoin down to that level, so "FLOOD BEARISH NEWS" is on the table. War, COVID, bank bankruptcies, new Bitcoin laws, new Bitcoin taxes - choose your weapon! When Bitcoin hits that 20k, that's when you load up! You might think there is no way it's that easy - a 50% pullback to the CME GAP. But tell me if it works every time, why change or stop doing it? The only comment I would like to make out of this CME gap is that it's the only time in history Bitcoin has closed and opened a gap in the same weekend. I could be wrong, but it seems to be so; if you do find another time, share it below. So there you have it; will it play out like this? Who knows. One thing for sure is this rally won't last very long now. Conclusion - Rally to 40-48k: December 2023 - January 2024 - ETF approval: January 2024 - Reversal to 20k CME GAP by Halving (April 2024) - Bull Market starts: September to November 2024 - Cycle Top: September 2025 to October 2025
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
3
BTC new Elliot Wave 1 thru 5 market has started!I have recently published an idea that we could be in wave B of a ABC correction, where the C wave would have a very violent downtrend, anywhere from 11k to 3k for BTC final wave. But looking closer at the charts and going back to the books, it has come to my attention that, a B wave on a ABC pattern, can too go above the wave A initial, or top of wave 5! To recognize a wave C we need to look for that 1,2,3,4,5 down pattern. That is exactly what we had with something that began looking like a double top, but it was actually correction waves A and B. So after wave B went above the prior top, wave C had a 1 thru 5 pattern. I do believe we are now part of wave 3 minor, of this major wave 1 in a new bull cycle! My opinion is that if we get a extended 1.618 wave 3 to 75k, we will get a reverse wave 4, that its measure could indicate what the final BTC top. By measuring wave 4 retrace, and having a target of -1.236 or -1.618. Please feel free to share your own opinion. Thank you
BNC:BLXLong
by silva1320
3
Bitcoin Going to $40 Million? (Elliott Wave)This one is a bit hard to believe and I am not putting much weight on it, but I will publish it just for fun. The channeling indicates that we had wave-A ending at the peak in 2013, and wave-B is just now ending after forming a running contracting triangle. Wave-B also relates to wave-A by exactly 161.8% in time (when measured from the time of the first recorded BTC/USD transaction in Oct 2009), which is the perfect amount of time for wave-B. The internal structure of wave-B also fits nicely into a running contracting triangle with wave-a being the largest, wave-c being the 2nd largest, and wave-e being the smallest. Wave-b and wave-d also relate by 61.8%, and all the time relations fit nicely as well. The triangle channeling has a nice contracting shape with a small amount of throwover from wave-e. While from a wave perspective this chart looks pretty good, the fact that it targets around $40 million by 2027 makes it seem extremely improbable. The only way I see this as possible would be for there to be extremely high inflation in the US, leading to a collapse in the value of the dollar and a massive expansion of the supply of dollars over the next 3 years. That scenario seems very improbable to me and I do not expect this to happen so quickly, but I am publishing this chart because it is an interesting wave count. There may be an outside possibility that it actually does play out considering skyrocketing global deficits and overall terrible governance and monetary policy choices, and the potential for extremely inflationary events such as global world war. I remember when BTC was trading for ~$200 most people used to say it could never reach $10,000+ because "the market cap would be too high" and that is likely the same reason why people will think it could never reach over $10M. The idea of what people thought was "too high" completely failed in the past, and it is likely to fail again in the future as market caps will again completely surpass what people now think is "too high." Maybe it doesn't happen by 2027 but at some point crypto market caps will likely be much larger than what most people imagine is possible today.
BNC:BLXLong
by Intuit
4
BITCOIN IS GOING TO EXPLODE SOON! Hello Trading View friends! I will bring another analysis about BTC. Notice this pattern that I describe in the center of the graph: This classic widening pattern is a consolidation that occurs in the asset. See the 2014-2016 cycle. The price came from the top to the bottom and entered a widening pattern. After making 3 touches on the 3-week chart near the top, it broke through and made an extraordinary move. See the current cycle now: The price once again came from top to bottom. It produced 2 touches near the top on the 3-week chart. Will there be a strong upward breakout like the 2014-2016 cycle? In my view, there are reasons to understand that yes! And we are very close to this moment. And you, what do you think of this possibility? Leave your boost and follow me here on Trading View! To the next!
