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Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.​
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
2
Where do we go from here?If you're looking at this in terms of market cycles in correlation with halvings... These are my opinions in an attempt to pick the top 3 most likely scenarios for the next 12-13 months. Please provide feedback as this is not about ego, it's more of a thought exercise. The 2 vertical lines are the window/time frame for exiting. The diagonal lines represent the tops of the previous 2 market cycles. Not in any particular order are what I consider the 3 most likely scenarios... 1. The theory of diminishing returns applies. Bitcoin is becoming larger and less volatile. It is possible that this market cycle will not break past the red line projections. If this is true then the next market cycle may see less than 100% return. Conclusion--market cycle has already peaked. Projection: bleed-off of BTC price to approximately FWB:73K before starting into the next bull market cycle. Start buying again in about 2 years. 2. Everything the same as 1 except Conclusion--market cycle has not yet peaked. Projection: 3-4 months of pain or longer if the bleed is slow. Tops out by the end of next year between $114k and $130k. 3. We are on the verge of government adoption and regulatory clarity in the USA and several other countries. Conclusion--market cycle has not yet peaked. Projection: A steep pull back over the next 3-4 months to meet the fast moving average bringing BTC price as low as 80k-75k before violently snapping up as we see the gears of legislation starting to move, breaking the projection from the previous 2 cycles driving BTC price beyond 200k by the end of next year. But those are just my thoughts. What do you think?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Narsty_Boy
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-18 : Gap Up LowerPay attention to the SPDR Sectors and how they appear to be moving downward (potentially rolling into a topping pattern). I believe the US markets may roll into a topping pattern before the January inauguration. President Biden could throw a bunch of curveballs at the US before he ends his term. I urge traders to stay agile and protect assets. We'll have lots of time to deploy our capital after the Inauguration event. With only a week before Christmas, I urge everyone to start trading much smaller positions and prepare for a very light trading week through Christmas. Remember, the markets typically begin to move more aggressively after January 7-10. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
4
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade planThe chart shows a clear falling wedge formation. This is a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upward breakout. Price is nearing the wedge's apex, indicating that a breakout might be imminent. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: $88,671.83 (near-term critical support) $86,000.00 (strong psychological support) Resistance Levels: $95,497.11 (short-term resistance near breakout zone) $108,329.96 (target resistance post-breakout) Indicators: VWMC Cipher B Divergences: Bullish divergence appears on the indicator, aligning with the falling wedge's bullish potential. RSI: RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions, which often precede a rebound. Money Flow Index (MFI): MFI is oversold, suggesting incoming buying pressure. Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic is in the oversold region (<20), showing high potential for a bullish reversal. Market Sentiment: Given the oversold indicators and bullish pattern, the market is primed for a potential upside movement. However, confirmation of the breakout is critical. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Enter long near the wedge's lower boundary (~$90,000), with a tight stop loss below $88,000. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout above the wedge's resistance (~$96,000) and enter after confirmation with a retest of the breakout level. Stop-Loss Placement: Place stop-loss below the nearest support level: Aggressive traders: $87,500 Conservative traders: $92,000 (post-breakout retest failure) Profit Targets: First Target: $108,329.96 (major resistance level post-breakout) Second Target: $114,000 (psychological level, based on historical price action) Risk Management: Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio per trade. Use position sizing to balance risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:3). Monitoring Volume: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by increased volume. Candle Structure: A solid close above $96,000 validates the move. Invalidation: If the price falls below $88,000, the wedge pattern is invalidated, signaling further downside. Alternative Scenario (Bearish): If Bitcoin breaks below $86,000, expect a test of lower levels. Potential targets include $82,000 and $78,000. Bitcoin is poised for a significant move. The falling wedge, oversold indicators, and strong support levels suggest an imminent bullish breakout. However, patience for confirmation is key to minimizing risk and maximizing gains. Adjust your strategy dynamically based on market conditions.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
