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TSLA Cont. Bull Run after Market Downturn Today? for Dec. 19Tesla experienced a significant decline during today’s trading session, aligning with broader market weakness. This sharp drop follows a recent bullish rally, prompting key questions regarding whether the stock is consolidating, forming a reversal, or preparing for another leg higher. Market Structure Analysis: Tesla has been in a strong uptrend for several weeks, recently reaching a high of $488. However, today’s action suggests a possible break in momentum, with the price closing below $450. The intraday sell-off has brought TSLA closer to key support zones, with a significant volume spike signaling heightened activity from institutional traders. Supply and Demand Zones: * Supply Zone: $467 - $488 (overhead resistance, marked by recent highs and profit-taking areas). * Demand Zone: $420 - $429 (critical support from the last consolidation zone in late November). Order Blocks and Support/Resistance Levels: * Key Resistance Levels: * $452: Near-term resistance where sellers became active today. * $467: Intermediate resistance from prior week’s breakout level. * Key Support Levels: * $442: Immediate support tested during the day. * $429: Lower support, coinciding with today’s intraday low and significant buying interest. Key Indicators: * EMA (9/21): * The 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA on the hourly chart, indicating a bearish shift in momentum. * MACD: * Bearish crossover with increasing histogram bars below the zero line. * This suggests accelerating downside momentum. * RSI: * Dropping below 40 on the hourly timeframe, signaling oversold conditions but room for further downside. Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Call Walls: $480 and $500 (significant resistance levels based on options activity). * Put Walls: $430 and $420 (high open interest for puts, likely providing temporary support). * GEX: Gamma levels indicate that market makers may sell into rallies, adding downward pressure. Scalping vs. Swing Outlook: * Scalping: * Focus on intraday levels such as $442 for potential quick rebounds, targeting $450-$452 resistance. Set a tight stop-loss below $440. * Swing Trading: * Watch for a decisive break below $429 for confirmation of a deeper pullback. Alternatively, a reclaim of $452 could trigger a move back toward $467. Actionable Suggestions: * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $429 * Target: $420 * Stop-Loss: Above $435 * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $452 * Target: $467 * Stop-Loss: Below $445 Conclusion: Tesla’s recent sell-off has brought the stock into critical support zones, offering opportunities for both bears and bulls. However, caution is warranted given broader market volatility and bearish technical signals. Traders should monitor key levels and volume to confirm the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
5
AAPL Technical Analysis after Today Downturn - Dec. 19Apple (AAPL) experienced a sharp decline today, reflecting broader market volatility and potential profit-taking from recent highs. This analysis explores the technical outlook to assess possible reversal points, continuation patterns, and actionable trade setups. Market Structure Analysis * Daily Timeframe: AAPL broke out of its ascending channel but sharply pulled back to re-test support levels around $247. This indicates a failed breakout scenario with bearish momentum dominating. * Hourly Timeframe: The pullback from $254 to $247 aligns with increased selling volume, signaling strong short-term bearish sentiment. Supply and Demand Zones * Key Demand Zone: $244–$247 – A high-confluence support area where buyers may step in. * Key Supply Zone: $252–$254 – Prior resistance where sellers are likely to defend aggressively. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance Levels * Immediate Resistance: $250.79 – Intraday recovery may face challenges at this level. * Immediate Support: $245 – A breakdown below could signal further downside to $242.50 or $240. * Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels: * 50% Retracement: $246.50 * 61.8% Retracement: $244 Key Indicators * 9/21 EMA Crossover: Bearish crossover indicates potential continuation of downward momentum. * MACD: Shows strong bearish divergence, with the histogram widening in the negative territory. * RSI: Approaching oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce if $244 holds. Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX) * Call Wall: $255 – Indicates strong resistance; unlikely to break without significant bullish momentum. * Put Wall: $247.50 – A key gamma support level; a breakdown below could accelerate bearish moves. * IVR/IVx: Elevated implied volatility suggests market participants expect significant price swings. Scalping vs Swing Outlook * Scalping: * Entry (Long): Near $245 with a tight stop-loss at $243. * Entry (Short): Near $250.50 if rejected, targeting $247 with a stop-loss at $252. * Swing Trading: * Bearish Play: Break below $244, targeting $240 with a stop-loss at $247. * Bullish Play: Reclaim $250, targeting $254 with a stop-loss at $247. Actionable Suggestions 1. For Short-Term Traders: * Monitor the $247 support level for possible intraday bounces. * Short positions can be considered below $244 with proper risk management. 2. For Swing Traders: * Wait for a clear breakout above $252 for bullish confirmation. * A sustained close below $244 opens room for a bearish continuation to $240 or lower. Conclusion AAPL faces critical support at $244–$247. While oversold conditions may prompt a short-term bounce, the bearish momentum suggests cautious optimism for bullish setups. Traders should monitor volume at key levels and utilize tight stop-losses to manage risk effectively. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