BNC:BLXLong
by GustavoCorrea1
1
Bitcoin (BTC) headed to 44k followed by 32k then back up againFair value gap suggest we have some strong liquidity magnets up above us at the 44k area. I see no reason why those cannot be easily filled given the momentum we have. Following that, I anticipate a violent shakeout back down to the 50% retracement of the the weekly fvg (cyan) at 32k before resuming course for new all time highs by or on May 2024. One interesting thing to note is that there have been 2 major weekly FVGs since the pico bottom on Nov 2022 and they have both held extremely well and gave people a very high probability setup to enter long. We will get another entry on the bull FVGs coming up.
BNC:BLXLong
by PontusTrader
The Human Weakness: We Love Pretty LiesYou can make a person believe in anything, so long as they believe that enough other people believe in it. This is one of the greatest human weaknesses, and it is exploited to no end through marketing schemes, which of course you are too smart to fall for, because you are special, just like everyone. Here is the fascinating thing, which you (if you are a Bitcoin believer) may not have realized until now (and may still be incapable of realizing even after having been told!), because marketing actually does work on you: Bitcoin IS a marketing scheme . Do you see the pattern here, or are you still not getting it? You are being shown exactly what you want to see. Bitcoin is an illusion. Look at the price chart, really look at it. Now look at the narratives. "Bitcoin cycles" look a little bit TOO PERFECT? That's because they were made to be!! The price has been controlled this entire time by a select group of marketers, who came together at the very beginning to create Bitcoin and use it as a vehicle to become disgustingly rich. If you can look at the price chart from this frame of mind, then you know exactly where we really are in the manipulation scheme map, and where we're heading. Bitcoiners may ironically recognize that all other cryptos are just marketing schemes designed to scam ignorant people, while still not recognizing that Bitcoin itself is also just a marketing scheme designed to scam ignorant people. This is how good we humans are at deceiving ourselves. Bitcoin peaked at precisely $69,000.00 on the Binance chart, and it was just to make a meme joke at your expense. The joke was this: We can literally put it RIGHT in your face, and you still CAN'T see it. This same exact pattern has gone on since the very beginning of markets, and really to the beginning of life itself. Do not be tricked by your own mind. Develop the capacity to create semi-original thoughts within your mind by thinking outside of a purely social context.
BNC:BLXShort
by bowtrix
3
Bitcoin Halving: Understanding the Impact on Market Expansion I want to share with you some interesting statistics about the price of Bitcoin during previous halvings. As you know, halving is an event when the amount of new bitcoins that are mined is reduced by half. This leads to a reduction in the supply of bitcoins in the market, which can affect their price. Let's take a look at what happened to the price of Bitcoin during previous halvings. Each halving had its stages of development, which include four phases: Bull Market, Bear Market, Accumulation, Expansion. The first halving occurred in 2012, and the price of one bitcoin was $12.2. After that halving, the price increased by 6.6 times. The second halving occurred in 2016, and the price of one bitcoin was $657. After that halving, the price increased by 12.9 times. The third halving occurred in 2020, and the price of one bitcoin was $8,500. Now we are waiting for the fourth halving, which will occur in 2024. Each of these stages is characterized by certain market trends. Bull Market: This is a period of rising asset prices. In the case of Bitcoin, it means that the price is rising. This stage can last from several months to several years. Bear Market: This is a period of falling asset prices. In the case of Bitcoin, it means that the price is falling. This stage can also last from several months to several years. Accumulation: This is a period when the price seems stable but is usually at a low level. This stage can last from several months to several years. Expansion: this is a period when the price starts to rise again after a previous accumulation period. This stage can last from several months to several years. It should be noted that not all halvings were accompanied by the same market phases, but this is a general pattern that can be observed in the Bitcoin market. Therefore, based on historical data, it can be argued that the halving affects the price of Bitcoin. However, the halving is not the only factor that affects the price. Other factors such as news, government regulations, and technical aspects can also affect the price of Bitcoin. It is also important to note that it is difficult to predict the exact developments of Bitcoin prices. Although history can give us a general idea of how the price may change in the future, the actual impact on the price depends on many factors that may turn out to be unpredictable. Therefore, for traders and investors, it is important to study the market, analyze news and technical aspects, and be prepared for unpredictable events in order to make the best decisions for their portfolio. If you liked the idea, don't forget to like and leave a comment! Best regards,
BNC:BLXLong
by CHOWTRADE