B/$My direction is still down, I buy when it goes down and sell when it goes up.
I don't trade spot because for long positions I will pay swap
BEARUSD trade ideas
This is Bitcoin.Bitcoin has stabilized itself at this price this week by making a solid bottom in the $100,000 range and will not decline until Trump takes office. However, if this is a flag pattern, it will have a move to the 99 range and after breaking the 101 resistance, it will go to the next high of 104. Of course, from here on out, only fundamentals will help it in this move!
BTC 4-Hour - Looking for the "LONG" set-up.Well the 1-hour TF had my curiosity. There should be an obvious bounce situation here. Bring this onto the 4-hour TF suggests that PA is beginning its' turn around. This can take several days to play out.
I have suggested pathways of PA.. (and I know it is nearly impossible to guess future direction). These light green lines are helping to convey my expressed idea that a possible 4-hour set-up is nearing along with price turning around.
The major factor in all of this, is... The daily TF. We can all see the MACd on its' way downhill. However the strength of the RSI gives probability to yet another run upwards after a grand 4-hour set-up bounce ... to .. perhaps... that special $111k area that everyone is excepting to reach.
On the rebound.. there's that chance that the Daily just keeps PA on a downhill trajectory to levels of -35%, - 50% or -77% from the most recent ATH. It is less of a chance to continue down now, than create a newer high... however keep in mind that the daily will need to reset in the next few months most likely.
With all of this said, enjoy the run-chart and lets see if this plays out for the set-up "LONG".
You can shrink, expand or enlarge the chart by using the date or price sidebars.
BTC LONG: SHORT SQUEEZEHello all,
Currently positioned at $65,000, Bitcoin is on the cusp of a significant shift. The reduction in selling pressure sets the stage for a steady climb to $71,000. This increase is poised to trigger short liquidations of approximately $120 million (data from Glassnode), propelling the price further to reach $75,000 . At this critical point a staggering $3.85 billion in short positions will be liquidated (data from Glassnode), signaling to the market that Bitcoin's ascent is far from tapering off. This realization is expected to lead many to close their short positions prematurely, in anticipation of further gains, setting off a short squeeze that could robustly push Bitcoin's price to at least $85,000.
However, the journey does not end there. It is at this juncture that FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) is likely to kick in, driving the price even higher as more investors and traders rush to buy Bitcoin, spurred by the fear of missing out on further gains.
Nonetheless, it's crucial to consider the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. There's a conceivable scenario where Bitcoin could retract to a lower support zone between $60,000 to $62,000. This potential dip should not be overlooked, as it signifies a strong buying opportunity, buoyed by substantial buying power. The bounce back from this level, depicted as the second projection on my graph, showcases a solid reversal momentum, indicating the resilience of Bitcoin's market value.
Both projections, labeled as 1 and 2 on my analysis graph, provide a holistic view of Bitcoin's potential price trajectory. Projection 1 forecasts a bullish scenario driven by a short squeeze, pushing the price towards an ambitious $85,000. In contrast, Projection 2 lays out a strategic recovery from lower support levels, emphasizing the market's potential for rapid recovery and further growth. Together, these insights underscore a period of dynamic and potentially profitable market movements for Bitcoin, highlighting the critical roles of market sentiment, investor behavior, and strategic investment opportunities in determining the future path of Bitcoin's value.
In comparing the two projections for Bitcoin's potential price movements, my analysis leans more favorably towards the first projection primarily due to Bitcoin's demonstrated resilience at the $65,000 mark. This resilience is not merely a temporary market fluke but a strong indicator of underlying market confidence and investor support for Bitcoin at this level. $60,000-$62,000 (as outlined in the second projection) remains within the realm of possibilities, the momentum and market sentiment currently favor the bullish trajectory of the first projection. This conviction is rooted in recent market behaviors and the significant buying interest that emerges each time Bitcoin approaches this critical threshold, reinforcing my belief in the first projection's potential realization over the second.