Technical Analysis for AMZN with GEX - Dec. 18, 2024With the broader market experiencing significant declines, Amazon (AMZN) has been no exception. Today’s drop marks a critical juncture for the stock, with implications for both short-term traders and long-term investors. Let’s dive into the technicals to uncover potential opportunities and risks. Market Structure Analysis: * Trend: AMZN broke below its ascending channel, confirming bearish momentum. * Volume: A significant spike in sell volume indicates strong bearish sentiment. * Sentiment: Current price action reflects uncertainty, with the market awaiting stability post-FOMC statements. Supply and Demand Zones: * Supply Zone: $227.50 – $230.00 * Demand Zone: $212.00 – $215.00 * AMZN has tested the $220.00 level, which coincides with a critical demand zone. Failure to hold here could lead to further downside. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance: * Key Resistance Levels: * $225.00 (near-term resistance) * $230.00 (major supply zone) * Key Support Levels: * $217.50 (recent low and demand level) * $212.00 (strong support, aligns with prior consolidation zones) * $200.00 (psychological level) Key Indicators: * EMA (9/21): The 9 EMA ($224.00) has crossed below the 21 EMA ($227.00), signaling bearish momentum. * MACD: Bearish crossover with momentum accelerating to the downside. * RSI: At 35, indicating the stock is approaching oversold territory. Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Call Walls: Significant resistance at $230.00 and $235.00. * Put Walls: Strong support at $220.00 and $212.00. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 32.5, indicating moderately elevated volatility. * GEX Insights: * Negative gamma suggests potential for larger price swings. * Put dominance indicates bearish sentiment. Scalping vs Swing Outlook: * Scalping: * Focus on quick trades between $217.50 (support) and $225.00 (resistance). * Use tight stops below $217.00 for risk management. * Swing Trading: * Potential entry at $212.00 with a stop-loss at $209.00 and targets at $225.00 and $230.00. * If the $220.00 level holds, monitor for bullish reversals. Actionable Suggestions: 1. Short-term bearish play: * Entry: Below $220.00 * Target: $215.00 * Stop-loss: $222.00 2. Bounce trade from support: * Entry: $212.00 * Target: $225.00 * Stop-loss: $209.00 3. Breakout above resistance: * Entry: Above $230.00 * Target: $235.00 * Stop-loss: $227.00 Conclusion: Amazon is at a critical juncture as it battles strong bearish sentiment. Key levels at $220.00 and $212.00 will determine the next directional move. Traders should remain cautious and use tight risk management in these volatile conditions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short. Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them? Well, there is a way... It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line. The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...). So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so... You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable. So what I did? I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me... Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN. If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN. So either way, I WIN ! Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT ! FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too. The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
2
Where Googl Will Go After Downturn Today? TA for Dec.19Today, GOOGL faced a significant market downturn, dropping sharply from its previous highs. This crash in price reflects broad market weakness and heightened volatility. Let’s analyze the structure, levels, and opportunities for recovery or further downside. 1. Market Structure Analysis * Trend: GOOGL has broken below critical trendlines on the hourly and daily charts, signaling bearish momentum. This break invalidates prior upward channels. * Volume: Increased volume during the sell-off suggests strong bearish activity, possibly institutions or large players exiting positions. 2. Supply and Demand Zones * Demand Zone: * $182.42 to $185.00 – Potential support zone where buyers may step in. * Supply Zone: * $192.50 to $197.00 – Recent resistance; any price action into this zone may face selling pressure. 3. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance * Support Levels: * $182.00 (Critical put support from GEX and chart levels). * $180.00 (Historical support and psychological round number). * Resistance Levels: * $192.50 (Recent PUT wall and GEX resistance). * $197.00 (Upper gamma wall zone). 4. Key Indicators * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: * GOOGL is trading well below these levels, confirming short-term bearishness. Look for the EMAs to act as dynamic resistance near $190. * MACD: * On both hourly and daily charts, MACD has bearish crossovers, indicating momentum is still strongly negative. 5. Gamma Exposure (GEX) * Gamma Levels: * Negative Gamma: $192.50 acts as the highest PUT resistance. * Neutral Gamma: $190.00 remains the gamma wall; a significant close above could signal a shift. * Positive Gamma: $205.00 marks the distant target if recovery begins. * Options Oscillator Insights: * IVR: Elevated, indicating higher volatility. Calls remain significantly outnumbered by PUTs, showing bearish sentiment. 6. Scalping vs Swing Outlook * Scalping: * Entry: Look for intraday bounces near $182.50 with tight stop-losses. * Exit: Target quick profits near $185 or dynamic EMA levels. * Swing Trading: * Entry: A confirmed hold above $190 on volume would signal a reversal. * Stop-Loss: $180 – Strict risk management is key. * Profit Targets: $197, followed by $205 (if broader market conditions improve). 7. Actionable Suggestions 1. Wait for Confirmation: Watch price action near $182–$185 for signs of reversal or continuation. 2. Tight Risk Management: With volatility high, position sizing and stop losses are critical. 3. Focus on Key Levels: Monitor GEX levels for real-time insight into resistance/support. 8. Conclusion GOOGL is navigating significant bearish pressure, and current price action demands caution. While a short-term bounce is possible near $182, the larger structure suggests further downside if key levels don’t hold. Active traders should prioritize discipline and agility in this environment. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