Batarang Backfire for BTC!In the shadowy world of crypto, where fortunes are forged and lost in the blink of an eye, Bitcoin finds itself standing on the precarious edge of Gotham’s tallest skyscraper. At $104k, the caped crusader of cryptocurrencies is flying high, but beware—the Batarang is about to backfire. The signals in the market skies hint at the return of the good old Dark Knight Dive. It’s not the fall we fear, but the landing—$90k is where the Batcave awaits. Much like Gotham’s vigilante, BTC has faced its share of villains—market manipulators, FUD spreaders, and the infamous Penguin of Panic. Yet, this time, the weight of over-leveraged trades and thinning demand may pull it down like a grappling hook tethered to the depths. Altcoins, as Robin to BTC’s Batman, are likely to follow suit, retreating into the shadows as the crypto market takes its breather. The Joker of volatility might chuckle, but seasoned Gotham traders know: this isn’t defeat. It’s a tactical retreat. The Bat-Signal shines brightest in the darkest hours, and $90k could just be the staging ground for the next heroic climb. Until then, buckle up, citizens of Crypto Gotham—the Dark Knight Dive awaits.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnitedFreedomJapan
2
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?if Bitcoin cannot hold the $130,000 range, the price could drop to around $100,000 or even lower. After that, it can continue its growth again. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
Pride Comes Before the Fall: A Trading Lesson in HumilityIn trading, as in life, pride can be your undoing. The saying “Pride comes before the fall” holds a profound lesson for traders who let overconfidence cloud their judgment. While confidence is an essential trait for success, excessive pride often leads to reckless decision-making, ignored warnings, and ultimately, significant losses. This post explores the dangers of pride in trading and how maintaining humility can safeguard your capital and enhance your decision-making process. The Dangers of Pride in Trading 1. Overconfidence in Winning Streaks Few things inflate a trader's ego like a winning streak. When every trade seems to go in your favor, it's tempting to believe you've mastered the market. However, markets are dynamic and unforgiving. - Overconfidence may lead you to take larger positions, abandon risk management strategies, or ignore market signals. - A single unexpected move can erase gains and even wipe out your account. 2. Refusal to Admit Mistakes Pride can prevent traders from accepting when a trade idea is wrong. This often results in: - Holding onto losing trades longer than necessary. - Averaging down into bad positions, magnifying losses. - Ignoring stop-loss levels because of a belief that the market will "come back." 3. Chasing "Revenge Trades" After a loss, pride might push you to recover your losses immediately by doubling down on risk. Revenge trading is driven by emotions rather than logic, often leading to bigger losses. 4. Ignoring the Bigger Picture Pride can blind traders to critical market realities. Instead of adapting to changing conditions, they stubbornly cling to outdated strategies or refuse to learn from others. How to Keep Pride in Check 1. Treat Every Trade as a Probability Game The market doesn't owe you anything, and no strategy guarantees success. Every trade involves risk, and outcomes are influenced by factors beyond your control. - Focus on executing your strategy consistently rather than trying to "win." - Acknowledge that losses are a natural part of trading. 2. Stick to a Risk Management Plan Pride can tempt you to exceed your risk limits. Combat this by: - Using fixed position sizes relative to your account balance. - Setting stop-loss levels for every trade and respecting them. 3. Practice Continuous Learning Markets evolve, and so should you. Humility keeps you open to learning new strategies, techniques, and perspectives. - Analyze your trades, both wins and losses, to identify areas for improvement. - Seek mentorship or study market history to gain broader insights. 4. Detach Emotionally from Trades Acknowledge that a single trade doesn't define you as a trader. - Avoid tying your self-worth to your trading results. - Focus on the long-term process rather than short-term outcomes. Conclusion Pride is one of the most dangerous emotions a trader can harbor. It clouds judgment, promotes reckless behavior, and blinds you to market realities. Trading is not about proving you're right—it's about staying disciplined, managing risk, and adapting to ever-changing conditions. Remember, humility is your greatest ally in the market. Stay grounded, respect the risks, and you'll be better equipped to navigate the ups and downs of trading without falling victim to the perils of pride. Pro Tip: Write this on a sticky note and place it near your trading screen: "The market is always right. My job is to listen, adapt, and act accordingly."
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
2