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Long dxyCurrently believed that dxy is or has started a wave 5 impulse to new highs. I believe that this will cause corrections across stock and crypto markets, potentially for next two years. Bitcoin may have toped, I, a, looking for a pull back to low 70 this next 12months being a A wave on a large scale corrections, with a push up before failure and settling around 40k regions before a few impulse out to 180k. I will monitor for sideways accumulation around 45-40k. This is my current bearish plan 21.12.2024
TVC:DXYShort
by belikeliquid
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable volatility after reaching our critical support level of Mean Support 5870. Subsequently, it demonstrated a robust upward recovery. This development is anticipated to facilitate the impending phase of the renewed interim rebound, with the objective of retesting the Key Resistance level at 6090, thereby paving the way for continuing the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the Mean Support 5870 remains a great possibility.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Nifty Short Term Analysis. Nifty today has given a poor closing below 200 days EMA but the only saving grace can be that the closing is just above Mid-Channel support of 23500 and Important Fibonacci support of 23263. These Two supports are broken then more hell can break loose and we can get to see the next Fibonacci supports being tested. The next Fibonacci supports can be near 22509 or 21585. On the positive side if either of the support is held and then we can see a new rally in Nifty wit resistances at 24718 and 25347. It looks like Nifty will take some time to reach new highs as the the mode is bottom searching and consolidation as of now. Fresh rally and Bullish recovery can start only after we get a closing above these 2 levels. However, this can be a good time to go long by picking good blue chip stocks available at good valuations. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DAX // The last one of 2024Dear Traders, This is the last one this year. I want to have a break and detach from the charts for some time now. This is the time of love, family&friends. But this chart actually shows the market phases I define quite well!😀 Thanks for you support in the past couple of weeks, since I became actve here! @TradingView asks us wishes recently... My wish for you is: patience discipline balance focus & confidence And vast amount of pips in the piggy bank!💰 Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays!🎄 Peter from The Market Flow 🏄🏼‍♂️ P.S. you may want to check out some of my ideas to get familiar with the terminology I use. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
Technical Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow Jones Industrial Average, as one of the most important benchmarks in the US stock market, is currently approaching a sensitive area in the range of 41363-41191 units. A review of the chart shows that this area acts as a strong support level and there is a possibility of a positive price reaction to this level. A full analysis of this situation will be provided below. 1. Price Structure Analysis The Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently exited the ascending channel it had maintained in the past months and entered a corrective phase. This correction has led the index towards the aforementioned support area, which is considered a key and valid level given the history of price performance. Level 41363-41191 units: This support area is obtained from the collision of several technical tools, including Fibonacci ratios (100% and 113% retracement) and the dynamic support of the lower trend line of the channel. Also, the price being near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator also indicates the possibility of slowing down the decline and starting an upward rebound. 2. Bullish scenario If the index can maintain the support area of ​​41363-41191 units, a positive reaction and price increase can be expected. Short-term bullish targets: The price returns to the resistance level of 43749 units, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci line. This level is considered the initial target for the rise if the price is supported successfully. Breaking through this resistance can pave the way for reaching higher levels in the medium term, including the psychological resistance of 45000 units. 3. Bearish scenario If the index fails to maintain the support area and stabilizes below the level of 41191 units, there is a possibility of continuing the downward trend. Bearish targets: The next support level is around 40800 units, and if it is broken, the possibility of further decline towards 39500 units will be strengthened. This decline could push the index into a deeper correction phase and increase selling pressure in the market.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by arongroups
NASDAQ: Dancing on the Edge of a Techno-Financial TightropeMarket Overview The NASDAQ-100 (NDX) has recently corrected by approximately 5.5% from its all-time high of 22,133 on December 16, 2024. This comes after a historic rally driven by resilient megacap technology stocks, robust earnings, and the continued dominance of AI-led innovation. Despite the correction, the index remains up 18% year-to-date, outpacing broader indices like the S&P 500, fueled by optimism around productivity-enhancing technologies. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds could temper this growth into 2025. Technical Analysis Trendlines Short-Term: The NDX remains in a rising trend channel since March 2023, with the lower boundary around 20,500 acting as critical support. A recent breach of its 21-day moving average suggests growing bearish momentum. Long-Term: The index's long-term trendline, extending from the pandemic lows in 2020, remains intact, underscoring investor confidence in the broader tech narrative. Key Levels Support Immediate support: 20,790 (50-day moving average). Strong support: 20,500 (trendline and Fibonacci retracement zone). Resistance Near-term resistance: 21,900 (upper boundary of rising wedge). Critical resistance: 22,133 (all-time high). Momentum Indicators RSI: Declining from overbought territory (currently at 64), signaling potential for further downside before resetting to neutral. MACD: A bearish crossover suggests weakening momentum in the near term. Macroeconomic Context Interest Rates The Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, with the terminal rate hovering around 5.75%. While inflation has moderated to 2.4%, core inflation remains sticky at 2.8%, keeping rate cuts off the table until mid-2025. Elevated borrowing costs could weigh on tech valuations, particularly for growth companies reliant on cheap capital. Economic Growth U.S. GDP growth is forecasted to decelerate from 2.6% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025, reflecting weaker consumer spending and tighter financial conditions. This slowdown could dampen earnings growth across the NASDAQ-100 constituents. Corporate Earnings Analysts expect NDX earnings growth of 8% in 2025, down from the blistering 14% in 2024, as cost pressures and a plateauing of AI-related tailwinds take hold. Geopolitical Landscape China-U.S. Relations Increasing tensions over Taiwan and heightened scrutiny of U.S. tech exports to China remain a wildcard. Any escalation could disrupt semiconductor supply chains and impact heavyweights like Nvidia and AMD. Europe Persistent instability in Eastern Europe and ongoing energy challenges pose risks to multinational tech firms with significant operations or customers in the region. Middle East Geopolitical uncertainty stemming from conflicts in the Middle East has kept oil prices elevated (~$95/barrel). Higher energy costs could indirectly affect tech earnings by squeezing consumer and corporate budgets. 2025 Outlook Base Case The NASDAQ-100 ends 2025 up 8–12%, driven by resilient demand for cloud computing, generative AI, and green technology innovations. Support from stable core earnings growth and moderating inflation provides a favorable backdrop. Bear Case Prolonged high interest rates, coupled with weaker-than-expected global growth, lead to a flat or mildly negative year. Key risks include geopolitical flare-ups, regulatory actions on Big Tech, and waning investor enthusiasm for speculative assets. Bull Case A dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve in H2 2025, alongside breakthrough advancements in AI or biotechnology, propels the index to new highs (~24,000). Conclusion The NASDAQ-100 is entering 2025 with a cautiously optimistic outlook, balanced between robust technological trends and mounting macro/geopolitical risks. Investors should monitor key support at 20,500 and resistance at 21,900 as barometers of sentiment. While near-term volatility is likely, the index remains a cornerstone for long-term growth portfolios. For 2025, the focus is on being smart: diligent monitoring, disciplined allocations, and adapting to shifting conditions. "There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat." – John Tuld – Margin Call (2011)
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by WHSelfInvest
Nifty Weekend Update...alert!!!!Hey guys, currently nifty this week fall more then 4%, due to holidays FII are selling highly. If you see the chart you can see nifty currently just above of 50WMA after huge selling pressure it still above the 50WMA, if this will break next week onwards we will enter a bear market for short term period, so in my opinion this is now a crucial moment so keep cash in hand for buying in the dip. Another scenario if nifty will bounce break from this level or first breaking 50wma then trap all bears and then bounce back above 50WMA that will also good for nifty to continue its trend to 30K.
NSE:NIFTY
by finlabventure
two buy positions on the DXY (U.S. DOLLAR INDEX)Here’s a structured plan for managing two buy positions on the DXY: --- 1. Entry Plan First Buy Position: Entry: 107.000 Likely Reason: Anticipation of strong support at this level, possibly near a significant technical or psychological level. Second Buy Position: Entry: 107.830 Likely Reason: Market reversal or breakout confirmation at this higher level. TVC:DXY 2. Risk Management Stop-Loss Levels: For the 107.000 position: Below 106.800 (to avoid a deeper pullback). For the 107.830 position: Below 107.500 (to account for short-term fluctuations). Position Sizing: Use smaller lot sizes for the second position if risk increases near resistance zones. --- 3. Take-Profit Strategy Conservative Targets: For both positions, a short-term take-profit can be set at 108.200, which may align with minor resistance. Aggressive Targets: Extend profit-taking to 108.500 or 109.000, depending on momentum and fundamental triggers. --- 4. Monitoring Key Levels Support Zones: Strong support at 107.000: Look for price consolidation here if it drops further. Resistance Zones: 108.000–108.200: Watch for profit-taking or reversal at these levels. 109.000: A more aggressive upside target.
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Short Term Out-Look for Stock WeaknessThe number of stocks below their 50-day moving average are nearing the 3.618 % Fib-Extension, which does not mean it cannot reach even the 4.618 % level. Most likely to my experiance, stocks will recover short term after todays "witches" have finished their "rituals". I expect intraday to become ugly eventually at some point to draw the candle of a "hanging man". History tells us that it is safe to buy after December 24th after a failed X-Mas rally. Good luck and take responsibility for your trades!
INDEX:S5FI
by Woerle
The Nifty spot intraday trend forecast for December 23, 2024The Nifty spot intraday trend for December 23rd indicates a bearish outlook. With the previous support level breached, the next strong support is at 23,020. However, it is important to note that timing plays a crucial role in all market activities. Our bearish outlook is expected to continue until December 27th, 2024. Please be aware that the mentioned levels may vary due to potential gaps on either side. This content is intended solely for educational purposes, and I strongly advise against trading in derivatives.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Mastersinnifty