1
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders, 🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside. Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈 Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡. Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵. Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡. Additionally Carbon Credits and EV Policies Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla. EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives. Political Connections Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes. 🌍Industry Trends The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1. Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EliteIndicatorSys
A Bullish Bet on Tesla: Leveraging OptionsUnderstanding the Strategy: If you're bullish on Tesla and believe it could reach $700 by March 2025, a call option strategy can be a powerful tool to amplify your potential gains. Call Options: A call option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy a specific number of shares of a stock at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specific date (expiration date). Maximizing Profit: Identify the Strike Price: Choose a strike price that is significantly below your target price of $700. For instance, a strike price of $500 or $600 could be suitable. Select the Expiration Date: Choose an expiration date that aligns with your target date of March 2025. This will give the option ample time to appreciate in value. Consider the Time Value: The longer the time to expiration, the higher the time value of the option, which can increase its cost. Balance the need for time with potential market volatility. Monitor the Option's Price: As Tesla's stock price rises towards your target, the value of your call option will also increase. Execute the Option: If Tesla's stock price reaches your target or exceeds it before the expiration date, you can exercise the option to buy the shares at the strike price and sell them at the higher market price. Alternatively, you can sell the option itself for a profit, especially if the time value has significantly increased. Remember: Risk Management: Options trading involves significant risk. It's crucial to understand the risks and only invest an amount you can afford to lose. Volatility: High volatility in Tesla's stock price can benefit option holders, as it can increase the value of options. Time Decay: As the expiration date approaches, the time value of the option decreases. This is known as time decay. Consult a Financial Advisor: It's recommended to consult with a financial advisor to discuss your specific financial goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. By carefully considering these factors and employing a sound options trading strategy, you can potentially maximize your profits from a bullish bet on Tesla.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ParabolicP
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 - NFLX Channel BreakThe market is beginning to look a lot more bearish this week IMO, so starting to look at some short setups after only taking longs basically since the election. Wouldn't be surprised if we had a bullish reaction after FOMC and into the end of the year, but expecting downside at this point. NFLX may be a good candidate for a short, clean channel break and has already failed on a retest once. Don't think I'd short here, maybe on another channel test or ATH test. I'd mainly be looking for puts if it breaks back below $909 and fails on a retest. Final downside target for this one will be a full retracement of the move from where the channel started around $859.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #2 - SNOW BreakoutI posted a similar idea last week for SNOW, but after seeing it this week I think it deserves a spot on the top 5 list. Just had a nice bounce after retesting the $166.50 area. Still riding momentum off the massive earnings move. On top of that it has reclaimed a trendline from the recent high. First upside target is $176 and then up to the recent high around $187. I think this chart is too bullish to short, but if it does break below the trendline it could see $166.50 again relatively quickly. I think it's good for a long in this area and if you miss it, could be a good long on a break and retest of $176.
NYSE:SNOWLong
by AdvancedPlays
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and ShouldersThis is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean. To summarize: - Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August. - Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support. - Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below. - Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit. - Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall. So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom. If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by AdvancedPlays