"Please note that the information provided in this analysis, including insights from Glassnode and any market predictions, is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. While the data and projections are shared with the intention of offering insight into potential market trends, they are based on current market conditions and assumptions that are subject to change. Investing in cryptocurrencies is inherently risky and should be done carefully after conducting your own due diligence. I am not a financial advisor, and this analysis should not serve as a basis for making investment decisions."
Thanks all for hearing out my first idea!
-Nathan
BITCOIN SHORT AFTER END BIG AB=CD +BBBITCOIN SHORT AFTER END BIG AB=CD +BB, should try to back into B point
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-13 : Carryover In ContertrendToday's pattern is a Carryover in Counter trend mode.
As you'll see in today's video, I'm highlighting many various new features and techniques to help traders understand price movement and context related to trading opportunities.
We need to understand how to target opportunities and how to avoid risks.
I had a long conversation with a subscriber yesterday - he's struggling to understand how to trade efficiently.
Trading is all about jumping on opportunities when they hit and trying to avoid risks and overtrading.
I see so many people try to trade everything that ticks - even when they should be sitting on the sidelines and waiting for better opportunities.
If you want to gamble with your trading account - throw a dart and pick BUY or SELL (RED or BLACK).
If you want to learn how to consistently target the best trade setups, then learn to WAIT for the best setups, execute your trades, then PULL PROFITS/EXITS as quickly as you can.
You should be able to trade only 2 to 3 times a day and do very well - if you don't get trapped in trying to WISH a trade into profits.
Remember, trading is unlike anything else you've ever tried. The more time you try to WISH something to happen, the more likely you are taking on excessive risks.
I'm working on new tools to help all of you develop better skills.
Get some.
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Ripple Receives Approval for StablecoinMarket Update - December 13, 2024
Amazon shareholders urge the company to allocate 5% of its reserves to bitcoin: The proposal highlights bitcoin’s outperformance against traditional assets and echoes similar moves by companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla.
Crypto liquidations hit $1.5 billion Monday as bitcoin dipped below $95K: But the world’s largest cryptocurrency rallied past $101,000 on Wednesday after positive inflation data set the stage for a rate cut next week.
Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin secures approval from New York’s financial regulator: The launch will now proceed with exchange and market-maker partnerships already in place.
Hong Kong accelerates crypto licensing as global competition heats up: Plans include streamlined approvals for crypto trading platforms and new regulation for stablecoins.
The Cardano Foundation's X account was hacked, leading to fake announcements about a token and an SEC lawsuit: The breach triggered significant trading activity and community confusion before being addressed by the Foundation.
🫱 Read more here
➕ Topic of the Week: IPOs, ICOs, and STOs – What’s the Difference?
BTC/USD : First Short, Then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price is currently trading around $100K. If the price stabilizes below $100,380, we could expect further declines, with $97,800 as the first key level, followed by the potential start of the next bullish wave for Bitcoin. The second scenario involves a price surge above $101,500, which could increase demand and push the price to levels above $102,000. This analysis will be updated further.
Weekly Time Frame Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BitcoinBTCUSD ( Bitcoin / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure
Change of Characteristics
Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Demand Zone
BTCUSD is setting up for next bullish cycle Hi there,
BTCUSD is setting up for next bullish cycle. Bearish cycle is almost over and its setting up for next bullish wave which can break above the previouse high.
Watch lower time frame and start building your long positions.
Good Luck
BITCOIN: First red day, on DAY 3!Hello traders and thanks for your constant support, please do not forget to like and comment the idea, it's very helpful and supporting for my constant work and progress.
Bitcoin, it's currently establishing a template of pump and dump that I really like and already traded many times in the past few years, on several instruments. There is a good chance to complete the full pattern of pump and dump during the upcoming days.
But let's see the overall weekly situation to understand better the thesis behind.
Let's start quickly to say that the current week is INSIDE the previous weekly high low, meaning that I do not see weekly higher time frames involve in this move, as well because today we don't have any major red news on calendar, I would consider a potential short entry only an intraday position.
Monday is the opening range of the week, it triggered HOD and LOD levels, closing in breakout short, inside the previous weekly high low range, shorts traders were involved in this specific day.
