JP225 trade ideas
The Japanese Stock Market Hit An All-Time High In USD-TermsIs the Japanese stock market the nightmare of long-term investors? No. Investors who avoided the bubble-period reached a decent 3.9 real return p. a. Because of the currency appreciation, the return was higher in dollar terms. Japanese stocks in USD hit even new all-time high already.
Are Japanese stocks still a good buying target? There are some positive arguments. Japan has so far successfully solved problems of the pandemic, so the infection numbers stay moderate. The Bank of Japan keeps its easing policy, and it is unlikely to change in the next few years. The Japanese economy is benefiting from the progress of other, fast-growing Asian countries like China.
But the valuations of the Japanese shares are also high. The CAPE Ratio (modified P/E ratio or Shiller P/E) was 24.26 on December 31. This indicator reached 33.44 in the USA, but only 22.82 in Canada, 18.1 in China, 14.1 in Hong Kong, and 13.66 in the United Kingdom. (By data of Siblisresearch.) So, it may be easier to find cheap stocks elsewhere.
BULLISH MOMENTUM
This is my bullish trend idea. However, wait for clear trend continue moment and wait for trend continue after can entry . This is my opinion, not for any signal service. Good luck.
Nikkei Stock Index (On The Slide!) View On Nikkei Stock Index (5 Mar 2021)
We have some strong swing down now 29,000 & 30K are good resistant regions.
It may carry higher risk but it is better to stay on the SELL side only.
27,600 will be a good support.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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Possible trend for Nikkei Index 225Last week was bad for NI225. NI225 index broke 30,000 JPY 1 week ago, now it went back to below that level.
Although the index overall is in an up channel, I doubt this will continue for long.
I'm expecting NI225 to continue going down, at least for the first half of next week. Keep an eye of the support line breaching!
(Remember both Japan GDP and population are declining. These are negative signals for NI225 in the long term.)
This is likley to run out of steam soon, ...too. - But not before US Equities do!!
(Made a lot of money on these longs until now and especially being Short DJIA/Nikkei225 Spread!)
... and given the currency differential, the Nikkei225 is still a helluva lot better deal than US indexes.
Here is the SP500/Nikkei225 Spread
Short it until it can be shorted no more!
Here is the Weekly;
Reset TimelineWe have approached a Systemic decision point that involves choosing one of two Reset timelines:
Last night, an actor punched Bitcoin above 50k while the Western hemisphere was in bed, trying to force the Reset. We can also see that the Nikkei broke the 30k psychological barrier, and can now attack the ATH. Oil is the major commodity, and has approached the maximum affordability price of around 61$s.
So, if nothing is altered oil will go above 61$s, the Nikkei, crypto, gold etc. will hyperinflate and we have the Reset within 3-4 weeks. That would be a mid-March event.
The other option is that we crash all markets by 20% with market sell orders and some bad news---maybe cancel the Olympics or something like that. That would buy time, perhaps 8 weeks of stability, and we would have the Reset in May.
I'm thinking May is the better option since the grain harvest in the Northern Hemisphere starts in July---so a May Reset would limit losses in the core and decrease the probability of failure.
Reports from the periphery and weaker areas are dire, and I estimate we are losing 1 million persons per day. If prices are allowed to rise for the next three days, then high probability that March will be it, and we can expect more severe losses.
Stock Indices video analysis $SPX In this video overview, we will take a look at the $SPX, $DAX, DJIA, NASDAQ, and Nikkei. Key levels are on test
JPN225 SELL IDEAAFTER SHOWING REJECTION AT THE HIGH, AND A WEDGE THAT WAS BROKEN AND REJECTED AT SUPPORT THE JPN225 SHOWS BEARISH TERRITORY IS HERE.
Negative divergent keep extending on Nikkei 225 weekly chartAs Nikkei 225 keep pushing higher, it continues to extend negative divergent. Given the size of divergent, it projects pretty large drop in Nikkei. Break of current steep rising trend line should do the trick.
Have a good trade everyone,
T.
JPN225 Potential ShortPrice has reached the top of the long term channel and has also closed a gap, visible on the weekly chart, from August 1990.
Nikkei possible new highs nikkei been on a roll as of late I'm expecting it to retrace and further buy, however with the yen index increasing in value we could be seeing an end to this winning streak which is unlikely
Nikkie Golden Level Retracement the detail is shown in the above Idea.
Nikkie Started Falling from a higher level ( BAT pattern ) and now Nikkie Crossed the Golden Level and it is possible that Nikkie retraces to this golden support level then falling to 0.88 level.
Stocks Indices Video overview $SPXIn this video overview, we will take a look at the SPX, DAX, DJIA, NASDAQ, and Nikkei as they are reaching support after the sell-off yesterday.