Tuesday the market dumped back down into the low of Monday, failing the attempt to break lower, still we have shorts involved and potentially now trapped into the low of the week.
Wednesday, day 3 of the week, we can see a three days dump and pump completed in the week, shorts from Monday are stopped out and long breakout traders are in the market, but once the HOW has been reached, is really important to understand the behaviour of price on that level.
Thursday, long traders attempt in three pushes to break higher, basically consolidating up high and closing the day down, as a first red day.
Today, Friday, the market placed a lower low into the yesterday low of day (which it could represent a weakness in the market) and currently pumping up into the current high of day / most recent swing high in the market.
THESIS:
-Short: this is my main thesis right now, I would like to see the market consolidating up high into the current HOD, starting breaking down in NY session for either a session scalp pump and dump, targeting LOD, and eventually trailing to further levels as breakout level of Tuesday high (because breakout traders long entered the market without any retest of that area), eventually closing of Tuesday and as well low of Wednesday, all these level can be very reactive.
- Long: as always, I'm not here to make forecasting or prediction, but I'm only looking for setups in specific templates that play out over and over again. Bitcoin can still keep breaking higher giving a long trade back to the HOW, where the beginning of the dump started.
In the next update, I will be showing the intraday overview.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin - Issue 229A analyst predicts that the price of Bitcoin will decrease in the next 24 hours. This forecast is based on a quantitative analysis of recent price trends.
BITCOIN Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 100,153.20.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 102,181.06 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
BITCOIN is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 89,901.
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[BTCUSD] Corrective move on the gateOn this bullrun for the crypto market and mostly for CRYPTOCAP:BTC , we just reached my Long Term Target 1 I published a long time ago and I am now waiting for a pullback on the market.
We could probably be at the perfect timing to start covering some of our long or start hedging with some short positions.
Another possibility can be a ranging CRYPTOCAP:BTC for a long time like months ... let's see.
Great Trade !
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term.
However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation.
Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high.
Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase.
Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%.
Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months):
Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences.
Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase.
Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
BITCOIN - BTC/USD - 15 min. Technical analysis published 12/12My opinion
Bullish above 98,537.51 USD
My targets
102,534.81 USD (+1.07%)
103,995.11 USD (+2.51%)
All elements being clearly bullish, it would be possible for traders to trade only long positions (at the time of purchase) on BITCOIN - BTC/USD as long as the price remains well above 98,537.51 USD. The buyers' bullish objective is set at 102,534.81 USD. A bullish break in this resistance would boost the bullish momentum. The buyers could then target the resistance located at 103,995.11 USD. However, beware of bullish excesses that could lead to a possible short-term correction; but this possible correction would not be tradeable.
BTCUSD SELLBitcoin (BTC) ends the working week hovering around $98,000 after a very volatile Thursday when it surpassed the $100K milestone and underwent a sharp correction. Strong institutional demand, whale accumulation, and the choice of a pro-crypto figure to lead the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) fueled the rally this weekHowever, traders should be cautious about a possible correction ahead as on-chain data shows holders booking profits at the top. Moreover, any moves from Mt.Gox funds and US government transfers could add to the selling pressureBitcoin surged past the $100K milestone on Thursday, reaching a peak of $104,088 before experiencing a sharp drop to $90,500. It ultimately recovered to close above $96,900. As of Friday, it is trading slightly above $98,000
Elliott Wave Analysis & Future Market Cap PredictionsThis detailed analysis leverages Elliott Wave Theory to project Bitcoin's future price movements and market capitalization milestones. Explore:
* Predicted bull market peaks and realistic market cap targets.
* Anticipated pullback levels and key support zones for future corrections.
* How Bitcoin's price aligns with Elliott Wave structures and Fibonacci retracement levels.
* This post offers a comprehensive outlook to help traders and investors navigate Bitcoin's next major cycles with confidence. Follow for updates and stay ahead of the curve! 🚀
posibility of uptrendConsidering the price behavior within the current support range, possible scenarios have been identified. There is a possibility of a continuation of the correction trend
BTCUSDMore upside on the horizon! Mark my words, I'm CLEARLY correct with my analysis & call-outs.
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